Gameday Injury Expectations: Week 16

This article summarizes all the injuries before Week 16 with a breakdown of fantasy production post-injury along with how likely a player is to start following their injury.

Adam Hutchison's Gameday Injury Expectations: Week 16 Adam Hutchison Published 12/21/2024

© Stephen R. Sylvanie-Imagn Images

In Week 16 every fantasy football decision is magnified tenfold. Therefore the injuries this week should be examined carefully. Below I discuss the major injuries heading into Saturday/Sunday and recommend which players I would avoid and who I am comfortable leaving in line-ups. 

Understanding the NFL's Injury Report

(per Dr. Bramel - Footballguys OG)

"The injury report released by the NFL is [made up of] two reports. The first is the Practice Participation report, which lists which injured players practiced and their participation level. It also includes players who rested or missed practice for non-injury-related reasons. The second is the Game Status Report, which gives the probability a player will play, i.e., Questionable, Doubtful, Out. The Practice Participation Report is released every day of the week (Monday through Saturday). The Game Status Report is released with the Friday participation report (Wednesday for Thursday games, Saturday for Monday games). In this feature, I'll include the Game Status Listing and my expectations of their likelihood of playing."

If you are reading this article on Saturday, make sure to come back on Sunday morning as more updates trickle in within the next 24 hours.

Current Status on High-Impact Injured Players

Gameday Decision

Trending Doubtful (Likely Inactive)

Trending Probable (Expected to Play)

Ruled Out

* Key: Player, Team | Injury | Game Status Listing | Playing Expectation 

Saturday 3:30 PM EST Game

WR Rashod Bateman, Baltimore | Foot | Questionable | Projecting Inactive 

Rashod Bateman popped up late on the injury report this week with a foot injury. Late additions are never good, especially when your team plays early. The Ravens kick-off at 1:00 PM EST on Saturday. Following Wednesday's injury, Bateman was seen in a walking boot and did not practice at all on Thursday.

In 2022, Bateman missed the majority of the season with a Lisfranc (foot) injury, but it is unclear if this most recent injury is on the same foot.

Given the time of the injury and the fact that Bateman was seen in a boot, it would appear that he is unlikely to play Saturday. The Ravens have already ruled out Nelson Agholor and released Diontae Johnson on Friday. Zay Flowers, Mark Andrews, and Isiah Likely all feel like good starts in Week 16. 

Update: Rashod Bateman is actually active. 

Sunday 1:00 PM EST Games

RB Tony Pollard, Tennessee | Ankle | Questionable | Projecting Active

Tony Pollard was limited for most of the week due to an ankle sprain he has been battling for the past few weeks. Pollard played in Week 14 but missed most of the 4th quarter after aggravating his ankle injury. Pollard's limited practice time this week is not uncommon and since he has already played through the injury I would expect the same this Sunday. However, the risk of him leaving early remains a threat.

Update: Tony Pollard is expected to play on Sunday. 

 

 

RB Braelon Allen, NY Jets | Back | Questionable | Likely Active 

Braelon Allen was iffy heading into Week 16, but on Friday, the rookie RB was able to log a full practice. Based on this information, Allen should be able to go. Non-specific back injuries can be difficult to project, as Allen could be dealing with a multitude of different diagnoses. The Jets seem okay playing a 3-man committee with Breece Hall and Isiah Davis. Therefore, even if active, Allen is a player I'd prefer to avoid. 

RB Tyrone Tracy Jr., NY Giants | Ankle | Questionable | Likely Active 

Tyrone Tracy Jr. was limited this week with an ankle injury. Looking at historical data, I was optimistic that Tracey could play this Sunday, and on Friday night, my priors were confirmed. 

Update: I still expect Tracy to maintain his RB1 workload. 

TE Zach Ertz, Washington | Concussion | Questionable | 50/50

Zach Ertz is a true game-time decision, as he remains in the concussion protocol. Ertz appears to be moving through the concussion protocol well, as he was able to return to practice this week, but the Commanders' medical staff still has not cleared him. We should have clarity come Sunday morning.

Update: Ertz is expected to play. 

WR Drake London, Atlanta | Knee |  No Designation | Likely Active 

Drake London was added to the injury report but does not carry a designation heading into Week 16. It's an odd situation, but I would not expect London's knee "injury" to keep him out. 

TE David Njoku, Cleveland | Hamstring | Questionable | Projecting Inactive 

David Njoku missed most of Week 16's practices due to a hamstring strain. He did practice on Friday but was listed as "Limited." TE injury data points to him missing Week 16.

Update: Njoku is active but considering that TEs avg 20% decrease in fantasy points I am avoiding him where possible. 

WR Cedric Tillman, Cleveland | Concussion | Questionable | 50/50

Cedric Tillman remains in the concussion protocol but has been able to practice. It would appear that Tillman is close and, therefore, could be a last-minute decision on whether he is active or not. Tillman has up till Sunday morning to be cleared. 

Sunday 4:25 PM EST Games

QB Aidan O'Connell, Las Vegas | Knee | Questionable | Likely Active

After a scary situation two weeks prior where Aidna O'Connell was carted off the field, the second-year QB avoided what was then believed to be a fracture. O'Connell missed Week 15 with a bone bruise but is slated to play in Week 16. 

WR Jaylen Waddle, Miami | Knee | Doubtful | Likely Inactive 

Jaylen Waddle did not practice all week due to a knee injury and is "Doubtful" heading into Week 16 which pretty much guarantees he will not play. Waddle could potentially miss next week as well, considering he looks to be dealing with an MCL sprain. 

Sunday Night 8:20 PM EST Game 

TE Cade Otton, Tampa Bay | Knee | Doubtful | Likely Inactive 

Cade Otton was added to the injury report mid-week with a knee injury. On Friday his status was updated to "Doubtful." Players that carry a "Doubtful" designation rarely play. I would not wait for Tampa Bay's late Sunday night kick-off. Otton is very likely out. 

Update: Cade Otton is out. 

Monday Night 8:15 PM EST Game 

WR Chris Olave, New Orleans | Concussion | Questionable | Projecting Inactive 

The Saints opened Chris Olave's 21-day practice window after he missed the last five games (six weeks total with bye week). Based on Olave's timeline and recent activation, I think he could play in Week 16, but the question remains whether the Saints decide he is worth playing. New Orleans is out of the playoff hunt and could elect to keep their star WR on the shelf for the remainder of the 2024 season. 

RB Alvin Kamara, New Orleans | Groin | Questionable | Likely Inactive 

Alvin Kamara has not practiced all week due to a groin injury. Typically, groin strains result in 2+ weeks missed, and early reports out of New Orleans indicate that Kamra's injury is not minor. Kendre Miller is in line to start on Monday.

 

@adamhutchison.bsky.social

 

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