We are almost a quarter of the way through the NFL season already as we enter October. We have enough new data points to aggressively update our priors but not enough to feel confident that some of the breakout fantasy performers will keep putting up big numbers. Figuring out the proper balance between acting on new information and not overreacting to small sample sizes is a major challenge at this point of the season and danger lies in wandering off too far in either direction. This month’s article will try to help guide you along that path towards determining what is real and what was just a mirage.
The dynasty trade value chart is tailored to 12-team PPR leagues a starting lineup of one quarterback, two running backs, three wide receivers, one tight end, and one flex. It now also includes trade values for Superflex leagues in a separate column. The chart is meant to serve primarily as a guide for trades but can also be a great resource during startup drafts. If the players and picks on each side of the trade offer add up to approximately the same number, the trade would be considered even. If you receive a trade offer that sends you players with a higher total number value than the players you are giving up, the offer is worth strongly considering. Each league is different, so pay close attention to the scoring and starting roster requirements specific to your league.
Dynasty Web Apps
We recently introduced a customizable dynasty trade value chart that adjusts the player values to fit your league size, starting lineup requirements, and scoring. Thank you to all who provided feedback. The newest version is available here:
We also made a simple dynasty trade value evaluator that allows you to analyze potential deals by entering the players and picks involved. It is available here:
These are still in the early stages of development so any and all feedback is appreciated (hindery@footballguys.com or @hindery on twitter).
