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Staff Confidence Pool (No Spread) Week 8

Will Grant's Staff Confidence Pool (No Spread) Week 8
By Will Grant, October 27, 2016

Staff Confidence Pool (No Spread) Week 8
Photo: USA Today Sports

Looking to dominate your office pool this season? 18 Footballguys.com staff members are here to help you out. Each week they will pick the winners of every NFL game, and rank their selections based on how confident they are that the team will win. The most confident pick gets 16 points, and the least confident gets just 1. We'll even total up everyone's picks so you can get an 'overall consensus' on who our staff think will be the most likely winners. Each week we'll announce the weekly winners, and track the overall record for the entire season. A couple of things to note before we get to the picks:

  • Picks for this pool are straight up (no point spread considered). 
  • Picks are due on Wednesday nights, and may not reflect late-breaking news. If your league allows for last minute changes, please make adjustments to your office pool accordingly. 
  • Our staffers also play in weekly picks Against The Spread, and Survivor Style 'Pick one Winner each week' formats as well. Check out the other weekly articles for more help with those type of games. 

RESULTS FROM LAST WEEK

Week 1 Dave Larkin crushed the field and put himself into the top spot overall. Since then, everyone's been playing catch-up and Larkin's lead has been slowly dwindling. This week, Larkin said 'ENOUGH' and put up a great score, winning his second weekly challenge and extending his lead overall. Larkin only had four misses this week, dodging the major roadblocks along the way. Jason Wood also only had four losses, but he took a big hit on the Seattle game, losing 7 confidence points. 

Staffer CHI NYG BUF WAS OAK NO MIN BAL IND CLE SD TB NE SEA HOU MNF TOT
  GB LAR MIA DET JAX KC PHI NYJ TEN CIN ATL SF PIT ARI DEN TOT Pts
Larkin GB NYG BUF DET OAK KC MIN NYJ IND CIN SD SF NE SEA DEN 45 98
  15 8 11 7 9 12 6 5 3 14 2 1 10 4 13    
Heiser GB NYG BUF DET OAK KC MIN NYJ TEN CIN ATL TB NE ARI DEN 46 92
  12 3 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 15 4 2 14 1 13    
Wood GB NYG MIA DET OAK NO PHI BAL IND CIN ATL TB NE SEA DEN 38 92
  15 13 1 4 12 3 11 10 4 9 8 2 14 7 6    
Brimacombe GB LAR BUF DET JAX KC PHI BAL IND CIN ATL TB NE ARI DEN 43 87
  14 5 9 6 4 8 7 3 10 15 11 2 12 1 13    
Miglio GB LAR MIA DET OAK KC MIN NYJ TEN CIN ATL TB NE ARI DEN 44 85
  8 6 5 7 9 11 10 2 4 15 14 3 13 1 12    
Tuccitto GB NYG MIA WAS OAK KC MIN BAL IND CIN ATL SF NE SEA DEN 49 79
  12 9 1 4 6 11 7 5 3 13 15 8 10 2 14    
Knotts GB NYG BUF DET OAK KC MIN BAL TEN CIN ATL TB NE ARI DEN 41 78
  14 2 5 3 6 9 11 8 7 15 10 4 13 1 12    
Hicks GB LAR MIA DET JAX KC PHI NYJ TEN CIN ATL SF PIT ARI DEN 35 78
  10 5 6 7 8 15 4 9 3 14 11 2 1 12 13    
Gray GB LAR BUF DET OAK KC MIN NYJ TEN CIN ATL TB NE SEA DEN 37 76
  11 4 8 5 7 10 9 1 6 14 15 3 12 2 13    
Pasquino GB LAR BUF WAS JAX KC MIN BAL TEN CIN ATL TB NE ARI DEN 43 74
  14 1 10 8 4 9 5 3 7 15 2 11 13 6 12    
Bitonti GB NYG BUF DET OAK KC MIN BAL TEN CIN ATL TB NE SEA DEN 58 71
  13 5 7 2 1 11 9 12 3 10 14 8 15 4 6    
Wimer GB NYG BUF DET JAX NO MIN BAL IND CIN ATL TB NE ARI DEN 42 70
  13 9 8 7 6 5 4 11 3 14 15 2 10 1 12    
Mamula GB LAR BUF DET JAX KC MIN BAL IND CIN ATL TB NE ARI DEN 42 70
  13 7 10 6 5 8 11 4 3 14 12 2 15 1 9    
Garda GB LAR BUF WAS OAK KC MIN BAL IND CIN ATL TB NE SEA DEN 60 70
  11 9 8 5 7 6 4 13 2 12 10 3 15 1 14    
Feery GB NYG BUF WAS OAK KC MIN BAL TEN CIN ATL TB NE ARI DEN 40 69
  9 8 6 4 5 7 12 3 2 10 13 1 14 11 15    
Kuczynski GB NYG BUF DET OAK NO MIN BAL IND CIN ATL SF NE SEA DEN 44 68
  11 5 7 1 10 4 8 12 3 14 13 2 15 6 9    
Roberts GB LAR BUF WAS JAX KC MIN BAL TEN CIN ATL TB NE ARI DEN 38 67
  11 1 13 5 3 8 6 7 4 15 12 9 14 2 10    
Grant GB LAR BUF WAS OAK KC MIN BAL TEN CIN ATL TB NE ARI DEN 43 64
  1 6 9 4 7 14 10 8 5 12 11 2 13 3 15    
Away CHI NYG BUF WAS OAK NO MIN BAL IND CLE SD TB NE SEA HOU    
Total Pts 0 62 122 30 88 12 119 99 31 0 2 54 222 26 0    
Home GB LAR MIA DET JAX KC PHI NYJ TEN CIN ATL SF PIT ARI DEN    
Total Pts 207 44 13 65 30 147 22 23 46 240 190 13 1 40 211    

The Seattle - Arizona tie turned out to be a loss for everyone. Some leagues go the other way and give everyone a win, but our contest is the most conservative one possible so you are always covered. Buffalo, Minnesota, Baltimore and Atlanta were also key lossess that hurt the board. 

OVERALL RANKINGS

Larkin's lead jumped from 20 points to 35 this week with his big win. Wimer slipped into 3rd and Brimacombe moved into 2nd, but fell farther behind. With this week's depressed scoring, Larkin's lead is pretty safe. 

Staffer Wk01 Wk02 Wk03 Wk04 Wk05 Wk06 Wk07 Wk08 Wk09 Wk10 Wk11 Wk12 Wk13 Wk14 Wk15 Wk16 Wk17 Total
Larkin 120 104 67 64 70 79 98                     602
Brimacombe 74 87 82 85 63 89 87                     567
Wimer 83 90 89 80 63 79 70                     554
Hicks 64 105 69 83 62 87 78                     548
Knotts 88 82 83 66 73 77 78                     547
Tuccitto 87 92 80 66 63 75 79                     542
Miglio 88 94 69 65 67 74 85                     542
Bitonti 90 64 78 67 85 79 71                     534
Heiser 82 55 69 68 72 86 92                     524
Garda 87 98 76 71 60 60 70                     522
Gray 85 88 58 71 53 87 76                     518
Mamula 79 99 46 67 78 78 70                     517
Kuczynski 98 79 68 73 61 69 68                     516
Roberts 88 89 70 70 60 65 67                     509
Wood 86 87 45 56 66 65 92                     497
Pasquino 84 90 59 57 59 73 74                     496
Grant 75 84 65 74 66 65 64                     493
Feery 72 83 66 59 63 74 69                     486

THIS WEEK'S PICKS

Here are the picks for this week

Staffer JAX WAS KC DET SEA ARI NYJ OAK NE SD GB PHI MIN MNF
  TEN CIN IND HOU NO CAR CLE TB BUF DEN ATL DAL CHI TOTAL
Miglio TEN CIN IND HOU SEA CAR NYJ OAK NE DEN ATL DAL MIN 42
  9 11 1 2 7 4 6 3 13 10 5 8 12  
Garda TEN CIN KC DET SEA ARI NYJ OAK NE DEN GB DAL MIN 45
  11 10 9 1 3 2 8 7 12 5 4 6 13  
Hicks TEN CIN IND HOU SEA CAR CLE TB BUF DEN ATL DAL MIN 31
  3 10 1 2 7 9 5 8 4 12 11 13 6  
Heiser TEN CIN KC DET NO ARI NYJ OAK NE SD ATL DAL MIN 24
  10 9 8 7 1 2 6 5 11 3 4 13 12  
Feery TEN CIN KC DET NO ARI NYJ OAK NE DEN ATL DAL MIN 40
  3 2 7 1 4 5 6 8 13 11 9 10 12  
Kuczynski TEN CIN KC DET SEA ARI NYJ OAK NE DEN ATL DAL MIN 31
  1 9 10 2 4 7 6 8 13 12 3 5 11  
Gray TEN CIN KC HOU SEA CAR NYJ OAK NE DEN ATL DAL MIN 31
  10 9 6 1 7 2 11 3 12 8 4 5 13  
Tuccitto TEN CIN KC HOU SEA CAR NYJ TB NE DEN ATL DAL MIN 49
  11 3 1 8 6 5 7 2 4 13 9 10 12  
Larkin TEN WAS IND HOU SEA CAR NYJ OAK NE DEN ATL DAL MIN 37
  7 3 2 1 11 4 10 6 13 9 5 8 12  
Knotts TEN CIN IND DET NO CAR NYJ OAK NE DEN ATL DAL MIN 40
  13 12 2 1 3 4 5 9 10 8 7 6 11  
Brimacombe TEN CIN IND HOU SEA CAR NYJ OAK NE DEN GB DAL MIN 42
  2 9 8 3 10 4 7 6 11 12 5 1 13  
Wood TEN CIN IND DET NO CAR NYJ TB NE DEN ATL PHI MIN 44
  13 12 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1  
Pasquino JAX CIN KC DET NO CAR NYJ TB NE DEN GB PHI MIN 33
  1 5 9 6 2 10 11 4 12 8 3 7 13  
Mamula TEN CIN KC HOU SEA CAR NYJ OAK NE DEN ATL DAL MIN 38
  9 7 6 5 10 4 3 2 13 1 8 11 12  
Roberts TEN CIN IND DET SEA ARI CLE TB NE DEN ATL DAL MIN 36
  13 9 1 7 6 4 2 8 10 12 3 5 11  
Wimer TEN CIN KC HOU SEA ARI NYJ OAK NE DEN ATL PHI MIN 27
  8 7 6 5 4 3 13 2 11 10 9 1 12  
Bitonti TEN CIN KC DET NO ARI NYJ OAK NE DEN ATL DAL MIN 48
  10 8 1 7 5 4 13 2 11 12 6 9 3  
Grant TEN CIN KC DET SEA ARI NYJ OAK NE DEN GB DAL MIN 40
  10 5 7 2 8 3 9 6 12 11 1 4 13  
Away JAX WAS KC DET SEA ARI NYJ OAK NE SD GB PHI MIN  
Total Pts 1 3 70 44 83 30 128 67 186 3 13 10 192  
Home TEN CIN IND HOU NO CAR CLE TB BUF DEN ATL DAL CHI  
Total Pts 143 137 26 27 24 54 7 28 4 158 86 114 0  

HEAVY FAVORITES

Tennessee starts out the week as a strong favorite for tonight's game. Only Larkin was brave enough to take Washington over the Bengals on Sunday. The Vikings are a unanimous choice to win on Monday night, and the Cowboys, Broncos, Patriots and Jets are all heavily favored by most of the staff.  

DUAL SUPPORT

Detroit at Houston was the hard game this week, with only 71 total confidence points and the Lions being a slight favorite. For the Arizona, Carolina game, the Panthers are a slight favorite at home, but there are only 84 total confidence points for the game. Oakland is favored by more than 2 to 1 over Tampa Bay, but that game has only 95 total confidence points. Atlanta is a heavy favorite over Green Bay, but there were only 99 total confidence points wagered on the game so be careful with that one. 

ODDS AND ENDS

With six teams off this week, the maximum number of total points that a staffer can get is only 91 this week. In your local leagues, this is not the week to take a lot of chances. 

Good luck this weekend!

Photos provided by USA TODAY Sports
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