The NFL Draft is behind us, and that means it's time for rookie drafts to take center stage in dynasty leagues. This month's Dynasty Trade Value Chart is built with those drafts in mind, offering an updated, tier-based look at where rookies slot in among established veterans. Whether you hold a top-three pick or are hunting for value in the second round, the chart is designed to help you make informed decisions and navigate this critical part of the dynasty calendar.

In addition to updated rookie values, this edition also includes a position-by-position breakdown of veteran risers and fallers following the NFL Draft. Team decisions over draft weekend provide valuable clues about how franchises view their current rosters—and in many cases, the biggest winners and losers weren't the rookies, but the veterans whose roles became more (or less) secure. From running backs who dodged competition to wideouts pushed down the depth chart, we'll walk through whose stock is shifting as we enter rookie draft season.

Dynasty Tools

In addition to this month's value updates, I've made a major upgrade to the Dynasty Trade Value Chart tool itself. The tool still features all of my up-to-date dynasty player values, which remain fully customizable based on your league's scoring settings, roster requirements, and league size. It also includes a built-in Dynasty Trade Calculator to help you evaluate trade offers. One of the most common questions I get is how frequently these values are updated. To answer that more transparently, I've added a new "Change Log" tab that tracks every single value adjustment. For each player, you'll now see the date of the change, the old and new values, and a brief explanation for the move. For those keeping score, there were 159 player value updates in the month of April alone—all of which are listed and sortable by date. Here is a screenshot of what that tab looks like in the tool:

Please note that the Dynasty Trade Value Chart Tool may take a few seconds to load and tends to work better on desktop. 

The second big tools update is nearly ready. Last year, I launched a Sleeper League Evaluator that allows users to upload their Sleeper rosters and get personalized league insights. I've been working on a full redesign and functionality overhaul for 2025, and the updated version is close to completion. I expect to have it live within the next week and will update this article with a direct link as soon as it's ready.

Rookie Values and Tiers

In 2025, there's no shortage of rookie rankings available online, and many of them are excellent. As a writer, I sometimes question whether the world needs another opinion in the mix. So, before anything else, I want to thank you for your time and for including my perspective in your rookie draft preparation.

Let's start with a bit of advice: rookie draft season is the most fun part of being a dynasty manager. It's your opportunity to play both scout and general manager. Watch film (even if it's just highlights), read scouting reports, listen to trusted analysts, and most importantly, trust your own judgment. No set of rankings, including mine, should be treated as gospel. The best drafters gather a range of perspectives and make informed decisions based on their roster needs, personal evaluation of talent, and overall team-building philosophy.

That said, I do believe the rankings and values you'll find below can be a helpful part of your process. I've been creating rookie rankings for over a decade, using a data-driven approach rooted in draft capital, prospect archetypes, scheme fits, and career fantasy production modeling. The result isn't just an ordered list—it's a valuation framework that helps make trades during your draft easier to evaluate and execute. Whether you're considering a move up for a specific target or weighing a trade back, the values assigned to each player are designed to make those decisions more straightforward. Viewing rookie rankings through the lens of numeric player values can also help you contextualize whether a player you are considering drafting is a big reach or one of many reasonable options valued similarly.

In the section that follows, I'll walk through my Superflex rookie rankings, organized into tiers. Each tier includes a brief summary and a list of players with their corresponding values. The dynasty trade value of each player (Superflex format) is listed in parentheses.

Tier 1 Rookies

The gap between the 1.01 and 1.02 in rookie drafts this year is massive—roughly equivalent to the value of a future first-round rookie pick. There is no true debate at the top.

1.01 Ashton Jeanty, RB Raiders (38)

Don't overthink it. Jeanty is the top pick in rookie drafts regardless of format. If you're not a fan of his for any reason, the recommendation is to trade down rather than draft someone else. Jeanty is likely to be a consensus mid-first-round pick in 2025 redraft leagues as a 21-year-old rookie. My early prediction is that he ends up being ranked as the 1.06 in redraft formats. He enters the league as a top-three dynasty running back, and if he meets expectations, he could leap ahead of both Bijan Robinson and Jahmyr Gibbs to become the consensus RB1 in dynasty by this time next year.

Tier 2 Rookies

Very little separates the four prospects who will typically come off the board between 1.02 and 1.05. How you rank the players within this tier should come down to roster needs, positional investment strategy, and your risk tolerance—especially with the most unique prospect we've seen enter the NFL in recent memory. 

1.02 Travis Hunter, WR Jaguars (24)

Whether or not you take Travis Hunter at 1.02 depends entirely on your risk appetite. If we knew he was fully committing to offense and was being evaluated as a wide receiver only, he'd be in Tier 1 just behind Jeanty. That's how talented he is. The challenge for dynasty managers is that Hunter wants to play both ways. It's easy to imagine him splitting time between offense and defense, which could limit his fantasy ceiling at either position. That said, his value has been on the rise lately. Jacksonville made it clear they traded up with the intent of featuring him on offense. I'm optimistic about Liam Coen's play-calling; what Tampa Bay's offense accomplished last year without consistent availability from Mike Evans and Chris Godwin was impressive. I'm buying into Coen's ability to scheme fantasy value for Hunter and Brian Thomas Jr. Tetairoa McMillan is the safer option and is currently being drafted slightly ahead of Hunter in early 2025 best ball leagues, though that may change. I wouldn't try to talk anyone out of taking McMillan or anyone else in this tier over Hunter—but I'm personally willing to take the swing here.

1.03 Omarion Hampton, RB Chargers (24)

There are varying opinions on Omarion Hampton among talent evaluators, but the NFL made it clear it views him as a top-tier back. Jim Harbaugh's post-draft comments were exactly what dynasty managers want to hear. He talked about Hampton as a three-down back, an impact pass catcher, and someone with a nose for the end zone. Harbaugh repeatedly emphasized Hampton's ability to handle a heavy workload. After watching his brother give Derrick Henry 325 carries last season, it's easy to see Harbaugh envisioning Hampton in a similar role—with more receptions. Factoring in scheme and offensive philosophy, this is a near-perfect landing spot.

1.04 Cam Ward, QB Titans (24)

If you need a quarterback, Cam Ward could be your pick at 1.02. But odds are, you don't—and neither do most of your leaguemates. With six rookie quarterbacks from the 2024 class already producing and holding value, the league is unusually deep at the position. In past years, it was easy to trade down or flip an extra quarterback for meaningful help elsewhere. That's no longer the case in most leagues, where managers often already have two strong starters. Ward also isn't likely to add much value as a rusher, which makes it easier to pass on him in favor of other top prospects in this tier.

1.05 Tetairoa McMillan, WR Panthers (21)

The fact that Tetairoa McMillan earned top-10 draft capital despite lacking elite speed is encouraging for his fantasy outlook. He projects as Bryce Young's top target from Day 1. Ultimately, his long-term upside will be tied closely to Young's development. 

Tier 3 Rookies

When using draft capital as a key input in dynasty valuation, it's important to make slight adjustments each year based on the strengths and weaknesses of the specific class. One of the biggest strengths of the 2025 rookie class is its depth at running back. NFL teams knew they didn't need to rush to draft one early, given how many talented runners would still be available on Day 3. In a year like this, it may be wise to treat fourth-round running backs more like late third-rounders in a typical class.

A related takeaway is that if a team was still willing to invest early-round capital in a running back despite the position's depth, it suggests they viewed that player as a clear outlier. In this class, only five running backs were selected before Round 4. We can reasonably infer that the teams who drafted them saw them as special prospects worth prioritizing over others they knew would be available later.

1.06 TreVeyon Henderson, RB Patriots (18)

The Patriots have fielded one of the league's worst offenses in recent years, which makes Henderson's landing spot less than ideal. On the bright side, the team is starting to stack offensive talent, with recent top-five picks used on quarterback Drake Maye and left tackle Will Campbell. Henderson is now the third key building block, and his pass-catching ability and big-play upside make him an exciting long-term fantasy option.

1.07 Quinshon Judkins, RB Browns (16)

I don't love the idea of investing in the 2025 Browns offense, and the fourth-round selection of Dylan Sampson adds some uncertainty. Still, Quinshon Judkins offers plenty of long-term appeal. The Browns are likely to pick early in 2026 and also hold an extra first-rounder, making it easy to envision them landing an elite quarterback and a high-end offensive lineman next year. That would put Judkins in a much stronger position to be a fantasy difference-maker.

1.08 RJ Harvey, RB Broncos (14)

RJ Harvey earns a spot in this tier thanks to his talent, position-adjusted draft capital, and the upside of playing in a Sean Payton offense. Despite that, I've seen him fall as far as 2.03 in early rookie drafts. If he slides in your league, be ready to trade up into the early second round—but don't be afraid to take him right here either.

1.09 Emeka Egbuka, WR Buccaneers (14)

Most dynasty analysis focuses on tape and physical traits, but long-term development is just as dependent on character, work ethic, and intelligence. These are the areas where Emeka Egbuka shines. It's why the NFL valued him as the WR3 in the class and why dynasty managers should consider doing the same. Expect him to quickly become a trusted option for Baker Mayfield and a reliable fantasy contributor for years to come.

Tier 4 Rookies

Keep in mind that not all tight end premium formats are created equally. In leagues where tight ends earn 0.5 more PPR than wide receivers, the positional bump is enough to push the top rookie tight ends into the late first-round conversation and the bottom of Tier 3. In formats where tight ends get 0.75 or 1.0 more PPR, they rise even further—often near the top of Tier 3. Once we reach this part of the draft, beauty is in the eye of the beholder. None of the players in this tier are a reach in the late first round. Don't overanalyze the order—just draft your guy.

1.10 Colston Loveland, TE Bears (12)

Your enthusiasm for Colston Loveland should be closely tied to how confident you are in Caleb Williams living up to his potential. If Williams becomes a superstar, Loveland could be a steal at the end of the first round. If Williams is merely solid, it may be difficult for Loveland to carve out consistent fantasy value early, given the number of mouths to feed in the Bears' offense.

1.11 Matthew Golden, WR Packers (12)

Green Bay historically avoids wide receivers in the first round, which makes their decision to draft Matthew Golden 23rd overall particularly significant. Golden should be viewed as the favorite to quickly emerge as the WR1 in an offense that has lacked a true alpha since the departure of Davante Adams.

1.12 Kaleb Johnson, RB Steelers (11)

If you believe Kaleb Johnson has the tools to become a true lead back, he's an appealing late first-round pick. If you view him as more of a long-term committee back, it's harder to justify his third-round draft capital over several first-round NFL talents still available at other positions.

2.01 Tyler Warren, TE Colts (11)

The landing spot is far from ideal. Anthony Richardson completed just 47.7% of his passes last season, and Daniel Jones hasn't shown much more as a passer. This is unlikely to be a high-volume passing attack in the near term. That said, you're investing in long-term talent, and situations can change quickly in the NFL.

2.02 Luther Burden III, WR Bears (11)

It's easier to get excited about Luther Burden III if you see a path for him to eventually replace D.J. Moore in the Bears' offense, rather than simply joining Moore and Rome Odunze. This pick sends a message that Moore needs to step up, and Burden could be in line for a larger role sooner than expected.

2.03 Jaxson Dart, QB Giants (11)

Do you view Jaxson Dart as a true first-round talent or more of a Day 2 prospect pushed up the board due to the Giants' desperation at quarterback? If it's the former, Dart is a justifiable late-first pick in Superflex formats. If it's the latter, he likely belongs near the bottom of this tier.

2.04 Jayden Higgins, WR Texans (9)

Wide receivers drafted early in the second round carry a wide range of outcomes. Jayden Higgins fits that mold, with a ceiling resembling Tee Higgins and a floor closer to Ja'Lynn Polk.

Tier 5 Rookies

If you were sitting on a cache of second- and third-round rookie picks in 2025, the NFL Draft likely felt like a disappointment. There was buzz that 10 or more running backs could be selected in the top 100 picks, but only six actually were. Players like Shedeur Sanders, Jalen Milroe, Jaylin Noel, and Kyle Williams were widely projected to go in the second round and slid to the third or later. While there are likely a few hidden gems in this group, historical hit rates make it clear we have to temper expectations.

The values are close enough in this range that the scoring format becomes important. In tight end premium, I recommend moving players like Elijah Arroyo and Terrance Ferguson toward the top of this tier. Being able to land that kind of upside at tight end in the third round of rookie drafts feels like a steal.

While the draft may have played out in close to a worst-case scenario for the mid-second round and later picks, this is often the part of the draft where long-term dynasty contributors are found. I see 13 players in this tier, but wouldn't argue strongly against including a few names from Tier 6 at the bottom. This is exactly why attaching player values is important. If one player is rated 4.5 and another 4.0, that's not a meaningful difference. At this stage, draft your favorite guy regardless of what my model or anyone else's rankings say.

2.05 Cam Skattebo, RB Giants (8)

The most likely outcome here is a 50-50 or 60-40 split between Skattebo and Tyrone Tracy Jr.., with Devin Singletary possibly turning this into a three-man committee. As fun as Skattebo is to watch, investing an early second-round pick in a committee back on a mediocre offense feels risky.

2.06 Tre Harris, WR Chargers (8)

Harris has a clear path to emerging as the WR2 in Los Angeles, but that may not be enough to make him a consistent fantasy starter. Expect a run-heavy offense centered around Ladd McConkey in the slot.

2.07 Tyler Shough, QB Saints (7)

Shough has a chance to start in Year 1, and the Saints have solid weapons. He's also a decent athlete, though projecting significant rushing production is a stretch.

2.08 Bhayshul Tuten, RB Jaguars (7)

Tuten might have the highest upside in this tier. He's an elite athlete hand-picked by Jacksonville's new regime—one that didn't draft Travis Etienne Jr. or Tank Bigsby. He'll likely begin as the third-string back, but there's a clear path for him to rise quickly.

2.09 Kyle Williams, WR Patriots (6)

Williams had fans in the scouting community and was projected to go inside the top 50 overall. He slipped to the third round, but outside of an aging Stefon Diggs, New England's depth chart is wide open. Williams has a chance to become a favorite of Drake Maye early in his career.

2.10 Mason Taylor, TE Jets (6)

Taylor has the tools and draft capital to make an impact. He could emerge as the Jets' No. 2 target by the end of his rookie season, making him a top target in tight end premium formats.

2.11 Jalen Milroe, QB Seahawks (6)

Quarterbacks taken in the late third round usually aren't on the fantasy radar, but Milroe's rushing ability gives him rare upside if he ever gets the opportunity.

2.12 Jack Bech, WR Raiders (6)

Bech could carve out a role as the WR2 behind Jakobi Meyers, but with Brock Bowers functioning as the de facto WR1 and a run-heavy offense led by Ashton Jeanty, the Raiders' WR2 job may not carry much fantasy value.

3.01 Jaylin Noel, WR Texans (6)

Noel will compete with former college teammate Jayden Higgins and veteran Christian Kirk to be the WR2 in Houston behind Nico Collins.

3.02 Jaydon Blue, RB Cowboys (6)

Blue landed in one of the most unsettled running back rooms in the league. Dallas may use a committee, but Blue is the most explosive option and the best receiver in the group.

3.03 Pat Bryant, WR Broncos (6)

Bryant is a post-draft riser who received little pre-draft hype but went 74th overall to Sean Payton. The coach referenced Michael Thomas when discussing Bryant—a strong signal that he sees a clear role for him in Denver's offense.

3.04 Elijah Arroyo, TE Seahawks (5)

Arroyo has legitimate fantasy TE1 upside and was even described as having X-receiver traits by the Seahawks. It may take time, but he's an ideal stash in tight end premium leagues.

3.05 Terrance Ferguson, TE Rams (5)

The Rams have long been searching for a mismatch tight end, and after failing to trade up for Brock Bowers last year, they used a top selection in this draft on Ferguson. With Sean McVay's track record of developing Day 2 and Day 3 skill players, Ferguson is a bet worth making.

Tier 6

There are plenty of intriguing options available in the late third and throughout the fourth round of 2025 rookie drafts. This is a great range to pick your favorite Day 3 running back. Trevor Etienne and Jarquez Hunter were the earliest drafted among this group but begin their careers further down their teams' depth charts. Still, if a particular player stands out to you, don't hesitate—get your guy.

I'm viewing Shedeur Sanders as having the equivalent of third-round draft capital despite his slide to the fifth round. Wide receivers like Isaac TeSlaa and Savion Williams, who earned Day 2 draft capital, are always worth targeting in the later rounds.

3.06 Shedeur Sanders, QB Browns (4)
3.07 Trevor Etienne, RB Panthers (4)
3.08 Dylan Sampson, RB Browns (4)
3.09 Harold Fannin Jr., TE Browns (4)
3.10 Jarquez Hunter, RB Rams (4)
3.11 Jordan James, RB 49ers (4)
3.12 Isaac TeSlaa, WR Lions (4)
4.01 Kyle Monangai, RB Bears (3)
4.02 Brashard Smith, RB Chiefs (3)
4.03 Ollie Gordon II, RB Dolphins (3)
4.04 Jalen Royals, WR Chiefs (3)
4.05 Elic Ayomanor, WR Titans (3)
4.06 DJ Giddens, RB Colts (3)
4.07 Ollie Gordon II, RB Dolphins (3)
4.08 Devin Neal, RB Saints (3)
4.09 Jacory Croskey-Merritt, RB Commanders (3)
4.10 Dillon Gabriel, QB Browns (3)
4.11 Savion Williams, WR Packers (3)
4.12 Tahj Brooks, RB Bengals (3)

Quarterback

Stock Up

Bryce Young
The selection of Tetairoa McMillan was a major boost for Bryce Young in multiple ways. First, it gives Young a true alpha wide receiver—someone who can be his go-to target, especially in the red zone and on contested jump balls. Young's deep ball accuracy was among the best in the NFL last season, so the fit is a strong one. Just as important, Carolina's choice to invest in a wide receiver, rather than addressing what was the NFL's worst defense in 2024, signals that their top priority is improving the offense and ensuring Young has the support he needs to succeed. It's a strong indication the team is committed to giving him every chance to develop, even if it means trying to win higher-scoring games.

Trevor Lawrence
Every time new Jaguars head coach Liam Coen speaks, he emphasizes his commitment to building an explosive offense. But actions speak louder than words, and the NFL Draft finally gives us tangible evidence of which teams are serious about their stated goals. Jacksonville made that clear by aggressively trading up to the second overall pick to select Travis Hunter, a move they've framed around his impact on the offensive side of the ball. Pairing Hunter with Brian Thomas Jr., a physically dominant deep threat, gives Lawrence one of the most exciting young receiver duos in the league. Everything is now in place for Lawrence to deliver a true breakout season. If he can consistently get the ball into the hands of Hunter and Thomas, the results could be special.

Geno Smith
While I was never fully convinced the Raiders would target Shedeur Sanders or any of the top quarterback prospects at No. 6 after trading for and extending Geno Smith, it was still reassuring to see them pass on that opportunity entirely. Their draft strategy made it clear: they're committed to Smith as their starter for at least the next few seasons. Las Vegas waited until pick No. 215 to draft Cam Miller, a long-shot developmental prospect at best. Instead, the team focused heavily on building around Smith. He now has one of the best young running backs in the NFL in Ashton Jeanty, who's also a strong pass catcher. The Raiders spent premium draft capital on offensive support, including three wide receivers—headlined by second-rounder Jack Bech— and multiple Day 2 offensive linemen to shore up the line. All in all, it was a great weekend for Smith and a strong sign that the team is committed to giving him the tools to succeed.

Stock Down

Dak Prescott
The Cowboys made a solid first-round pick with Tyler Booker, who should help stabilize the interior of the offensive line and benefit Dak Prescott. However, the lack of additions at wide receiver was both surprising and concerning. Dallas appears set to enter the season with Jalen Tolbert as the No. 2 option, making it easier for defenses to focus on CeeDee Lamb without having to respect other threats. The limited supporting cast puts a ceiling on Prescott's fantasy upside. This stands out even more when compared to other quarterbacks in the same dynasty range, many of whom just saw their teams invest first-round picks at wide receiver.

Sam Darnold
The selection of Jalen Milroe in the third round isn't a death knell for Sam Darnold's chances of holding onto the starting job long-term in Seattle. Historically, most third-round quarterbacks don't develop into starters. Still, Milroe's presence adds pressure. If Darnold struggles, fans will be quick to call for the exciting dual-threat rookie to take over. While Darnold's contract was initially reported as a three-year deal, it's more accurately a one-year prove-it contract with two team options. The Seahawks have flexibility if Milroe flashes potential.

Russell Wilson
It wasn't a huge surprise to see the Giants trade back in the first round to select Jaxson Dart. But the fact that it actually happened means Russell Wilson's days as a starter in New York are likely numbered—unless he plays at a truly high level, something he hasn't done in at least four seasons. Expect to see Dart take over by the midpoint of the 2025 season.

Running Back

Stock Up

D'Andre Swift
Swift was one of the biggest veteran winners of draft weekend. Few expected the Bears to wait until the seventh round to address the running back position, but that's exactly what happened. Maybe it was just how the board fell—with Ashton Jeanty gone by pick 10 and both Ohio State backs taken before Chicago's two second-round selections. Or maybe new head coach Ben Johnson simply likes Swift more than we all assumed. Whatever the reason, the outcome is clear: Swift is positioned to be the lead back in what could be one of the most exciting offenses in the NFL in 2025.

Brian Robinson Jr.
The Commanders were open about wanting to upgrade their running back room this offseason, and many expected them to target the position in the mid rounds or earlier. Instead, they waited until the late seventh round to take a flier on Jacory Croskey-Merritt, passing on all of the top 20 consensus backs. That decision bodes well for Brian Robinson Jr., who appears set to lead the backfield in touches again in 2025.

Isiah Pacheco, Kareem Hunt, and Elijah Mitchell
The Chiefs waited until the seventh round to draft a running back, selecting Brashard Smith, a converted wide receiver. While it wasn't a major surprise that Kansas City passed on early-round backs, most expected them to address the position before Day 3. Smith projects more as a gadget player or situational contributor, which suggests that one of Isiah Pacheco, Kareem Hunt, or Elijah Mitchell is likely to emerge as the primary option in Andy Reid's backfield.

Tony Pollard
It wasn't a surprise to see the Titans pass on running backs in the draft, given their strong one-two punch of Tony Pollard and Tyjae Spears. But this feels like an ascending offense, and Pollard appears positioned to gain momentum and dynasty value as the summer progresses.

Jordan Mason
The Vikings chose not to address the running back position in the draft, instead continuing to build up talent along the offensive line. With a stacked group of offensive weapons and a rookie quarterback in J.J. McCarthy, the expectation is that Minnesota will lean heavily on the ground game. The coaching staff has repeatedly pointed to Jordan Mason as a key part of that plan, suggesting he'll see significant opportunities alongside Aaron Jones.

Derrick Henry, Justice Hill, and Keaton Mitchell
Given the depth of the running back class and the fact that the Ravens had 11 picks, it was surprising they didn't select a single back. This felt like the year Baltimore might add a high-upside complement to Derrick Henry—someone who could learn behind him and eventually take over. That didn't happen, which bodes well for Henry and the current backups. Don't forget about Keaton Mitchell, who flashed serious potential as a rookie in 2023 before a late-season injury derailed his 2024 campaign. The team's lack of draft investment at the position could signal optimism about his recovery and role in providing a dynamic element to the backfield.

Stock Down

Najee Harris
The selection of Omarion Hampton, who is essentially a souped-up version of Harris, was a worst-case scenario for Harris' short-term value. The silver lining may be that Harris is only on a one-year deal in Los Angeles. However, you can't feel confident that Harris will ever find himself in a true lead role again. With his lack of explosiveness, he needs major volume to have fantasy relevancy, and that does not appear to be in the cards. He is an injury handcuff only at this point.

Rhamondre Stevenson
The Patriots selection of TreVeyon Henderson at the top of the second round essentially ended the fantasy relevancy of Stevenson as anything more than an injury handcuff. You could maybe make a case for him having flex-value in weeks where byes hit hard, but that would require either Henderson failing to live up to his potential or this New England offense taking a major leap forward.

Wide Receiver

Stock Up

Calvin Ridley
The selection of Cam Ward with the first overall pick was already baked into Ridley's value, but many assumed the Titans would pair Ward with a top young wide receiver early on Day 2. Instead, they waited until the fourth round to select two developmental prospects, leaving Ridley as the clear top option. His ADP in early best ball drafts has already risen from the middle of the sixth round to the middle of the fifth—and it wouldn't be surprising to see that trend continue through the summer. If Ward impresses, Ridley's situation could resemble Terry McLaurin's from last season: a veteran wideout serving as a rookie QB's primary target.

Drake London
As expected, the Falcons focused on defense in the 2025 NFL Draft. They also traded away their 2026 first-rounder, further reinforcing that the passing game will continue to revolve around Drake London. His ADP is now locked into the top 15 in early redraft leagues, a lofty spot for a 23-year-old receiver who is set to be the offensive centerpiece for the foreseeable future.

Stock Down

Brian Thomas Jr.
The addition of Travis Hunter could help Thomas by reducing the bracket coverages he faced as a rookie, potentially opening up more deep shots. However, part of what made Thomas so impressive last year was his ability to contribute across all areas of the field—not just as a deep threat. With Hunter likely to command many of the short and intermediate touches, Thomas may lose some of that versatility in the offense. He remains a locked-in top-10 dynasty wide receiver, but his path to top-5 status has become more complicated.

Rome Odunze
Odunze had a decent rookie season, and there was hope that the hiring of Brian Johnson as head coach would further elevate his role. That optimism took a hit when the Bears used their top two picks on pass catchers who will compete directly with Odunze for targets. These new additions—both hand-picked by Johnson—indicate a possible shift in the pecking order and cast doubt on Odunze's long-term target share.

DJ Moore
There was reason for optimism with Caleb Williams entering his second season, but the additions of Luther Burden III and Colston Loveland dramatically shake things up. Combine that with reports suggesting the new coaching staff wasn't thrilled with Moore's effort in 2024, and there's legitimate concern about his standing. He's still going in the third round of early best ball drafts, but that price feels steep given the uncertainty.

Jalen McMillan
McMillan looked poised to carve out a starting role opposite Mike Evans and Chris Godwin, and potentially emerge as a long-term piece for Baker Mayfield. However, the Buccaneers' decision to draft Emeka Egbuka 19th overall complicates that path. McMillan's late-season flashes may now prove to be temporary rather than signs of an impending breakout.

Christian Kirk
The Texans were expected to add a wide receiver, but using multiple Day 2 picks on the position—adding Jayden Higgins and Jaylen Noel from Iowa State—raises red flags for Kirk's long-term role. While he may still open 2025 as the No. 2 option behind Nico Collins, there's now a realistic chance he falls to fourth on the depth chart by midseason.

Xavier Legette
There was reason to believe Legette could compete to be Bryce Young's WR1 heading into 2025. That changed when the Panthers used the No. 8 overall pick on Jalen McMillan, who will likely step in as the new top target. Legette now appears locked into a complementary role moving forward.

Tight End

Stock Up

Jake Ferguson
The Cowboys' failure to address their glaring need at the skill positions could be a quiet win for Jake Ferguson. While he disappointed in 2024, his odds of rebounding and putting together a much stronger 2025 season improved after Dallas opted not to add significant pass-catching competition. He now has a realistic shot to reemerge as Dak Prescott's No. 2 option in the passing game.

Stock Down

David Njoku
David Njoku broke out two seasons ago thanks to a flurry of screens and short passes from Joe Flacco, which allowed him to showcase his run-after-the-catch ability. The Browns used a high third-round pick on Harold Fannin Jr., a tight end with a similar skill set, especially on those quick-hitting YAC opportunities. While Fannin isn't likely to take over immediately, even a small cut into Njoku's target share could be enough to knock him from a solid TE1 into fantasy TE2 territory.

Cole Kmet
Expectations for Cole Kmet were already modest, but the Bears dealt a major blow to his value by spending a top-10 pick on tight end Colston Loveland, who profiles as a future cornerstone in the passing game.