Dynasty Movement: Week 14

Jeff Bell moderates a panel of Footballguys staffers, including Ryan Weisse, Andy Hicks, Corey Spala, Jason Wood, Hutchinson Brown, Josh Fahlsing, and Matt Montgomery, while they discuss their biggest movers in Dynasty rankings.

Jeff Bell's Dynasty Movement: Week 14 Jeff Bell Published 12/05/2024

© Bob Donnan-Imagn Images

The Fantasy Football regular season is ending, and we can begin to put a cap on movement from the season. Dynasty staffers Corey Spala, Andy Hicks, Ryan Weisse, Hutchinson Brown, Jason Wood, Josh Fahlsing and Matt Montgomery hit their movers coming out of Week 13.

The Dynasty staff gathered to work through multiple quarterbacks, running backs, wide receivers, and tight ends who are the biggest risers or fallers in rankings. Check out the Footballguys Dynasty Football show with Jagger May and myself for more Dynasty content. We do three episodes weekly, discussing a variety of relevant Dynasty trends.

Dynasty Movement at Quarterback

Bryce Young, Carolina

Ryan Weisse: After a lousy rookie season and a disastrous start to Year 2, you can't blame anyone for burying Young. However, he has shown poise and resiliency since returning to the starting role and might have a future in the NFL. As the 2023 1st overall pick, the Panthers are incentivized to stick with him and find out. They need to get him a true WR1 and fix their offensive line issues. Young might be the best check-and-see trade piece in Dynasty right now. Why not land him for a late 2nd or early 3rd?

Corey Spala:  Young has been playing great football over his last five games since returning as the starter. He has more points per game during the span than C.J. Stroud and Jordan Love. Young has found his rhythm reminiscent of his Alabama collegiate days. He has accumulated seven touchdowns and 1,164 scrimmage yards with three turnovers. His box score stats are not serving justice, as his vision and anticipation have improved. He is currently our QB29 and should move up the rankings after his promising play since becoming the starter in Week 8.

Hutchinson Brown: The flashes he's shown will earn him a starting role in 2025 for Carolina, and I am optimistic about his future. Over the last few weeks, he's looked like the best second-year quarterback this season and has seemed to recapture the talent we saw in college, even with a mediocre receiving core in front of him in Carolina.

Jason Wood: Young hasn't been great since returning to the starting lineup, but he's been serviceable. The general vibe suggests the Panthers will likely give him another year in 2025 to re-establish his pedigree. While I wouldn't recommend betting heavily on this outcome, Young is worth valuing as a top-25 Dynasty quarterback in case things turn around.

Aidan O'Connell, Las Vegas

Andy Hicks: As per the answer to the roundtable question, O'Connell looked great against the Chiefs. He has a real chance to grab the starting job for good beyond the current head coach. With the Bucs, Falcons, and Jaguars next, expect O'Connell to post good numbers and rise in rankings rapidly. He gets a preemptive bump in expectation of numbers to solidify his role. His development has been noticeable. 

Russell Wilson, Pittsburgh

Andy Hicks: Heading into the season, there were doubts that Wilson could win and hold the starting job after a few years of average play in Denver. Mike Tomlin is a good match for him as a head coach. He has given Wilson the confidence to succeed, and Wilson is succeeding. Off his biggest game of the year, Wilson has held off Justin Fields and looks poised to be the answer in the short term for the Steelers. He is a free agent at the end of the year, but it makes too much sense for him not to re-sign. 

Jameis Winston, Cleveland

Matt Montgomery: Analytics be damned (sorry Joe!) Winston has proven time and time again that when he gets steady playing time, he can and will deliver for your fantasy team. It isn't always pretty; he will throw interceptions and make 3-5 plays a game that we will watch and question how he even got here, but when the dust (or snowstorm) settles, he's productive and rarely loses you a game. Four of his last five games have been double digits; three have been 24+.  I genuinely believe that if he doesn't stay in Cleveland, he will be a bridge starter somewhere next year, and we will get at least one more year of Winston magic.

Brock Purdy, San Francisco

Josh Fahlsing:  San Francisco looks like a team on the back end of its contention window and the verge of a reshuffle. Their offensive stars are aging, and there are many mouths to feed with footballs and cash. I don't know how much Purdy's success can be attributed to his teammates and coaches. He is entering a phase of his career where he is going to have to be able to make players around him better if his team is going to continue to have success. I don't know if he can do it, so his current consensus rank of 12 is a little rich for my blood.

Bo Nix, Denver

Josh Fahlsing: It was a rocky start, but Nix has turned it around, and it looks like he will get a chance to be the guy in Denver for the next few seasons. Sean Payton can't be trusted to tell us the truth about his running backs, but his track record with QBs is solid. Payton's offenses regularly produce passing stats and fantasy points. Nix's consensus ranking of 15 is nice, but there is room for him to move up a few spots.

Trevor Lawrence, Jacksonville

Jason Wood: I've never been as bullish on Lawrence as the consensus, and this season hasn't changed my perspective. Setting aside the injury, Lawrence has struggled while playing through another ailment requiring surgery on a team facing another top-down rebuild. While Lawrence may one day develop into a good quarterback, I doubt he'll ever meet the lofty expectations set for him on draft day.

Dynasty Movement at Tight End

Trey McBride and Tip Reiman, Arizona

Andy Hicks: McBride has been the number one target for Kyler Murray. If he were getting touchdowns, he would become even more valuable. Ranking number two behind Brock Bowers isn't a bad thing, though. Four touchdowns in three years is a concern, and other tight ends who score regularly could leapfrog his ranking. The interesting development in all this is the third-round rookie Tip Reiman. He has only three targets and receptions all year. If he gets more involved as a receiver, he could become an excellent handcuff to McBride in deep leagues. 

Dalton Kincaid, Buffalo

Jason Wood: Kincaid has missed the last two games, and the Bills haven't skipped a beat. Still, I'm moving him up a slot, leapfrogging him back over Pitts. Pitts has faded into obscurity, and Kirk Cousins looks every bit his age, casting uncertainty on the Falcons' multi-year trajectory. Meanwhile, Kincaid is undoubtedly a fixture on one of the AFC's best offenses, led by an MVP-caliber quarterback in his prime.

AJ Barner, Seattle

Jason Wood: Barner hasn't posted eye-popping numbers in his rookie season with Seattle. However, he's shown enough in an ever-increasing role to project as a fantasy starter in 2025 and beyond—especially if Seattle moves on from incumbent Noah Fant. Barner should be viewed as a top-25 asset with the potential to move several tiers higher if his path to playing time becomes more apparent.

Hutchinson Brown: He hasn't posted jaw-dropping numbers, but he's done well behind Fant and could earn a solid target share in the 2025 season if Seattle moves on from Fant. Given his contract status, it wouldn't shock if that happens. Barner is someone to keep a close eye on.

Jonnu Smith, Miami

Matt Montgomery: Remember, guys, it's never about being wrong about a guy; sometimes you're just early. We all loved the prospects of Smith being utilized as a piece of what we believed would be a high-powered, high-functioning offense. While the offense may have us pulling our hair out, Smith has had a quiet but highly productive season. He's currently sitting at TE5 in .5 PPR formats. With the position being as frustrating as we can remember, he has been consistently great, although he did have one game of zero points just because he is who he is. 

Cade Otton, Tampa Bay

Ryan Weisse: Assuming stability in Tampa Bay has been a tough gamble over the last few seasons, they should head into 2025 with roughly the same offense they have this season. Cade Otton is the TE8 in fantasy this year and, at just 25 years old, should be a favorite red zone target of Baker Mayfield for the next two or three seasons. The return of Chris Godwin might hurt his target volume, but the age of Mike Evans could also increase Otton's touchdown upside. Otton should be considered a fringe top-10 tight end in Dynasty right now.

Kyle Pitts, Atlanta

Josh Fahlsing: I would very much like to lay the blame for Pitts' numbers this year at the feet of his aging QB, but that would ignore that for the past few years, we've laid that blame at the feet of his head coach, his subpar quarterbacks, a knee injury, and, I don't know, the rotation of the moon. He just hasn't produced at the level we all hoped. Even at a position as thin at the top as TE, I'm not sure I can put him at six anymore.

Corey Spala: It pains me to write this, but it may be time to consider moving Pitts further down tight end rankings. Over the last four games, he has failed to accumulate more than 10 points in a single game. Is it a Kirk Cousins thing? Is it the scheme? Is it me wanting an answer? Pitts is fifth in targets on Atlanta; he has fewer targets than Ray-Ray McCloud III. Pitts is our TE6 and should be considered for moving down the rankings.

Pat Freiermuth, Pittsburgh

Josh Fahlsing: Pittsburgh always gets the best out of their players. Freiermuth hasn't set the world on fire, but he has been a consistent contributor this year and has shown enough through his career that he deserves to move up the TE rankings. I think he's a borderline TE1, and his current ranking of 17 doesn't reflect that.

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Dynasty Movement at Running Back

Bucky Irving, Tampa Bay

Andy Hicks: Irving was finally given more than 15 carries in a game and looked excellent. He averages 5.5 yards a carry and is also heavily involved in the receiving game. With touchdowns coming also, it is time to move Irving into the top 20 running backs and maybe higher. His schedule is favorable, so he is among the most promising Dynasty prospects available. 

Ryan Weisse: After years of dealing with inefficient running backs and low yards per carry, Tampa Bay may have finally struck gold in the draft. Irving has been their best back by far in 2024, and they are finally running him ahead of Rachaad White. Irving is averaging 5.5 yards per carry on 133 carries this season. He is one of only seven backs with more than 100 carries and more than five yards per carry. He should head into 2025 and beyond as the lead back and has definite top-10 potential for the foreseeable future.

Josh Fahlsing: No surprise here. He currently sits at 22 in our consensus rankings but seems to have passed Rachaad White as the favorite RB in Tampa Bay. He has outperformed his teammate and our rankings over the past month. If that kind of output continues, I'd expect him to move up several spots.

Jason Wood: Not long ago, Tampa Bay's backfield featured a three-headed monster as Sean Tucker joined the rotation alongside rookie Irving and veteran Rachaad White. But Tucker's role has diminished, and Irving is emerging as the rare every-down workhorse fantasy managers covet. Although White's future with the team is unclear, Irving is already a must-start while sharing touches and could become a fantasy championship-caliber asset in 2025 and beyond if White is moved.

De'Von Achane, Miami

Ryan Weisse: Considering all factors, it's hard to see Achane as a top-5 Dynasty back right now, especially in any PPR format. His age and production speak for themselves, with touchdowns as a rookie and receptions as a second-year back. The only question is health, both of Achane and his quarterback. He is a different running back when Tua Tagovailoa is on the field. Since Tagovailoa's return in Week 8, Achane has been the second-best back in fantasy, and he was solid in Weeks 1 and 2, with his quarterback healthy as well. There is injury risk with almost every back in fantasy, but very few have Achane's upside.

Chase Brown, Cincinnati

Josh Fahlsing: Brown is another RB who was probably ranked appropriately when the season started but seems headed toward a higher ranking as we get closer to the Dynasty "off-season." Brown has played well since Zack Moss went out. Assuming the Bengals don't draft a high-value RB in April, Brown could go into next season as the clear RB1 in Cincinnati and be primed to rise from 30 in our consensus ranks.

Tyrone Tracy Jr., NY Giants

Corey Spala: Tracy continues contributing on the field despite his lackluster environment. Situations will change, while talent does not. I would not be concerned about his age, as he has proven his ability to play. He ranks eighth in yards before contract per attempt and 12th in percent of rushes for over 10 yards. Tracy is currently our RB49 and should move up the rankings. I would rank him over Blake Corum (RB37), Braelon Allen (RB32), and Tyjjae Spears (RB29).

Christian McCaffrey, San Francisco

Hutchinson Brown: I've already been lower on McCaffery than most, but he will be pushed down more after this injury. Next season, he will be a nearly 30-year-old running back with many miles on his legs coming off a season highlighted by multiple serious injuries. San Francisco will likely run it back with him in 2025, but I'm worried about what that will look like.

Jason Wood: It's a sad day, indeed. Let's be clear—McCaffrey is among the most disappointing consensus first-overall redraft picks in modern history. Dynasty managers must now decide whether to sell at a steep discount or hold and hope for a resurgence. Unfortunately, I recommend selling at 50 cents on the dollar if you're lucky. At his age, combined with the 49ers' financial challenges, there's a non-zero chance McCaffrey will never again be a top-end fantasy starter.

James Conner, Arizona

Jason Wood: Dynasty managers often undervalue veterans, particularly running backs. While it's essential to anticipate the productivity cliff, there can be tremendous value in targeting aging tailbacks with a year or two left of production. Look at the Dynasty discounts for Joe Mixon, Josh Jacobs, Derrick Henry, or Saquon Barkley this offseason. Similarly, Conner isn't ceding his role in Arizona to Trey Benson, as some feared. He remains a valuable asset with the Cardinals front office extending Conner's contract.

Aaron Jones, Minnesota

Matt Montgomery: We are seeing the end of Jones as an every-week starter. He saw his second-lowest snap total of the season, which came after an early fumble. Despite the Vikings not having a reliable number two, they seemed more comfortable chasing his points in the aggregate rather than relying on him like a bell cow and overlooking his mistakes. I am hesitant about his long-term prospects because the team keeps winning despite his up-and-down production, and they are looking to solve this running back issue in the draft or through off-season acquisitions. 

Nick Chubb, Cleveland

Matt Montgomery: It is easy to be nervous about what an elite player coming off a significant injury will look like in his return, especially if this isn't the first time they've been hurt, but Chubb has been a very productive player, and if you had the stomach to buy him at his low, you are starting to see the uptick in production, right as we push to the playoffs! He has had back-to-back double-digit point games for the first time since his return, and during the playoff push, he has had two good matchups against the Bengals and Dolphins. His Dynasty value will never return to what it once was, but I can assure you he is far from dead. He's 28 (scary, I know), but we will get 2-3 more productive years. If you're a contender, I would have diamond hands and wouldn't sell him unless you must. 

Ray Davis, Buffalo

Corey Spala: Davis may have benefited from the snowy playing conditions. He managed 12 touches for 67 yards and one touchdown in Week 13. The takeaway from the game is Buffalo trusted him to help manage the game, as James Cook also had 15 touches. Davis looks to have a role in the offense and offers upside if he finds himself in spot-start games. He is our RB39 and should move ahead of running backs like Braelon Allen (RB32) and Javonte Williams (RB31).

Chris Rodriguez Jr., Washington

Andy Hicks: Rodriguez had opportunities at the end of his rookie season when Brian Robinson Jr wore down. With Austin Ekeler doing the same this year, Rodriguez will get a chance again. It is hard to give him too much of a bump because he was Washington's fourth choice. He has another good run of games, though, and he moves up the depth chart and the rankings. 

Dynasty Movement at Wide Receiver

Terry McLaurin, Washington

Jason Wood: How many years did we project McLaurin as an alpha-in-waiting? While he's been a solid fantasy asset more often than not, it took Jayden Daniels to unlock McLaurin's full potential. In his sixth season, McLaurin has career highs in catch rate (74%), yards per target (10.9), success rate (62.2%), and most importantly, touchdowns (9 through 13 games). There's no reason McLaurin shouldn't remain the Commanders' lead target for the next few seasons, even if they add additional receivers in the offseason.

Tank Dell, Houston

Jason Wood: We knew the Texans were unlikely to support three top-tier fantasy receivers, which put everyone drafting Stefon Diggs, Nico Collins, and Dell at risk. Fortunately, I bet against Dell, and that was the right call—at least so far. Dell also warrants further downgrading, as he failed to capitalize on the Collins/Diggs injuries, and the Texans' offense faltered with him in the top spot. While Dell has a bright career ahead of him, he'll likely remain in a tertiary role with boom-or-bust big weeks rather than becoming someone you can build a roster around.

Courtland Sutton, Denver

Jason Wood: Sutton's career has been maddeningly inconsistent. After a 72-catch, 1,112-yard sophomore season put him on a trajectory for stardom, he endured a three-season stretch of disappointment. Last year, his yardage (772) and receptions (59) still fell short of expectations, but his ten touchdowns boosted his fantasy value. This year, in his seventh season on a rebuilding team with a rookie starting quarterback, expectations were low. Yet Sutton has found his stride and is on pace for his best year since 2019. With Bo Nix passing all the rookie tests, Sutton projects as a high-target option for the next few seasons.

Ladd McConkey, LA Chargers

Andy Hicks: With Quentin Johnston returning to 2023 form rather than early 2024 production, McConkey has moved to be the clear and undisputed WR1 for the team. He has three one-hundred-yard games in his last six. Impressive on a team that likes to run the ball. The rapport between Justin Herbert and McConkey should only grow stronger with more time. He moves up inside my top 20 receivers for the first time.

Corey Spala: McConkey has 27 targets for 21 receptions over the last three weeks. His development has been exactly what the Chargers wanted. When targeting McConkey, the Chargers have a top-five passing offense by success rate. He ranks first in receiving yards, second in receptions, and tied for third in touchdowns among rookie wide receivers. He is currently ranked as our WR26 and should move up the rankings. I see the argument that he should be ranked over DJ Moore (WR20) and George Pickens (WR18).

Jerry Jeudy, Cleveland

Andy Hicks: Jeudy is finally producing numbers that were expected when he was drafted by Denver in 2020. Since Jameis Winston started, Jeudy has been an elite WR1. While that stands us in good stead for the rest of this year, what happens in the off-season will be crucial. Will there be a new coaching group? Will Deshaun Watson be inflicted on the Browns fans again? Will Jameis Winston be elsewhere? All things being well, Jeudy would move inside my top 20. Until these situations are clarified, he moves just outside for now.

Matt Montgomery: Call me crazy, but we may finally see peak Jeudy in Cleveland. He is doing everything that we all expected him to do in Denver with arguably lesser coaching and support from skill positions. He has had five straight double-digit point games, including the blow-up revenge game last week, where he almost single-handedly won matchups on Monday Night Football. He's still just 25 years old, and I believe he could be a build-around piece for Cleveland as they look to rebuild around (or potentially move past) the return of quarterback Deshaun Watson next season. I want to buy him anywhere and encourage you to do so. 

Corey Spala: Jeudy appears to have resurrected his career this season, specifically with Jameis Winston and the improvement of quarterback play. Since Week 8, Jeudy has averaged 9.8 targets, 6.6 receptions, and 122.8 yards per game, notably having a 235-yard game in Week 13. Jeudy signed a three-year contract with Cleveland, which is signed through 2027. He will be turning 26 years old in April (2025). Jeudy should rise from his current WR59 ranking ahead of Darnell Mooney (WR44) and Keon Coleman (WR39).

Cooper Kupp, LA Rams

Ryan Weisse: As long as Matthew Stafford and Sean McVay are with the Rams, Kupp feels like a safe bet. Yes, there are health and age concerns, but it's hard to ignore the upside. Since his Week 8 return, Kupp has been the fifth-best receiver in fantasy, averaging over nine targets per game. Older players tend to scare people off in Dynasty, but any contending team would be better with Kupp than without. Throw an offer out there; you might be surprised at how cheaply you can land Kupp.

Calvin Ridley, Tennessee

Ryan Weisse: Ridley must be the unchallenged alpha to be a valuable fantasy asset. Since the team traded DeAndre Hopkins, Ridley is the WR11 in fantasy. Even going back to two games before the trade, Ridley is averaging eight targets per game since Week 6. Even better, he's put up good numbers without scoring many touchdowns. If you believe in regression to the mean, Ridley should start to find the endzone more soon, based on the significant volume heading his way. The Titans should go into 2025 with much of their base offense intact, and Ridley still has a few more years left in the tank.

Garrett Wilson, NY Jets

Josh Fahlsing: Wilson is a great player, but even great players can struggle to overcome lousy situations. The New York Jets are, right now, in a terrible situation. I don't know who the QB, coach, or offensive coordinator will be next year. Still, whether they run it back with Aaron Rodgers or bring in a whole new QB and system, the situation in New York could suppress the talent and point-scoring ability of players like Wilson. Keep an eye on New York. You could find a buying opportunity if Wilson's perceived value decreases.

Tee Higgins, Cincinnati

Josh Fahlsing: I wrote "Cincinnati" next to Higgins' name, but my reason for bumping him up the rankings a little bit has more to do with my hope that next year there will be a different team name there. He remains a WR1 waiting to happen; he is still only 25 years old and has proven he can produce.  He checks in at 17, but where would you rank him if he had Josh Allen throwing him the rock next year?

Alec Pierce, Indianapolis

Matt Montgomery: Pierce is a one-trick pony for Indianapolis, but there's something to be said if you're good at that one trick. Pierce always seems to have two to three opportunities a game for a massive deep-ball home run type of catch, and he has had a great success rate on these plays this season. He also appears quarterback-proof with this trick, considering the Colts have flip-flopped on the quarterback position this season. Is he a player you want to build your team around? No, but he is a player. I am perfectly fine as a flex option with a high upside, and depending on the matchups week-to-week, he can be considered a good play. He averages four targets in a tough game, but he has the potential to be around for a while in the league, and the deep ball rarely goes out of style in the NFL. 

Xavier Worthy, Kansas City

Hutchinson Brown - While the numbers have not been incredible, there's been more consistency in his offensive involvement, with 5+ targets for three straight weeks. I am excited to see where this goes for the rest of this season and his outlook in 2025. We saw a similar thing with Rashee Rice last year, in which he got much more involved in the second half. I would not be shocked to see the first-round talent in Worthy do similar things.

 

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