BELOW ARE SOME PROPS HEADING INTO WEEK 16.
All props are coming from DraftKings Sportsbook lines and be sure to keep checking back throughout the weekend as props are added over the course of the 24 hours prior to the game. The number of props will largely depend on the recommended plays. We will not be forcing the number of props just to meet a number as if it is on here, it is deemed a good play
Check back each Sunday Morning as props will be added throughout the week.
See something else you like? Send me a note on Twitter
WEEK 14 RECAP- 2-3
Lamar Jackson Under 62.5 Rushing Yards- Win
Cam Akers Over 68.5 Rushing Yards- Loss
Jordan Akins Under 30.5 Receiving Yards- Loss
Tua Tagavailoa No Interceptions- Loss
James Robinson More Rushing Yards than J.K. Dobbins- Loss
|
Week |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
Total |
|
Record |
5-2 |
4-1 |
1-6 |
4-3 |
2-3 |
3-4 |
3-2 |
2-3 |
4-1 |
3-4 |
5-2 |
2-3 |
2-3 |
3-4 |
1-4 |
44-45 |
WEEK 16 PLAYS
Tyreek Hill Over 77.5 Receiving Yards-
Tyreek Hill is poised for a massive day this week. Atlanta has allowed the second-most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers, and have allowed 14 wide receivers this season to top 90 yards. The Falcons will be without Darqueze Dennard this week as well making matters only worse as Kendall Sheffield will step into the starting lineup and likely see a lot of Hill due to Sheffield’s speed. Sheffield has the speed to keep up with Hill as he also runs a 4.3, but the problem is that if you’re that fast and were a 4th round draft pick and a backup on the worst secondary in football you do not have the technique to cover receivers. Hill is poised for a monster day.
Lamar Jackson Under 61.5 Rushing Yards
This is almost an identical write-up of last week, but we are going back to the well with Lamar Jackson this week. In games that the Ravens win by 10 or more this season, Jackson has topped 60 yards just once in his 7 games. The Giants have done a decent job at shutting down mobile quarterbacks as evidenced by shutting down Kyler Murray a few weeks ago holding him to just 47 yards on 13 carries. Jabrill Peppers is a flawed safety, but the one thing he is great at is stopping the run, so expect him to potentially spy on Jackson for most of this game.
Le’Veon Bell Under 56.5 Rushing Yards
With no Clyde Edwards-Helaire, it is expected that Bell will step into the primary role for the Chiefs. While it is likely that he will see the most carries this week, the Chiefs are likely going to go with a pass heavy attack. The Falcons have one of the best run defenses in football allowing just 3.7 yards-per-carry this season. They also face the second fewest rushing attempts per game as teams elect to throw against the abysmal pass defense that is the worst in the league. Footballguys has Bell projected at just 47 yards which is likely where the line should be this week.
Russell Wilson Under 272.5 Passing Yards
This line just seems wrong this week. Wilson has not thrown for over 272 since Week 9 against Buffalo and is averaging just 210 yards passing over his last six games. Now, he is facing off against the best pass defense in the NFL that is allowing just 213 passing yards per game. Earlier this season, Wilson threw for just 248 against the Rams and Footballguys has Wilson projected for just 254 yards. Take advantage of this number that is overinflated based on the player he was in the first half of the season.
Sunday Morning Additions:
Sam Darnold Over 209 yards
Darnold has not topped 209 yards over his last six games, but there is some room for optimism this week as reflected in the number that DraftKings is giving us a number in which reflects Darnold's upside. Darnold looked great last week against the best pass defense in the NFL in the Rams. Darnold completed 71% of his passes against the Rams and is starting to have his weapons develop which has been an issue for the Jets is the lack of wide receiver talent. Both Denzel Mims and Breshad Perriman have been nice complimentary players alongside Jamison Crowder. Cleveland's pass defense has largely been up and down throughout the year, but as of late they have not been great. They allowed 225 yards to Colt McCoy last week and 235 yards to Mike Glennon back in Week 12. Darnold is more than capable to have these types of performances. Footballguys has Darnold projected for 214 yards which while 209 is not the best number, it is a few yards too low.
J.K. Dobbins Over 62.5 Rushing Yards
Dobbins is starting to develop into a bell cow running back as he is averaging 12.7 carries per game over his last three games increasing those carries in each of those contests. If not for a blowout last week, he likely was in line to be closer to 18 carries instead of the 14 he had. This week, Dobbins faces off against the Giants who have been a strong defense, but are allowing 4.0 yards per carry. If Dobbins can break one run, he should easily surpass 62 yards. Footballguys has Dobbins projected for 74 yards.
Melvin Gordon Over 70.5 Rushing Yards
With no Phillip Lindsay this week, Gordon is in a tremendous spot to have a monster day this week. The last time that Lindsay missed a game, Gordon had 21 carries and was the only running back to top 100 yards against the Jets. Gordon is facing the Chargers who are allowing 4.7 yards-per-carry on the season. With the Chargers having a dominant pass defense, the way to beat them is on the ground. Expect Gordon to have close to 20 carries this week and come much closer to Footballguys projection of 80 yards this week.