Two of my favorite things are Best Ball and Underdog Fantasy, and each week this offseason, I want to share with you my insights on both. With Underdog Fantasy releasing the Best Ball Mania IV tournament a few months ago, excitement has been growing each day. Each week I want to break down what has changed from the previous week when it comes to NFL news, Best Ball news, and the top ADP Risers and Fallers on Underdog. It's useful to compare Best Ball to the stock market and day trading stocks, but instead of stocks, we are looking at NFL players, specifically those players' Average Draft Position (ADP). We are constantly wanting to find those players who are of value in our drafts and avoid some of the players who might be overvalued.
Each week I will look at the Underdog ADP tool on 4for4.com to examine the top 10 risers and the top 10 fallers at ADP. These shifts in ADP are often driven by the news we have coming in that week and what some of the major touts in the industry might be saying about said players.
TOP 10 ADP RISERS
| RANK | PLAYER | POSITION | TEAM | JULY 24 ADP | ADP CHANGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zamir White | RB | LV | 195.8 | 12.6 |
| 2 | Ryan Tannehill | QB | TEN | 199.9 | 11.1 |
| 3 | Leonard Fournette | RB | FA | 190.3 | 8.7 |
| 4 | Skyy Moore | WR | KC | 99.3 | 6.9 |
| 5 | Tank Bigsby | RB | JAC | 137.3 | 4.4 |
| 6 | DeVante Parker | WR | NE | 188.1 | 4.4 |
| 7 | Kyler Murray | QB | ARI | 149.8 | 3.4 |
| 8 | Nico Collins | WR | HOU | 116.4 | 3.3 |
| 9 | Mecole Hardman Jr. | WR | NYJ | 204.6 | 3.3 |
| 10 | Jerick McKinnon | RB | KC | 124.1 | 3.0 |
***These ten ADP risers are based on the dates 07/17/2023-07/24/23***
The top ten risers this week are littered with speculation situations causing depth pieces to rise in ADP. The number one riser is Zamir White, who has been pushed up a round at the end of drafts with the fear that Josh Jacobs will miss some time to open up the season. The number two riser is Ryan Tannehill, who has been given DeAndre Hopkins as his shiny new wide receiver in Tennessee as they look to stay competitive. Leonard Fournette is the next biggest riser and still remains a free agent, but with links to New England, drafters are trying to get ahead of the signing.
Skyy Moore is next on the risers list as his ties to Patrick Mahomes II help his cause as drafters are desperate to find the top wide receiver in Kansas City, but now his cost is a top 100 pick at ADP. My personal favorite riser this week is Tank Bigsby, who is up 4.4 ADP spots this week and sits at 137.3 overall. I see him as a player that will continue to rise, and a top 100 ADP pick is not out of the question. He remains a solid buy for me right now and is my favorite player on this week's top ten risers list.
The next three wide receivers on this list are all interesting: DeVante Parker, Nico Collins, and Mecole Hardman. I see them as more of a forced rise in ADP as the wide receiver market on Underdog continues to be hammered, and I view these three names as names of players that drafters are just forcing onto teams because they have missed out on the position earlier in the draft.
TOP 10 ADP FALLERS
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