The Monday NFL Roundup: Week 7

Jeff Bell rounds Up Week 6 in the NFL and assesses where the league stands.

Jeff Bell's The Monday NFL Roundup: Week 7 Jeff Bell Published 10/14/2024

© Kevin Jairaj-Imagn Images

Week 6, moving into Week 7, is the midway point of the fantasy regular season. 

At least, it is for everyone who started playing before 2021. 

It is a perfect time to take stock of the league and set the board moving into the second half of the season. 

With full credit to BarstoolBigCat for creating the Tiermaker website, the best tool online for making a Power Poll, it's time for the Midway-ish Point Power Rankings!

power ratings

Thank you, Nathan Jahnke

And now, The Roundup.

Blind Resume

PlayerReceptionsYardsTouchdowns
A101020
B5582
C5702
D8960
E9710

Last week's theme was the return of the passing game. That continued in Week 6. Can you place this production?

Deep League Waiver Watch List

“Waivers of the Future,” released after this column, provides in-depth coverage of waivers. Below is a light introduction to players to watch on your waivers this week, emphasizing Superflex and deep leagues. 

Stats Of The Week

  • 92 rushing yards / 4 receptions - RB Chuba Hubbard, Carolina - The yardage threshold dropped slightly from last week's 97, but Hubbard is now the eighth running back since 1970 to rush for 92+ yards and catch at least four passes in four consecutive games.  Le'Veon Bell is the only back to do it in five straight games. 

  • 47-9 - Detroit Lions vs. Dallas Cowboys - The Cowboys suffered their fifth-worst loss in team history, the worst loss in AT&T Stadium history, and their worst loss since 2010. A 44-point margin to the Bears in 1985 is their franchise-worst. 

  • 83rd Birthday - Jerry Jones - Happy Birthday Jerry!

  • 0 catches, 8 targets - WR Calvin Ridley, Tennessee - Stathead.com's data (fantastic tool) pulls back to 1992 for targets. There are 13 games with eight targets or more without a reception. The last was Tee Higgins in Week 1, 2023. Who was Higgins' offensive coordinator in 2023? Titans head coach Brian Callahan.

95 rushing yards, 2 touchdowns / 105 rushing yards, 1 touchdown - RB Bijan Robinson, RB Tyler Allgeier, Atlanta - Robinson and Allgeier became the 90th teammates and first in Falcons team history to hit 95+ rush yards with a touchdown each. The last pair was Justin Fields and Khalil Herbert for the Bears in Week 16, 2023.

Backfield Hierarchy

Splitting backfields into key categories based upon snaps and opportunities (rushes plus targets). While carries may be similar, backfields that fall into a Committee with a Lead over a straight Committee saw wide disparities in snap counts.

Bellcows

TeamBackPlayerRushesTargetsLineOpportunity
BaltimoreRB1Derrick Henry24024-132-2 / 092.31%
RB2Justice Hill111-2-0 / 1-2-07.69%
CarolinaRB1Chuba Hubbard18618-92-0 / 5-11-088.89%
RB2Miles Sanders303-1-0 / 011.11%
ChicagoRB1D'Andre Swift17417-91-1 / 4-28-072.41%
RB2Roschon Johnson535-8-0 / 2-25-027.59%
Green BayRB1Josh Jacobs18318-62-0 / 3-28-061.76%
RB2Emanuel Wilson727-54-0 / 1-19-026.47%
RB3Chris Brooks404-21-0 / 011.76%
LA ChargersRB1J.K. Dobbins25225-96-1 / 2-6-077.14%
RB2Kimani Vidal424-11-0 / 2-40-117.14%
RB3Hassan Haskins202-5-0 / 05.71%
New OrleansRB1Alvin Kamara13813-40-1 / 5-24-075.00%
RB2Jamaal Williams202-7-0 / 07.14%
RB3Jordan Mims141-5-0 / 2-13-017.86%
NY GiantsRB1Tyrone Tracy Jr..17617-50-1 / 6-57-088.46%
RB2Eric Gray303-13-011.54%
PhiladelphiaRB1Saquon Barkley18218-47-0 / 2-7-083.33%
RB2Kenneth Gainwell313-23-0 / 016.67%
SeattleRB1Ken Walker III14814-32-1 / 8-37-078.57%
RB2Zach Charbonnet515-20-0 / 1-15-021.43%
TennesseeRB1Tony Pollard17317-93-1 / 3-(5)-074.07%
RB2Tyjae Spears606-27-0 / 022.22%
RB3Julius Chestnut101-2-0 / 03.70%
WashingtonRB1Austin Ekeler959-21-0 / 4-47-087.50%
RB2Jeremy McNichols202-9-0 / 012.50%

Committee With A Lead

TeamBackPlayerRushesTargetsLineOpportunity
CincinnatiRB1Chase Brown10310-53-1 / 2-11-065.00%
RB2Zack Moss616-13-0 / 1-2-035.00%
DallasRB1Rico Dowdle565-25-0 / 5-30-057.89%
RB2Ezekiel Elliott808-17-0 / 042.11%
DenverRB1Javonte Williams666-23-0 / 3-13-063.16%
RB2Jaleel McLaughlin323-8-0 / 2-17-026.32%
RB3Audric Estime202-13-0 / 010.53%
HoustonRB1Joe Mixon13313-102-1 / 2-30-155.17%
RB2Dameon Pierce818-76-1 / 1-1-031.03%
RB3Dare Ogunbowale202-8-0 / 06.90%
RB4Cam Akers202-(1)-0 / 06.90%
Las VegasRB1Alexander Mattison14514-33-1 / 5-32-065.52%
RB2Ameer Abdullah454-24-0 / 3-14-031.03%
RB3Dylan Laube101-0-0 / 03.45%
New EnglandRB1Antonio Gibson13413-19-0 / 3-24-062.96%
RB2JaMycal Hasty323-12-0 / 1-9-018.52%
RB3Terrell Jennings505-13-0 / 018.52%
PittsburghRB1Najee Harris14214-106-1 / 2-16-055.17%
RB2Jaylen Warren636-7-0 / 3-11-031.03%
RB3Jonathan Ward303-13-0 / 010.34%
RB4Aaron Shampklin101-(2)-0 / 03.45%

True Committees

TeamTeam TargetsPlayerTargetsLineTarget Share
ArizonaRB1James Conner757-24-0 / 4-22-042.86%
RB2Emari Demercado474-25-0 / 5-39-039.29%
RB3Trey Benson505-26-0 / 017.86%
AtlantaRB1Bijan Robinson15415-95-2 / 3-10-050.00%
RB2Tyler Allgeier18118-105-1 / 1-3-050.00%
ClevelandRB1D'Onta Foreman10210-31-0 / 2-16-048.00%
RB2Jerome Ford202-14-0 / 08.00%
RB3Pierre Strong Jr.838-43-0 / 2-35-044.00%
DetroitRB1David Montgomery12112-80-2 / 1-0-035.14%
RB2Jahmyr Gibbs12512-63-0 / 3-28-045.95%
RB3Craig Reynolds606-21-0 / 016.22%
RB4Sione Vaki101-5-0 / 02.70%
IndianapolisRB1Trey Sermon18018-29-0 / 058.06%
RB2Tyler Goodson858-51-0 / 4-14-041.94%
JacksonvilleRB1Tank Bigsby707-24-036.84%
RB2Travis Etienne Jr..313-(1)-0 / 021.05%
RB3D'Ernest Johnson627-28-0 / 2-16-042.11%
San FranciscoRB1Jordan Mason929-73-0 / 1-9-034.38%
RB2Isaac Guerendo10010-99-031.25%
RB3Patrick Taylor Jr..515-16-0 / 1-12-018.75%
FBKyle Juszczyk141-6-1 / 3-10-015.63%
Tampa BayRB1Bucky Irving14214-81-1 / 2-24-048.48%
RB2Sean Tucker14314-136-1 / 3-56-151.52%
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The Target Report

I view target trees as “clean” or “dirty.” Clean trees distill targets to their top options and give standout fantasy performances. Dirty trees are, well, a mess and rely on unpredictable possibilities. The chart below splits these offenses into categories.

Offenses with Top 2 Options > 60% Target Share

TeamTeam TargetsPlayerTargetsLineTarget Share
NY Giants36Darius Slayton116-57-030.56%
Wan'Dale Robinson115-50-030.56%
Tyrone Tracy Jr..66-57-016.67%

The Giants were the only team to qualify in the top category, and they did so without Malik Nabers. They struggled to generate much downfield or in the run game, and the Bengals getting a week of prep for the Nabers-less offense of Week 5 forced a short passing game that was high on volume. 

Offenses with Top 2 Options > 50% and Top 3 > 70% Target Share

TeamTeam TargetsPlayerTargetsLineTarget Share
Atlanta29Drake London106-74-134.48%
Kyle Pitts53-70-017.24%
Darnell Mooney53-38-017.24%
Baltimore25Zay Flowers99-132-036.00%
Rashod Bateman44-71-016.00%
Mark Andrews43-66-116.00%
Isaiah Likely42-27-016.00%
Cincinnati23Tee Higgins77-77-030.43%
Ja'Marr Chase65-72-026.09%
3 Tied (Andrei Iosivas best)32-36-013.04%
Cleveland23David Njoku75-31-030.43%
Amari Cooper64-42-026.09%
Jerry Jeudy31-35-013.04%
Houston31Tank Dell97-57-129.03%
Dalton Schultz84-27-025.81%
Stefon Diggs76-77-122.58%
Jacksonville35Evan Engram1010-102-028.57%
Gabe Davis85-45-222.86%
Christian Kirk63-39-017.14%
Brian Thomas Jr..63-27-017.14%
Philadelphia24A.J. Brown96-116-137.50%
DeVonta Smith43-64-116.67%
Grant Calcaterra44-67-016.67%
Pittsburgh23George Pickens83-53-034.78%
Calvin Austin III52-36-021.74%
Pat Freiermuth32-16-013.04%
Tampa Bay36Chris Godwin1311-125-236.11%
Mike Evans62-34-016.67%
Cade Otton62-15-116.67%

Offenses with Top 1 Option > 25% and Top 3 < 70% Target Share

TeamTeam TargetsPlayerTargetsLineTarget Share
Arizona32Trey McBride88-96-025.00%
Emari Demercado75-39-021.88%
Greg Dortch53-36-015.63%
James Conner54-22-015.63%
Carolina37Diontae Johnson106-78-127.03%
Ja'Tavion Sanders75-49-018.92%
Chuba Hubbard65-11-016.22%
Dallas43CeeDee Lamb147-89-032.56%
KaVontae Turpin74-24-016.28%
Jalen Brooks61-15-013.95%
Rico Dowdle65-30-013.95%
Indianapolis36Josh Downs97-66-125.00%
Michael Pittman Jr.53-35-113.89%
Tyler Goodson54-14-013.89%
Las Vegas37Brock Bowers109-71-027.03%
Alexander Mattison55-32-013.51%
Harrison Bryant53-24-013.51%
Ameer Abdullah53-14-013.51%
LA Chargers31Ladd McConkey84-43-025.81%
Will Dissly54-26-016.13%
Simi Fehoko42-44-012.90%
Quentin Johnston43-22-012.90%
New England31Demario Douglas96-92-129.03%
Hunter Henry53-41-116.13%
Antonio Gibson43-24-012.90%
Ja'Lynn Polk41-4-012.90%
Tennessee27Calvin Ridley8029.63%
DeAndre Hopkins64-54-022.22%
3 Tied (Tyler Boyd best line)33-19-011.11%

Offenses Under All Thresholds

TeamTeam TargetsPlayerTargetsLineTarget Share
Denver32Devaughn Vele64-78-018.75%
Courtland Sutton64-53-118.75%
Javonte Williams63-13-018.75%
Detroit27Kalif Raymond64-73-022.22%
Jahmyr Gibbs53-28-018.52%
Jameson Williams43-76-114.81%
Amon-Ra St. Brown44-37-114.81%
Chicago26Cole Kmet55-70-219.23%
Keenan Allen55-41-219.23%
DJ Moore54-20-019.23%
Green Bay31Jayden Reed66-28-119.35%
Christian Watson43-68-112.90%
Romeo Doubs43-49-212.90%
Tucker Kraft42-13-012.90%
New Orleans38Bub Means85-45-121.05%
Alvin Kamara85-24-021.05%
Rashid Shaheed71-11-018.42%
San Francisco27George Kittle65-58-222.22%
Deebo Samuel Sr.53-102-118.52%
Jauan Jennings53-27-018.52%
Seattle48DK Metcalf113-48-022.92%
Jaxon Smith-Njigba95-53-018.75%
Tyler Lockett84-65-116.67%
Ken Walker III88-37-016.67%
Washington33Noah Brown84-58-024.24%
Terry McLaurin76-53-221.21%
Olamide Zaccheaus64-27-018.18%

The Landmine Lineup

We often focus on “Spike Weeks” in fantasy football. Explosive 30+ point per game performances that win weeks almost single-handedly. Dud lineups that ruin your week are the opposite end of that spectrum. Every week, I will highlight the hypothetical Landmine Lineup. If you have started this lineup, message me, and I will feature your misfortune, and we will find a way to brighten your week!

Fantasy managers could be forgiven for being excited for most all of these plays in Week 6. They combined for 26.8 points. 

The entire lineup could have been devoted to the Dallas Cowboys, but somewhere, someone is happy with the 7 PPR points they got from KaVontae Turpin. Prescott and Ferguson combining for 7.8 points in a stack is brutal. 

Bigsby was a big topic on social media this week, so he followed up the tradition of “guys we were excited for and laid an egg.” Thomas, Evans, and Moore entered the week as WR9, WR11, and WR19. Given their ADPs, if someone had all three, they were likely sitting on top of the standings. Anything can happen in any given week, and when it magnifies on Small Sample Size Theater, opinions get loony. 

Players who beat it: Caleb Williams, Baker Mayfield, and Sean Tucker. All three have been considered dead by fantasy to varying degrees. Evans' teammates of Mayfield, Tucker, and Chris Godwin combined for 84.6 points. 

If you started this lineup, send me a message at Bell@Footballguys.com!

Revenge! (Not sponsored by Immaculate Grid, but it could be!)

Week 6

Week 7

Prospects Of The Week

  • QB Quinn Ewers, Texas - 78/108, 890 yards, 9 TDs, 3 Ints
  • WR Isaiah Bond, Texas - 21 receptions, 309 yards, 3 TDs
  • TE Gunner Helm, Texas - 21 receptions, 311 yards, 2 TDs

#5 Georgia  vs. #1 Texas, 7:30, ABC

Bond is watching an injury for this massive matchup after taking a hit in the back and not returning in the second half against Oklahoma last week. 

The Longhorns have earned their number one ranking by acing two tests, beating Oklahoma and Michigan by a combined 65-15 margin. After this game, they only have one remaining ranked team, ending the season against #15 rival Texas A&M. Georgia is 1-1 in their two big games, beating Clemson in Week 1 but losing to Alabama to end September. The Bulldogs still have Tennessee and Ole Miss. In an SEC that eliminated divisions and has nine teams with one loss or better on their conference record, a Georgia loss will put them in danger of missing the conference title game, with a loss to Tennessee or Ole Miss putting them on the CFP bubble. 

Ewers made his comeback from injury last week against Oklahoma. He struggled to connect on the deep ball, a persistent problem in 2023. He will need to dial in against the Bulldogs. Georgia has taken a step back from its historic defensive dominance; it ranks 70th in passing yards allowed per game, aided by a 374-yard game from Alabama's Jalen Milroe.

Bond is from Buford, Georgia, less than an hour from Georgia's campus. He initially committed to Florida out of high school before flipping to Alabama after the Gators fired Dan Mullen. He became a contributor in his two seasons in Alabama but hit the portal after Nick Saban's retirement. Georgia pushed much harder for Bond the second time around. He brings explosive speed in a slight frame. 

Helm rounds out the trio. He played behind the Panther's Ja'Tavion Sanders in 2023 before getting a chance in his senior season. He has come up big in the Longhorns' two biggest games, totaling 12 receptions, 189 yards, and two touchdowns. He is a solid receiver with ideal size, though he lacks the high-end athleticism that pushes tight ends up the draft board. 

Blind Resume Answer

PlayerReceptionsYardsTouchdowns
Evan Engram101020
George Kittle5582
Cole Kmet5702
Trey McBride8960
Brock Bowers9710

Tight ends are back! 

The average score of the Top 8 tight end scorers in Week 1 was 10.5 points in half PPR. Weeks 2-4 that ticked up to 12.4 / 12.9 / 12. In Week 5, it jumped to 15.3 and was 14.7 in Week 6. Why is Week 6 more notable than Week 5? First, there were no shocking performances from players like Charlie Kolar, who represented the Top 8. Second, Travis Kelce was on a bye, and Dalton Kincaid has yet to play. The season has been rough for fantasy managers who invested early picks on the tight end position, but even Mark Andrews scored a touchdown in Week 6, so hope is coming for those 2-4 squads! 

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Deep Players To Watch On Monday Night Football

RB Ty Johnson, Buffalo

Johnson had one touch in his Bills' career before 2023's Week 11 game against his former team. In Joe Brady's first game as OC, Johnson totaled six touches for 58 scrimmage yards and a receiving touchdown. 

Johnson established himself over Brady's tenure as a change of pace to James Cook, totaling 272 scrimmage yards over his final eight games of 2023 after two with his first ten weeks on the team. That stretch included three games above 58 yards and the Jets touchdown. 

Cook looks like he will be active against the Jets after a limited week of practice with a toe injury. But it has been Johnson, not the expected Ray Davis, who has emerged as the regular change of pace back, outsnapping Davis by 71 to 44. Much of Davis's work has come late in games in mop-up duty. Johnson is readily available in deep leagues and could be a “break glass in case of emergency” play if Cook's toe results in a lighter role. 

 

Photos provided by Imagn Images

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