![Staff Confidence Pool (No Spread) Week 4](https://footballguys.imgix.net/nfl-action-photos/GlenMi00_H.jpg?auto=format,compress&w=730)
Looking to dominate your office pool this season? 19 Footballguys.com staff members are here to help you out. Each week they will pick the winners of every NFL game, and rank their selections based on how confident they are that the team will win. The most confident pick gets 16 points, and the least confident gets just 1. We'll even total up everyone's picks so you can get an 'overall consensus' on who our staff think will be the most likely winners. Each week we'll announce the weekly winners, and track the overall record for the entire season. A couple of things to note before we get to the picks:
- Picks for this pool are straight up (no point spread considered).
- Picks are due on Wednesday nights, and may not reflect any late-breaking news. If your league allows for last minute changes, please make adjustments to your office pool accordingly.
- Our staffers also play in weekly picks Against The Spread, and Survivor Style 'Pick one Winner each week' formats as well. Check out the other weekly articles for more help with those type of games.
RESULTS FROM LAST WEEK
The Monday night game didn't have an impact on this week's contest, and Jeff Haseley came home with the top spot this week. It was a pretty rough week for everyone though, and Haseley finished first despite missing seven games this week. Hicks missed only six, but his confidence point allocation cost him the win by a single point. Wood also only missed six but he lost 3 of his top six contests which ultimately put him too far behind to catch up.
Staffer | LAR | BAL | ATL | CLE | NYG | TB | PIT | MIA | NO | DEN | HOU | SEA | CIN | KC | OAK | DAL | TOT |
SF | JAC | DET | IND | PHI | MIN | CHI | NYJ | CAR | BUF | NE | TEN | GB | LAC | WAS | ARI | Pts | |
Haseley | LAR | BAL | ATL | IND | PHI | MIN | PIT | MIA | CAR | DEN | NE | SEA | GB | KC | WAS | ARI | 86 |
4 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 5 | 10 | 6 | 16 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 1 | ||
Hicks | SF | JAC | DET | IND | PHI | MIN | PIT | NYJ | CAR | BUF | NE | TEN | GB | LAC | WAS | ARI | 85 |
5 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 2 | 14 | 4 | 16 | 10 | 15 | 11 | 9 | 3 | ||
Heiser | LAR | BAL | ATL | IND | PHI | TB | PIT | MIA | NO | DEN | NE | SEA | GB | KC | OAK | DAL | 81 |
11 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 14 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 2 | 1 | ||
Wood | LAR | JAC | ATL | CLE | PHI | TB | PIT | MIA | NO | DEN | NE | TEN | GB | KC | OAK | DAL | 81 |
13 | 1 | 11 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 16 | 3 | 12 | 15 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 8 | ||
Grant | LAR | BAL | ATL | CLE | PHI | TB | PIT | MIA | CAR | DEN | NE | TEN | GB | KC | OAK | DAL | 80 |
5 | 8 | 11 | 1 | 13 | 4 | 14 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 2 | ||
Brimacombe | LAR | BAL | ATL | CLE | PHI | TB | PIT | MIA | NO | DEN | NE | TEN | GB | LAC | WAS | ARI | 77 |
12 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 4 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 1 | ||
Pasquino | LAR | JAC | ATL | CLE | PHI | MIN | PIT | MIA | CAR | DEN | NE | TEN | GB | KC | OAK | DAL | 77 |
9 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 7 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 8 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 3 | ||
Tuccitto | LAR | BAL | ATL | IND | PHI | MIN | PIT | MIA | CAR | DEN | NE | SEA | GB | KC | OAK | ARI | 74 |
7 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 9 | 14 | 4 | 16 | 2 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 3 | ||
Bitonti | LAR | BAL | ATL | IND | PHI | TB | PIT | MIA | CAR | DEN | NE | TEN | GB | KC | OAK | DAL | 73 |
8 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 11 | 16 | 4 | 15 | 10 | 7 | 2 | ||
Knotts | LAR | BAL | ATL | CLE | PHI | TB | PIT | MIA | NO | DEN | NE | SEA | GB | LAC | OAK | DAL | 70 |
16 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 2 | 15 | 4 | 9 | 3 | ||
Miglio | SF | BAL | ATL | IND | PHI | TB | PIT | MIA | CAR | DEN | NE | TEN | GB | LAC | WAS | ARI | 67 |
7 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 4 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 1 | ||
Garda | LAR | BAL | ATL | CLE | PHI | TB | PIT | MIA | CAR | DEN | NE | TEN | GB | KC | OAK | DAL | 67 |
4 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 14 | 3 | 12 | 13 | 8 | 2 | ||
Roberts | LAR | BAL | DET | IND | PHI | TB | PIT | MIA | CAR | DEN | NE | TEN | GB | LAC | OAK | DAL | 67 |
11 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 3 | 15 | 1 | 7 | 6 | ||
Mamula | SF | JAC | ATL | IND | PHI | TB | PIT | MIA | CAR | DEN | NE | TEN | GB | KC | OAK | DAL | 66 |
5 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 2 | 15 | 3 | 13 | 4 | ||
Larkin | LAR | BAL | DET | CLE | PHI | MIN | PIT | MIA | CAR | DEN | NE | TEN | GB | KC | WAS | DAL | 65 |
8 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 16 | 3 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 2 | ||
Wimer | LAR | BAL | ATL | CLE | PHI | MIN | PIT | MIA | CAR | DEN | NE | TEN | GB | LAC | WAS | DAL | 63 |
7 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 1 | ||
Feery | LAR | BAL | DET | CLE | NYG | TB | PIT | MIA | CAR | DEN | NE | TEN | GB | KC | OAK | DAL | 58 |
6 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 7 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 5 | ||
Holloway | LAR | BAL | DET | CLE | PHI | TB | PIT | MIA | CAR | DEN | NE | SEA | GB | LAC | OAK | DAL | 55 |
7 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 1 | 15 | 2 | 9 | 6 | ||
Away | LAR | BAL | ATL | CLE | NYG | TB | PIT | MIA | NO | DEN | HOU | SEA | CIN | KC | OAK | DAL | |
Total Pts | 128 | 135 | 109 | 43 | 2 | 72 | 244 | 178 | 18 | 168 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 98 | 88 | 45 | |
Home | SF | JAC | DET | IND | PHI | MIN | CHI | NYJ | CAR | BUF | NE | TEN | GB | LAC | WAS | ARI | |
Total Pts | 17 | 9 | 22 | 57 | 175 | 35 | 0 | 2 | 141 | 4 | 267 | 62 | 264 | 26 | 19 | 9 | |
Tot Conf Pts | 145 | 144 | 131 | 100 | 177 | 107 | 244 | 180 | 159 | 172 | 267 | 73 | 264 | 124 | 107 | 54 |
The Rams narrowly missed being the third Thursday night upset in a row, ultimately being saved by the missed XP from the 49ers in the 49th quarter. Chicago's win over the Steelers was the biggest upset of the week, taking down 244 confidence points, the second most confident pick of the week. Other big upsets by Jacksonville, Buffalo, New Orleans and the Jets really depressed the scoring this week overall.
OVERALL RANKINGS
Haseley's big win this week moved him all the way up to second place while Holloway's disaster dropped him to the middle of the pack. Wood rebounded after a disappointing second week and he's just 12 points out of the top spot as we head into week 4.
Staffer | Wk01 | Wk02 | Wk03 | Wk04 | Wk05 | Wk06 | Wk07 | Wk08 | Wk09 | Wk10 | Wk11 | Wk12 | Wk13 | Wk14 | Wk15 | Wk16 | Wk17 | Total |
Grant | 88 | 117 | 80 | 285 | ||||||||||||||
Haseley | 85 | 111 | 86 | 282 | ||||||||||||||
Brimacombe | 85 | 112 | 77 | 274 | ||||||||||||||
Wood | 102 | 90 | 81 | 273 | ||||||||||||||
Roberts | 90 | 112 | 67 | 269 | ||||||||||||||
Knotts | 88 | 110 | 70 | 268 | ||||||||||||||
Tuccitto | 86 | 104 | 74 | 264 | ||||||||||||||
Garda | 85 | 111 | 67 | 263 | ||||||||||||||
Holloway | 93 | 112 | 55 | 260 | ||||||||||||||
Mamula | 81 | 113 | 66 | 260 | ||||||||||||||
Bitonti | 78 | 105 | 73 | 256 | ||||||||||||||
Hicks | 71 | 97 | 85 | 253 | ||||||||||||||
Feery | 79 | 111 | 58 | 248 | ||||||||||||||
Larkin | 82 | 100 | 65 | 247 | ||||||||||||||
Pasquino | 66 | 100 | 77 | 243 | ||||||||||||||
Wimer | 78 | 101 | 63 | 242 | ||||||||||||||
Miglio | 72 | 99 | 67 | 238 | ||||||||||||||
Heiser | 42 | 89 | 81 | 212 |
THIS WEEK'S PICKS
Here are the picks for this week.
Staffer | CHI | NO | TEN | CIN | DET | BUF | PIT | LAR | JAC | CAR | PHI | SF | NYG | OAK | IND | WAS | MNF |
GB | MIA | HOU | CLE | MIN | ATL | BAL | DAL | NYJ | NE | LAC | ARI | TB | DEN | SEA | KC | TOTAL | |
Miglio | GB | NO | HOU | CIN | MIN | ATL | PIT | DAL | NYJ | NE | LAC | ARI | TB | DEN | SEA | KC | 49 |
14 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 4 | 11 | 1 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 12 | ||
Garda | GB | NO | TEN | CLE | MIN | ATL | PIT | DAL | JAC | NE | PHI | ARI | TB | DEN | SEA | KC | 50 |
11 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 16 | ||
Hicks | GB | MIA | HOU | CLE | MIN | ATL | BAL | DAL | NYJ | NE | LAC | ARI | TB | DEN | SEA | KC | 51 |
16 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 3 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 15 | 11 | ||
Heiser | CHI | NO | TEN | CIN | DET | ATL | PIT | DAL | JAC | NE | PHI | ARI | TB | DEN | SEA | KC | 48 |
4 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 10 | ||
Feery | GB | NO | TEN | CIN | DET | ATL | PIT | DAL | NYJ | NE | LAC | ARI | NYG | DEN | SEA | KC | 48 |
13 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 12 | 3 | 11 | 1 | 9 | 16 | 14 | ||
Tuccitto | GB | NO | TEN | CIN | MIN | ATL | PIT | DAL | JAC | NE | PHI | ARI | TB | DEN | SEA | KC | 49 |
16 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 1 | 10 | 14 | 6 | 12 | 15 | ||
Larkin | GB | MIA | TEN | CIN | MIN | ATL | BAL | LAR | JAC | NE | LAC | ARI | TB | DEN | SEA | KC | 44 |
15 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 3 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 11 | ||
Knotts | GB | NO | TEN | CLE | MIN | ATL | PIT | DAL | JAC | NE | LAC | ARI | TB | DEN | SEA | KC | 43 |
16 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 12 | ||
Brimacombe | GB | MIA | HOU | CIN | MIN | ATL | PIT | DAL | JAC | NE | PHI | ARI | TB | DEN | SEA | WAS | 47 |
15 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 14 | 6 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 1 | ||
Wood | GB | MIA | TEN | CIN | MIN | ATL | PIT | DAL | JAC | NE | PHI | SF | TB | OAK | SEA | KC | 49 |
14 | 6 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 15 | ||
Haseley | GB | MIA | HOU | CIN | MIN | ATL | PIT | DAL | NYJ | NE | PHI | ARI | TB | DEN | SEA | KC | 47 |
16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 1 | 12 | 4 | 15 | 7 | 13 | 9 | 2 | 10 | 14 | ||
Pasquino | GB | NO | HOU | CIN | MIN | ATL | PIT | DAL | JAC | NE | PHI | ARI | TB | OAK | SEA | KC | 47 |
12 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 4 | 15 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 2 | 14 | 7 | ||
Mamula | GB | NO | TEN | CIN | MIN | ATL | PIT | DAL | JAC | NE | LAC | ARI | TB | DEN | SEA | KC | 39 |
14 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 1 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 12 | ||
Roberts | GB | NO | TEN | CIN | DET | ATL | PIT | DAL | JAC | NE | PHI | ARI | TB | DEN | SEA | KC | 45 |
16 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 2 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 12 | ||
Wimer | GB | NO | HOU | CIN | MIN | ATL | PIT | DAL | JAC | NE | PHI | ARI | TB | DEN | SEA | KC | 52 |
14 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 15 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 10 | ||
Bitonti | GB | NO | TEN | CIN | MIN | ATL | PIT | DAL | JAC | NE | PHI | ARI | NYG | DEN | SEA | KC | 52 |
14 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 15 | 4 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 11 | 16 | ||
Holloway | GB | MIA | HOU | CLE | DET | ATL | PIT | DAL | JAC | NE | LAC | ARI | TB | DEN | SEA | KC | 41 |
13 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 16 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 11 | ||
Grant | GB | NO | HOU | CIN | MIN | ATL | BAL | DAL | JAC | NE | LAC | ARI | TB | DEN | SEA | KC | 44 |
13 | 11 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 14 | ||
Away | CHI | NO | TEN | CIN | DET | BUF | PIT | LAR | JAC | CAR | PHI | SF | NYG | OAK | IND | WAS | |
Total Pts | 4 | 84 | 63 | 127 | 20 | 0 | 85 | 1 | 113 | 0 | 60 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | |
Home | GB | MIA | HOU | CLE | MIN | ATL | BAL | DAL | NYJ | NE | LAC | ARI | TB | DEN | SEA | KC | |
Total Pts | 242 | 26 | 35 | 11 | 72 | 229 | 16 | 161 | 10 | 257 | 28 | 155 | 103 | 78 | 243 | 212 | |
Tot Conf Pts | 246 | 110 | 98 | 138 | 92 | 229 | 101 | 162 | 123 | 257 | 88 | 158 | 105 | 85 | 243 | 213 |
HEAVY FAVORITES
Only 1 staffer (Heiser) was brave enough to pick the Bears to upset the Packers this evening. Green Bay checks in as the third most confident pick of the week. The Patriots hold the top spot again, with no one predicting an upset from the Panthers. Vegas expects the Seahawks and their struggling offense to easily beat the Colts this week (13.5 point favorite) and they also rank very high in this week's confidence pool picks. Atlanta, Dallas, Arizona, Tampa and Kansas City were also very highly rated by the staffers this week.
DUAL SUPPORT
Although Denver was heavily favored by a majority of the staff, the Denver-Oakland game received the lowest total confidence points of the week. Both Denver and Oakland have shown that they can play up or play down to their opponents, and this has folks being conservative, even if they expect the Broncos should win. Philadelphia is more than a 2 to 1 favorite in terms of confidence points over the Chargers, but this game also had less than 90 total points allocated to it. The Vikings, Steelers and Titans are also expected to win, but rank near the bottom of most people's confidence list.
ODDS AND ENDS
With 213 total confidence points, the Chiefs are easily the biggest Monday Night Football favorite this season. But since Brimacombe is the only staffer to pick Washington to pull off the upset, the Monday night game probably won't have much of an impact on this week's contests. In some office pools, you can make changes to your pick right up to game time. If you find yourself close to the top this week, but not close enough to take the top spot, consider swapping out Kansas City to Washington. They aren't expected to win, but if the upset would give you the top spot, it is better to take a shot and hope for the upset than pick the favorite and ultimately lose.
Good luck this weekend!