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Staff Confidence Pool (No Spread) Week 5

Will Grant's Staff Confidence Pool (No Spread) Week 5
By Will Grant, October 5, 2017

Staff Confidence Pool (No Spread) Week 5
Photo: USA Today Sports

Looking to dominate your office pool this season? 19 Footballguys.com staff members are here to help you out. Each week they will pick the winners of every NFL game, and rank their selections based on how confident they are that the team will win. The most confident pick gets 16 points, and the least confident gets just 1. We'll even total up everyone's picks so you can get an 'overall consensus' on who our staff think will be the most likely winners. Each week we'll announce the weekly winners, and track the overall record for the entire season. A couple of things to note before we get to the picks:

  • Picks for this pool are straight up (no point spread considered). 
  • Picks are due on Wednesday nights, and may not reflect any late-breaking news. If your league allows for last minute changes, please make adjustments to your office pool accordingly. 
  • Our staffers also play in weekly picks Against The Spread, and Survivor Style 'Pick one Winner each week' formats as well. Check out the other weekly articles for more help with those type of games. 

RESULTS FROM LAST WEEK

Jeff Haseley is on FIRE. With a big 14 point win on Monday Night Football, Haseley came from behind and narrowly edged out Jeff Pasquino to retain the top spot for the second week in a row. Although 89 points isn't a huge score, it was enough to take the top spot, and Haseley only missed five games in a week and survived a rough weekend where upsets really hurt a lot of the players. Going into Monday Night, Pasquino had an outside shot at winning, but he was actually rooting against his pick in that if Kansas City had lost to Washington, Pasquino would have taken home the weekly win. 

Staffer CHI NO TEN CIN DET BUF PIT LAR JAC CAR PHI SF NYG OAK IND WAS TOT
  GB MIA HOU CLE MIN ATL BAL DAL NYJ NE LAC ARI TB DEN SEA KC Pts
Haseley GB MIA HOU CIN MIN ATL PIT DAL NYJ NE PHI ARI TB DEN SEA KC 89
  16 3 5 8 6 11 1 12 4 15 7 13 9 2 10 14  
Pasquino GB NO HOU CIN MIN ATL PIT DAL JAC NE PHI ARI TB OAK SEA KC 88
  12 3 1 16 5 13 8 9 4 15 6 10 11 2 14 7  
Hicks GB MIA HOU CLE MIN ATL BAL DAL NYJ NE LAC ARI TB DEN SEA KC 87
  16 7 8 1 2 5 4 10 3 14 6 9 13 12 15 11  
Feery GB NO TEN CIN DET ATL PIT DAL NYJ NE LAC ARI NYG DEN SEA KC 87
  13 4 10 7 6 15 5 8 2 12 3 11 1 9 16 14  
Roberts GB NO TEN CIN DET ATL PIT DAL JAC NE PHI ARI TB DEN SEA KC 86
  16 7 4 8 1 13 6 9 10 14 2 11 5 3 15 12  
Bitonti GB NO TEN CIN MIN ATL PIT DAL JAC NE PHI ARI NYG DEN SEA KC 85
  14 6 2 7 3 15 4 12 5 13 8 9 1 10 11 16  
Miglio GB NO HOU CIN MIN ATL PIT DAL NYJ NE LAC ARI TB DEN SEA KC 84
  14 8 9 10 7 13 4 11 1 16 5 6 3 2 15 12  
Tuccitto GB NO TEN CIN MIN ATL PIT DAL JAC NE PHI ARI TB DEN SEA KC 83
  16 3 5 2 13 9 4 8 7 11 1 10 14 6 12 15  
Grant GB NO HOU CIN MIN ATL BAL DAL JAC NE LAC ARI TB DEN SEA KC 81
  13 11 2 10 1 15 5 8 7 16 3 9 6 4 12 14  
Mamula GB NO TEN CIN MIN ATL PIT DAL JAC NE LAC ARI TB DEN SEA KC 80
  14 6 7 11 3 13 5 8 9 15 1 10 2 4 16 12  
Holloway GB MIA HOU CLE DET ATL PIT DAL JAC NE LAC ARI TB DEN SEA KC 80
  13 3 5 1 4 15 8 10 9 16 2 12 7 6 14 11  
Wimer GB NO HOU CIN MIN ATL PIT DAL JAC NE PHI ARI TB DEN SEA KC 80
  14 9 1 8 7 16 6 5 13 15 12 4 3 2 11 10  
Brimacombe GB MIA HOU CIN MIN ATL PIT DAL JAC NE PHI ARI TB DEN SEA WAS 79
  15 3 4 10 5 14 6 13 9 12 2 11 8 7 16 1  
Heiser CHI NO TEN CIN DET ATL PIT DAL JAC NE PHI ARI TB DEN SEA KC 79
  4 14 13 12 9 11 8 7 6 16 5 3 2 1 15 10  
Knotts GB NO TEN CLE MIN ATL PIT DAL JAC NE LAC ARI TB DEN SEA KC 75
  16 3 1 4 2 13 9 10 11 15 5 14 6 7 8 12  
Larkin GB MIA TEN CIN MIN ATL BAL LAR JAC NE LAC ARI TB DEN SEA KC 74
  15 4 8 14 9 13 7 1 6 12 3 10 5 2 16 11  
Garda GB NO TEN CLE MIN ATL PIT DAL JAC NE PHI ARI TB DEN SEA KC 73
  11 10 4 5 8 12 9 13 7 14 6 3 2 1 15 16  
Wood GB MIA TEN CIN MIN ATL PIT DAL JAC NE PHI SF TB OAK SEA KC 65
  14 6 9 4 1 13 2 8 10 16 11 3 7 5 12 15  
Away CHI NO TEN CIN DET BUF PIT LAR JAC CAR PHI SF NYG OAK IND WAS  
Total Pts 4 84 63 127 20 0 85 1 113 0 60 3 2 7 0 1  
Home GB MIA HOU CLE MIN ATL BAL DAL NYJ NE LAC ARI TB DEN SEA KC  
Total Pts 242 26 35 11 72 229 16 161 10 257 28 155 103 78 243 212  
Tot Conf Pts 246 110 98 138 92 229 101 162 123 257 88 158 105 85 243 213  

While the Thursday Night game went as expected, there were some big upsets on Sunday. Atlanta and Dallas started off Sunday with a thud, taking down almost 400 confidence points between them. Jacksonville and New England added another 370 points of lost potential with their losses to the Jets and the Panthers respectively. 

OVERALL RANKINGS

Haseley's back to back wins propelled him to the top of the leaderboard. He pushed past Grant into the top spot and extended his lead to five points. As we head into the bye weeks, it will be a bit harder for others to catch him. 

Staffer Wk01 Wk02 Wk03 Wk04 Wk05 Wk06 Wk07 Wk08 Wk09 Wk10 Wk11 Wk12 Wk13 Wk14 Wk15 Wk16 Wk17 Total
Haseley 85 111 86 89                           371
Grant 88 117 80 81                           366
Roberts 90 112 67 86                           355
Brimacombe 85 112 77 79                           353
Tuccitto 86 104 74 83                           347
Knotts 88 110 70 75                           343
Bitonti 78 105 73 85                           341
Holloway 93 112 55 80                           340
Mamula 81 113 66 80                           340
Hicks 71 97 85 87                           340
Wood 102 90 81 65                           338
Garda 85 111 67 73                           336
Feery 79 111 58 87                           335
Pasquino 66 100 77 88                           331
Wimer 78 101 63 80                           322
Miglio 72 99 67 84                           322
Larkin 82 100 65 74                           321
Heiser 42 89 81 79                           291

THIS WEEK'S PICKS

Here are the picks for this week.

Staffer NE TEN SF CAR BUF LAC ARI JAC NYJ SEA BAL GB KC MIN MNF
  TB MIA IND DET CIN NYG PHI PIT CLE LAR OAK DAL HOU CHI TOT
Miglio NE MIA IND DET CIN NYG PHI PIT CLE SEA OAK DAL HOU MIN 45
  12 5 10 7 6 8 11 9 2 4 13 3 1 14  
Garda NE TEN IND DET BUF NYG PHI PIT NYJ LAR OAK GB KC MIN 47
  12 4 6 11 5 2 9 14 7 1 3 10 8 13  
Hicks TB MIA IND DET CIN NYG PHI PIT CLE LAR OAK DAL HOU CHI 37
  1 2 7 12 6 8 13 14 4 9 5 10 11 3  
Heiser NE MIA IND DET BUF NYG PHI PIT NYJ LAR BAL DAL HOU MIN 38
  13 12 11 10 9 8 7 14 6 5 4 3 2 1  
Feery NE MIA IND DET BUF NYG PHI PIT NYJ LAR BAL GB KC MIN 45
  13 2 3 10 4 8 9 14 11 12 1 6 7 5  
Tuccitto NE MIA IND DET BUF NYG PHI PIT NYJ SEA OAK DAL KC MIN 49
  9 4 8 7 3 10 14 13 6 2 1 5 11 12  
Larkin NE TEN IND DET CIN NYG PHI PIT CLE LAR BAL DAL HOU CHI 47
  12 7 8 9 11 10 13 14 2 6 5 4 3 1  
Knotts NE TEN IND CAR BUF NYG PHI PIT NYJ SEA OAK GB KC MIN 39
  14 13 2 4 5 6 9 11 1 7 3 10 8 12  
Brimacombe NE MIA IND DET CIN LAC PHI PIT NYJ SEA BAL GB KC MIN 42
  12 11 7 10 9 2 13 14 3 8 1 6 5 4  
Wood NE TEN SF DET BUF LAC PHI PIT NYJ SEA BAL DAL KC MIN 38
  14 13 12 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1  
Haseley NE MIA IND DET BUF NYG PHI PIT NYJ SEA OAK DAL KC MIN 43
  7 5 6 8 1 13 9 14 10 3 12 2 11 4  
Pasquino NE TEN SF CAR BUF LAC PHI PIT NYJ SEA OAK GB KC MIN 44
  11 6 13 3 8 4 10 12 14 1 7 2 9 5  
Mamula NE TEN IND CAR BUF LAC PHI PIT NYJ LAR OAK GB KC MIN 40
  13 10 9 2 8 1 12 14 6 5 4 7 3 11  
Roberts NE MIA IND CAR BUF NYG PHI PIT NYJ LAR BAL GB KC MIN 35
  12 4 8 2 7 9 13 14 5 6 3 11 10 1  
Wimer NE MIA IND DET CIN LAC PHI JAC NYJ LAR OAK GB HOU MIN 42
  10 9 8 7 5 13 5 11 4 14 3 2 1 12  
Bitonti NE MIA IND DET BUF NYG PHI PIT NYJ LAR OAK GB HOU MIN 48
  12 1 6 2 10 7 13 14 11 9 3 5 4 8  
Holloway NE TEN IND CAR BUF NYG PHI PIT NYJ SEA OAK GB HOU MIN 39
  12 7 9 1 4 10 14 13 8 3 5 6 2 11  
Grant NE MIA IND CAR CIN NYG PHI PIT NYJ LAR OAK GB KC CHI 36
  10 9 5 4 12 11 13 14 8 2 7 6 3 1  
Away NE TEN SF CAR BUF LAC ARI JAC NYJ SEA BAL GB KC MIN  
Total Pts 198 60 25 16 74 29 0 11 106 33 18 71 77 114  
Home TB MIA IND DET CIN NYG PHI PIT CLE LAR OAK DAL HOU CHI  
Total Pts 1 64 113 104 49 110 195 219 8 69 66 30 24 5  
Tot Conf Pts 199 124 138 120 123 139 195 230 114 102 84 101 101 119  

HEAVY FAVORITES

New England kicks off Thursday night with almost 200 confidence points right out of the gate. The Eagles, Jets, and Vikings on Monday night also have the majority of the staffers picking them to win. In a week with four teams out on bye and Vegas having a small line on most of the games, having teams that you can confidently back this week is a big key to victory. 

DUAL SUPPORT

There are plenty of question marks with this weeks' matchups. Oakland is a favorite over Baltimore this week, but it is also the game with the fewest total confidence points (84). Tennessee at Miami is the closest game of the week with the Dolphins having a small advantage due to being at home. Other games to be careful on are the Bills at the Bengals, the Seahawks at the Rams, the Packers at the Cowboys and Chiefs at the Texans. 

ODDS AND ENDS

Four teams are on a bye this week, making 105 points the best possible score if a staffer picks every game correct. With so many close games, this week is going to be a wild one. 

Good luck this weekend!

Photos provided by USA TODAY Sports
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