Dynasty Trade Value Chart: October

Dynasty trade value changes come fast and furious in the early part of every new NFL season. We have a ton to cover this month so we are going to incorporate the change log and notes on player value right into the positional trade value charts.

We will look in-depth at the following topics:

• The top young quarterbacks separating from the pack.
• Rough start for robust running back dynasty rosters.
• The rise of the top rookie wide receivers.
• The overall dynasty landscape at tight end.

The dynasty trade value chart is tailored to 12-team PPR leagues a starting lineup of one quarterback, two running backs, three wide receivers, one tight end, and one flex. It now also includes trade values for Superflex leagues in a separate column. The chart is meant to serve primarily as a guide for trades but can also be a great resource during startup drafts. If the players and picks on each side of the trade offer add up to approximately the same number, the trade would be considered even. If you receive a trade offer that sends you players with a higher total number value than the players you are giving up, the offer is worth strongly considering. Each league is different, so pay close attention to the scoring and starting roster requirements specific to your league.

Dynasty Web Apps

We have introduced a customizable dynasty trade value chart that adjusts the player values to fit your league size, starting lineup requirements, and scoring. Thank you to all who provided feedback. The newest version is available here:

https://www.footballguys.com/article/2022-dynasty-trade-value-app

2023 Rookie Picks

We have over a month of the college season in the books and the projected top of 2023 rookie draft board has not changed much. It feels like the hype for the 2023 skill position class is starting to die down a little bit (or should be). Looking at each position individually, things are either status quo or down in terms of draft projections. Let’s quickly go position-by-position with an early season review:

Quarterback

C.J. Stroud and Bryce Young are the two sure things, but more in the sense that they are likely to go in the top part of the first round, not that either is an elite prospect in the same tier as guys like Joe Burrow, Trevor Lawrence, or Kyler Murray were coming out. Young is athletic and a gamer but has some physical limitations which may limit his upside. Stroud looks the part but may face some questions about competitive toughness. Will Levis is going to be controversial, but I like him. While he is a bit of a project, he has elite intangibles similar to Jalen Hurts, which is going to help his prospects immensely. There are a couple of 25-year olds (Jaren Hall and Hendon Hooker) who may end up being late risers and project similarly to guys like Desmond Ridder and Malik Willis last season. Overall, this is still a strong class, but the shine has worn off a little bit with some prospects not making the expected progress (Anthony Richardson and Tyler Van Dyke), so we should temper expectations on how many quarterbacks are going to be worthy of first-round rookie picks in Superflex.

Running Back

This is the one position where the top guys have mostly met or exceeded expectations early. Bijan Robinson is going to be a first-round startup pick next offseason and likely the 1.01 rookie in all formats. Jahmyr Gibbs, Zach Evans, Devon Achane, Sean Tucker, Kenny McIntosh, and others should be in the mix on Day 2 of the NFL Draft. We should expect a handful of running backs in the first two rounds, which is going to be the strength of the 2023 rookie class.

Wide Receiver

This has been the most disappointing group to date. Jaxson Smith-Njigba has barely played due to injury. Kayshon Boutte has been a disappointment, and I don’t love the off-field reports about his work ethic. Jordan Addison, Josh Downs, Quentin Johnson, Rashee Rice, and others are solid prospects. I’m expecting we at least get a few first-round wide receivers come April, but this looks like the weakest wide receiver class in recent years.

Tight End

Michael Mayer is good but is not especially dynamic. Nobody else has emerged as a big-time prospect, meaning this could be another mediocre tight-end class.

Quarterback