Superflex Dynasty Rookie Mock Draft 4.0

With the NFL Draft behind us and landing spots identified, Dynasty managers are preparing for their Superflex Dynasty rookie drafts. Speaking of, you should download our FREE Rookie Guide with 120+ prospect profiles in order to get an understanding of who these prospects are and how we should value them.

With that in mind, here is our 4.0 edition of a Superflex rookie mock draft, this time spanning three rounds of a 12-team league. And you'll also see how each player has moved up or down from our 3.0 mock.

Round 1

1.01 - Bijan Robinson (RB - Falcons)

(Change from Mock Draft 3.0: 0)

It's important to evaluate your roster. Ideally, you'd like to be able to compete for a title within one to three seasons where Robinson can be a major contributor while still on his rookie contract and in his absolute prime. If you earned the 1.01 because your roster is a mess and competing for a championship anytime soon looks dicey, then seeing what you can get for the 1.01 makes sense since some are likely to pay a hefty price in order to acquire the rights to be able to draft Robinson. He's the selection here if you aren't trading out, though. Don't get cute. Robinson was just selected No. 8 overall and found one of the best landing spots imaginable with a coach in Arthur Smith, who loves to pound the rock. He's the best running back prospect since Saquon Barkley

1.02 - Anthony Richardson (QB - Colts)

(Change from Mock Draft 3.0: +2)

Richardson isn't as polished of a passer as C.J. Stroud or Bryce Young, as he struggles with touch throws and being consistently accurate. These are legit concerns, but Richardson has the highest upside of any quarterback in this class if he can continue developing. There were landing spot concerns with Richardson that didn't exist with Young and Stroud, but those were eliminated when the Colts selected Richardson at #4 overall to be their franchise quarterback and immediately made their plans known to start him from day one. While Richardson develops, he has the athleticism to pay off this cost while on his rookie contract. Richardson is 6-foot-4 and 244 pounds and tested out of this world at the combine. He ran a 4.43 40-yard dash (fourth-best among quarterbacks since 2003), posted a 40 1/2-inch vertical jump (best among quarterbacks since 2003), and logged a 10-foot-9 broad jump (best among quarterbacks since 2003). Simply put, Richardson is the most athletic quarterback in NFL history. Richardson offers things that can't be taught: Size, athleticism, and flick of the wrist deep arm talent. Rushing production at quarterback is the cheat code, and Richardson will offer elite upside in that area right away.

1.03 - Bryce Young (QB - Panthers)

(Change from Mock Draft 3.0: 0)

Young was ranked behind C.J. Stroud in the previous version of this article, but he has since been selected No. 1 overall to a better landing spot with the Panthers. Young's height (5-foot-10) and weight (204 pounds) are both concerns, but that is only one part of the story. In two seasons as the starter at Alabama, Young threw for 8,200 yards and 79 touchdowns in 27 games. Young wasn't a dynamic runner in college. But he has that skill in his bag, and his athleticism shows up routinely on film within the pocket. Young can naturally easily evade pressure within the pocket, keeps his eyes downfield around pressure, and steps up in the pocket to keep the play alive. He has exciting arm talent, and multiple indicators of high-level mental processing consistently appear in his game: He knows where his check down is and throws to it to salvage a play often, makes anticipatory throws, processes through reads, and communicates with his offensive line pre-snap when it comes to protections. You'd be doing yourself a disservice when it comes to Young if you hyper-focus on his smaller frame. Outliers exist, and Young has the mind, athleticism, and arm talent to be one at the quarterback position and will be surrounded by a favorable infrastructure in Carolina that includes head coach Frank Reich and Quarterback Coach Josh McCown.

1.04 - Jahmyr Gibbs (RB - Lions)

(Change from Mock Draft 3.0: +2)

Gibbs is an Alvin Kamara clone stylistically, but it is important to note his profile comes with more risk since he weighed in at the combine at 199 pounds compared to Kamara's 214 pounds. Still, his versatile, dual-threat skill set fits perfectly in today's NFL. He's a natural receiver, as evidenced by his 103 catches for 1,212 receiving yards and 8 receiving touchdowns in just three collegiate seasons. After two solid years at Georgia Tech, Gibbs transferred to Alabama and wasted no time putting his talents on display in the SEC. Gibbs ran for 926 yards and 7 rushing touchdowns and caught 44 passes for 444 receiving yards and 3 scores in 2022. Gibbs has good footwork, sticks his foot in the ground and goes, is shifty, has good contact balance, is dangerous when he gets to the edge, and is a big play threat every time he touches the ball. It's clear the Detroit Lions agree with this evaluation as they selected him at No. 12 overall and proceeded to trade away D'Andre Swift shortly after. Gibbs' draft capital and favorable landing spot in a good offense with a quarterback in Jared Goff, who has no problem throwing intermediate passes and checking the ball down.

1.05 - Jaxon Smith-Njigba (WR - Seahawks)

(Change from Mock Draft 3.0: 0)

Smith-Njigba had an incredible combine performance, posting a 3.93 20-yard-shuttle (Fourth best among wide receivers since 2007) and a 6.57 3-cone-drill (12th best among wide receivers since 2007). And that paired nicely with elite on-field production. As a true sophomore, Smith-Njigba averaged 4.01 yards per route run and caught 95 passes for 1,606 yards. All three of those marks were better than teammates Garrett Wilson and Chris Olave, who were not only selected within the first 11 picks of last year's draft but also lived up to the hype in their rookie seasons. A hamstring injury limited Smith-Njigba to only three games in 2022, but don't let that cause you to forget what he did the year before. A knock on Smith-Njigba is he was mainly a slot wide receiver in college (83% of his routes came from the slot), which could limit his upside in the NFL. But again, let's remember he shared the same field with Wilson and Olave, two bona fide elite outside wide receivers. Ohio State had to find a way to get all three players on the field at the same time, and that could've played a role in Smith-Njigba's high slot rate. The outlook looks similar for Smith-Njigba as a rookie after landing in Seattle with superstars DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett. Good thing he's already proven he can excel playing alongside two stud outside receivers! Still, this landing spot isn't ideal in the short term as the Seahawks will drastically need to increase their usage of 11 personnel for Smith-Njigba to truly be relevant in year one. From a dynasty perspective, though, Lockett will play the entire 2023 season at age 31, and Smith-Njigba landed in an ideal situation in order to be utilized as more than just a slot receiver long-term. Look for Smith-Njigba to take over Lockett's inside and outside versatile usage within the offense sooner rather than later.

1.06 - C.J. Stroud (QB - Texans)

(Change from Mock Draft 3.0: -4)

Unlike with Bryce Young, there are no size concerns with Stroud, who stands 6-foot-3 and 214 pounds. In two seasons as the starter at Ohio State, Stroud threw for 8,123 yards and 85 touchdowns in 25 games. He has strong arm talent that allows him to make every throw in the book. His accuracy and touch on deep balls consistently show up on film, and his accurate downfield sideline shots are reminiscent of Joe Burrow. Stroud has enough athleticism for his size to provide an extra element at the next level, specifically when creating and evading pressure within the pocket. And two indicators of good mental processing show up repeatedly when watching him: anticipatory throws and back shoulder throws all over the field, including deep down the field. The defense has to cover the entire field when trying to defend him, and that's exactly what we want in our quarterback. Stroud falls four spots since the previous version of this article, as the landing spot is a bit worrisome after the Texans selected him at #2 overall and then sent a boatload to trade back up to #3 and select Will Anderson. Those actions likely tell us Stroud was not the overwhelming favorite to be the selection if Houston only ended up making one of the two picks. Still, depending on team needs and personal league market dynamics, Stroud could be selected as high as 1.04, and I would have no problem with it.

1.07 - Jordan Addison (WR - Vikings

(Change from Mock Draft 3.0: 0)

Addison is Mr. Reliable. He can do everything. In his two seasons at Pittsburgh and his junior year at USC, Addison was deployed all over the field. He offers versatility and is a very good route runner. As a true freshman, Addison impressively caught 60 passes for 666 yards and 4 touchdowns. He followed that up with a dominating sophomore campaign in which he caught 100 passes for 1,593 yards and 17 touchdowns. Addison then transferred to USC, and while his junior season wasn't as impressive statistically, he was still featured heavily in the Trojans' offense. Addison is a polished player ready to seamlessly transition to an NFL offense and strikes me as a player that offers both a high floor and a high ceiling. Now, there is a red flag that must be mentioned: Addison is only 5-foot-11 and 173 pounds. His weight is a concern. But the league is trending toward lighter receivers, and DeVonta Smith is an example of a player around the same weight currently producing strong numbers in the pros. And the Vikings seem to be perfectly fine with it as they just selected him #23 overall to be the Robin to Justin Jefferson's Batman. This is a fantastic immediate landing spot for Addison in a pass-first offense. Even if you're worried about the QB situation in 2024 and beyond post-Kirk Cousins, Addison's rookie year production will present many sell windows.

1.08 - Quentin Johnston (WR - Chargers)

(Change from Mock Draft 3.0: 0)

Johnston is a total freak. It's as if he was built in a lab to create the ideal X wide receiver on the outside. A few decades ago, Johnston's height (6-foot-2) was exactly what teams were looking for in a number-one wide receiver. Things have certainly changed over the years as the ability to create separation and get open, no matter the height, has become more and more important. But that doesn't diminish Johnston's outlook because he offers a unique combination of height and speed. Johnston averaged 19 yards per reception on 115 collegiate catches. He's a big play waiting to happen on every down as he offers exciting yards after the catch ability, including a devastating spin move for a player his size and impressive ball tracking deep down the field. This is a really fun landing spot for Johnston, who lands with the Chargers and will receiver stable and elite quarterback play with Justin Herbert for the foreseeable future. During the 2023 season, Keenan Allen will play at the age of 31, and Mike Williams will turn 29. Neither receiver will be a Charger for much longer, which will allow Johnston the opportunity to truly be a fantasy difference-maker very soon.

1.09 - Dalton Kincaid (TE - Bills)

(Change from Mock Draft 3.0: +8)

Kincaid landed in the dream spot, skyrocketing his dynasty and redraft values, after Buffalo traded up for him to pair him with Josh Allen as the Bills' new slot receiver. Kincaid amassed tons of experience and production lined up in the slot in college as Utah essentially utilized him as a receiver. He didn't disappoint, producing a 70-890-8 line last year and catching 16 total touchdowns over his final two collegiate seasons. Because of this, Kincaid won't compete for snaps and targets with Dawson Knox as much as many think. And while Kincaid is an older prospect who will turn 24 in October, producing as an older prospect in college isn't as much of a concern at the tight-end position since the transition to the pros is tough for younger prospects, and there are so few difference makers at the position we're looking for anyone who could be one. Kincaid is great at making contested catches and reminds some of George Kittle when it comes to athleticism. Do not expect him to follow the trend of tight ends starting slow when it comes to production early on. He'll produce in year one, and his upside should increase as the season goes along.

1.10 - Zay Flowers (WR - Ravens)

(Change from Mock Draft 3.0: -1)

Flowers is essentially a Brandin Cooks clone. He's fun to watch as his speed and quickness allow him to consistently get open, which is exactly what teams covet in today's NFL. He'll offer versatility for the Ravens' passing game as he was utilized both outside and in the slot at Boston College. For a smaller player (5-foot-9), Flowers plays very tough and tracks the ball well down the field. This is an exciting addition to a new Ravens offense coordinated no longer by Greg Roman and instead by Todd Monken. Flowers recorded five or more receptions on targets 20-plus yards downfield in all four collegiate seasons. And while he did return for his senior year, which can sometimes be considered a slight negative, it's important to note Flowers caught 56 passes for 892 yards and 9 touchdowns as a true sophomore back in 2020. He's been good for a long time, and we didn't need his senior-year production to tell us that. Look for Flowers to be a "better in best ball" volatile receiver in year one that will make enough highlight real plays to keep his dynasty value afloat for the foreseeable future. That's good since he shouldn't largely be counted on right away in an offense that also includes Mark Andrews, Rashod Bateman, and Odell Beckham.

1.11 - Kendre Miller (RB - Saints)

(Change from Mock Draft 3.0: +2)

Miller has some Arian Foster and Aaron Jones to his game. He has exciting speed and burst for a player weighing 215 pounds. He's a big play waiting to happen once he gets to the edge and is slippery, with defenders struggling to bring him down. Miller is coming off of a monster junior season at TCU, where he carried the load, rushing 224 times for 1,399 yards and 17 touchdowns and adding 16 receptions for 116 yards. Miller wasn't as involved in the passing game at TCU as we would've liked (only 29 catches in three seasons), but he's capable in that area and has the potential to be a workhorse in the NFL. As the fourth running back selected in the early third round of the draft, we should expect Miller to be relevant right away in his rookie season. And this landing spot is really fun. Alvin Kamara will be 28 this season, projects to be suspended due to ongoing legal trouble, and likely won't be a Saint much longer. And Jamaal Williams is overvalued. Miller should be a major target in all dynasty rookie drafts.

1.12 - Devon Achane (RB - Dolphins)

(Change from Mock Draft 3.0: +3)

Achane measured 5-foot-9 and only weighed 188 pounds at the combine, so the odds of him being given a workhorse role in the NFL and then being able to hold up with that big workload, are low. But Achane will be able to create his own luck in the league because he holds a very valuable trump card: speed. Achane ran a blazing 4.32 40-yard dash at the combine, which wasn't a surprise as Achane is also a track star. Per Pro Football Focus, as a sophomore on Texas A&M's track team, he ran a 10.14-second 100-meter dash, the tenth-fastest time in program history. That speed consistently shows up in Achane's film, as does toughness you wouldn't expect from a smaller back. Achane is a versatile dual-threat who caught 60 passes over his final two collegiate seasons. And he literally just hit the perfect landing spot lottery. The Dolphins only made four total selections during the draft, and head coach Mike McDaniel still prioritized Achane's speed and made it a point to select him in the third round. Raheem Mostert has an injury history and will play the 2023 season at age 31, and Jeff Wilson is a solid committee back but nothing more. Look out, Achane is going to make major waves as a rookie.

Round 2

2.01 - Zach Charbonnet (RB - Seahawks)

(Change from Mock Draft 3.0: -3)

Charbonnet is a good prospect. Here's what I had to say in the previous version of this article:

Charbonnet has some Nick Chubb to his game, and they have very similar heights and weights, with Charbonnet being 6-foot-0 and 214 pounds. Charbonnet has exciting athleticism for a player as big, physical, and tough as he is. He's decisive as he gets north and south quickly, breaks tackles, and also has the ability to make defenders miss (impressive stutter steps in the open field). Charbonnet produced as a true freshman at Michigan back in 2019, running for 726 yards and 11 touchdowns, but it wasn't until he transferred to UCLA in 2021 that his collegiate career took off. In his junior and senior seasons at UCLA, Charbonnet totaled 2,496 rushing yards, 27 rushing touchdowns, 61 receptions, and 518 receiving yards. Charbonnet doesn't profile as a receiving back, but those 61 catches in two years help his case of being a workhorse/250+ touch player in the NFL, which is absolutely in his range of outcomes.

Well, Charbonnet lost value during the draft. There is no way around it. The major appeal for him was the potential of being a workhorse/250+ touch player, even as a rookie. While I will not be surprised to see Charbonnet overtake Ken Walker at some point this season, the simple fact is Walker isn't going anywhere. And, of course, Pete Carroll also drafted pass-catching running back Kenny McIntosh in the seventh round as well. Charbonnet falls out of the first round of Superflex dynasty rookie drafts due to a murky running back room in Seattle for the foreseeable future.

2.02 - Michael Mayer (TE - Raiders)

(Change from Mock Draft 3.0: +2)

The tight end position in all fantasy formats just isn't that impressive, and Mayer is the kind of player that can quickly become a difference-maker at the position. He was incredibly productive all three years at Notre Dame, posting lines of 42-450-2 as a freshman, 71-840-7 as a sophomore, and 67-809-9 as a junior and ending his career as Notre Dame's all-time receptions leader by a tight end. And Mayer offers versatility in how his production can help the Raiders. At 6-foot-4.5 and 249 pounds, he can play in-line as he holds up well as a run blocker, and tons of his receiving stats were accumulated while lined up in the slot. He's a complete tight end who should never have to leave the field and offers versatility for the offense's scheme and play calling, which is exactly what NFL teams are looking for. Expect Mayer, who provides a huge catch radius and was selected in the early second round, to become Josh McDaniels starting tight end early in his rookie season. Like Dalton Kincaid, Mayer has the profile and projected opportunity to buck the trend of slow-starting rookie tight ends.

2.03 - Tank Bigsby (RB - Jaguars)

(Change from Mock Draft 3.0: +5)

Travis Etienne was selected by Urban Meyer, and while he was impressive, Etienne didn't dominate with his major opportunity last season, especially once James Robinson was shipped out of town. Don't sleep on Tank Bigsby, who measured 6-foot-0 and weighed 210 pounds at the combine and was selected in the third round. He's appropriately called Tank as he plays a physical style, running through defenders when he has to. Coaches at the next level are sure to love his toughness, but that's not all Bigsby has to offer. He repeatedly put impressive cuts and jukes in the open field on film as he has good vision and decisiveness that allow him to plant his foot in the ground and explode upfield. Auburn utilized Bigbsy on outside runs, and he proved he's capable of getting to the edge and hitting home runs. A jack of all trades, but master of none type of player, Bigsby does everything well without possessing any elite strengths. Still, Doug Pederson should enjoy utilizing his versatile skill set (62 catches in three seasons at Auburn) as a compliment to Etienne's game. Bigsby offers some of the best contingent value in the league playing in an offense led by Trevor Lawrence should something happen to Etienne, and it wouldn't be that crazy to see Bigsby outplay Etienne at some point this season as well.

2.04 - Roschon Johnson (RB - Bears)

(Change from Mock Draft 3.0: +7)

Johnson is a fun prospect. As a true freshman in 2019, he earned 146 touches, including 23 receptions, and turned them into 807 total yards and 8 touchdowns. His following three seasons weren't as impressive from a production standpoint, but there was this little factor during that time, which was he was sharing a backfield with one Bijan Robinson. Proven production is nice to see in a running back's profile, but no one can fault Johnson for being the second fiddle to the best running back prospect since Saquon Barkley. Johnson has prototypical size for the position at 6-foot-0 and 219 pounds, and his play consistently pops off the film for a player of his size. Johnson plays fast and shows his athleticism by hurdling defenders. He also plays tough and runs through contact repeatedly. Due to playing behind Robinson, Johnson is a mystery box of sorts, but perhaps he's a really good player in his own right that can handle a large workload but won't find his ideal situation until he's on an NFL team. The slight problem with that right away is the Bears already have two capable running backs in Khalil Herbert and D'Onta Foreman. Still, there's a chance Johnson ends up the best of the bunch by the end of the season.

2.05 - Rashee Rice (WR - Chiefs)

(Change from Mock Draft 3.0: +17)

Rice is 6-foot-1 and 204 pounds, and he posted an impressive 41-inch vertical and a 128-inch broad at the combine. He finished his four-year SMU career with 233 receptions for 3,111 yards and 25 touchdowns. Notably, he improved in every single season going from 25-403-1 to 48-683-5 to 64-670-9 to 96-1355-10. He ranked tenth out of 1,046 receivers in PFF receiving grade last season and shows athleticism, quickness, toughness, and good body control in the air while going for jump balls. And he reportedly was selected by the Chiefs after Patrick Mahomes II trained with him this offseason and then advocated for him. Kansas City has a logjam at receiver on paper: Kadarius Toney, Marquez Valdes-Scantling, Skyy Moore, Justyn Ross, Justin Watson, and Richie James. But none of these players are talented enough to keep Rice off the field if he's the real deal.

2.06 - Will Levis (QB - Titans)

(Change from Mock Draft 3.0: -6)

Levis has prototypical size at 6-foot-4 and 229 pounds, possesses a strong arm, and offers rushing ability. But he disappointingly dropped out of the first round, will be 24 years old as a rookie, and is a raw prospect despite his age. Levis struggles with consistently going through his reads, accuracy, and touch passes. These are crucial aspects of the quarterback position that remain question marks, making Levis a projection at the next level. And while Levis does offer dual-threat rushing upside, he's not a dynamic runner. Instead, he uses his big frame to get north and south and run tough. That's certainly a valuable tool, but it's not the same as being dynamic and having the ability to make defenders miss. Still, despite the concerns, Levis projects as the Titans starting quarterback no later than the 2024 season and is worth the investment in the mid-second round of Superflex drafts.

2.07 - Hendon Hooker (QB - Lions)

(Change from Mock Draft 3.0: -8)

Hooker is already 25 years old, and he's now buried behind Jared Goff in Detroit for at least 2023 after receiving disappointing third-round draft capital. Cutting Goff next offseason would save the Lions $26,650,064 in cap space, but there are already rumors of a Goff extension, making it likely Hooker's earliest path to being a starter won't come until 2025 at the earliest. Still, there's a lot to like. Hooker didn't shine until he transferred from Virginia Tech to Tennessee after three seasons, but it all fell into place quickly after that. In his two years at Tennessee, Hooker threw for 58 touchdown passes compared to only 5 interceptions and ran for another 1,046 yards and 10 scores. Hooker is an athletic dual-threat who brings a dynamic aspect to the run game with his ability to be elusive in space and make defenders miss. He has prototypical size at 6-foot-3 and 217 pounds and a strong arm that puts it out there downfield on go balls for his receivers to go get it. But what really stands out in film is Hooker's consistent, confident, and calm footwork. He remains in control which allows him to utilize his athleticism and quick sudden movements to escape pressure within the pocket and/or keep his eyes downfield and go through his reads. Hooker is a unique prospect with a boom-bust profile, especially thanks to Tennessee's offense routinely creating wide-open receivers, making it more difficult to evaluate the quarterback. But Hooker's upside in Superflex is worth the investment in the mid-second round.

2.08 - Marvin Mims (WR - Broncos)

(Change from Mock Draft 3.0: +6)

Mims is 5-foot-11 and 183 pounds, so he is on the lighter end. But as discussed above in the Jordan Addison section, that's not necessarily a detriment in today's NFL. Mims is a fast receiver (4.38 40-yard dash) who produced all three seasons at Oklahoma. He posted lines of 37-610-9 as a freshman, 32-705-5 as a sophomore, and 54-1083-6 as a junior. He won deep on the outside and vertical from the slot and converted many deep targets into receptions with great ability at the catch point down the field. Mims profiles as a boom-bust vertical weapon that can take the top off of a defense, at least early on, evidenced by his 22 yards per reception as a sophomore and 20.1 yards per catch as a junior. But he landed in an ideal situation after Sean Payton traded up to select him in the second round despite the Broncos having minimal draft capital due to the Russell Wilson trade. The Broncos' receiving corps appears crowded on paper, but Courtland Sutton is likely gone after this season, K.J. Hamler is trending toward a "what could've been" prospect who can't stay healthy, and Tim Patrick will turn 30 during the season.

2.09 - Sam LaPorta (TE - Lions)

(Change from Mock Draft 3.0: +12)

LaPorta went to the right school for helmet scouts as Iowa tight ends George Kittle, T.J. Hockenson, and Noah Fant have all recently found success in the league. LaPorta has made a good case for us to expect him to follow suit. He was the focal point of the passing game as he led Iowa in receptions in each of the past three seasons, and he posted solid numbers as both a junior (53-670-3) and a senior (58-657-1). And at 6-foot-3 and 245 pounds, LaPorta had a good combine running a 4.59 40-yard dash, 4.25 Shuttle, 6.91 3-cone, and posting a 35-inch vertical and a 123-inch broad. LaPorta was used out wide and in the slot at times, which shows the versatility he'll offer to an NFL offense. He has a chance to develop into a nice pass-catching pro and was just selected at the top of the second round ahead of Michael Mayer to be the new starting tight end for Jared Goff.

2.10 - Jonathan Mingo (WR - Panthers)

(Change from Mock Draft 3.0: Wasn't included)

Mingo didn't have an impressive production profile at Ole Miss, compiling only 897 total receiving yards in his first three seasons prior to amassing 861 yards and 5 touchdowns as a Senior. Yet he was just selected 39th overall at the top of the second round by the new Panthers' regime to be a big-time playmaker for Bryce Young. Mingo has impressive size as he was listed at 6-foot-2 and 220 pounds at the combine and showed impressive athleticism running a 4.46 40-yard dash, a 39 1/2-inch vertical jump, and a 10-foot-9 broad jump. And he'll have plenty of chances to flash his size and athleticism on the field as a rookie contributing to a thin Carolina receiver depth chart headlined only by 33-year-old Adam Thielen and journeyman D.J. Chark.

2.11 - Jayden Reed (WR - Packers)

(Change from Mock Draft 3.0: Wasn't included)

Reed was selected in the second round to be Jordan Love's slot receiver right out of the gate. That's exciting because Reed proved he could produce in college, posting 797 receiving yards and 8 touchdowns as a true freshman at Western Michigan prior to transferring to Michigan State. His best season came as a junior, where he put up 1,026 receiving yards and 7 touchdowns. And Reed also had success as a kick and punt returner. Quick and fast, Reed will provide juice in the intermediate passing game for Green Bay.

2.12 - Puka Nacua (WR - Rams)

(Change from Mock Draft 3.0: +9)

Nacua did little two years at Washington but then transferred to BYU, and his career took off as a junior and senior. He had solid production in both seasons, with 43-805-6 in 2021 and 48-625-5 in 2022. Nacua has size at 6-foot-2 and 201 pounds and is just a solid receiver that coaches are likely to love. He's crafty and a technician with his feet, knowing how to get both feet down in bounds on the sideline. Plus, he offers inside and outside versatility as he racked up experience and production in both areas while at BYU. Impressively, Nacua ranked second out of 1,046 receivers in PFF receiving grade last season, one spot ahead of the consensus top 2024 pick Marvin Harrison Jr. He should fit in right away in a Rams receiving corps lacking weapons behind Cooper Kupp and make plays as a Robert Woods-esque player for Sean McVay.

Round 3

3.01 - Nathaniel Dell (WR - Texans)

(Change from Mock Draft 3.0: +10)

Nathaniel Dell posted 90-1,329-12 as a junior and 109-1398-17 as a senior in 2022. He also had punt- and kick-return success at Houston, returning a punt for a touchdown just last season. Shocker: here's another small receiver in this class as Dell stands 5-foot-8 and weighs just 165 pounds. But he's reminiscent of DeSean Jackson, who weighed just 175 pounds. Dell is quick and fast, which allows him to get open and produce impressive YAC consistently. He displayed consistent ball-tracking ability, which helps explain why Houston went his way a ton in the end zone and inside the five-yard line. He ranked 13th out of 1,046 receivers in PFF receiving grade last season. And new franchise quarterback C.J. Stroud reportedly advocated for the Texans to select Dell after being impressed with his game at the combine. If Dell is the real deal, he should rise to the top of a weak Texans' receiving corps by the end of his rookie season.

3.02 - Jalin Hyatt (WR - Giants)

(Change from Mock Draft 3.0: (-12)

NFL passing offenses need speed to force the defense to cover the entire field and to increase their playmaking ability. Hyatt has blazing speed and put it on display at the combine, running a 4.4 40-yard dash. Hyatt has the height (6-foot-0) to go with his wheels and put five touchdowns on tape in one game against Alabama of all teams last season. That performance was part of his junior campaign that finished with 67 receptions for 1,267 yards and 15 touchdowns with a yards-per-catch average of 18.9. Despite receiving disappointing third-round draft capital, Hyatt still projects favorably as a deep threat for Brian Daboll on a weak Giants' receiving corps that shouldn't be difficult for Hyatt to climb should his talent translate to the pros.

3.03 - Cedric Tillman (WR - Browns)

(Change from Mock Draft 3.0: +9)

Tillman produced very little outside of one electric season in 2021, where he caught 64 passes for 1,081 yards and 12 touchdowns. That year was great. But it was also Tillman's fourth in college, and he'll be 23 years old as a rookie. Still, Tillman offers size at 6-foot-3 and 213 pounds and has good, strong hands that allow him to win contested catches. Tillman also has some gamer in him as he showed up big in important spots in 2021 against Alabama, Georgia, and Tennessee's bowl game. The Browns seem to like what they saw as they selected him in the third round to be a deep threat for Deshaun Watson. It wouldn't be surprising to see Tillman vault over Donovan Peoples-Jones on the depth chart at some point during the 2023 season.

3.04 - Tyjae Spears (RB - Titans)

(Change from Mock Draft 3.0: -6)

Spears is 5-foot-10 and 201 pounds. That's plenty big enough to earn a role in an NFL backfield, which he should do right away as a rookie. Spears is shifty, quick, fast, and electric, but he also has a compact body that allows him to break tackles and stay on his feet. He's decisive, sticks his foot in the ground and goes, and has an extra gear once he gets in the open field. And it appears Spears, who only caught 48 passes in four collegiate seasons, was underutilized as a receiver while at Tulane after he made one of the nastiest juke moves I've ever seen while at the Senior Bowl on his way to being named Practice Player of the Week. You can't teach that change of direction, and it's something all NFL teams should covet. The Titans clearly did, selecting him in the third round. Spears will flash as a rookie and has a chance to be Tennessee's starting running back in 2024 with Derrick Henry projected to be gone after this year.

3.05 - Josh Downs (WR - Colts)

(Change from Mock Draft 3.0: -11)

Downs caught 195 passes for 2,364 yards and 19 touchdowns between his sophomore and junior seasons, and he enters the NFL Draft as an early declare. Downs stands about 5-foot-10, is a good route runner, and has a compact and strong body and legs. Downs offers versatility as he played inside and outside in college, although it is important to note just 136 of his 756 offensive snaps in 2022 came on the outside. Downs has great ball tracking as he goes up and lets defenders know the ball in the air is his. That likely played a role in North Carolina's trust in Downs in the red zone and the end zone as they continually peppered Downs with targets in the most important areas. Downs consistently won when given those chances, which is a good sign for his success at the next level. And he landed on a thin receiving corps headlined by only Michael Pittman and Alec Pierce. The issue causing Downs to drop in the rankings is that Anthony Richardson struggles mightily with intermediate accuracy at this stage of his career and will have to improve in that area for Downs to truly hit his ceiling.

3.06 - Deuce Vaughn (RB - Cowboys)

(Change from Mock Draft 3.0: Wasn't included)

Listed at only 5-foot-5 and 179 pounds, Vaughn is an extreme outlier. But man, can he play. As a dual threat, Vaughn put up 1,878 total yards and 22 total touchdowns as a sophomore and 1,936 total yards and 12 total touchdowns as a junior. He caught 116 passes in three collegiate seasons and is quick, dynamic, and compact. If Dallas doesn't end up bringing Ezekiel Elliott back, Vaughn projects as Tony Pollard's clear back-up in a good offense where Mike McCarthy clearly wants to keep the running game a focal point.

3.07 - Chase Brown (RB - Bengals)

(Change from Mock Draft 3.0: -4)

Brown played at Western Michigan during his first year of college before transferring to Illinois for his final four seasons. He proved he's plenty capable of handling a large workload in 2022 when he turned 355 touches, including 27 receptions, into 1,883 total yards and 13 touchdowns. Brown's 329 carries led all Power 5 backs, and his 83 forced missed tackles ranked second behind only Bijan Robinson. Brown's film was impressive. He plays tough and physical but is also shifty and is able to stick his foot in the ground and go. Brown has a similar rushing style to early career Phillip Lindsay yet is the bigger (5-foot-9.5 and 209 pounds) and more athletic version. Brown ran a solid 4.43 40-yard dash and posted a 40-inch vertical and a 127-inch broad. And he lands in an intriguing spot on the Bengals behind Joe Mixon, whose currently facing legal troubles. With Samaje Perine now in Denver, Brown has a clear path to offer legit contingency value should something happen to Mixon.

3.08 - Israel Abanikanda (RB - Jets)

(Change from Mock Draft 3.0: -8)

One of the youngest players in the draft, Abanikanda won't turn 21 years old until October. There is still plenty of room for growth within his game which is exciting considering he led Pittsburgh in rushing yards as a sophomore and then broke out in a major way as a junior last season, rushing 239 times for 1,431 yards and 20 touchdowns while adding 12 receptions for 146 receiving yards and 1 touchdown. Abanikanda is a no-nonsense runner who gets north and south quickly and has the size and speed to be a workhorse in the league. Abanikanda was 5-foot-11 and 216 pounds at the combine. He then blew up his pro day, running an unofficial 4.41 40-yard dash and posting a 41-inch vertical and a 128-inch broad. But Abanikanda falls in the rankings due to disappointing fifth-round draft capital and being blocked by Breece Hall for the foreseeable future.

3.09 - Tucker Kraft (TE - Packers)

(Change from Mock Draft 3.0: Wasn't included)

Kraft can definitely play. Listed at 6-foot-5 and 254 pounds, he caught 65 passes for 773 yards and 6 touchdowns as a sophomore. Selected in the third round by a Green Bay franchise in dire need of an upgrade at the skill positions, Kraft is the preferred choice over Luke Musgrave due to his physicality, size, athleticism, and yards-after-catch ability.

3.10 - Luke Musgrave (TE - Packers)

(Change from Mock Draft 3.0: Wasn't included)

Musgrave was selected in the second round, a round before Tucker Kraft. Musgrave is athletic and dynamic and could've even pushed to be selected in the first round had he not gotten injured after just two games last season. He was on his way to a huge junior season posting 11 catches for 169 yards and 1 touchdown in just those two contests. Musgrave should certainly flash as a rookie and has the potential to hit big plays down the seam, but he'll need to prove he can be consistent at the next level.

3.11 - Charlie Jones (WR - Bengals)

(Change from Mock Draft 3.0: Wasn't included)

Jones posted 110 receptions for 1,361 yards and 12 touchdowns as a fifth-year senior and ran a 4.43 40-yard dash at the combine. The Bengals have to pay Joe Burrow, JaMarr Chase, and possibly Tee Higgins as well. That means Tyler Boyd is as good as gone after this season. Jones is the current favorite to replace Boyd after being selected in the fourth round. He's shifty, quick, and fast.

3.12 - A.T. Perry (WR - Saints)

(Change from Mock Draft 3.0: -17)

Perry redshirted in 2018, so he was a fifth-year senior in 2022 and will turn 24 in October. It's a red flag almost all of his production came in his final two seasons when he was 21-23 years old. Still, those final two years shouldn't be ignored, as Perry amassed 152 receptions for 2,389 yards and 26 touchdowns over that time. Perry is discount Quentin Johnston in this class, meaning he's an X wide receiver on the outside that can be had more affordably by a team in the NFL Draft and by us in our dynasty rookie drafts. Perry is taller than Johnston (6-foot-3.5 compared to 6-foot-2.6), and they both have the exact same wingspan (81.625). It's exciting Perry ran a 4.47 40-yard dash at the combine, and his athleticism, flexibility, and separation all consistently show up on film. These traits are impressive in a player of Perry's size, and the cherry on top is the large catch radius he presents for his quarterback. Perry received disappointing sixth-round draft capital but could find playing time as a rookie in a thin Saints' receiving crops.