How It Works

Underdog Pick'em is a fun twist on daily fantasy games where you predict whether a player will go higher or lower than their projected stats across categories like touchdowns, yards, or fantasy points. To play, simply pick at least two props from two different teams. You can choose player stats like touchdowns, rushing yards, or even fantasy points and predict whether they will go higher or lower than the projected numbers.

Payouts

Underdog Fantasy offers a payout structure that rewards you based on the number of correct selections:

• Two picks: 3x your entry
• Three picks: 6x your entry
• Four picks: 10x your entry
• Five picks: 20x your entry

Early Touches for Key Weapons (3.15X)

Dallas Goedert and Xavier Worthy have been key early-game targets for their respective offenses. The Eagles and Chiefs have made a concerted effort to get both players involved from the opening drive. Goedert has recorded the first reception for Philadelphia in back-to-back weeks, while Kansas City has consistently schemed early touches for Worthy in recent games.

Dallas Goedert Higher than 8.5 First Quarter Receiving Yards

• Goedert opened the game against the Rams with a 14-yard reception and finished the first quarter with 20 receiving yards.
• In the previous week against Washington, the first completion of the game was a 10-yard pass to Goedert.
• The Chiefs have struggled against top-tier tight ends. In Week 13, Brock Bowers torched them for 10 catches, 140 yards, and a touchdown. Across two meetings, Dalton Schultz totaled 9 catches for 108 yards and a touchdown.

Xavier Worthy Higher than 8.5 First Quarter Receiving Yards

• The Chiefs have emphasized getting Worthy involved early in games.
  • Against the Steelers on Christmas Day, Worthy had two receptions for 13 yards and a touchdown, plus six rushing yards in the first quarter.
  • Against the Texans, he posted 21 receiving yards in the opening quarter and added another carry.
  • Against the Bills, he had a 10-yard reception on the opening drive and totaled 16 yards on two early carries.
• Andy Reid has had two weeks to devise an offensive script, and it would be a major shock if it did not feature multiple designed touches for Worthy—the Chiefs' lone truly dynamic offensive weapon.
• Worthy has averaged 6.18 yards per route run against man coverage in the playoffs. 

Xavier Worthy has become the man coverage answer for the Chiefs in the postseason and the results have been pretty outrageous, as you can tell from @FourVerts’ reaction here. pic.twitter.com/HZ1KaOnlHS

— Matt Harmon (@MattHarmon_BYB) February 6, 2025

Backup RBs with low overs (3X)

Expect long, sustained drives in this matchup, as both the Eagles and Chiefs defenses specialize in limiting explosive plays. To move the ball, the offenses will need to string together first downs, which often results in increased playing time for backup running backs to spell the starters. Given these circumstances, Samaje Perine and Kenneth Gainwell both have strong chances to clear their modest props.

Samaje Perine Higher than 6.5 Receiving Yards

• Perine has exceeded 6.5 receiving yards in 14 of his last 15 games.
• While his snap count has dipped slightly in the playoffs, he has still played at least 10 snaps in both postseason games.
• He has run a route on 81% of his playoff snaps. Assuming he sees 10-15 snaps, he should have ample opportunities to secure the single reception likely needed to clear this over.

Gut feeling: Samaje Perine will have a bigger role than people think. He’s the Chiefs RB best set up to attack the Eagles — via the passing game.

— Adam Best (@Arrowhead_Adam) February 8, 2025

Kenneth Gainwell Higher than 1.5 First-Half Rushing Yards

• Gainwell has posted at least eight first-half rushing yards in all three playoff games.
  • 8 rushing yards in the first half against Green Bay
  • 10 rushing yards in the first half against the Rams
  • 3 carries for 8 yards in the first half against Washington before leaving with an injury.
• Now fully healthy and off the injury report, Gainwell should see his usual early-game workload in the Super Bowl.

Kenneth Gainwell (head, knee) not listed on injury report for Super Bowl.

— Underdog NFL (@Underdog__NFL) February 7, 2025