28 Wide Receiver Values

Footballguys Staff's 28 Wide Receiver Values Footballguys Staff Published 08/08/2022

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A fantasy draft is all about obtaining the most value with each selection. There is value available throughout a draft, and grabbing it is one of the most important keys to a successful fantasy team. In an attempt to point out this value, we asked our staff to look through the Top 150 and identify players that should outperform their draft position.

Here are the players who received the most votes:

And here are all of the players mentioned and the reasons why.

Player Receiving 7 Votes

JuJu Smith-Schuster, Kansas City

Jason Wood: The Chiefs cannot replace Tyreek Hill easily, but Smith-Schuster is far and away the most talented, proven, and well-rounded addition to the position group. Unless Patrick Mahomes II stopped being the NFL's best quarterback when I wasn't looking, Smith-Schuster need only stay healthy to deliver every-week starting-caliber fantasy value this season. He's a good route runner, has sure hands, and gets to play with a quarterback better than Ben Roethlisberger in his prime. What's not to love?

Sam Wagman: We have a track record of success for Smith-Schuster when he is the secondary target in the offense. With Travis Kelce assuming a large role as the primary receiver for this team, we may see Smith-Schuster get a little freedom as far as who covers him in the passing game. It's also a massive step for him to go from aging Ben Roethlisberger to in-his-prime Patty Mahomes, so the quality of targets will drastically increase. WR30 could be a bargain for the former stud.

Chad Parsons: With Tyreek Hill gone, the top receiver spot is open for the first time in years for the Chiefs and Patrick Mahomes II. Smith-Schuster has been in a production swoon since his early-career breakout seasons in Pittsburgh, but Smith-Schuster is still in his prime production window. The competition for the WR1 role consists of Marquez Valdes-Scantling (yet to be a consistent part of an NFL passing game), Skyy Moore (incoming Day 2 rookie), and Mecole Hardman (disappointment so far). Smith-Schuster has the advantage and will crush his cost - beyond the top-25 wide receivers - if securing the lead receiver role.

Ryan Hester: The scenery change for Smith-Schuster from late-career dink-and-dunk Ben Roethlisberger to in-his-prime Patrick Mahomes II can't be overstated. Smith-Schuster also goes from an offense coordinated by Randy Fichtner in 2020 (he was fired after that year) and first-time OC Matt Canada in 2021 to all-time great play-caller Andy Reid in 2022. Smith-Schuster put up historical numbers before Roethlisberger's 2019 elbow injury, and many of his highlights were on downfield passes. He's not a "hybrid tight end" as many have cast him to be over the past two seasons. And even if he isn't the preferred deep target in Kansas City, Smith-Schuster will be the odds-on favorite to lead the wide receiver group in receptions.

Jeff Haseley: How quickly the consensus forgets how good Smith-Schuster was just a few years ago. He definitely has had his down moments as well, but if he is healthy he'll be a key piece to one of the best offenses in the AFC. There is some risk involved because he missed 12 games last year with a shoulder injury. However, the reward outweighs the risk. He can be the top WR on the Chiefs this season for a WR30 price tag.

Kevin Coleman: Smith-Schuster is a screaming value right now in fantasy leagues. According to Footballguys ADP, he is being drafted as WR31. That's far too low for a player that finds himself as the #2 option in Kansas City. With all those vacated targets and Patrick Mahomes II II at quarterback, barring any type of injury, he should outperform his current ADP. He has one of the safest floors in fantasy and has shown he can be a solid WR2 option in the NFL.

Will Grant: The Chiefs have a lot of question marks at the wide receiver position this season. But the reality is that Patrick Mahomes II is still going to throw for 4800 yards this season, and JuJu Smith-Schuster is the guy who should come out as the top pass catcher in the group. His current draft position has him going with players who are the 2nd wide receiver option on their team or WR1s on teams who won't come close to 4800 yards passing this season. Smith-Schuster has good upside and should easily outperform his draft position.

Players Receiving 6 Votes

Christian Kirk, Jacksonville

Jason Wood: I agree with the consensus view the Jaguars overpaid Christian Kirk in free agency, but that shouldn't color his fantasy outlook. His current ADP assumes he'll finish well below his output last year, which makes no sense. He was WR26 a year ago despite sharing targets with an immensely deep set of receivers and tight ends. The Jaguars are paying him to be their alpha, and for at least a season, he's going to be force-fed the ball.

Ben Cummins: Kirk will be the #1 target for a quarterback in Trevor Lawrence, who will be taking a significant step forward in his second season as the Jaguars’ starting quarterback. Paid handsomely, we can expect Kirk to rarely come off the field and be utilized all over the formation to get the most out of his versatile skill set. I’m targeting Kirk in every draft as I value him at least a round ahead of where the market does.

Sam Wagman: Is Kirk the cheapest WR1 on his own team target? The Jaguars have to target him a ton by virtue of the $18m a year deal he signed with them in free agency, so he should see a ton of volume from Trevor Lawrence. Add in pass-happy Doug Pederson, and I see Kirk getting the opportunity to finish 10-15 spots higher than where he is now. Whether or not he was overpaid, his ranking is underrating him.

Chad Parsons: While many question Kirk's contract from Jacksonville, Kirk should receive consistent work with a chance (or expectation) to be the clear leading receiver. Trevor Lawrence is a breakout candidate with Urban Meyer gone, a factory reset for the Jaguars, plus 1.01-drafted quarterbacks are strong historical bets independent of their Year 1 results. Betting on potential uptick offenses and the most logical leading target option is a sturdy fantasy bet, and Kirk's cost is typically outside the top-40 wide receivers.

Jeff Haseley: I believe in Doug Pederson's ability to get the most out of Trevor Lawrence which is going to ignite Christian Kirk, who is in a perfect situation for his skill set. He thrived when operating out of the slot last year and very quietly finished in the Top 30. He enters the Jaguars as the top receiving threat for Lawrence. I see him being the alpha receiver on that team, and if the touchdowns follow, he will easily exceed expectations.

Will Grant: At the end of your fantasy season, if you looked back and found out that the 3rd wide receiver you drafted finished with 1000 yards and five touchdowns, you'd be pretty happy, right? That's essentially what we are talking about with Christian Kirk. At his current ADP, he's either the 3rd or 4th wide receiver that fantasy owners are taking, and given how bad the Jaguars are going to be, Kirk should easily post those types of stats this season.

Allen Robinson, LA Rams

Ben Cummins: Robinson will be just 29 years old this season. Last year was a fluke for a player likely frustrated with a failing Bears offense. Two seasons ago, Robinson caught 102 of 151 targets for 1,250 yards and 6 touchdowns. He’s now the clear-cut WR2 for Matthew Stafford, a quarterback who significantly elevates his pass catchers.

Chad Parsons: For the first time in Robinson's long career, he has a strong quarterback pairing with the move to the Rams and Matthew Stafford. The formula fits for big upside even if in the WR2 role behind Cooper Kupp. Tyler Higbee is not a strong tight end presence, the WR3 position is populated by Van Jefferson, who has yet to take a big step forward, and the Rams have been 30th or lower in running back targets as a team each of the last three seasons. Kupp and Robinson can be top-18 options, even top-12 with this offense. 2022 is a golden opportunity for Robinson to be one of the bounce-back fantasy producers in the entire NFL.

Ryan Hester: Did any receiver have his offensive outlook improve more this offseason than Robinson? An argument can be made that JuJu Smith-Schuster's move from Pittsburgh to Kansas City is a significant move. But going from Chicago to the L.A. Rams is a night-and-day situation change. Going from Matt Nagy to Sean McVay will rejuvenate Robinson. And with the defensive focus moving more to Cooper Kupp after his historic 2021 "triple crown" season, Robinson won't be short on opportunities. Odell Beckham showed us last season that the WR2 spot in this offense can be productive. Robinson was more productive than Beckham in 2019 and 2020. Assuming that he can be better in L.A. than Beckham was isn't far-fetched.

Jeff Haseley: Allen Robinson has four 150+ target seasons, three 1,000-yard seasons, and three 80-reception seasons and he's played with Blake Bortles, Mitchell Trubisky, Nick Foles, Justin Fields, and Andy Dalton. If we're counting college, it includes Matt McGloin and Christian Hackenberg. So yeah - now he will have a fringe-Hall-of-Famer in Matthew Stafford, not to mention the best receiver in the league drawing the defense's attention. Sign me up for some Robinson this season!

Matt Waldman: Robinson is an excellent route runner who can win all over the field, but he has been paired with limited quarterback talent for the length of his career. Matthew Stafford is a solid 1-2 notches above Robinson's quarterbacks and there will be a lot of optimal match-up opportunities in Los Angeles thanks to Cooper Kupp and Sean McVay's scheme. Robinson had the equivalent of what most perennial NFL starting receivers would call a career year during his second season in Jacksonville. Still, expect Robinson to approach those totals with the Rams this year.

Will Grant: Robinson has been the bright spot on a poor Chicago team for the last few seasons. Now he's getting a chance to shine with the defending super bowl champions. Even better for Robinson, he's playing opposite Cooper Kupp - who will always command strong defensive coverage. Robinson will be free to stretch the field and open up his big play potential that he couldn't showcase last year. He may be the team's #2 receiver, but he will still out-produce many #1 receivers on lesser teams.

Courtland Sutton, Denver

Ben Cummins: Sutton is an alpha outside wide receiver whose game pairs perfectly with Russell Wilson’s game. Draft Sutton if you like receivers who compete for the league lead in end zone targets, especially now that Tim Patrick has been lost for the season.

Sigmund Bloom: Courtland Sutton is the most proven wide receiver on the roster, the new regime committed to him with a long-term contract, and his game maps nicely to DK Metcalf, who new Broncos quarterback Russell Wilson made a star. Our own Cecil Lammey, who covers the Broncos for local media, has unequivocally said Sutton is Wilson's main man. With Tim Patrick sidelined, Sutton will likely get even more downfield targets from Wilson.

Sam Wagman: Another year of betting on Sutton's talent for me. Russell Wilson coming to town drastically improves all the pass-catchers in this offense, but Sutton could have the most room to grow, as Wilson's deep ball has been on par with the best in the league over the past several years. He's the alpha-style receiver in this offense, and DK Metcalf has shown us that that receiver can generate a ton of production. With Tim Patrick now sidelined for the season due to an ACL tear, the importance of Sutton taking over the alpha role becomes even more prioritized. There are a lot of mouths to feed in this receiving corps, but talent comes out ahead and I think that Sutton's talent has yet to be truly revealed.

Nick Whalen: Russell Wilson has thrown for 30+ touchdown passes in five of the last seven seasons, and Courtland Sutton is the best red zone target on that team, especially with the unfortunate injury to Tim Patrick. Sutton appears to be Wilson's favorite target in camp and is the most talented wide receiver on this team. This is a perfect match.

Matt Waldman: Brett Farve in Minnesota, Peyton Manning in Denver, and Tom Brady in Tampa Bay. When will we learn that elite quarterbacks elevate the production potential of excellent offensive talent? The question is likely less about Sutton and more about Wilson being elite. I'm not questioning it. This year, or next, Wilson will be an elite producer once the offense acclimates to its new passer. Sutton is that primary receiver likely to earn the marquee production Wilson will generate for the Broncos. I'm expecting a strong run of production from Sutton beginning this year.

Ryan Weisse: Even before the Tim Patrick injury, Sutton looked like a value with an ADP outside the top 20. Russell Wilson's effect on this offense cannot be overstated, and Sutton is in a position for the best season of his career. Last year was awful, but it was Sutton's first back from injury, and the quarterback play was not good. Those things are remedied this year, and if you're looking for top-10 upside, Sutton is your best bet in this range.

Player Receiving 5 Votes

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Brandin Cooks, Houston

Jason Wood: Another year, another season when the fantasy community unfairly discounts Brandin Cooks. He had 90 catches, 1,037 yards, and 6 touchdowns last year (WR20), giving him six 1,000-yard seasons in the last seven. That's despite playing with yet another starting quarterback. If Cooks can produce top-20 numbers with Davis Mills as a rookie, and the Texans added no one in the offseason to take away targets, why won't Cooks be in the top-20 mix again?

Christian Williams: Brandin Cooks should just adopt the nickname "Undervalued." His 133 targets ranked 12th among receivers in 2021, and his target per game clip in games Davis Mills started and finished was a full target higher than when Tyrod was at the helm. The Texans likely expect a second-year leap from both Nico Collins and Brevin Jordan, but Cooks' talent suggested that he has legitimate top-12 upside in an offense that should continue throwing at a high rate.

Chad Parsons: Death, taxes, and Brandin Cooks being undervalued is the theme yet again for 2022. Cooks has the WR1 role locked in for Houston, and Davis Mills was functional as a rookie a season ago. Out of eight seasons, Cooks has finished in the top-24 six times, with another WR30 season to his record. Still in his 20s, Cooks is one of the glaring productive profiles likely to be a value for the next few seasons as fantasy drafters seek the new shiny object over the bankable Cooks.

Andy Hicks: Every year, Brandin Cooks gets passed over by drafters in all formats. Why? Sure he may not have ten touchdowns or 100 catches in a season during his stellar career, but he is good for 80 catches, 1000 yards, and six touchdowns. Others will draft that boom receiver that surely will break out this year. Just sit back and get a high-end WR2 at a draft price that will be significantly lower. Making a profit still matters.

Anthony Amico: What does Cooks have to do to get any respect? Outside of a 2019 season marred with concussion issues, Cooks has been a consistent value for fantasy gamers to take advantage of. Houston has some young weapons with potential, but Cooks is still the main show in town. He averaged an elite-level 9.6 targets per game with Davis Mills at the helm, which should continue through 2022.

Players Receiving 3 Votes

Allen Lazard, Green Bay

Gary Davenport: Per Bill Huber of Packer Central, Lazard recently said he wants to be "the best receiver in the league." That's a lofty aspiration but not an especially likely outcome for a player who has never topped 40 receptions or hit 525 receiving yards in four professional seasons. But a lack of production doesn't necessarily mean a lack of talent, and in addition to that talent, Lazard has a couple of things going for him in 2022. The first is playing with arguably the most accurate quarterback in NFL history in Aaron Rodgers. The second is that Rodgers targets pass-catchers he knows with considerably more regularity than receivers he doesn't. Whether Lazard is a true No. 1 wideout is one thing. The fact he's Green Bay's No. 1 wideout is another. He's this year's Hunter Renfrow—the alpha by necessity. The difference is this one is easier to see coming.

Will Grant: Allen Lazard isn't Davante Adams. He's not going to post 1500 yards and 11 touchdowns now that Adams is gone. But he's the best talent the Packers have at wide receiver, and Aaron Rodgers knows how to get people the ball. His ADP is significantly lower than expected from the top receiver on the Packers. Period. Rodgers just knows how to get the best out of everyone and Lazard will be the 'next man up' on this team.

Ryan Weisse: Lazard has been hit-or-miss the last few seasons, but he is very likely the No.1 wide receiver in this Green Bay offense and is going off the board as the No.37 receiver in fantasy. He scored eight touchdowns and finished as the 47th best fantasy wide receiver last year, playing behind Davante Adams. With Adams gone, Lazard is first in line to become Aaron Rodgers' new favorite. He won't see the same volume as Adams, but he doesn't need that volume to beat this ADP.

Skyy Moore, Kansas City

Christian Williams: Skyy Moore has been dominating in training camp, posting highlight catches, winning reps, and becoming one of Patrick Mahomes II' favorite targets. His rookie profile suggested early production, with smooth footwork and route running nuances that allow for the early separation that has translated to rookie success in the last few years. Many thought Moore was a second-half breakout player in waiting, but his training camp performances have suggested he has a shot at winning one of the starting receiver spots. That is a covetable asset with an ADP of WR54.

Nick Whalen: Chase skill position players in good offenses with elite QBs. Travis Kelce is the number 1 option in that passing game, but the rest is available with Tyreek Hill leaving. Some people will invest in the free agent WRs signed by Kansas City in Juju Smith-Schuster or Marquez Valdes-Scantling, but Skyy Moore is the low risk gamble you want in this offense. He has the athleticism and skillset to outperform his ADP. He's been making play after play in training camp, which reveals he's ready for the big stage as a rookie.

Jeff Bell: Rookie wide receivers have proven to be a cheat code in fantasy the past couple of seasons. Few rookies have this chance to contribute within an offensive structure immediately. Moore has consistently generated positive camp buzz, and his primary challenge for targets comes from constant fantasy disappointments like Mecole Hardman and Marquez Valdes-Scantling. Showing the ability to win vertically and work after the catch at Western Michigan, Moore has the skills to step into the role vacated by Tyreek Hill. He is a smash draft at a WR4-5 value.

Michael Pittman, Indianapolis

Ryan Hester: Pittman led a playoff team in catches, yards, and touchdowns last season. He was top-20 in the NFL in targets, catches, and yards as well. And he did that with Carson Wentz struggling all year to lead a consistent attack on a team that played from ahead more than any team in the NFL. Enter Matt Ryan, a more accurate quarterback than Wentz with a history of zeroing in on his main pass-catcher. If Indianapolis has more neutral or negative game scripts, the volume will increase as well. Pittman is on the rise and will finish as a top-12 wide receiver this season.

Jeff Haseley: Michael Pittman had a 42% team target rate inside the 10. Only Cooper Kupp and Mark Andrews had higher. He now has an upgrade at quarterback in Matt Ryan. Defenses will also have to focus on Jonathan Taylor which may result in less attention to Pittman. The #1 overall wide receiver often has a wide margin of targets compared to other receivers on the team. That's the situation in Indianapolis. A top 5 season could be in store.

Victoria Geary: Pittman had five games of 20 or more PPR points, averaged 90% of snaps staying healthy throughout the season, and garnered 129 targets out of just over 500 total targets (a massive 26% target share). He is entering his third year in the NFL, which is typically where we see players of this caliber have breakout seasons. New Colts quarterback Matt Ryan has supported many WR1s over the years, like Julio Jones and Calvin Ridley, and even made Russell Gage fantasy relevant last season in the important fantasy playoff stretch. Pittman is a positive regression candidate, in that he only scored six touchdowns on the season in 2021, and the Colts scored a significant amount of touchdowns on the ground with superstar running back Jonathan Taylor. Pittman will take another leap in 2022, cementing himself into WR1 territory when all is said and done.

Players Receiving 2 Votes

Gabriel Davis, Buffalo

Ben Cummins: Davis is just 23 years old and has produced in limited action every chance he’s gotten. He’s scored 13 times on just 125 regular season targets and that doesn’t even include his 4-touchdown playoff game. Now the clear-cut WR2 with Emmanuel Sanders no longer on the team, Davis will break out this season paired with the aggressive and big-armed Josh Allen.

Sigmund Bloom: Don't complicate this. Gabriel Davis is an ascending player entering his third year. He's in a great offense with a great quarterback. The last time we saw him he had a record-breaking performance in the biggest game of the year for the Bills. The team promoted him to a full-time role this year. Even if you wonder why he didn't play over Emmanuel Sanders, know that the same coaches who kept him behind Sanders have now taken decisive steps to clear the way for opportunity. Invest with confidence.

Darnell Mooney, Chicago

Christian Williams: The Bears notably did very little to add legitimate talent to the pass-catching rooms, adding unproven veterans, fliers on former first-rounders that disappointed, and waiting until the third round to select Velus Jones Jr Jr. in the NFL Draft. Chicago's offense was hampered drastically by Matt Nagy's inability to scheme to Justin Fields' strengths, and that should change with the insertion of offensive coordinator Luke Getsy. Mooney dominated targets in a putrid offense. With the expectation that he and Cole Kmet will again dominate the target share, the increase in target value should give Mooney all the upside he needs to finish as a WR2 weekly and outperform his current ADP.

Ryan Weisse: While the fantasy community screams, "Who else is Justin Fields going to throw to?" it has had little effect on Mooney's ADP. You can land him as the 24th receiver in drafts, and he outdid that last year in a worse offense with subpar quarterback play. If you believe that Justin Fields will improve in year 2, Mooney is very likely to outpace his 140 targets from last year and do more with what is thrown his way. He is being drafted at his floor and could have a top-15 ceiling.

Elijah Moore, NY Jets

Sam Wagman: Moore is having an awesome camp, per reports, and comes in at WR34 in our rankings. But this entire offense looks like it could take a step up this season, and Moore is the guy that can lead this group in targets. In the 11 games he played in last season, Moore averaged seven targets a game and started to heat up at the end as he had five scores in his last five games. He is a definite value at his current ADP and should take a step forward alongside Zach Wilson this season.

Victoria Geary: Moore held his own as a rookie, averaging 17.7 PPR points per game for seven weeks straight from Week 7 through Week 13. Those numbers put him third overall behind legends Cooper Kupp and Justin Jefferson in that period. If we were to extrapolate his seven-week healthy stretch to a 17-game season, Moore would eclipse 135 targets, 85 receptions, and over 1,100 yards. Moore is a breakout candidate this season, and by drafting him in the 7th or 8th round, you can realistically get him as a WR3 on your fantasy roster.

Hunter Renfrow, Las Vegas

Gary Davenport: Last year, Renfrow topped 100 receptions and 1,000 yards and finished as a top-10 receiver in PPR leagues. This year, he's being drafted as a middling WR3. Something doesn't add up. With Davante Adams in Sin City, Renfrow isn't going to see 128 targets again. But he's also not going to see close to the attention from opposing defenses that he did in 2021. We know that Renfrow can get open. We know that he makes the most of his targets—his career catch percentage is north of 75 percent. And we know that he has a rapport with Derek Carr. His ADP this summer is an over-correction. Take advantage of it.

Matt Waldman: Renfrow is the most intriguing receiver of the summer because of the skills he has displayed as a pro and the arrival of Josh McDaniel, whose offense made Wes Welker and Julian Edelman fantasy studs. Derek Carr is on the heels of a career year and Davante Adams provides a massive upgrade to the passing game. If Carr's production continues to climb with the addition of talent and scheme, Adams could be an approximation of Moss; Waller and Foster Moreau can be an approximation of Gronkowski and Hernandez, and Renfrow could be the approximation of Welker. And of all these approximations, Renfrow has the skills where we might one day say that Welker was an approximation of Renfrow. Think of Renfrow as a fantasy WR3 with lottery-level WR1 upside in PPR leagues.

Kadarius Toney, NY Giants

Ryan Hester: The Giants have been a disaster in the Daniel Jones era, but never have they had the benefit of an offensive mind like Brian Daboll. Toney flashed last season before getting injured. His efficiency was notable, especially in a poor offense. Toney has the tools to take a two-yard gain and turn it into an 80-yard touchdown. His explosiveness and ability to get open in space is a weapon that Daboll has exploited in his past. Fantasy GMs are drafting Toney as a depth player at this price. If he doesn't work out, others on the roster will supplement the team. But if he hits his ceiling, he gives his teams at least three top-20 options at wide receiver, depending on how heavily they drafted the position in prior rounds.

Kevin Coleman: Toney is currently being drafted as WR47 according to Footballguys ADP and could be the best value in drafts. Toney showed flashes of his ceiling last season in weeks 4 and 5, where he had 16 receptions for 267 yards. With Brian Daboll now in New York, look for him to scheme ways to get Toney the football. There is a chance that Toney will finish as a low-end WR2 this season.

Robert Woods, Tennessee

Jason Wood: Robert Woods is recovering from a torn ACL, but he got hurt early enough last year that he should be 100% in time for the season. He's a proven veteran so a lack of training camp reps shouldn't impede his understanding of the Titans playbook in the way a younger player might struggle without practice time. Woods steps into a massive vacuum created by A.J. Brown's departure, and Treylon Burks is far too raw (and made a bad impression in mini-camp) to take over the No. 1 duties as a rookie.

Christian Williams: Robert Woods' 2021 injury has heavily influenced his ADP of WR45, but he is consistently a full participant at training camp. Woods leaves the Rams' offense that creatively schemed him touches for a scheme that allows receivers time to create separation with heavy play-action usage. Woods and Ryan Tannehill have formed an early connection, and while it is still a work-in-progress, Woods should lead the Titans in targets. Rookie Treylon Burks is the shiny toy, but Woods is the consistent veteran and should be drafted much higher than his ADP suggests.

Players Receiving 1 Vote

Rashod Bateman, Baltimore

Ryan Weisse: Bateman was almost universally loved coming out of college and was a favorite rookie prospect. Then he ends up as the WR2 in a low passing volume offense, and he was written off. With Marquise Brown in Arizona, the WR1 role is now Bateman's, and his ADP is not reflecting that change. Brown was targeted 100 or more times in each of the last two years and finished with 146 last year. With almost no competition for targets at wide receiver, those targets will funnel to Bateman. He will have the volume to be a top-15 fantasy wide receiver. He just needs to score touchdowns.

Tyler Boyd, Cincinnati

Sigmund Bloom: Tyler Boyd wasn't a fantasy bust last year by any fault of his own, and for the most important part of the fantasy season, he wasn't even a bust. Boyd's first 11 games were choppy fantasy seas save for an early three-game streak of productivity, but he was very consistent from Weeks 13-17 with double-digit PPR points in every game and a touchdown in the last three. It's a steal to get a core player in a good offense as late as Boyd is in drafts.

Treylon Burks, Tennessee

Jeff Bell: Early camp reports say Burks’ spring fitness level and asthma attacks are the front runners for the “Ja’Marr Chase drops” discount storyline. The Titans have veterans like Robert Woods and Austin Hooper to draw targets, but no player has the athletic force of will to match Burks. The comparisons to A.J. Brown were easy after the draft, but the market cooled considerably given the storylines about the practices from the spring. But Allen Iverson once said something about practice. Burks is another rookie wide receiver capable of smashing his ADP.

Chase Claypool, Pittsburgh

Andy Hicks: The reception and yardage numbers for Chase Claypool were almost identical from his rookie season to year two. The big problem was that the receiving touchdowns dropped from nine to two. Others perhaps saw things differently, but in every game, Ben Roethlisberger and Claypool missed huge plays by small margins. These were connecting in his rookie year. While his maturity issues are genuine, his talent on the field is that of an elite receiver. This year will see whether a new quarterback has better timing. Claypool gets open. At his current draft price, I want to take the upside.

Amari Cooper, Cleveland

Andy Hicks: Amari Cooper moves his enigmatic career to Cleveland. At times he plays like an elite receiver. At others, 2 catches for 8 yards. In Cleveland, there will be no CeeDee Lamb or Michael Gallup to take his targets. Baker Mayfield, Jarvis Landry and Odell Beckham are gone. Be it, Jacoby Brissett or Deshaun Watson, Cooper will dominate targets and should break 1000 yards. The explosive games he has regularly are great for winning weekly matchups.

Jahan Dotson, Washington

Nick Whalen: Rookie WRs are producing earlier and earlier in their NFL careers. Dotson is a mid 1st NFL Draft pick with good athleticism, route running to create separation and consistently had positive news throughout Washington's off-season. Carson Wentz has thrown 27 or more TD passes the last 3 seasons he's started 13 or more games. Terry McLaurin will produce, but the other big threat is Logan Thomas, who tore his ACL in December and still is on the PUP. Dotson has the opportunity to produce in 2022.

DeAndre Hopkins, Arizona

Sigmund Bloom: I haven't been taking Hopkins in drafts against fellow experts because I don't want to spot them a disadvantage for the first six weeks, but in your home leagues, you can afford to take Hopkins and gain, at worst, a solid WR2 once he's back. Hopkins would likely be a third-round pick if he wasn't suspended, so his ADP seems like an overreaction to missing the first six games.

Diontae Johnson, Pittsburgh

Kevin Coleman: Last season, we saw Diontae Johnson earn 169 targets, catch 105 balls for 1,161 yards, and have eight touchdowns. Those numbers allowed him to finish as WR8 in fantasy. He did receive a team-high 28% target share, but that’s because he is the Steeler's best player. All while playing with Ben Roethlisberger, who was statistically among the worst quarterbacks in the NFL. Whether Mitch Trubisky or Kenny Pickett starts for the Steelers, it will be an upgrade for Johnson. With Johnson currently sitting out for a new contract, it should push his ADP down, and you should capitalize on that value.

DK Metcalf, Seattle

Kevin Coleman: Metcalf comes into 2022 as a 24-year-old All-Pro receiver in a contract year. While he will be without Russell Wilson this season, we did see him produce in the games he played with Geno Smith, who is presumed to be the Seattle Seahawks starter in 2022. In the three games he played with Smith, he averaged 17.2 PPR points per game and was WR8. Metcalf is being overlooked right now because of the team’s quarterback play, but that's a mistake for his talent level.

D.J. Moore, Carolina

Andy Hicks: D.J. Moore has been remarkably consistent, especially considering the lackluster quarterback play since he joined the NFL. 1150 yards and four touchdowns in each of the last three years is a great floor. If he lifts that touchdown number with even slightly better quarterback play, almost a certainty, then he becomes a clear elite fantasy wide receiver.

Rondale Moore, Arizona

Jeff Bell: Moore barely made the qualifications to hit this list, but few players at his draft depth match his opportunity. Kliff Kingsbury has singled out Moore’s development every chance this offseason. The departure of Christian Kirk and Chase Edmonds opens up the opportunity for his skill set as a player who can work in the passing game out of the backfield or within the slot. Advanced metrics are not kind to his rookie performance, but for a player who missed most of this last two college seasons, some expectation on getting up to NFL speed should have been baked in. Moore represents a discount in an elite offense on a player who carried very high draft capital in 2021.

Chris Olave, New Orleans

Matt Waldman: Olave is the most technically proficient receiver in this draft class while also possessing first-round athletic ability. If Michael Thomas doesn't return to form, Olave could become the top option for the Saints this year. If Thomas' rehab is successful, Olave has the skills to be a compelling WR3 in fantasy if Jameis Winston plays to his potential. There's no volatility with Olave's talent, but plenty of it with his role in New Orleans this year. Still, the talent and floor as the Saints' No.3 WR are compelling enough to draft and hope for the upside scenario.

DeVante Parker, New England

Gary Davenport: Once you're a dozen rounds into a fantasy draft, "value" becomes an exceedingly relative concept. But if you can find a player this late in drafts capable of serving as a weekly starter, it can make a ton of difference once injuries start chewing holes in your roster. Expecting Parker to duplicate his top-10 numbers in 2019 is ridiculous—if anyone did, his ADP would be a lot higher. But Parker gives Mac Jones something he just didn't have last year—a big-bodied, "go get it," 50/50 guy. There have been reports that Parker and Jones have clicked on the practice field, and while it's a different story once games count if you believe that Jones will be better in 2022, the player the Patriots acquired to be his new No. 1 receiver should benefit. At his ADP, a WR3 finish for Parker is big-time value. He's capable of a fair bit more than that.

Adam Thielen, Minnesota

Anthony Amico: Injury issues are present with Thielen, but the Vikings have zero receiving depth behind him and Justin Jefferson. Moreover, Mike Zimmer and his run-heavy attack are now gone, and have been replaced with the more pass-friendly Kevin O'Connell. There could be a huge uptick in pass attempts for this team in 2022. Additional targets should help offset any further decline in skills. Thielen was already the WR16 in points per game last season.

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