Me? I love the silly season.
This time right now, between the NFL Combine and the NFL Draft, is particularly invigorating. We get some real, actionable information as the new league year kicks off in mid-March, and the cascade of player movement upends our dynasty rosters in ways we see coming and in ways we don't.
But other than that? It's pure, wild, drunken speculation time, Bubba. NFL mock drafts are rolling out daily, and until the real thing hits in April, we dynasty managers are left to speculate on other people's speculation.
But it isn't all empty calories, my friends. Sure, the landing spots here are imaginary, and so is the impact on NFL and fantasy rosters, but the effect that the speculation has on our abilities as dynasty players is real.
Advantages can be had in dynasty leagues by managers who are most ready to react to real-life roster changes. You need experience to be prepared, and practice is the best way to gain that experience.
So why not feed our brains that mock draft candy and sharpen our dynasty skills at the same time? We'll pick a recent mock draft and examine its dynasty fallout each week.
We. Are. Here. Finally, starting tonight, we find out where some of our favorite rookies will be playing next year. Outside of fantasy football, one of my favorite hobbies is being critical of Jeff Bell. So let's look at his three-round mock draft and see how we feel about some of these landing spots before we get to the real thing later tonight. This week, we focus on some teams that took more than one fantasy-relevant player in Jeff's three-round mock to see how we like the combinations.
Cleveland Browns
1.02 Travis Hunter, WR/CB, Colorado
2.01 Jaxson Dart, QB, Ole Miss
3.30 Cam Skattebo, RB, Arizona State
I love it, but I might be more excited if I hadn't watched the Browns mess up hauls like this time and time again. I used to watch the Lions have drafts like this all of the time. A superstar and a couple of promising players that could form the nucleus of a new dawn. Over decades of disappointment, I eventually learned that there was so much organizational rot that nothing would improve until ownership changed. I fear that might also be true in Cleveland. It's tough to use our dynasty draft capital on good players in bad environments, and we shouldn't be surprised when it ends up negatively impacting the real-life development and fantasy value of those players.
That aside, if we focus on the things that we can control, what we have here is an elite athlete, paired with a promising passer, and a tough-as-nails type running back who seems to find new ways to contribute every week. In a vacuum, I like the idea of putting these guys in a position to help each other succeed. In Cleveland, I might have to pinch my nose and wrinkle my forehead a little bit when I pick any one of them for my dynasty teams.
Denver Broncos
1.20 TreVeyon Henderson, RB, Ohio State
2.19 Terrance Ferguson, TE, Oregon
3.21 Jack Bech, WR, TCU
So, Henderson....a couple of things here. First, Henderson's perceived fantasy value seems to be moving up fantasy draft boards over the past couple of weeks, as if a tariff had been removed from it. Second, while Sean Payton certainly likes to mix it up with his running back rotation - to the eternal frustration of fantasy managers - he also has a history of getting fantasy production from the position. More specifically, his running backs are like Sith. There are always two of them. Henderson would have a major role here, but this pick makes me more curious about the value of Audric Estime headed into year two. Is there an Ingram/Kamara situation brewing here? Has Payton finally settled on the main pieces of his Denver backfield?
The other two picks should make you very happy if you are invested in Bo Nix. These picks would signal to me that the Broncos have shifted to trying to surround Nix with the weapons he needs to find more success. Ferguson is a super-athletic tight end prospect who would get a chance to mix in behind newly signed Evan Engram while the rookie adjusts to the NFL. Similarly, while I have been significantly lower on Bech than others, he has been a riser through the draft process. He could mix in nicely with Troy Franklin and Devaughn Vele as depth behind Courtland Sutton and Marvin Mims Jr. Both could be patience plays for fantasy managers and could pay off eventually in a proven offensive system like Payton's.
Indianapolis Colts
1.14 Tyler Warren, TE, Penn State
3.16 Tyler Shough, QB, Louisville
I know, I know, I've said many times I don't have much faith in quarterbacks taken outside of the first round to ever really turn into a usable fantasy player. I want to talk about Shough, though, for a couple of reasons. First, I love this pick by Jeff Bell for the Colts. There is an opportunity here, even with Anthony Richardson and Daniel Jones in town or, perhaps, because Anthony Richardson and Daniel Jones are in town. While I understand that Shough took his first college snaps way back in 2018, I also think it's important to note that he never appeared in more than seven games until this past season. When I consider just his analytics, I score him right up there with Dart, Shedeur Sanders, and Cam Ward at the top of the QB list. That doesn't make me unique, as many analysts out there have Shough as their number four. He has the tools and physical ability to succeed in the NFL. Rookie quarterbacks, especially those drafted in the third round, used to sit and learn behind veterans for a year or two as a matter of course. More and more, we have reached the point where teams want rookies to start right away. There are few things more valuable to building a contender in the NFL than a starting quarterback on a rookie contract. Shough would come to Indianapolis without much pressure, but he is a guy who completed 63% of his passes in college and also showed the ability to run a little bit. I've never believed in Richardson, and at this point, Daniel Jones is a retread hoping to have a decent second act to his career. In a class considered down for quarterbacks, Shough would have a sneaky opportunity to take the job here and not look back.
There has been a lot of digital ink spilled on the possibility of Warren to the Colts, so we won't repeat much of it here. Warren should help whoever ends up as the quarterback in Indy, but if Shough can take the job, I like the potential these two would have to grow and develop together.
Final Thoughts
I watch the NFL Draft differently as a dynasty player than I ever did when I only played in redraft leagues. Back then, it was just fun to see where they went and note it for when I started thinking about fantasy football again in July. That doesn't work when you're playing in dynasty leagues. Other managers are seeing those draft picks come in and starting to react immediately. If you are prepared, willing to take some risks, and maybe just a little bit insane, it is a great time to work with other managers on trades that can help both of your teams.
We'll see you again during and after the draft. In the meantime, get ready for your rookie drafts with the 2025 Footballguys Rookie Guide. An updated Version 3 will be out on Wednesday, April 30.