Dynasty Rankings Movement, Week 6

Photo: USA Today Sports

Week 5 saw a breakout by the Chicago Bears offense and Breece Hall. How did that affect the dynasty landscape? Weekly, the Footballguys staff will share their thoughts on the dynasty ranking movement to monitor while answering a question you may face in your league.

Breece Hall had a huge game against Denver. Do you see him taking over the majority of the workload for the Jets? What happens to Dalvin Cook?

Christian Williams

Yes, Breece Hall forced his coaches to give him a fuller workload moving forward. Week 5 marked the first week he had "no workload restrictions," per reports, and he delivered. He played on 52% of snaps, his highest share of the season. Hall has led or tied the lead in backfield targets in the last two weeks. And he was supremely efficient, fast, and looking like the rookie we saw having an outstanding year. Unfortunately, Dalvin Cook is relevant only in the event of an injury to the former, with low expectations for fantasy output even in that instance.

Chad Parsons

Breece Hall has become the clear starter with Michael Carter's passing game and hurry-up situation dominance more of the concern than anything from Dalvin Cook. Hall was ramped up perfectly post-injury, with the team declaring Hall would see no limitations in his snaps in Week 5, and he is an auto-start running back going forward.

Corey Spala

Breece Hall should take over moving forward. Following Head Coach Robert Saleh's comments suggesting Hall would not be limited, Hall proceeded to have season highs in snaps, carries, and targets. Despite a limited workload, he is currently sixth in rushing yards. The New York Jets trust his ACL recovery moving forward, and Hall will look to help lead them to a potential playoff berth. Dalvin Cook will continue to have limited appeal whether Hall takes the majority of the workload or not.

Jay Stein

According to Next Gen Stats, Breece Hall is second in rush yards over expected per attempt (ryoe/att) at 3.31, behind only rookie De'Von Achane. Dalvin Cook's ryoe/att is the 2nd worst in the NFL at -1.46. Hall is 6th in rush yards (386), 2nd in yards per attempt (7.2), 2nd in yards after contact per attempt (4.8), 1st in break-away percentage (15+ yard runs, 67.1%), and he has the longest run from scrimmage on the season (83). Cook is at the bottom of those categories. Hall had an incredibly efficient outing in week one but was limited to ten attempts on seventeen snaps, with a 31% snap share. Hall's snap share has progressively improved from the 30s to the 40s, then 52% in week five.

On the other hand, Dalvin Cook's snap share started at 50% in week one and faded into the 30s, then the 20s, and in week five, it was just 17%. All signs point to Hall taking most of the workload for the Jets. Cook was brought in as a safety measure for the Aaron Rodgers led, SuperBowl contending New York Jets, a backstop in case Hall couldn't return to old form after his injury, especially early on in the season. Now it looks like Hall is mostly back, and that should continue for the rest of this season.

Quarterback Movement

Chad Parsons

Anthony Richardson - On a per-quarter and per-play basis this season, Richardson is an elite QB1. The injuries and partial games have clouded an optimistic passing start, plus a strong fantasy outcome overall if there is a discount due to an injury-prone label to push Richardson down to QB8-12 prices, pounce, and buy.

Jay Stein

Mac Jones - A lot is going wrong with the New England Patriots this season. There must be a better offensive line, pass-catching, rushing, and quarterback play. It's all a little related, but some blame falls on Mac Jones. Jones leads the league in PFF's turnover-worthy plays with 12 on the season. He is 28th in PFF's passing grades at 58.8. He is 3rd from last in adjusted completion percentage at 68.9%. Jones is also sporting a bottom-five completion percentage above expectation of -1.7. He is at the bottom of the league in expected points added per play (EPA/play) at -0.29. Jones is playing poorly, and coming into the season, his job seemed pretty secure. It now feels like there is a possibility he may not be the future starting quarterback of the Patriots over the long term, let alone the rest of this season.

Christian Williams

Bryce Young - While fewer than five games for a rookie quarterback is not an adequate sample size to judge one way or another, Bryce Young has moved down my dynasty rankings. The 5-foot-10 first-overall pick has struggled this season, and fantasy managers have felt the repercussions. He's not a dual-threat quarterback, and he looks lost at times. The situation could be better, and there's still hope for Young to be a great NFL starter. But any high-end fantasy output likely won't come until 2024, which inherently moves him down my rankings.