Two of my favorite things are Best Ball and Underdog Fantasy, and each week this offseason I want to share with you my insights on both. With Underdog Fantasy releasing the Best Ball Mania III tournament a couple of weeks ago, excitement has been growing each day. Each week I want to break down what has changed from the previous week when it comes to NFL news, Best Ball news, and the top ADP Risers and Fallers on Underdog. It's useful to compare Best Ball to the stock market and day trading stocks, but instead of stocks we are looking at NFL players and more specifically those players' Average Draft Position (ADP). We are constantly wanting to find those players who are of value in our drafts and avoid some of the players who might be overvalued.
Each week I will look at the Underdog ADP tool on 4for4.com that was created by Sam Hoppen to examine the top 10 risers and the top 10 fallers at ADP. These shifts in ADP are often driven by the news we have coming in that week and what some of the major touts in the industry might be saying about said players.
Top 10 ADP Risers
| Rank | Player | Position | Team | June 6 ADP | ADP Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Darrel Williams | RB | ARI | 169.7 | 14.0 |
| 2 | Parris Campbell | WR | IND | 201.0 | 10.7 |
| 3 | Kadarius Toney | WR | NYG | 98.9 | 8.3 |
| 4 | Jarvis Landry | WR | NO | 127.2 | 7.1 |
| 5 | Courtland Sutton | WR | DEN | 40.7 | 6.8 |
| 6 | Curtis Samuel | WR | WAS | 174.2 | 6.5 |
| 7 | Robby Anderson | WR | CAR | 166.5 | 6.4 |
| 8 | Jalen Tolbert | WR | DAL | 145.2 | 5.8 |
| 9 | Jerry Jeudy | WR | DEN | 41.0 | 5.7 |
| 10 | Trey Lance | QB | SF | 91.3 | 5.7 |
***These ten ADP risers are based on the dates 05/30/2022-06/06/22***
Darrel Williams is back again at the top of the ADP Risers for the second week in a row. His ADP now sits at 169.7 as his ADP has risen by nearly four rounds over the last two weeks. If you are looking to help fill out your rosters it might make sense to add Williams as your RB5-RB6 type but if he continues to rise at ADP he might start being overvalued. Kadarius Toney and Jarvis Landry are two names at the top here that I love at their ADP even at a rising ADP. Both players are still value picks and offer lots of upside as they both have the potential to be the top receiving targets on both of their offenses. We see eight of the players on the riser list all being at the wide receiver position. Parris Campbell received positive health news as he was at OTAs this past week catching passes from Matt Ryan. Any news that is positive for a young player like Campbell will cause an increase in ADP.
We see the Denver receivers in Courtland Sutton and Jerry Jeudy both in the Top 10 this week. These two have been rising ever since Russell Wilson was traded to Denver, and ADP 50.0 seemed to be the peak. But both are now at 40.7 and 41.0. They have to be fades at that current price and looking to a player like Tim Patrick might be the buy right now. Curtis Samuel rising is based on a few positive comments from coaches, but we still might want a full bill of health before we increase our Samuel exposure. I have liked Robby Anderson's ADP most of this offseason, and now at 166.5 ADP, it makes some sense. He is coming off an off-year, but he still looks to be the second wide receiver on the depth chart with few challengers behind him. He is a great draft pick later in drafts to fill in your WR construction.
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