The Denver backfield shakeup was the big story from Week 10. Elsewhere, teams continued to deal with the rash of wide receiver injuries, and new contributors emerged.
The Dynasty staff gathered to work through multiple quarterbacks, running backs, wide receivers, and tight ends who are the biggest risers or fallers in rankings. Check out the Footballguys Dynasty Football show with Jagger May and myself for more Dynasty content. We do three episodes weekly, discussing a variety of relevant Dynasty trends.
Dynasty Movement at Quarterback
Lamar Jackson, Baltimore
Andy Hicks: Seven years into the career of Jackson, you would think we would know his ceiling. He's still a lethal runner with the ball, but his performance as a passer warrants further attention. All his numbers are up - in his last six games, passing percentage, yardage, touchdowns, etc., his lowest passing yardage was 281 yards. He has thrown 19 touchdowns and only one interception. And he hasn’t had a rushing touchdown. And Diontae Johnson was acquired. He has to move to the number one slot.
Caleb Williams, Chicago
Andy Hicks: Talk about a rocky year for the rookie. Things were on track until and including the Washington game. He was developing, and the team was winning. The last three games? Woof. The offensive coordinator was fired, the head coach was on the hot seat, and worst of all, some players in the locker room, including receivers, were asking for his backup to start. He is holding the ball too long, and the offensive line is phoning it in. Now what? A new head coach next year has a lot of work to do. Williams can still be a star, but the roadblocks are severe.
Corey Spala: Williams simply has not been playing well. Multiple variables are attributed to his play: play calling, offensive line, and holding onto the ball for too long. I am not panicking about Williams, but rather, I am considering his current ranking. Williams has flashed his potential, but his current environment does not offer the opportunity for success. We want production paired with age, as the goal is to win in dynasty leagues. He is our current QB7, and I would rather have Joe Burrow (QB8) and, arguably, Kyler Murray (QB10).
Bryce Young, Carolina
Hutchinson Brown: Whatever the Panthers did with Young in his handful of games on the bench worked. Young has found a new confidence and is running well on this offense. It has only been a few games, so remain cautiously optimistic, but he is slowly sneaking back up my dynasty ranks after being pushed down when this season started so poorly.
Trevor Lawrence, Jacksonville
Ryan Weisse: It's hard to look at Jacksonville and think positively. While Lawrence is the 12th-best quarterback this season, he has been carried by three rushing touchdowns. He has one more rushing touchdown than Lamar Jackson on 63 fewer attempts. That's a fluke. If you take two of those touchdowns away, he falls to 20th. Based on his age and draft capital, I still had him as a Top-15 quarterback, but I no longer feel comfortable calling him a top option in Superflex. He is an average second quarterback and now ranks 19th in my dynasty rankings.
Bo Nix, Denver
Jason Wood: Over the last six weeks, Bo Nix has outperformed Jayden Daniels as a fantasy quarterback, yet neither his redraft nor dynasty value reflects this improvement. While I’m not suggesting Nix should be ranked alongside Daniels, the current gap doesn't match the evidence. Nix is running Sean Payton's offense effectively; he's a legitimate rushing threat and putting up impressive points despite Denver's lackluster receiving corps. If the Broncos strengthen their receiver and tight end groups in the offseason, Nix has the potential to become a consistent top-12 fantasy quarterback.
Daniel Jones, NY Giants
Jason Wood: I was already less optimistic about Daniel Jones than the consensus, so this development doesn't change my perspective as much as it might for others. We're nearing the end of Jones' tenure as the Giants' starter, and he'll likely sign with another team as a backup in 2025. Even if he joins a team as a potential starter, it would be a non-contender seeking a temporary solution. Therefore, considering Jones a viable asset in dynasty leagues was questionable and is now untenable.
Sam Darnold, Minnesota
Matthew Montgomery: It appears the real Darnold has stood up. I still believe that Darnold retains value on the market, but it isn’t near as much as his first six weeks would have had us believe. While he still has one of the best offensive coaches in football, he still resorts to the reckless play that has seen him bounce from team to team, and the Vikings will more than likely pivot to McCarthy next season depending on his health, which admittedly has been worse than previously thought.
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Dynasty Movement at Running Back
Chuba Hubbard, Carolina
Andy Hicks: Hubbard was an unheralded player who always got the job done as a reserve option. First, when Christian McCaffery was injured and traded. Then Miles Sanders flopped. Hubbard always played hard and performed well. With highly drafted rookie Jonathan Brooks expected to be the starter when he recovered from his knee injury, Hubbard kept performing well and, in a career year, earned a nice four-year contract extension. He is now a top-10 fantasy back and deserves a solid rise in rankings.
Jason Wood: Regardless of opinions on Brooks, no one anticipated Hubbard's standout performance this year, especially given the Panthers' overall offensive struggles. Concerns that Hubbard's role was temporary until Brooks recovered were dispelled when the Panthers recently signed him to a substantial multi-year extension.
Audric Estime, Denver
Andy Hicks: There were drumbeats that Estime would feature in the Denver backfield during training camp. Javonte Williams trade rumors also appeared. Estime was injured on the season's opening day and disappeared from view. A slow start upon his return, with 13 carries in four games, didn’t appear out of the ordinary. 14 carries against the Chiefs, though, with Williams only getting one carry, was a surprise. Sean Payton prefers his guys, and Estime, for the moment, fits the billing. He gets a solid bump in rankings in anticipation of further workload.
Corey Spala: Estime may have claimed the lead role in Denver’s backfield. In Week 10, Estime had 82% running back share and had 67% of the goal line carries. Estime was drafted at 20 years old and missed four games this season due to injury. His ongoing development and trust with Sean Payton, who notably prefers his ‘guys.’ It would not be surprising to see Estime continue his Week 10 usage and surpass Williams as the RB1 in Denver.
Jason Wood: Estime's rookie season began with challenges, including preseason injuries that delayed his adaptation to Sean Payton's system and an early-season turnover that further hindered his progress. However, the Broncos are unexpectedly in playoff contention, with quarterback Bo Nix performing well. In Week 10, Estime was unexpectedly promoted to the lead running back, recording 14 carries for 53 yards against the Kansas City Chiefs. With Williams and Jaleel McLaughlin not guaranteed roles beyond this year, Estime can establish himself as the lead back for the future if he continues to perform well in the remaining games.
Trey Benson, Arizona
Andy Hicks: Benson has had back-to-back games of at least eight carries and acquitted himself well. In the doghouse for various parts of his rookie year, he is earning playing time while the team rests James Conner. The veteran has never gone close to playing an entire season, and the team is managing him well. Benson doesn’t look for a chance at winning the job outright but is playing himself into contention for a more significant role down the stretch and into 2025.
Corey Spala: Benson looked great in Week 10; he has found confidence in his rushing ability. He ranked first among running backs for yards after contact per carry (5.3) and displayed decisiveness and power with his carries. He has back-to-back 10-point games, playing 27.5% of snaps. Benson has developed well in Arizona and built trust and praise with his coaching staff. Conner has the coaching trust and embodied their culture, too, and will contribute to Arizona. He is due a contract for the 2025 season. It would not be surprising if he re-signs, but it would not be surprising if Benson and Conner switch roles.
Travis Etienne Jr., Jacksonville
Ryan Weisse: As I mentioned when talking about Trevor Lawrence, there's not a lot of positivity around the Jaguars. While I am not as panicked about Etienne as many, he did not belong in my Top 5. He lost a large chunk of work to Tank Bigsby and is 25 years old. Not ancient by any means, but not young for an NFL running back, either. I've moved him back to the tenth-ranked back while we see how things shake out for Jacksonville this offseason. He is still an excellent pass-catcher, which cannot be discounted in fantasy football.
Derrick Henry, Baltimore
Ryan Weisse: I was letting age scare me far too low on Henry, ranking him outside my Top 25. While Father Time is undefeated, it does not appear Henry is slowing down any time soon. At 30, he's the best running back in fantasy this season, and this Baltimore offense should keep him relevant for the next two or three seasons. He now graces my Top 20, and he's worth a lot more than that for contending teams.
Tyrone Tracy Jr., NY Giants
Jason Wood: I was optimistic about Tracy coming into this year, but even I couldn't have expected him to step into the starting lineup this quickly. Despite the Giants' offensive struggles, Tracy is putting up impressive yardage totals. Few running backs are game-script agnostic, and while it's probably too early to label Tracy as matchup-proof, he's making a strong case for elite, must-start upside if the Giants address their quarterback and play-caller situations in 2025.
Chase Brown, Cincinnati
Jason Wood: Brown's progression has been as promising as anticipated. In a Player Spotlight piece this summer, I highlighted Brown as a superior option to Zack Moss and had already ranked him favorably in my dynasty evaluations. Not only has he swiftly secured the starting role, but his involvement in the passing game—a crucial factor for his potential to reach Top 25 status—has been encouraging.
Matthew Montgomery: Brown has been better than advertised this season, and we would have seen this coming long ago. Before the injury to Zack Moss, Brown wasn’t getting many touches, but in those opportunities, he was showing a burst and explosiveness the Bengals hadn’t seen in a few years. Brown is an excellent asset in dynasty and will continue to improve in this role, no matter who they trade for!
Kareem Hunt, Kansas City
Matthew Montgomery: With the impending return of Isaiah Pacheco, this excellent window of Kareem Hunt's fantasy dominance appears to be shut quickly. It was a tremendous nostalgic run for fantasy managers bold enough to scoop him up despite the unknown, and it paid off weekly! I don’t see him retaining any value with Pacheco’s return, and we should just be happy for what we got and not upset that it's over.
J.K. Dobbins, LA Chargers
Hutchinson Brown: Dobbins may hold some value now because of volume, but the clock is quickly ticking. Gus Edwards got significantly involved after returning from injury this past, and looking to the future brings major concerns for Dobbins’ outlook. The 2025 NFL Draft Class is strong at running back, and the Chargers will likely look in that direction due to the lackluster performance of their running back room this year.
Javonte Williams, Denver Broncos
Hutchinson Brown: We may be entering shadow realm conversations with Williams. Even two years after his significant knee injury, he has not played that well, even with excitement from Denver’s offense. It also seems that the fifth-round pick from Notre Dame in Estime may have the lead rushing share in this backfield from now on. Given that he’s a free agent this offseason, we may have to admit that the fantasy-relevant days of Williams look like they could be coming to a close very soon.
Dynasty Movement at Wide Receiver
Marquez Valdes-Scantling, New Orleans
Andy Hicks: A popular waiver wire darling during his time with the Packers and Chiefs, his time with the Bills was unmemorable, with three catches in seven appearances. A trade to the receiver-starved Saints, and look at him now. A waiver wire darling again. His career record following 100-yard games is appalling, though. 45, 44, 4, 55, 50, and 12 are his yards in games following the century mark. Will that change in New Orleans? Probably not. But hope springs eternal for the now 30-year-old journeyman.
Jameson Williams, Detroit
Andy Hicks: Williams started the season great, with 365 yards and three touchdowns in his first five games. Since then? Yuk. A suspension and lack of involvement dampen expectations for the former first-round pick. He has only four career games with more than three catches, and until this volume picks up, relying on long touchdowns is a risky strategy. Needs to drop in rankings until he gets more involved.
Diontae Johnson, Baltimore
Andy Hicks: Carolina did not like what Johnson brought to the table and shipped him for low draft picks at the first opportunity. Johnson had three great fantasy games there and five stinkers. It is excellent for the team in Baltimore, but Johnson has to be at least the fourth option in the passing game. Lamar Jackson is having a career year, but he can’t even feed everyone. After this season, he is a free agent, but it is hard to see him resurrecting his fantasy career. A big drop in rankings.
Hutchinson Brown: Do not begin panicking yet, but in his second game, he saw 8% of the snaps after his 30% snap share in his first game as a Raven. So far, in two games, he has one catch and already seems to have a problem with the Ravens based on social media posts. Baltimore already doesn't pass much, and they prioritize Zay Flowers and Mark Andrews. I was concerned for Johnson when he got traded, but that feeling is growing after two weeks of playing for Baltimore.
Jalen Coker, Carolina
Corey Spala: Despite being undrafted, Coker has played well with his limited snaps (223) thus far. In Week 10, he played 88% of snaps, a significant increase from his 57% average from Weeks 5-9. He was the first read on 36.4% of plays and had the fifth-highest weighted opportunity rating. Coker has begun the transition of finding a meaningful role with increased playing time. He is making an argument for being Carolina’s WR1.
Ricky Pearsall, San Francisco
Corey Spala: Pearsall missed the first six games yet has transitioned well to complement the San Francisco offense following the loss of Brandon Aiyuk. He played his first game in Week 7 and has accumulated 15 targets through three games (Week 9 bye). He has played well against zone coverage but must make positive strides against man coverage. He does not have the immediate outlook desired to play behind Christian McCaffrey, George Kittle, and Christian McCaffrey, but his dynasty outlook is desired.
Ryan Weisse: Many factors were working against my ranking of Pearsall. I didn't know much about him coming out of college. I didn't love the landing spot, and he got shot. Who knows how to rate a receiver who was shot in the chest in August? I didn't know if he'd play this season, so he fell out of my Top 60. Well, miraculously, he is playing just two months after getting shot, and he looks pretty good in this 49ers offense. I'm not sure what his role will be after Brandon Aiyuk gets healthy next season, but for now, Pearsall belongs in my Top 50.
Darnell Mooney, Atlanta
Ryan Weisse: After a pretty solid rookie season in Chicago, Mooney fell from grace in an offense that was not great for fantasy production. I had high hopes for him in Atlanta, and it's safe to say he exceeded my expectations. He is putting together a top-10 season with Kirk Cousins, and at just 27 years old, this could be his fantasy output for the next two seasons, assuming Cousins plays out his contract. Mooney was outside my Top 50 but now moves up into my Top 40.
Zay Flowers, Baltimore
Jason Wood: I didn't need any convincing about Flowers' talents, but I wasn't sure the Ravens offense would have the passing volume to support Flowers as more than a low-end WR2. However, Lamar Jackson's evolution continues, and he's now the league's most efficient passer on top of his world-beating rushing upside. If Jackson's new touchdown thresholds are sustainable, Flowers has top-15 upside.
George Pickens, Pittsburgh
Jason Wood: I was materially below industry consensus on Pickens, but not for any reason. The Steelers' multi-year offensive ineptitude and low passing volume made it hard for Pickens' talents to match his projections. But we've gotten glimpses lately of brighter days as Russell Wilson has unlocked the offense. Assuming Wilson sustains this kind of output, Pickens warrants a top-25 ranking, at a minimum.
Matthew Montgomery: Pickens has always been a high-upside player who flashes greatness, but now that we are seeing a new and improved Russel Wilson, we are seeing the breakout of another great Steelers Wide Receiver. He has steady target floors with huge play upside. Despite the quarterbacks, he has been an outstanding player, but Wilson’s ability to get him the ball deep downfield has unlocked another level for Pickens to get to. That should make fantasy managers and Steelers fans alike jump for joy!
Chris Olave, New Orleans
Jason Wood: I'm far below consensus on Olave and believe the industry is overly optimistic about his long-term prospects. The Saints are in complete disarray and may finally need to dismantle after deferring salary-cap issues for several seasons. More importantly, Olave suffered yet another concussion, and even at his age and talent level, we must question how long his career will last.
Quentin Johnston, LA Chargers
Jason Wood: Johnston has made a significant leap in rankings this week, moving up 29 spots, though he remains outside the top 40 wide receivers. His recent performances have been impressive, suggesting he can be a multi-year starter, likely as the Chargers' No. 2 receiver behind Ladd McConkey. However, Greg Roman's offensive schemes have historically lacked the passing volume to support two fantasy-relevant receivers. If Roman adapts his approach to leverage Justin Herbert's talents and achieves a league-average level of pass attempts, Johnston could become a consistent fantasy starter.
Jauan Jennings, San Francisco
Matthew Montgomery: Jennings has proven to be an effective piece of the 49ers' passing game in the absence of Brandon Aiyuk. He is young enough that I could see him sticking around and leading the 49ers into their post-Deebo, Kittle, McCaffery era alongside Aiyuk, and he is starting to stand out more and more in this offense. He has a stable quarterback, an excellent play-caller, and pieces around him that take up many defensive assignments, leaving him to feast on his opponent's “other guys.”
Dynasty Movement at Tight End
T.J. Hockenson, Minnesota
Andy Hicks: The return of Hockenson gives the Vikings an exciting option heading toward a hopeful playoff appearance. Guys with only one or even zero touchdowns are appearing in the top 12 ranked tight ends on the year to date, so Hockenson easily slots back into the middle of this group. He should be even better as his knee strengthens and the target hog slots right back into where he was ranked before injury.
Cade Otton, Tampa Bay
Ryan Weisse: I will continue to write about Otton until he gets overvalued. Notably, Otton does not possess the athleticism desired to be an asset like George Kittle. However, he does have the ability to be a trusted pass catcher in an offense. During Chris Godwin and Mike Evans ' absences, Otton has 29 targets over the last three weeks. He is our current TE18, and I see no reason we should not have him above Pat Freiermuth, Isaiah Likely, Dallas Goedert, and Cole Kmet.
Jason Wood: As a long-time fantasy analyst (an old head), my initial exposure to fantasy sports came from rotisserie baseball. Ron Shandler, a pioneer in the field, introduced the concept that once players display a skill, they own it forever. Applying this to Otton, his recent emergence as a primary target demonstrates his potential to be a top-tier fantasy asset. While his increased production is partly due to injuries to Mike Evans and Chris Godwin, it's important to note that both receivers are veterans. Otton, being younger, has a longer career ahead and the opportunity to become a focal point in the Buccaneers offense.
Theo Johnson, NY Giants
Corey Spala: Rookie tight ends not drafted in the first or second round are typically viewed as developmental tight ends. Johnson won the TE1 role over Daniel Bellinger to start the season and has played well for the Giants. Johnson has 21 receptions through 10 games; this is not eye-opening but intriguing, given his rookie tight end designation. With continued development into his 2025 season, he should also continue to rise in the tight-end rankings.
Mike Gesicki, Cincinnati
Ryan Weisse: My ranking for the journeyman tight end was far too low, with him outside my Top 30. It was hard to have much confidence after seeing him bounce around the league. However, a trend emerging could mean good things for Gesicki's future if he stays in Cincinnati and Tee Higgins moves on. Gesicki averages over 12 fantasy points per game in five games without Higgins this season. In the last three games, he ranks as the third-best tight end in fantasy. I moved him up into my Top 20, and he could climb further this offseason once we see how the contracts shake out.
Cole Kmet, Chicago
Jason Wood: The early-season touchdown barrage was a head fake. The Bears' offense has collapsed, leading to the firing of offensive coordinator Shane Waldron. More significant changes are likely in the offseason. Given the uncertainty surrounding the 2025 roster, it's improbable that Kmet will be targeted more than the fourth-most among Bears players.
Trey McBride, Arizona
Matthew Montgomery: I don’t believe there should be any doubt that McBride is the TE1 in the dynasty. I love Brock Bowers, and this isn’t about him not being good enough, but McBride is the current TE3 on the season and hasn’t even scored a touchdown! We will see his growth in that department by season’s end, and due to this, his stock will continue to rise to that number 1 spot.