Every week, the first step of your DFS homework should be to examine the opening Vegas odds on all the NFL games for that week. Through some fairly simple algebra, it is easy to derive a spreadsheet that predicts team totals for every game, thereby allowing you to develop a rudimentary gamescript to help narrow down your decisions for the week. Once the appealing (and unappealing) games have been highlighted, it becomes easier to focus upon those games to help build your core of players for that week; the caveat, however, is that the NFL is a dynamic league and anything is subject to change from Tuesday to Sunday...so keep that in mind as the week progresses and always monitor player injuries, weather conditions, and potential roster moves. Let's take a look.
[Blue font indicates games *not* on the DFS main slate.]
UPDATED SATURDAY, DECEMBER 4th @ 12 PM (EST)
Team | Opponent | Odds | Game Total | Team Total | Passing | Running | Team Defense |
Tampa Bay | Atlanta | -10.5 | 50.5 | 30.5 | ««« | ««« | |
LA Rams | Jacksonville | -13 | 48 | 30.5 | ««« | ««« | «« |
Kansas City | Denver | -9.5 | 47 | 28.25 | «« | ««« | « |
Indianapolis | Houston | -10 | 44.5 | 27.25 | « | «« | «« |
Minnesota | Detroit | -7.5 | 46.5 | 27 | « | «« | « |
Dallas | New Orleans | -5.5 | 47.5 | 26.5 | « | « | |
Cincinnati | LA Chargers | -3 | 49.5 | 26.25 | « | « | |
Philadelphia | NY Jets | -6.5 | 45 | 25.75 | « | ||
Las Vegas | Washington | -1.5 | 49.5 | 25.5 | |||
Arizona | Chicago | -7.5 | 42.5 | 25 | «« | ||
San Francisco | Seattle | -3 | 45.5 | 24.25 | |||
Baltimore | Pittsburgh | -4.5 | 44 | 24.25 | « | ||
Washington | Las Vegas | 1.5 | 49.5 | 24 | |||
LA Chargers | Cincinnati | 3 | 49.5 | 23.25 | |||
Miami | NY Giants | -6 | 39.5 | 22.75 | «« | ||
Buffalo | New England | -2.5 | 41 | 21.75 | « | ||
Seattle | San Francisco | 3 | 45.5 | 21.25 | |||
New Orleans | Dallas | 5.5 | 47.5 | 21 | |||
Atlanta | Tampa Bay | 10.5 | 50.5 | 20 | |||
Pittsburgh | Baltimore | 4.5 | 44 | 19.75 | Photos provided by USA TODAY Sports
Tags
Daily FF
DraftKings
FanDuel
Odell Beckham Jr
Tyler Boyd
Tom Brady
Joe Burrow
Ja'Marr Chase
Tyler Conklin
James Conner
Amari Cooper
Kirk Cousins
Jack Doyle
Clyde Edwards-Helaire
Ezekiel Elliott
Mike Evans
Leonard Fournette
Michael Gallup
Chris Godwin
Dallas Goedert
A.J. Green
Rob Gronkowski
Mecole Hardman Jr.
Darrell Henderson Jr.
Tyler Higbee
Tee Higgins
Tyreek Hill
DeAndre Hopkins
Jalen Hurts
Justin Jefferson
Travis Kelce
Christian Kirk
Cooper Kupp
CeeDee Lamb
Patrick Mahomes II
Alexander Mattison
Joe Mixon
Rondale Moore
Kyler Murray
Zach Pascal
Michael Pittman Jr
Tony Pollard
Dak Prescott
Miles Sanders
Dalton Schultz
Boston Scott
DeVonta Smith
Matthew Stafford
Jonathan Taylor
Adam Thielen
Quez Watkins
Carson Wentz
Darrel Williams
just now
|