Vegas Value Chart: Week 15

John Lee's Vegas Value Chart: Week 15 John Lee Published 12/12/2022

Every week, the first step of your DFS homework should be to examine the opening Vegas odds on all the NFL games for that week. Through some fairly simple algebra, it is easy to derive a spreadsheet that predicts team totals for every game, thereby allowing you to develop a rudimentary game script to help narrow down your decisions for the week. Once the appealing (and unappealing) games have been highlighted, it becomes easier to focus on those games to help build your core of players for that week; the caveat, however, is that the NFL is a dynamic league. Anything is subject to change from Tuesday to Sunday...so keep that in mind as the week progresses and always monitor player injuries, weather conditions, and potential roster moves. Let's take a look.

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[Blue font indicates games *not* on the DFS main slate.]

Team Opponent Odds Game Total Team Total Passing Running Team Defense
Kansas City Houston -14.5 48.5 31.5 ««« ««« «
Philadelphia Chicago -8.5 48.5 28.5 «« «««
Dallas Jacksonville -4 47.5 25.75 «« ««
Minnesota Indianapolis -4 47.5 25.75 «« ««
Buffalo Miami -7 44 25.5 « «« «
LA Chargers Tennessee -3 46.5 24.75 « «
Cincinnati Tampa Bay -3.5 45 24.25 « «
New Orleans Atlanta -4 43.5 23.75
Las Vegas New England -2 45 23.5
San Francisco Seattle -3.5 43 23.25
Green Bay LA Rams -7 39.5 23.25 ««
Washington NY Giants -4.5 40.5 22.5 «
NY Jets Detroit -1 43.5 22.25
Jacksonville Dallas 4 47.5 21.75
Indianapolis Minnesota 4 47.5 21.75
Tennessee LA Chargers 3 46.5 21.75
New England Las Vegas 2 45 21.5
Detroit NY Jets 1 43.5 21.25
Tampa Bay Cincinnati 3.5 45 20.75
Cleveland Baltimore -3 38 20.5 Photos provided by Imagn Images

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