Below are some props that you should keep your eye on as you head into Week 21.
All props are coming from DraftKings Sportsbook lines and be sure to keep checking back throughout the weekend as props are added over the course of the 24 hours prior to the game. The number of props will largely depend on the recommended plays, but typically we stay around 5. We will not be forcing the number of props just to meet a number as if it is on here, it is deemed a good play
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Week 20 Recap
At this point of the season, I’m basically Matt Nagy in Week 15 of this NFL Season. I know I've failed this season, I know I most likely won’t be back writing this article next season, but we are going to put our best effort to finish strong. After a winning 2020 season, it’s been impossible to be as bad as I’ve been this year and for that I apologize profusely. It’s a bit crazy as it has been by far of my best DFS seasons in the Cracking FanDuel article, but it just has not translated to this article at all as I’m now 5-19 over the last 5 weeks.
Derrick Henry Over 79.5 Rushing Yards- Loss
Joe Mixon Under 59.5 Rushing Yards- Win
Deebo Samuel Over 53.5 Receiving Yards- Loss
George Kittle Under 51.5 Receiving Yards- Loss
Travis Kelce Under 69.5 Receiving Yards- Loss
|
Wk1 |
Wk2 |
Wk3 |
Wk4 |
Wk5 |
Wk6 |
Wk7 |
Wk8 |
Wk9 |
Wk10 |
Wk11 |
Wk12 |
Wk13 |
Wk14 |
Wk15 |
Wk16 |
Wk17 |
Wk18 |
Wk19 |
Wk20 |
Total |
|
3-2 |
1-4 |
2-3 |
2-3 |
3-2 |
4-1 |
4-1 |
2-3 |
3-2 |
1-4 |
0-5 |
2-3 |
3-2 |
3-4 |
3-2 |
0-5 |
2-3 |
2-3 |
0-4 |
1-4 |
41-60 |
Week 21 Plays
Patrick Mahomes II Over 293.5 Passing Yards
The Bengals secondary is one that Patrick Mahomes II should be able to exploit fairly easily this week. While the Bengals had their best performance of the season against the Chiefs earlier this year holding Mahomes to 259 yards, the Bengals have allowed over 294 yards eight times this season and to some quarterbacks who should not have had as much success as what they did (Mike White, Josh Johnson, Tyler Huntley/Lamar Jackson, Jimmy Garoppolo, Kirk Cousins). The Bengals have some of the worst coverage linebackers in football, so this could be a big day for Travis Kelce and the Chiefs offense through the air.
Elijah Mitchell Over 68.5 Rushing Yards
Mitchell was disappointing last week rushing for only 53 yards against the Packers, but should be in line for a bounceback week this week against the Rams. In their two meetings this season, Mitchell has averaged 88 yards topping 85 in both games. When he’s healthy, Michell has been a volume workhorse as he has 20 or more carries in six of his last seven games topping 68.5 yards in five of those contests. The 49ers are going to want to keep the Rams offense off the field as much as possible, so expect a heavy workload once again for Mitchell with the only risk being that the 49ers fall behind early in this game, and he gets game scripted out and they’re forced to go to a pass heavy approach.
Cooper Kupp Over 101.5 Yards
Cooper Kupp has dominated the 49ers this season as he has averaged 9 receptions for 120 yards in their two prior meetings. Kupp’s biggest strength is that he is a versatile receiver who can play any position on the field which creates mismatch problems for a team such as the 49ers who have major issues at the second outside corner. They have benched Josh Norman, while rookie Ambry Thomas has stepped in. Thomas missed last week due to injury and while it looks like he will play, he will be far less than 100% this week.
Jimmy Garoppolo Under 232.5 Passing Yards
This one seems like a bit of a trap line as the 49ers passing attack the last two weeks has been completely out of whack. Garoppolo has thrown for an average of 151.5 over his last two games. What is likely driving this number up is the 316 yards he threw for in Week 18 against this same Rams team, but a lot of that was on the game tying drive in which they drove 88 yards in 1 minute to tie the game and then getting the benefit of overtime. As long as there is not a prevent defense situation again this week, Garoppolo will likely struggle once again.
Ja'Marr Chase Under 83.5 Receiving Yards
The Chiefs have been without Rashad Fenton who is their top corner for the last several weeks, but get him back for the first time without injury designation in quite some time. In the first meeting between these teams, the Chiefs went with a blitz heavy package leaving Charvarius Ward one-on-one with Chase for a vast majority of the game. Now that the Bengals are experiencing offensive line issues, the Chiefs may not need to go with as much of a blitz package as they did earlier this year as they tried and failed miserably to defend this Bengals offense that way. This could be a scenario where they bracket Chase and try to force the Bengals to go to Higgins or Boyd this week.
