Prop Talk Week 17

Devin Knotts's Prop Talk Week 17 Devin Knotts Published 01/02/2022

Below are some props that you should keep your eye on as you head into Week 17.

All props are coming from DraftKings Sportsbook lines and be sure to keep checking back throughout the weekend as props are added over the course of the 24 hours prior to the game. The number of props will largely depend on the recommended plays, but typically we stay around 5. We will not be forcing the number of props just to meet a number as if it is on here, it is deemed a good play

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Week 16 Recap

There’s not much more to say other than this year hasn’t been my year as last week was the second 0-5 week of the season in a week in which nothing went right. The only thing that we can do at this point is keep pushing and evaluating the plays and hope that

Devin Singletary Over 48.5 Rushing Yards- Loss
Alexander Mattison Over 67.5 Rushing Yards- Loss
Miles Sanders Over 57.5 Rushing Yards- Loss
Matthew Stafford Over 286.5 Passing Yards- Loss
Dak Prescott Under 280.5- Loss

Week 1

Week 2

Week 3

Week 4

Week 5

Week 6

Week 7

Week 8

Week 9

Week 10

Week 11

Week 12

Week 13

Week 14

Week 15

Week 16

Total

3-2

1-4

2-3

2-3

3-2

4-1

4-1

2-3

3-2

1-4

0-5

2-3

3-2

3-4

3-2

0-5

36-46


Week 17 Plays- 5 Plays this week

Tua Tagovailoa Over 242.5 Passing Yards

The Titans come into this game with a funnel defense as they are one of the best run defenses in the NFL, but have struggled against the pass this season as they are allowing 265 yards passing per game on the year. Over the last five weeks, the Titans have allowed 300 yards or more to Jimmy Garoppolo, Mac Jones, and the combination of Taysom Hill and Trevor Siemian. This is a matchup that Tua should be able to exploit after his numbers as of late have been down due to the Dolphins getting out to a big lead against their opponents. The Titans game should be a close back and forth game which should force the Dolphins to continue to throw the ball throughout the contest.

Mike Evans Under 46.5 Receiving Yards

Evans is going to try to play but is going to be in a limited capacity. There are a lot of things working against Evans as he’s coming off of a hamstring injury was just activated off of the Covid list and is going to be in a game that the Buccaneers should have in control. The Buccaneers are going to be careful with Evans as they need him for a playoff run instead of needing him for a matchup against the Jets that the Buccaneers can likely win without Evans. This is one of those games that while he’s going to be active, he probably won’t see a lot of playing time and only needs one snap in order for this prop to count.

Matthew Stafford Over 287.5 Passing Yards

The Ravens pass defense has been absolutely horrendous this season as they are now allowing 296 passing yards per game which is the most in the NFL. Last week, Joe Burrow shredded this defense throwing for 525 yards and 4 touchdowns which was the fourth time that the Ravens have allowed 400 yards or more. The Ravens have no answer for Cooper Kupp or Odell Beckham this week and as bad as the Ravens defense has been, their run defense has been good allowing just 73 rushing yards per game which should force the Rams to lean on the passing game in this game.

David Montgomery Over 24.5 Receiving Yards

This number is interesting as Montgomery has been a focal point of the passing game over the last four games. Montgomery is averaging 6.5 receptions per game over his last four games. Montgomery is averaging 7.3 yards per reception, so if he is able to maintain that this week, Montgomery is only going to need 3-4 receptions to get to that 24.5 number. The Giants are allowing 47 receiving yards per game to opposing running backs, so Montgomery should be in a great spot to get to 25 yards or more this week.

Davante Adams Over 87.5 Receiving Yards

Davante Adams has been fantastic recently as over the last five games, Adams has topped 100 yards in four of those five games. Adams faced the Vikings during this span and had 115 yards and two touchdowns. Adams has dominated the Vikings as he has topped 100 yards in four of his last five games against Minnesota dating back to 2019. The Vikings have allowed 9 receivers to top 100 yards this season as their secondary has been a big problem throughout the season so expect Adams to have a big week.

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