DFS Roundtable: New Depth Charts and Situations

Chad Parsons's DFS Roundtable: New Depth Charts and Situations Chad Parsons Published 11/06/2019

Which of these storylines or situations to highlight as target/avoid DFS plays in Week 10:

  • Devin Singletary logged a breakout game in Week 9. Was this a random oscillation of playing time or a strong trend set to continue?

JASON WOOD

Hoyer is an experienced veteran and played well in Brissett's stead last week. But we've seen enough from Hoyer to know he's got more bad games than good games left in his quiver. I think Pascal is a great play, but not as a stack. Assuming T.Y. Hilton is out, of course. Marlon Mack and the Colts defense is my preferred way to play the Colts this week, but throwing Pascal into a lineup with them is fine.

DeVante Parker is worth considering in both cash and GPP builds this week. With Williams done, Parker will be targeted in any game script, and the volume will be enough to generate a positive return. I wouldn't touch anyone else on the roster.

As long as Singletary is healthy, he is going to be the Bills offensive engine. He can run inside and out and is a capable receiver. Josh Allen's style of play is perfectly suited for a multi-purpose running back. It's a match made in heaven.

PHIL ALEXANDER

If Brian Hoyer starts for the Colts, does he factor into your lineup-building compared to Jacoby Brissett? Is Zach Pascal one of the stacks you would consider?
Hoyer is only $200 less than Matt Ryan on DraftKings, so there aren't many reasons to play him outside of trying to pick on the Dolphins defense in large-field tournaments. Pascal is interesting though. He's balled out for a combined 11 catches, 182 yards, and three touchdowns in the two games T.Y. Hilton has missed this year and has the big-play athleticism we should be looking for in GPPs.

With Kenyan Drake traded and Mark Walton now suspended, Kalen Ballage and Myles Gaskin are the last running backs of note in Miami. Are either worth spec ownership at a minimal salary?
Ballage is the only Dolphins running back we can safely project for a role at this point. For $3,800 (DraftKings), he's worth 5-7% max exposure in your GPP portfolio. But this guy is not good and neither is his setup for offensive production as a member of the Dolphins.

Preston Williams is out for the Dolphins. Does this elevate DeVante Parker? Bring Albert Wilson, Allen Hurns, or Jakeem Grant into relevance?
Williams leaves behind 21% of the Dolphins' targets and 30% of their air yards. His absence solidifies Parker as a player who should be on our minds every week as long he remains affordably priced. The other receivers in Miami are a bit of a guessing game, but Hurns seems the most likely to move outside into Williams' role and is worth a poke at the site-minimum (DraftKings). The correct answer here is probably tight end, Mike Gesicki.

Devin Singletary logged a breakout game in Week 9. Was this a random oscillation of playing time or a strong trend set to continue?
Random might not be the right word, but last week's game script couldn't have gone any better for Singletary. I don't trust this week's spot nearly as much for the Bills, who go on the road to face a desperate Cleveland team. Singletary's flashy Week 9 box score and affordable price tag could conspire to make him bad chalk.

JAMES BRIMACOMBE

Colts -- The only Colts that I want to roster this week in DFS are Marlon Mack and the Colts defense. If it is a banged-up Brissett or a healthy Hoyer under center I feel like the one storyline that I can stick with is the Colts just looking to play keep away and clock management and grabbing an early lead and never looking back. It all starts with Mack leading the game plan in this one and for the Colts defense to take over in the second half once the game gets out of hand.

Dolphins – It is a big avoid for me on any Dolphins player moving forward. Preston Williams was a nice play the last few weeks as he looked like the best player on the team. The talent on this team is so thin right now and no one can be trusted moving forward. It is hard to see a game script where the running backs on the Dolphins would actually give you value as it might be a game where the Colts jump out in front and never look back, forcing the Dolphins to pass the ball.

Preston Williams is out for the Dolphins. Does this elevate DeVante Parker? Bring Albert Wilson, Allen Hurns, or Jakeem Grant into relevance?

Nope, none of the above. It is not worth rolling the dice on these players especially in a matchup on the road against a well-coached Colts team.

DAN HINDERY

Preston Williams is out for the Dolphins. Does this elevate DeVante Parker? Bring Albert Wilson, Allen Hurns, or Jakeem Grant into relevance?

The loss of Williams provides a small boost to DeVante Parker and he would have been in play at just $4,800 on DraftKings even if Williams was in the lineup. There are some other great plays in the same price range this week so I don’t know if I will end up on Parker. None of the other guys have a clear enough role for me to roll the dice at this point. The other guy potentially impacted by the Williams injury is Mike Gesicki. It’s a tough week at tight end and I am looking seriously at the possibility of playing Gesicki at just $3,100. He is coming off of his best game as a pro, with 6 catches for 95 yards against the Jets.

Devin Singletary logged a breakout game in Week 9. Was this a random oscillation of playing time or a strong trend set to continue?

Singletary is one of my favorite plays of the week and will likely be in my cash lineup on DraftKings where his $5,000 salary is too low considering the matchup, his recent workload, and his pass-game involvement. He has played 66% of the offensive snaps each of the last two weeks and seems to be taking over as the clear lead back. He has 10 targets over the past two weeks and is coming off of a game in which he carried it 20 times.

Kenyan Drake was a workhorse in Arizona with no David Johnson or Chase Edmonds. David Johnson is projected to return in Week 10. If he does, is Johnson a strong play? Is Drake? Neither considering the matchup against Tampa Bay?

I’m content to avoid this backfield this week. Not only is there a lack of clarity as to how the touches will be distributed but this is also an extremely difficult matchup. On the season, Tampa Bay has been the stingiest defense in the NFL, according to our Austin Lee’s normalized strength of schedule numbers. Opposing backs are scoring 44% fewer fantasy points against Tampa.
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