As we race toward August, Footballguys.com will look at one team per day with our quick-hitting Team Vibes and Players to Target and Avoid, where we check out the overall mood of each team's offense and let you know the players we are in on (because they are great values at the cost it takes to acquire them) and who we're out on (because they are too expensive and won't give you a good return on that investment).
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This is a daily series that will stretch through July 31. If you like this and want another, come back tomorrow. Another will be here. And all 32 of them will be free to Insiders. To become an Insider, simply sign up with a free account.
And here are all of the Team Vibes and Players to Target and Avoid articles we've done so far:
NY Giants | NY Jets | Philadelphia | Pittsburgh | San Francisco | Seattle | Tampa Bay | Tennessee | Washington
Quick Hits
Want a brief overview? Here it is:
- General Vibes - Neutral
- We're In On at Cost - Darren Waller
- We're Out On at Cost - Parris Campbell
Want a longer breakdown of how it's going in New York? Read on.
Giants, Team Vibes
- Good - 2
- Neutral - 11
- Bad - 0
Staffers with Good Vibes
- Nick Whalen: They won a playoff game with a first-year head coach, who looked to turn around Daniel Jones' career.
- Dave Kluge: Brian Daboll brought out the best we’ve seen from Daniel Jones, and he’ll hope to take another step forward in 2023.
Staffers with Neutral Vibes
- Phil Alexander: Darren Waller is a potential difference-maker, but he's had trouble staying on the field since 2020. Their wide receiver room still isn't good enough for the offense to take a major step forward.
- Jason Wood: The 2022 team played above its head and needs marked improvement to match last year's record. Signing D. Jones to an extension was a potential misstep.
- Jeff Haseley: Daniel Jones provides a dual-threat approach, but he still hasn't topped 3,300 yards passing. This limits the offense.
- Ben Cummins: Brian Daboll and Mike Kafka both return for year two to coach an offense on the rise under their leadership.
- Dan Hindery: This offense was solid despite a raft of injuries last season. Better health and some solid additions to the wide receiver and tight end groups should lead to further improvement.
- Chad Parsons: There is a positive trajectory with the coaching staff and system to get the best out of Daniel Jones. The only problem is Jones' best might be as a middle-of-the-road NFL quarterback.
- Jeff Bell: With Saquon Barkley in the fold and progression from Daniel Jones, this could be good, but there is a steep downside.
- Jeff Tefertiller: Last year, Daboll's presence was felt as he got the most out of Daniel Jones. Signing him to a big-money deal was risky.
- Daniel Harms: Second year of Jones in the offense, but the distribution of the passing game limits the big upside for individual players.
- Andy Hicks: Year two of Brian Daboll has the potential to go either way. Have they done enough to improve?
- Ryan Weisse: I just don't know if I'm ready to trust Daniel Jones after one very good year.
Staffers with Bad Vibes
- None.
Players We Are Targeting
- Darren Waller - 7
- Daniel Jones - 3
- Parris Campbell - 2
- Isaiah Hodgins - 1
Reasons to be In on Darren Waller
- Jason Wood: I'd prefer to wait on tight end if you don't target Kelce, but Waller should be in line for a massive target share as the de facto WR1.
- Jeff Haseley: While I don't love the passing attack of Daniel Jones, Waller is arguably the best downfield receiver on the team.
- Ben Cummins: Darren Waller running a large percentage of his routes lined up in the slot and out wide and dominating targets is within his range of outcomes.
- Chad Parsons: The most common historical equation for elite tight end production is the lack of a WR1 on the roster and good enough quarterback play. Waller has a strong case for both in 2023.
- Jeff Bell: Health questions are the only thing holding him back from flirting with a top-three tight end ADP.
- Dave Kluge: One of the few tight ends who can lead his team in targets in 2023. His health is the only thing that could stop him from being an elite fantasy option.
- Ryan Weisse: While I've been railing against most middle-round tight ends, Waller is the only one who is certainly his team's best receiver.
Reasons to be In on Daniel Jones
- Dan Hindery: Two stats from last season that do not get talked about enough. First, Jones had a league-low 1.1% INT rate. Second, he had nearly identical rushing stats (708 yards and 7 TDs) to Josh Allen (776 yards and 7 TDs).
- Daniel Harms: This is the perfect system and coaching combination for him, and he's a dual-threat QB that became much more efficient last year.
- Nick Whalen: Quietly ran for 700 yards last year, and his passing should improve with upgraded quality weapons in the offense.
Reasons to be In on Parris Campbell
- Jeff Tefertiller: The ex-Colt has been a star of the offseason, moving around the formation
- Andy Hicks: The Giants do not have a fantasy receiver unless it’s Parris Campbell. The former Colt finally had a healthy run heading into free agency and moves to a team desperate for a fantasy-relevant receiver.
Reasons to be In on Isaiah Hodgins
- Phil Alexander: The closest thing Daniel Jones has to a wide receiver he trusts and has established a connection with.
Players We Are Avoiding
- Parris Campbell - 3
- Daniel Jones - 2
- Wan'Dale Robinson - 2
- Any Wide Receiver - 2
- No One - 2
- Darren Waller - 1
- Saquon Barkley - 1
Reasons to be Out on Parris Campbell
- Phil Alexander: Picking up too much steam out of OTAs for a player who appeared in just 15 games over his first three NFL seasons.
- Ben Cummins: Parris Campbell’s cost moved up multiple rounds based on minicamp usage. This is a mistake considering Wan’Dale Robinson and Sterling Shepard will return from injuries at some point.
- Daniel Harms: Tons of target competition in New York, and Campbell is being hyped up on offseason noise. A tale as old as time.
Reasons to be Out on Daniel Jones
- Jason Wood: He's a legitimately bad quarterback who is one season away from being viewed in the same light as Ryan Tannehill and Carson Wentz.
- Jeff Tefertiller: Daboll made Jones look better than reality last year. The coach will not be able to prop him up forever.
Reasons to be Out on Wan'Dale Robinson
- Dan Hindery: There is way too much competition for slot snaps in a low-volume passing offense to have any excitement whatsoever when it comes to Robinson.
- Chad Parsons: There is a ton of competition for targets, and Robinson is returning from a serious injury. The case could be made to fade all Giants wide receivers at their price this year.
Reasons to be Out on Any Wide Receiver
- Jeff Haseley: It's possible one emerges from the pack, but it feels like a non-winning situation of mediocre options.
- Nick Whalen: The offense will be run through Saquon Barkley and Darren Waller. Too many solid but not great WRs will slice up the target pie to make it diluted.
Reasons to be Out on No One
- Jeff Bell: Downside concerns are baked heavily into the ADP of this offense.
- Dave Kluge: Waller, Barkley, and Jones are all exciting options, and the wide receivers are so cheap that they’re worth a shot as late-round fliers.
Reasons to be Out on Darren Waller
- Andy Hicks: 31-year-old tight ends moving to a new team with two good seasons in eight years are not a good bet. Add in a lengthy injury list, along with other issues, and he is too risky.
Reasons to be Out on Saquon Barkley
- Ryan Weisse: His injury history and hold-out risk don't seem baked into his 2nd-round average draft position.