Two of my favorite things are Best Ball and Underdog Fantasy, and each week this offseason, I want to share with you my insights on both. With Underdog Fantasy releasing the Best Ball Mania IV tournament a few months ago, excitement has been growing each day. Each week I want to break down what has changed from the previous week when it comes to NFL news, Best Ball news, and the top ADP Risers and Fallers on Underdog. It's useful to compare Best Ball to the stock market and day trading stocks, but instead of stocks, we are looking at NFL players, specifically those players' Average Draft Position (ADP). We are constantly wanting to find those players who are of value in our drafts and avoid some of the players who might be overvalued.
Each week I will look at the Underdog ADP tool on 4for4.com to examine the top 10 risers and the top 10 fallers at ADP. These shifts in ADP are often driven by the news we have coming in that week and what some of the major touts in the industry might be saying about said players.
TOP 10 ADP RISERS
| RANK | PLAYER | POSITION | TEAM | AUG 22 ADP | ADP CHANGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deuce Vaughn | RB | DAL | 188.3 | 19.5 |
| 2 | Ezekiel Elliott | RB | NE | 146.7 | 19.2 |
| 3 | Luke Musgrave | TE | GB | 174.4 | 16.7 |
| 4 | Nathaniel Dell | WR | HOU | 173.7 | 14.8 |
| 5 | Raheem Mostert | RB | MIA | 142.1 | 14.0 |
| 6 | Juwan Johnson | TE | NO | 166.3 | 12.9 |
| 7 | Jake Ferguson | TE | DAL | 171.0 | 12.9 |
| 8 | Kenneth Gainwell | RB | PHI | 143.9 | 11.6 |
| 9 | Khalil Herbert | RB | CHI | 96.4 | 11.5 |
| 10 | Jeff Wilson | RB | MIA | 165.6 | 10.7 |
***These ten ADP risers are based on the dates 08/15/2023-08/22/23***
This week we have three rookies in the top four spots on the ADP risers with Deuce Vaughn, Luke Musgrave, and Nathaniel Dell. A lot of this has to do with their preseason play and strong camp showing as they were already really late-round dart throws and are now bumped up nearly two rounds each. Ezekiel Elliott signing in New England gave him an instant bump in ADP as he is also up nearly two full rounds. We have a couple more tight ends in the risers as Juwan Johnson and Jake Ferguson look like great three tight end build options as they are locked in as the top tight ends on their teams and look to be favorite targets for their quarterbacks.
The Miami backfield saw a shift in ADP this week as both Raheem Mostert and Jeff Wilson are up a round each as the rookie De'Von Achane suffered an injury and looks buried on the depth chart. With only a couple of weeks left until kickoff, I would guess that both Mostert and Wilson will continue to rise at ADP as they are looking like the locked-in RBs in Miami. There are two more running backs on the top 10 this week, and they are Kenneth Gainwell and Khalil Herbert as they both have been hinted to be the top RBs on their team's depth chart heading into the season and are both in offenses that can rush the ball.
TOP 10 ADP FALLERS
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