Vegas Value Chart: Week 6

John Lee's Vegas Value Chart: Week 6 John Lee Published 10/11/2023

Every week, the first step of your DFS homework should be to examine the opening Vegas odds on all the NFL games for that week. Through some fairly simple algebra, it is easy to derive a spreadsheet that predicts team totals for every game, allowing you to develop a rudimentary game script to help narrow down your weekly decisions. Once the appealing (and unappealing) games have been highlighted, it becomes easier to focus on those games to help build your core of players for that week; the caveat, however, is that the NFL is a dynamic league, and anything is subject to change from Tuesday to Sunday...so keep that in mind as the week progresses and always monitor player injuries, weather conditions, and potential roster moves. Let's take a look.

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[Blue font indicates games *not* on the DFS main slate.]

UPDATED SUNDAY, OCTOBER 15th @ 10 AM (EST)

Team Opponent Odds Game Total Team Total Passing Running Team Defense
Miami Carolina -14.5 47.5 31 ««« ««« ««
Buffalo NY Giants -15 44 29.5 ««« ««« «««
Kansas City Denver -10.5 48 29.25 ««« ««« «
LA Rams Arizona -7 48 27.5 «« «««
Dallas LA Chargers -1.5 51 26.25 «« ««
LA Chargers Dallas 1.5 51 24.75 « «
Philadelphia NY Jets -7 42.5 24.75 « «« ««
Jacksonville Indianapolis -4 44 24 « «
Cincinnati Seattle -3 45 24 « «
Baltimore Tennessee -5.5 42.5 24 « « «
Minnesota Chicago -3 43.5 23.25
Detroit Tampa Bay -3 42.5 22.75 «
San Francisco Cleveland -9.5 36 22.75 «««
Atlanta Washington -1.5 42.5 22
Las Vegas New England -3 41 22 «
New Orleans Houston -1.5 42 21.75
Seattle Cincinnati 3 45 21
Arizona LA Rams 7 48 20.5
Washington Atlanta 1.5 42.5 20.5
Chicago Minnesota 3 43.5 20.25 Photos provided by Imagn Images

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