Welcome to the dynasty trading post, where optimizing strategy, roster construction, format, and player value oscillations are examined weekly in example and completed dynasty trades.
This week, we will look at the quarterback market for contending teams who have lost (or have question marks at the position. C.J. Stroud is a good bet to miss Week 15 (and possibly more), and Justin Herbert has been declared out for the season. Geno Smith missed Week 14 and is to be determined for Week 15. Joshua Dobbs was benched last week. Here are potential answers through trading to supplement contending teams:
*All trades are Superflex unless stated otherwise*
Bargain-Bin Shopping
The range of cost in this group can range from a 2024 2nd (or equivalent) for Jake Browning down to a future 3rd (or less) for Tommy Devito or Mitch Trubisky. Browning is playing his way into a longer-term backup (at a minimum). Through 46 qualifying quarterbacks since 2010 in their first three starts (60+ passes, 3+ touchdowns, >60% completion rate thresholds), Browning ranks fourth in passer rating, first in completion rate, first in yards-per-attempt, and ninth in success rate. In short, Browning is having a rare outcome early in his starting opportunities. Even if merely one of the better backups in the NFL to Joe Burrow for the next season or two, a contending 2nd is appropriate for the profile and utility. Joe Flacco is the next preferred option, averaging 0.42 passing points per dropback, which is just below Browning of the above list (0.44) and ahead of options like Jared Goff, Jordan Love, Matthew Stafford, and Russell Wilson. Here are a few example trades from this subset:
- Browning for 2024 2nd
- Browning for JuJu Smith-Schuster, 2024 3rd
- Flacco for 2024 3rd
- Flacco, Gardner Minshew for 2024 3rd, 2024 4th
- Wilson for 2024 4th
- Wilson, Jerry Jeudy for Diontae Johnson
- DeVito for 2024 4th
- Trubisky, Zay Jones for Ryan Tannehill
- Trubisky for Jimmy Garoppolo
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Fixing, Plus 2024 Supplementation
The price range on this group ranges from a 1st+ on the high end for Jordan Love down to Baker Mayfield costing less than a 1st. The good news about this list compared to the Bargain Bin options is much higher odds of acquiring a 2024 Week 1 starter in addition to the remaining 2023 games. Also, they all have profiles to point to 2025 and beyond starting opportunities pending health and no dramatic play level fall off. Mayfield is the shakiest of the quintet but has 1.01 pedigree on his side, which, combined with his reclamation season in 2023, historically earns him more starting opportunities and a good chance at a multi-year contract post-2023.
- Love for Bryce Young, 2024 3rd
- Love for 2024 2nd, 2024 2nd
- Wilson, Tony Pollard for 2024 1st, 2024 2nd
- Wilson for Rhamondre Stevenson
- Stafford for Kirk Cousins
- Stafford, 2025 4th for Aaron Rodgers, 2025 3rd
- Goff, Rondale Moore, 2024 2nd for Bryce Young, Dontayvion Wicks, 2025 3rd
- Goff for Calvin Ridley, 2026 3rd
- Mayfield for 2024 2nd, 2024 3rd
- Mayfield, 2024 4th for David Njoku (1.5 TEP)
- Mayfield, Rico Dowdle, 2026 3rd for Derek Carr, 2025 2nd
Bigger Deal Hunting
Dak Prescott is producing at an elite level, yet the dynasty trading market is still lagging behind his profile in the QB8-10 range. Prescott is arguably the best dynasty quarterback buy considering his current-year trajectory, but also his long-term profile for the price point. Prescott might cost multiple future Round 1 picks in equivalent, but look to pay with 2024-centric or injured players as part of the package in an ideal contending team prism.
- Prescott, Cooper Kupp for Justin Herbert, Christian Kirk
- Prescott for Will Levis, 2025 1st
- Prescott, 2024 1st, 2024 1st for C.J. Stroud, Jordan Addison
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