Vegas Value Chart: Week 3

John Lee's Vegas Value Chart: Week 3 John Lee Published 09/20/2021

Every week, the first step of your DFS homework should be to examine the opening Vegas odds on all the NFL games for that week. Through some fairly simple algebra, it is easy to derive a spreadsheet that predicts team totals for every game, thereby allowing you to develop a rudimentary gamescript to help narrow down your decisions for the week. Once the appealing (and unappealing) games have been highlighted, it becomes easier to focus upon those games to help build your core of players for that week; the caveat, however, is that the NFL is a dynamic league and anything is subject to change from Tuesday to Sunday...so keep that in mind as the week progresses and always monitor player injuries, weather conditions, and potential roster moves. Let's take a look.

[Blue font indicates games *not* on the DFS main slate.]

Updated on Sunday, September 26th @ 8 AM

Team Opponent Odds Game Total Team Total Passing Running Team Defense
Kansas City LA Chargers -7 54.5 30.75 ««« «««
Arizona Jacksonville -7.5 51.5 29.5 ««« «««
Baltimore Detroit -7.5 50.5 29 ««« «««
Seattle Minnesota -2 55 28.5 ««« «««
Tampa Bay LA Rams -1.5 55.5 28.5 ««« «««
Dallas Philadelphia -3.5 51.5 27.5 «« ««
LA Rams Tampa Bay 1.5 55.5 27 «« ««
Minnesota Seattle 2 55.5 26.75 «« ««
San Francisco Green Bay -3 50 26.5 «« ««
Buffalo Washington -7 45.5 26.25 «« ««« «
Cleveland Chicago -7.5 44.5 26 «« ««« «
Tennessee Indianapolis -4.5 47 25.75 «« ««
Denver NY Jets -10 41.5 25.75 « «« «««
Carolina Houston -8 43 25.5 « «« «
NY Giants Atlanta -2.5 47.5 25 « «
Philadelphia Dallas 3.5 51.5 24
Las Vegas Miami -3.5 44 23.75
LA Chargers Kansas City 7 54.5 23.75
Green Bay San Francisco 3 50 23.5
Pittsburgh Cincinnati -3 43 23 Photos provided by Imagn Images
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Daily FF DraftKings FanDuel Brandon Aiyuk Josh Allen Robbie Chosen Mark Andrews Saquon Barkley Cole Beasley Tom Brady Teddy Bridgewater A.J. Brown Antonio Brown Marquise Brown Chris Carson Nick Chubb James Conner Dalvin Cook Amari Cooper Kirk Cousins Sam Darnold Stefon Diggs Chase Edmonds Clyde Edwards-Helaire Ezekiel Elliott Dee Eskridge Mike Evans Gerald Everett Noah Fant Anthony Firkser Leonard Fournette Jimmy Garoppolo Chris Godwin Kenny Golladay Melvin Gordon III A.J. Green Rob Gronkowski Mecole Hardman Jr. Derrick Henry Tyler Higbee Tyreek Hill DeAndre Hopkins Kareem Hunt Lamar Jackson Blake Jarwin Justin Jefferson Daniel Jones Julio Jones Ronald Jones II Travis Kelce Christian Kirk George Kittle Cooper Kupp CeeDee Lamb Tyler Lockett Patrick Mahomes II Baker Mayfield Christian McCaffrey DK Metcalf Sony Michel Elijah Mitchell DJ Moore Rondale Moore Zack Moss Kyler Murray David Njoku K.J. Osborn Tim Patrick Donovan Peoples-Jones Tony Pollard Dak Prescott Deebo Samuel Emmanuel Sanders Dalton Schultz Anthony Schwartz Sterling Shepard Devin Singletary Darius Slayton Matthew Stafford Courtland Sutton Ryan Tannehill Adam Thielen Sammy Watkins Javonte Williams Ty'Son Williams Russell Wilson Robert Woods
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