It's about that time of year... prospects are getting ready for the NFL Draft, coaches and general managers are hosting players, and dynasty managers are prepping themselves for their upcoming rookie drafts. Of course, landing spot will change things up a bit after the NFL draft, but one of the best ways to gauge prospect value is to do a mock draft. So let's jump right into this one...
Round 1
1.01 - Breece Hall, RB, Iowa State
1.02 - Kenneth Walker, RB, Michigan State
1.03 - Drake London, WR, USC
1.04 - Garrett Wilson, WR, Ohio State
1.05 - Treylon Burks, WR, Arkansas
1.06 - Jameson Williams, WR, Alabama
1.07 - Chris Olave, WR, Ohio State
1.08 - Isaiah Spiller, RB, Texas A&M
1.09 - George Pickens, WR, Georgia
1.10 - Jahan Dotson, WR, Penn State
1.11 - Skyy Moore, WR, Western Michigan
1.12 - Christian Watson, WR, North Dakota State
Round 1 Analysis:
Rookie running backs with talent tend to get heavy workloads early in their career. So unless something drastic happens in the NFL draft, Breece Hall and Kenneth Walker III are the most likely players to be drafted at the top of dynasty rookie drafts. As my RB1, I do believe that Walker has a claim to the top spot in rookie drafts, but I know that the general consensus is leaning heavily towards Hall because of Walker's lack of receiving work, so expect Hall to be the first player off the board in almost any rookie draft.
Kenneth Walker had:
— Alfredo Brown (@AlfredoBrownGM) March 5, 2022
• Most yards after contact (1,168)
• Most forced missed tackles (89)
• Best Elusiveness rating on PFF (147.5)
• 2nd Most rush yards (1,646)
Then he weighed in BIGGER than we thought (211) and ran FASTER than we thought (4.38).
Walker is still my RB1. pic.twitter.com/kaeLllKfJV
After those top two running backs, there are four or five different wide receivers that could all be considered the top guy based on their landing spot. If any of the top five rookie receivers end up in Green Bay or Kansas City, they could shoot up rookie draft boards and even be considered with one of the top two picks. I believe that Drake London is most likely to be the first receiver off the board in the NFL draft (likely to the Atlanta Falcons at 1.08) and that capital will be hard to ignore. Wilson, Williams, and Olave all offer a speedy skillset that could work in a variety of offenses, so their landing spots will determine a lot. As of now, Jameson Williams is still my WR1 in the class, but I know that not every dynasty manager will have that opinion. The player with the most to gain or lose from their landing spot is Treylon Burks. Burks will need a patient coaching staff that's willing to teach him the nuances of route running and use him in creative ways. To me, Burks has the most question marks to his game and he's the player that I'd be least comfortable taking with a top seven rookie draft pick. The general public seems to really like Treylon and their banking on his traits at the next level, so expect to see him as a top four or five pick in your rookie draft.
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At the eighth pick, Isaiah Spiller came off the board. Spiller was once seen as a potential RB1 candidate, but a less than stellar pre-draft process has caused him to slip outside of the top seven picks. He's still a talented player who should get some decent draft capital in the NFL draft and find himself in a contributing role early in his NFL career. The slower 40-time doesn't scare me away, so if Spiller does fall this far in my rookie drafts, I'd gladly scoop him up. He's a big back with top-tier receiving potential. With the final four picks in the first round, dynasty managers are likely to see the receiver quartet of Pickens, Dotson, Moore, and Watson (that sounds like a cool law firm) go off the board In any given order. The general consensus appears to love the potential of George Pickens, so if he gets NFL draft capital in the late first or early second round, he'll likely be selected in the top ten picks in dynasty rookie drafts.
Round 2
2.01 - Malik Willis, QB, Liberty
2.02 - David Bell, WR, Purdue
2.03 - Zamir White, RB, Georgia
2.04 - Jerome Ford, RB, Cincinnati
2.05 - Dameon Pierce, RB, Florida
2.06 - Brian Robinson, RB, Alabama
2.07 - Trey McBride, TE, Colorado State
2.08 - Jalen Tolbert, WR, South Alabama
2.09 - Tyler Allgeier, RB, BYU
2.10 - Rachaad White, RB, Arizona State
2.11 - James Cook, RB, Georgia
2.12 - Kenny Pickett, QB, Pittsburgh
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