Vegas Value Chart: Week 12

John Lee's Vegas Value Chart: Week 12 John Lee Published 11/22/2021

Every week, the first step of your DFS homework should be to examine the opening Vegas odds on all the NFL games for that week. Through some fairly simple algebra, it is easy to derive a spreadsheet that predicts team totals for every game, thereby allowing you to develop a rudimentary gamescript to help narrow down your decisions for the week. Once the appealing (and unappealing) games have been highlighted, it becomes easier to focus upon those games to help build your core of players for that week; the caveat, however, is that the NFL is a dynamic league and anything is subject to change from Tuesday to Sunday...so keep that in mind as the week progresses and always monitor player injuries, weather conditions, and potential roster moves. Let's take a look.

[Blue font indicates games *not* on the DFS main slate.]

UPDATED SATURDAY, NOVEMBER 27th @ 4 PM (EST)

Team Opponent Odds Game Total Team Total Passing Running Team Defense
Dallas Las Vegas -7 51 29 ««« «««
Tampa Bay Indianapolis -3 53 28 «« ««
San Francisco Minnesota -3.5 49 26.25 « «
Buffalo New Orleans -4.5 46.5 25.5 « «
New England Tennessee -7 43.5 25.25 « «« «
Baltimore Cleveland -3.5 47 25.25 « «
Indianapolis Tampa Bay 3 53 25 « «
LA Chargers Denver -2.5 47 24.75
LA Rams Green Bay -2 47 24.5
Philadelphia NY Giants -3.5 45 24.25
Atlanta Jacksonville -2 46 24
Cincinnati Pittsburgh -3.5 44 23.75
Washington Seattle -1 46.5 23.75
Houston NY Jets -2.5 44.5 23.5
Seattle Washington 1 46.5 22.75
Minnesota San Francisco 3.5 49 22.75
Green Bay LA Rams 2 47 22.5
Chicago Detroit -3.5 41.5 22.5 «
Denver LA Chargers 2.5 47 22.25
Carolina Miami -2.5 42 22.25 Photos provided by Imagn Images

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