BELOW ARE SOME PROPS HEADING INTO WEEK 11.
All props are coming from DraftKings Sportsbook lines and be sure to keep checking back throughout the weekend as props are added over the course of the 24 hours prior to the game. The number of props will largely depend on the recommended plays. We will not be forcing the number of props just to meet a number as if it is on here, it is deemed a good play
Check back each Sunday Morning as props will be added throughout the week.
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WEEK 10 RECAP- 3-4
Daniel Jones Under 234.5 Passing Yards- Loss
Jake Luton Over 224.5 Passing Yards- Loss
James Robinson Under 67.5 Rushing Yards- Loss
Mike Davis Under 51.5 Rushing Yards- Win
Mike Gesicki Over 34.5 Receiving Yards- Win
Kareem Hunt Under 61.5 Rushing Yards- Loss
Baker Mayfield Under 204.5 Passing Yards- Win
|
Week |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
Total |
|
Record |
5-2 |
4-1 |
1-6 |
4-3 |
2-3 |
3-4 |
3-2 |
2-3 |
4-1 |
3-4 |
31-29 |
WEEK 11 PLAYS
Baker Mayfield Under 222.5
If there is one thing this article has gotten right this season it is picking on Baker Mayfield. Mayfield has struggled for most of the season and with no Odell Beckham, the lack of receiving options in Cleveland continues to be a major concern. Mayfield has only topped 222.5 three times this season and two of those games were against the Bengals. The biggest problem for the Browns this week is the amount of pressure that the Eagles bring as they’re third in sacks on the season. That is especially problematic as Mayfield under pressure has just a 30.8 quarterback rating which is 38th in the NFL this season.
Lamar Jackson Over 219.5 Passing Yards
Tennessee’s secondary is largely falling apart as they have allowed 287 yards passing per game on the season, but Adoree Jackson is hurt once again and this is a secondary that has allowed every quarterback since Week 2 to throw for over the 219.5 mark that Jackson needs this week. The competition has not been that strong as they’ve faced Gardner Minshew, Nick Foles, Kirk Cousins, and Philip Rivers all during that time frame as well. The reason this is so low is because of Jackson, but over the last two weeks his accuracy has looked better as he has completed 70% and 82% of his passes with a quarterback rating over 95 in each of those games. This is a get right game for Jackson this week.
Hayden Hurst Over 38.5 Receiving Yards
Hayden Hurst is quietly turning into a reliable tight end for the Falcons as of late as he has 18 receptions over his last three contests and while Calvin Ridley will return this week, it should still be a favorable spot for Hurst this week. New Orleans on the season is allowing 53 receiving yards per game to opposing tight ends which is 11th worst in the league, but if you look into this stat a little bit more, outside of a game in which Darren Waller had 103 yards, they have faced guys who are second or third tier in terms of talent.
Frank Gore Over 8.5 Rushing Attempts
Just this week, Adam Gase came out and said that Frank Gore is playing at one of the higher levels on the team. Do we think that means that his workload is going to decrease, as it sure doesn’t seem like it. Gore has had 9 or more carries in every game since Week 2 as the Jets remain committed to giving the 37-year-old consistent touches. In a game that should be a little bit closer than some of their past games, expect Gore to see 11-13 carries this week.
Matt Ryan Over 0.5 Interceptions
The Saints defense after a slow start is starting to turn the corner when it comes to turnovers. The team has six interceptions over their last three games and is in a position where they’re facing a familiar opponent in Matt Ryan who has thrown an interception or more in five of his last six games against the Saints. Ryan has also thrown an interception in two consecutive games after a brilliant start to the season. This is a prop we typically don’t take, and not something you want to watch live, but check the box score after the game and we expect there to be at least a 1 in the interception column for Ryan.
Sunday Update
Lamical Perine Under 68.5 Rushing+Receiving Yards
This seems like a mistake by DraftKings. Perine has not topped 56 yards this season. The Chargers run defense has fallen apart a little bit recently allowing big games to Salvon Ahmed, but they should get Joey Bosa back this week which will greatly improve their defense. With this game expected to be a blowout, Perine could have a rough day this week.
Miles Sanders Under 73.5 Rushing Yards
Consistent touches for Sanders have been a problem as over his last four games, he is averaging just 12 carries per game and the team has mentioned that they will continue to split the carries. Sanders production is largely built off of averaging 6.0 yards-per-carry which is outstanding, but also not sustainable. The Browns are allowing just 3.9 yards-per-carry and have only allowed two running backs to top 70 yards this season (James Conner and Josh Jacobs) who required an average of 25.5 carries in those games. Sanders will get close, but unless he gets 16 carries, he could be in for a tough one this week.