Favorite Games
- Los Angeles Rams at Minnesota Vikings - Over/Under 49
- Buffalo Bills at New England Patriots - Over/Under 43.5
- Detroit Lions at Atlanta Falcons - Over/Under 42.5
- Baltimore Ravens at Cincinnati Bengals - Over/Under 44.5
Favorite Additional Spots
- Chargers on the road against the Texans - Implied Team Total 27.5
- Chiefs at home vs. the Steelers - Implied Team Total 26
- Eagles at home vs. the Giants - Implied Team Total 25.25
- Buccaneers on the road against the Panthers - Implied Team Total 27.25
CASH GAMES
Quarterbacks
| Rank | Play | Opponent | Salary |
| 1 | Matthew Stafford | at Vikings | $6,700 |
| 2 | Joe Burrow | vs. Ravens | $5,900 |
| 3 | Matt Ryan | vs. Lions | $5,400 |
Matthew Stafford ranks third in pass yards per game (295.9) and second in pass touchdowns per game (2.5) and leads a Rams offense that ranks sixth in overall DVOA and fifth in pass DVOA. He's had an awesome season, highlighted by his insane immediate mind-meld with fantasy MVP Cooper Kupp. Stafford appears set up here to have yet another solid outing in a competitive game against a Vikings defense that ranks 16th in overall DVOA and 18th in pass DVOA.
The 8-6 Ravens square off against the 8-6 Bengals in Cincinnati on Sunday in a hugely important divisional clash with playoff ramifications on the line. Zac Taylor has proven he prefers a balanced offensive attack yet perhaps the competitiveness of this game and the matchup pushes the Bengals offense to pass more. The Ravens defense ranks fifth in run DVOA and only 29th in pass DVOA and recently lost Cornerback, Marlon Humphrey. Joe Burrow certainly has the weapons at his disposal to produce, especially while priced at only $5,900.
Matt Ryan hasn't had an impressive season and appears on the downswing of his career at 36 years of age. Yet, we might be able to squeeze at least one more usable week out of him here in Week 16. Ryan gets to play at home against a Lions defense that ranks 29th in overall DVOA and 26th in pass DVOA and with Jared Goff out and the Lions offense projected to struggle, Ryan should receive plenty of chances to take advantage.
Running Backs
| Rank | Play | Opponent | Salary |
| 1 | Ronald Jones II | at Panthers | $5,100 |
| 2 | Alexander Mattison | vs. Rams | $6,800 |
| 3 | James Robinson | at Jets | $5.900 |
| 4 | David Montgomery | at Seahawks | $5,700 |
Leonard Fournette and Giovani Bernard are both out, leaving Ronald Jones II as the main Running Back in the valuable Tampa Bay backfield led by Tom Brady. Jones is a talented rusher who totaled 978 yards and seven touchdowns on the ground last season prior to losing the starting job to Fournette. The Buccaneers are 10.5 point favorites and Jones gets to attack a Panthers defense that ranks 24th in run DVOA.
Dalvin Cook ranks second in the league in opportunities per game (24.6) and has seen a total of 61 opportunities over the past two weeks. With Cook out, those chances will now be given to Alexander Mattison, who was activated from the COVID list this week. The Vikings are one of the few teams that ride a workhorse Running Back, no matter whether it's Cook or Mattison. Mattison is in a great spot in a fun fantasy game against the Rams.
With Urban Meyer out of the picture, James Robinson saw a season-high 24 opportunities and turned them into 88 total yards and a touchdown. Robinson now gets to attack a Jets defense that ranks dead last in both overall DVOA and run DVOA.
David Montgomery ranks tenth in opportunities per game (19.9) and has seen 22 total targets over the past three weeks. Montgomery is a dual-threat that gets to attack a bad Seahawks defense that ranks 25th in overall DVOA. And while the Seahawks are 6.5 point favorites in this spot, I'm not so sure I agree with that line since Seattle's offense has essentially been stuck in the mud all season.
Wide Receivers
| Rank | Play | Opponent | Salary |
| 1 | Cooper Kupp | at Vikings | $9,100 |
| 2 | Tyreek Hill | vs. Steelers | $8,400 |
| 3 | Justin Jefferson | vs. Rams | $8,100 |
| 4 | Keenan Allen | at Texans | $7,700 |
| 5 | Russell Gage | vs. Lions | $5,900 |
| 6 | Amon-Ra St. Brown | at Falcons | $5,600 |
Cooper Kupp is your 2021 fantasy football MVP. He's currently sitting on 1,625 receiving yards and 14 touchdowns with three games left to play. His connection with Matthew Stafford is unmatched and there is no reason to worry about a matchup against a Vikings defense that ranks 16th in overall DVOA and 18th in pass DVOA.
Travis Kelce remains on the COVID list and his status reportedly won't be determined until Sunday morning. Either way, Tyreek Hill has cleared the protocol and is in a fantastic spot at home against a Steelers defense that has been struggling mightily this year, as they rank 20th in overall DVOA. Hill is uncoverable and the possibility of receiving even more targets if Kelce sits is a scary thought.
Justin Jefferson is arguably the most talented Wide Receiver in all of football. He ranks seventh in targets per game (9.8), tied for sixth in receptions (89), second in receiving yards (1,335), and tied for fifth in receiving touchdowns (9). The 7-7 Vikings are desperately trying to keep their playoff hopes alive against the Rams, which means Jefferson will be relied upon heavily regardless of whether Adam Thielen is able to return or not.
Austin Ekeler was placed on the COVID list on Wednesday so it will be important to monitor whether he is able to return prior to Sunday or not. Keenan Allen is a fantastic start either way but he would skyrocket into near must-play territory should Ekeler miss. Allen ranks tied for fifth in targets per game (10.3), fifth in receptions (92), tied for 12th in receiving yards (1,007), and has added five touchdowns as well. The 8-6 Chargers are still fighting to lock in a playoff spot and thus shouldn't take it easy on the Texans at all. This is a spot where Herbert and company could absolutely dominate.
Over the past seven games, Russell Gage has averaged eight targets per game and his stat lines over his past four games are as follows: 6-62-1, 11-130-0, 4-64-0, and 8-91-1. Gage is a solid volume play at home against a Lions defense that ranks 29th in overall DVOA and 26th in pass DVOA and all of a sudden looks really good as he made two incredible "You Got Mossed" catches in Week 15.
Amon-Ra St. Brown's averages over his past three games are pretty sweet: 11.7 targets, 8.7 catches, 83 receiving yards, and 0.67 touchdowns. He now gets to play in a low-key fun fantasy game against a Falcons defense that ranks 31st in overall DVOA and 30th in pass DVOA. Just know Jared Goff is out for this one.
Tight Ends
| Rank | Play | Opponent | Salary |
| 1 | Mark Andrews | at Bengals | $7,000 |
| 2 | Dawson Knox | at Patriots | $5,300 |
| 3 | Foster Moreau | vs. Broncos | $3,600 |
Mark Andrews has been on an absolute tear since the Ravens' Week 8 bye. In seven games since Andrews has averaged 10.1 targets and over his past two games has totaled 21 catches for 251 yards and three touchdowns. Andrews is a volume play who has the elite talent to overcome his questionable quarterback situation this week.
Cole Beasley and Gabriel Davis are both out while on the COVID list, which makes Dawson Knox's contributions all that much more important in a critical divisional clash against the New England Patriots. New England's defense is not a favorable matchup but Knox will have volume on his side in this one.
Darren Waller is doubtful, meaning Foster Moreau should once again play a key role for the Raiders. Moreau played on 100% of the offensive snaps and caught seven of nine targets for 65 yards last week. He'll now take aim against a Broncos defense that ranks 21st in overall DVOA and 20th in pass DVOA.
Team Defenses
| Rank | Play | Opponent | Salary |
| 1 | Kansas City Chiefs | vs. Steelers | $3,500 |
| 2 | Philadelphia Eagles | vs. Giants | $3,600 |
| 3 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | at Panthers | $4,100 |
The Chiefs have been playing much better defense as of late and are eight-point home favorites against a struggling Ben Roethlisberger. The Steelers have the fourth lowest Implied Team Total (18) of the entire week and will be without Pat Freiermuth.
Daniel Jones is done for the year and reports are Jake Fromm will be getting his first start for the Giants this week on the road in Philadelphia. The Eagles are ten-point favorites and the Giants have the lowest Implied Team Total (15.25) of the week.
The Buccaneers are 10.5 point favorites and the Panthers have the second-lowest Implied Team Total (16.75) of the week. Reports are Cam Newton and Sam Darnold might be in some sort of timeshare this week at Quarterback as well. I'll happily bet against that.
GPPs
Quarterbacks
| Rank | Play | Opponent | Salary |
| 1 | Justin Herbert | at Texans | $7,200 |
| 2 | Jalen Hurts | vs. Giants | $6,400 |
| 3 | Patrick Mahomes II | vs. Steelers | $7,700 |
Justin Herbert ranks fourth in pass yards per game (289.9) and tied for third in pass touchdowns per game (2.3) and leads a Chargers offense that ranks third in both overall DVOA and pass DVOA. Herbert is a budding superstar and has an aggressive Head Coach in Brandon Staley going for it on fourth down every chance he gets. The 8-6 Chargers are still fighting to lock in a playoff spot and thus shouldn't take it easy on the Texans at all. This is a spot where Herbert could absolutely dominate and that upside is worth chasing in tournaments.
Coming back in Week 15 after a brief absence due to injury, Jalen Hurts put it together as a passer against Washington completing 20 of 26 passes for 296 yards and a touchdown. That's significant since Hurts also ranks 26th in the entire league in rush yards per game (56.4) and is tied for fourth in rush touchdowns (10). Hurts' dual-threat upside is tantalizing and he gets to play at home in this one against a Giants defense that ranks 19th in overall DVOA, 13th in pass DVOA, and 28th in run DVOA. The Eagles are 10 point favorites and with Daniel Jones out for the season the Giants offense struggling, Hurts should routinely be put in position to showcase his talents.
Patrick Mahomes II ranks fifth in pass yards per game (289.4) and tied for sixth in pass touchdowns per game (2.1) and leads a Chiefs offense that ranks fifth in overall DVOA and sixth in pass DVOA. He gets to play at home in this one against a Steelers defense that has been struggling mightily this year, as they rank 20th in overall DVOA.
