Beyond the Stats Week 16

Photo: USA Today Sports

did you know?

• All your money on Philly. This week a team with over 100 quarterback rating (PHI, 102.6) will play a team with over 100 quarterback rating against (OAK, 102.6)
• Pretty close with these other teams - KC vs MIA (103.2 vs 94.1) and NO vs ATL (104.0 vs 95.8) and MIN vs GB (99.7 vs 100.5).
• Did the 49ers find their franchise QB? - Yards gained per pass completion leaders this year are Deshaun Watson (13.5) and Jared Goff (12.8). In three starts, Jimmy Garoppolo is at 13.0.  
• More on Jimmy - 43.5% of Jimmy Garoppolo's passes are first downs. Highest of any quarterback with 100 pass attempts this season.
• All alone - Tennessee is the only team with more rushing touchdowns (17) than passing touchdowns (13)
• On pace for a personal best - Cam Newton needs 99 rushing yards to beat his season high 741 yards in 2012. 
• Speaking of Cam - Newton has 15 more carries than Alvin Kamara this year, but Kamara has 9 more rushing yards. 
• Almost there - Carlos Hyde has the most targets for a running back (81) without a receiving touchdown.
• Who knew? Christian McCaffrey (212.4) has more PPR fantasy points than Rob Gronkowski (207.6)
• Essentially a three-way tie in New England - PPR points - James White 134, Dion Lewis 133, Rex Burkhead 130
• Wait, what?! - Demaryius Thomas is a Top 20 PPR WR. Dez Bryant, Mike Evans, Michael Crabtree, Stefon Diggs are not.
• Equilibrium - Drew Brees has as many touchdown passes as the Saints have rushing touchdowns (21)

Since 2010 - here's the top teams in turnover ratios and how they fared in the postseason. All nine teams made the postseason. Two made the Super Bowl and only one team won the Super Bowl. 

• 2010 - New England +28 (lost in Divisional round to Jets 28-21)
• 2011 - San Francisco +28 (lost in NFC Championship to the Giants 20-17)
• 2012 - New England +25 (lost in AFC Championship to Ravens 28-13)
• 2013 - Seattle +20 (won Super Bowl 48, 43-8 over Broncos)
• 2014 - Green Bay +14 (lost NFC Championship to Seattle 28-22)
• 2015 - Carolina +20 (lost Super Bowl 50 to Denver 24-10)
• 2016 - Oakland/Kansas City +16 (OAK lost wild card round to Houston 27-14, Kansas City lost in Divisional round to Pittsburgh 18-16)
• 2017 - Baltimore +17 (??)

offensive Yard per play = playoffs?

2017 leaders in yards per play

• 6.4 NO projected 3 seed
• 6.2 KC projected 5 seed
• 6.0 NE projected 1 seed
• 6.0 ATL projected 6 seed
• 5.9 LAR projected 4 seed
• 5.8 LAC projected to miss playoffs
• 5.7 PHI projected 1 seed
• 5.7 PIT projected 2 seed
• 5.6 MIN projected 2 seed
• 5.5 JAC projected 3 seed

2017 leaders in yards per play against

• 4.6 JAC - projected 3 seed
• 4.7 DEN, MIN  (currently out of playoffs, projected 2 seed)
• 5.0 ARI, TEN, CIN, BAL (projected 5 seed, currently out of playoffs, currently out of playoffs)
• 5.1 CLE, SEA, CHI, PHI (out of playoffs, currently out of playoffs, currently out of playoffs, projected 1 seed)
• 5.2 CAR, ATL, PIT, LAR, LAC (projected 5 seed, projected 6 seed, projected 4 seed, currently out of playoffs)

Teams on a streak (winning)

TEAMS ON A STREAK (losing)

Questions, suggestions and comments are always welcome to haseley@footballguys.com

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