Sunday Morning Update
Sunday Morning Update 10:32 AM EST
This remains a horrendous slate. It’s certainly the worst of the year so far this season. The big question continues to be whether to play a running back from Carolina whether it is Raheem Blackshear or Mike Boone. The reality is that it is likely going to be a split backfield, and as long as there is some production from Blackshear it can work given the $3,500-$3,700 in salary that is saved compared to a player like Bucky Irving or De’Von Achane. The difference here is that what you spend that $3,700 on has to outproduce the other players at wide receiver and tight end. The thing here is that with a lot of writers, podcasters, etc, they want to take a conservative approach and just follow the crowd which is how we got a 65% rostered D.J. Moore last week. The reason that they do this, is mostly so they don’t get yelled at if they get something completely wrong and are only thinking about their self-image and keeping their job. Personally, I’ve never cared about any of that, I just try to be real and tell you what I’m doing and why. A lot of the time it works, but sometimes it fails miserably. However, I’m a personal believer that over the long-run, you aren’t going to be successful simply following the crowd.
If you don’t want to go with Blackshear, I can’t say I blame you. I know that the risks are high here, but also feel comfortable with the spending up to Brock Bowers who should have a big day this week against New Orleans. At wide receiver, I like Davante Adams, but would have loved to find a way to get Mike Evans in over him, however even if I downgrade Cleveland to Las Vegas, that still leaves me $200 short. I could come off of Jonathan Taylor to Bucky Irving, but that seems like a little more risk than needed this week.
Primary Cash Lineup
No changes here.
- QB Jayden Daniels, WAS, $8,500
- RB Raheem Blackshear, CAR, $4,500
- RB Tyjae Spears, TEN, $5,800
- WR Brian Thomas Jr., JAX, $7,500
- WR Josh Downs, IND, $6,100
- WR Davante Adams, NYJ, $8,100
- TE Brock Bowers, LVR, $7,600
- Flex Jonathan Taylor, IND, $8,400
- TD Cleveland, $3,500
Projected Most Common Lineup- Crowd
Here’s the type of lineup that I’m expecting to be the most common lineups. My issue with this lineup is the risk that you’re taking on with both Hockenson and Ridley. Combined, these two players have scored four touchdowns in the 23 games this season. Hockenson has not scored, and has averaged just 38 receiving yards over the last four games. Meanwhile, Ridley has just five targets in each of his last two games with Mason Rudolph taking over at quarterback.
- QB Jayden Daniels, WAS, $8,500
- RB Jonathan Taylor, IND, $8,400
- RB Tyjae Spears, TEN, $5,800
- WR Brian Thomas Jr., JAX, $7,500
- WR Josh Downs, IND, $6,100
- WR Calvin Ridley, TEN, $6,300
- TE T.J. Hockenson, MIN, $5,700
- Flex Josh Jacobs, GB, $8,300
- TD Las Vegas, $3,200
Week 16 Recap
Last week was one of the best of the season taking the Primary Cash Lineup to 9-7 on the season. The Primary Cash Lineup finished in the top 1% of all cash lineups, which made for a stress-free victory despite Michael Penix Jr.. struggling. There were multiple key decisions, Keenan Allen at 8% over the 62% D.J. Moore was massive. Chuba Hubbard at just 38% was surprising that he was as low as he was, but many people spent up to Josh Allen and could not afford Hubbard, Chase Brown, and Jahmyr Gibbs so they prioritized the second two.
Week 16 Lineup- 170.68 scored
- QB Michael Penix Jr., ATL, $6,000- 7.38
- RB Chase Brown, CIN, $8,200- 12.4
- RB Chuba Hubbard, CAR, $7,100- 33.5
- WR Brian Thomas Jr., JAX, $7,300- 26.7
- WR Calvin Ridley, TEN, $5,900- 15.3
- WR Keenan Allen, CHI, $6,200- 27.6
- TE Brock Bowers, LVR, $7,700- 15.4
- Flex Jahmyr Gibbs, DET, $8,300-26.4
- TD Las Vegas, $3,200- 6.0
Week 17 Slate Thoughts- Worst Slate of the Season
This has quickly turned into a slate that we typically would see in Week 18, not Week 17. This week, because of the Christmas holiday, there are only nine games on the slate, of which there are six teams that are mostly unusable either through bad offensive production, or injuries. Miami, Cleveland, Las Vegas, New Orleans, New York Giants, Dallas Cowboys. What this is going to do, is greatly narrow down the player pool for most people as it is essentially a six game slate which is normally less than what we see for a 1PM only slate.