Slate Overview- Week 13 Thoughts
I hope everyone had a Happy Thanksgiving as we prepare for the final third of the NFL season.
This is an interesting slate, particularly at the quarterback position, given how highly rostered Justin Herbert is going to be. It’s rare that we get a quarterback projected to be rostered in more than 15%, and we’re currently at 22% for Justin Herbert. All the reasons for success are there; the team is without J.K. Dobbins, facing an Atlanta Falcons defense that just allowed over 300 yards and four touchdowns to Bo Nix. However, with a player that is going to be rostered in more than 20% of rosters, it creates a very similar build throughout the remaining roster positions. With an underpriced Herbert, it’s going to allow spending for running backs and receivers.
This creates an opportunity that deviating from this build and taking a quarterback who has more upside than Justin Herbert could create an advantage this week against your opponents, especially if some of those high-end players struggle, which we’ve seen happen over the last several weeks, particularly at the running back position.
The other way to create an advantage is by targeting this Baltimore vs Philadelphia game. The roster percentage of these players is lower than it normally is because of the defenses that both of the teams have, particularly when it comes to stopping the run. However, with Baltimore having issues stopping the pass, there is a scenario where this turns into a shootout-type performance. On just a 10-game slate, there’s no reason that these players, who are some of the best in the NFL, are going to be rostered in as low of rosters as what they are currently projecting for.
Key Injuries for Week 13
- J.K. Dobbins will miss this week. Gus Edwards should get the first shot at taking over the backfield. He will likely split some carries with rookie Kimani Vidal. Vidal does offer some pass-catching ability that Edwards lacks. In his four games this season, Vidal has caught three passes in an extremely limited role. The rookie, at just $4k, could be someone to target as a punt play, while Edwards will likely be touchdown-dependent this week.
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