Welcome to the dynasty trading post, where optimizing strategy, roster construction, format, and player value oscillations are examined weekly with real-world completed dynasty trades.

This week, we will look at players with sagging market value compared to their profiles and potential upside.

All trades are Superflex unless stated otherwise

QB to Acquire: Kyler Murray, Arizona

Kyler Murray is an easy pitch as a dynasty buy. First, Murray was hurt last season, and his rushing suffered. Murray averaged only 5.5 rushes per game, the lowest of his career. Arizona's receivers were among the worst in the NFL, with only breakout tight end Trey McBride as a notable aid. Murray also missed half of the season. Add it all up, and Murray at QB11 in the dynasty market feels about right. However, Murray is a high-floor outcome, finishing QB16 or better in all five of his seasons in aPPG with a career-high of QB5. Murray is priced closer to his floor and entering a season with Marvin Harrison Jr. notably added to the front of the wide receiver depth chart, a healthy offseason for Murray, and Trey McBride a known entity.

Instructive Dynasty Trades

• Murray for 2025 1st, 2025 2nd
• Murray, 2025 1st, 2025 1st for Ja'Marr Chase, Michael Pittman, 2025 2nd
• Murray, 2025 2nd for Jaylen Waddle, Dalton Kincaid (1.5 PPR for TE)

All three trades show that acquiring a quality quarterback in Superflex is possible without giving up a quarterback in return. Be open to trading a notable wide receiver for a quarterback upgrade like Murray as back-filling at receiver with an older producer is a cascading option post-trade. To highlight one deal above, the added picks to Murray in return for Ja'Marr Chase and Michael Pittman make it a no-brainer roster shift. Even if very light at receiver after the deal, the two 25 1sts provide plenty of latitude in the trade market to get one or two receivers with lineup viability if needed and still have Murray essentially for the cost of Michael Pittman and a 25 2nd.

QB to Acquire: Dak Prescott, Dallas

Mike Evans has long been the player referenced with 'death, taxes, and Mike Evans' for his consistent production year after year. However, there is a new reference: "Death, taxes, and Dak Prescott being a dynasty value." Despite being an elite hammer last season and primed for another season of strong passing over expectation in Dallas, Prescott has languished this offseason at QB14-17 prices. Eight years into his career, Prescott has never finished worse than QB13 in aPPG, including four finishes of QB6 or better. In short, Prescott is arguably (and probably not even arguably) the best value at the quarterback position. He has fallen to Round 3 of Superflex startup drafts plenty since the NFL Draft. Here are a few examples of the trade market to buy Prescott in the past week:

• Prescott, Raheem Mostert, Keon Coleman for Deshaun Watson, Kenneth Walker, 2025 2nd
• Prescott, Christian McCaffrey for Deshaun Watson, Bijan Robinson
• Prescott, Josh Jacobs, Travis Kelce for Drake London, 2026 1st

Using Deshaun Watson to upgrade to Prescott is an outstanding insulating move with Watson's risk to continue his up-and-down play and Prescott poised to secure the richest contract in NFL history next offseason. The London-1st trade highlights the power in the trade market if open to dealing away future picks and/or notable young players. A dynasty team received Prescott and two other auto-start players in Jacobs and Kelce by giving up the prospect of Drake London turning into a high-level receiver and a pick two offseasons from now.

QB to Acquire: Justin Herbert, LA Chargers

Justin Herbert has consistently graded well and protected the ball in his career. Herbert has been QB14 or better in all four seasons, plus a QB3 career peak. In short, Herbert has established he is a higher-level quarterback. Yet, the market is down on Herbert with his sagging finish in 2023, the prospect of limited weapons, and an uninspiring Chargers offense in 2024. Quarterback is the position to exploit downturns due to injury or a poor supporting cast when the market allows. Patrick Mahomes II became accessible this offseason thanks to a 'down' 2023 where Travis Kelce and (later in the season) Rashee Rice were the lone functional passing game weapons. Fast forward to the offseason. Kansas City added Marquise Brown and Xavier Worthy, and things are looking up again. View Justin Herbert as Patrick Mahomes II from a year ago. It is likely that 2024 will be the worst situation of Herbert's career in terms of supporting weapons. This supports Herbert's QB10-12 market valuation but makes it short-sighted in the macro view of a quarterback's long-term lens in dynasty.

Here are a few Herbert trades from the past week outlining him as a buy recommendation:

• Herbert, DeAndre Hopkins for Bo Nix, Zamir White, Jameson Williams, 2025 2nd
• Herbert, Rashee Rice, 2027 1st for Anthony Richardson
• Herbert, Tony Pollard, Xavier Legette for Derek Carr, George Pickens, Jaxon Smith-Njigba, 2025 3rd

Two trades are coming from a weaker quarterback position (Bo Nix, Derek Carr) to upgrade to Justin Herbert. The additions do not involve a future 1st or any non-replaceable asset. The other deal is the focus of analysis, moving from Anthony Richardson to three notable assets. Richardson has the potential to finish as QB1 overall this season if he rushes like he did in the limited sample size of 2023. However, merely prorating production to an entire season and assuming health for a player who used his body as a battering ram last season is a risky endeavor. This trade highlights how to mitigate Richardson's risk (and current valuation) into Herbert, a more stable long-term asset. Rashee Rice's rookie season of efficiency has him on an elite trajectory, and the 2027 1st offers a way to acquire a starting quarterback, wide receiver, or upgrade anywhere in a lineup should part of the deal go sideways in the short term.

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