Prop Talk Week 8

Photo: USA Today Sports

Week 7 Recap- 3-2:

After two losing weeks in a row, we are back on track as we are now 21-14 on the season. Hitting a +110 with Desmond Ridder’s over made this for an even better week as he continues to be great. Tyson Bagent was a tough loss as he had just 162 yards, but who could have predicted that the Bears just dominate this game.

Desmond Ridder Over 211.5 Passing Yards +110- Win
Tyson Bagent Over 183.5 Passing Yards- Loss
Deshaun Watson Under 24.5 Rushing Yards- Win
Josh Jacobs Under 72.5 Rushing Yards- Win
Cooper Kupp Over 91.5 Receiving Yards

Derrick Henry Over 67.5 Rushing Yards

Last season, in the three games that Ryan Tannehill missed and Malik Willis started, Derrick Henry ran for over 100 yards in all three games. In fact, he’s had 6 straight games and 11 of his last 12 without Tannehill in which he has run for 78 yards or more averaging 128 yards per game, which is well beyond the 67.5 prop he is at this week. The Falcons have a good run defense as only two running backs have topped 67.5 yards this season, but they have faced a fairly easy schedule this year as Miles Sanders and Jahmyr Gibbs were the two running backs to top 67.5 yards. This should be a game in which Henry should have a far greater chance than 50% to get to 67.5 yards.

A.J. Brown Over 89.5 Receiving Yards

A.J. Brown has been dominant over the last our games as he has tied the record for the most consecutive games over 125 receiving yards. The team is very aware of this record, as they could have run the ball out last week against the Dolphins, yet on their final touchdown drive threw the ball four times all going to A.J. Brown. The Commanders have struggled against number one wide receivers this season as they have allowed five receivers to top 100 yards on the year, four of them being A.J Brown, Drake London, D.J. Moore, and Stefon Diggs. Expect Brown to get close to the 125 again this week, and if you can find a prop that has him getting the record, take it if it is +275 or higher.