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Staff Confidence Pool (No Spread): Week 7

Will Grant's Staff Confidence Pool (No Spread): Week 7
By Will Grant, October 20, 2016

Staff Confidence Pool (No Spread): Week 7
Photo: USA Today Sports

Looking to dominate your office pool this season? 18 Footballguys.com staff members are here to help you out. Each week they will pick the winners of every NFL game, and rank their selections based on how confident they are that the team will win. The most confident pick gets 16 points, and the least confident gets just 1. We'll even total up everyone's picks so you can get an 'overall consensus' on who our staff think will be the most likely winners. Each week we'll announce the weekly winners, and track the overall record for the entire season. A couple of things to note before we get to the picks:

  • Picks for this pool are straight up (no point spread considered). 
  • Picks are due on Wednesday nights, and may not reflect late-breaking news. If your league allows for last minute changes, please make adjustments to your office pool accordingly. 
  • Our staffers also play in weekly picks Against The Spread, and Survivor Style 'Pick one Winner each week' formats as well. Check out the other weekly articles for more help with those type of games. 

RESULTS FROM LAST WEEK

James Brimacombe went into the Monday Night Football game with a slight lead, but the same pick as everyone else. Clayton Gray narrowed the gap, but it was too much to overcome Brimcombe's lead, giving him the win for the week when Arizona easily handled the Jets. Brimacombe actually missed six games compared to Clayton's five, but Gray lost 13 points on the Miami upset of the Steelers. Brimacombe also missed that game, but only lost 8 on it. 

Staffer DEN SF CLE JAX CAR PHI PIT LAR BAL CIN KC DAL ATL IND NYJ MNF TOT
  SD BUF TEN CHI NO WAS MIA DET NYG NE OAK GB SEA HOU ARI TOT Pts
Brimacombe DEN BUF TEN JAX CAR PHI PIT DET NYG NE OAK GB SEA HOU ARI 47 89
  10 15 14 9 2 1 8 7 3 11 4 6 12 5 13    
Gray DEN BUF TEN JAX NO WAS PIT LAR NYG NE OAK GB SEA HOU ARI 47 87
  10 12 11 2 8 5 13 1 9 15 3 6 4 7 14    
Hicks DEN BUF TEN CHI NO WAS PIT DET NYG NE OAK GB SEA HOU ARI 37 87
  8 13 14 2 3 4 10 1 5 15 6 7 11 9 12    
Heiser DEN BUF TEN CHI NO PHI PIT DET NYG NE OAK DAL SEA IND ARI 46 86
  11 10 9 8 7 6 5 15 4 14 3 2 13 1 12    
Wimer DEN BUF TEN CHI NO PHI PIT DET NYG NE KC GB SEA HOU ARI 45 79
  6 14 11 8 10 5 9 4 7 15 3 13 2 1 12    
Larkin DEN BUF TEN CHI NO WAS PIT DET NYG NE KC GB SEA IND ARI 42 79
  11 14 9 3 5 7 13 6 4 15 1 12 10 2 8    
Bitonti DEN BUF TEN JAX NO WAS PIT DET BAL NE OAK GB SEA IND ARI 44 79
  6 12 15 4 8 1 11 7 3 13 10 9 5 2 14    
Mamula DEN BUF TEN JAX CAR PHI PIT DET NYG NE KC GB SEA HOU ARI 35 78
  6 12 13 5 8 4 15 3 2 14 7 9 10 1 11    
Knotts DEN BUF TEN CHI CAR PHI PIT DET NYG NE OAK GB SEA IND ARI 41 77
  5 12 14 1 2 8 11 6 10 15 4 9 7 3 13    
Tuccitto DEN BUF TEN CHI NO PHI PIT DET NYG NE OAK GB SEA HOU ARI 49 75
  7 15 13 6 1 8 12 9 3 11 2 10 4 5 14    
Miglio DEN BUF TEN CHI NO WAS PIT DET NYG NE OAK GB SEA HOU ARI 48 74
  14 13 9 2 5 1 12 7 4 15 8 10 6 3 11    
Feery DEN BUF TEN JAX NO PHI PIT DET NYG NE OAK DAL ATL IND ARI 48 74
  13 10 9 4 3 8 12 6 2 15 1 11 7 5 14    
Pasquino SD BUF TEN JAX CAR PHI PIT LAR BAL NE KC GB SEA HOU ARI 44 73
  1 15 11 2 7 8 14 9 3 13 5 6 12 4 10    
Kuczynski DEN BUF TEN CHI CAR PHI PIT DET NYG NE OAK GB SEA HOU ARI 48 69
  15 10 11 2 1 6 14 8 3 12 4 9 7 5 13    
Roberts DEN BUF TEN JAX CAR PHI PIT LAR NYG NE OAK GB SEA HOU ARI 46 65
  8 14 12 4 7 9 15 1 6 13 5 10 3 2 11    
Wood SD SF TEN JAX CAR PHI PIT DET NYG NE OAK GB SEA IND ARI 51 65
  2 1 5 3 4 12 14 6 13 15 9 8 10 7 11    
Grant DEN BUF TEN CHI CAR PHI PIT LAR NYG NE OAK GB SEA HOU ARI 41 65
  11 14 1 3 5 7 12 2 10 15 6 9 4 8 13    
Garda DEN BUF TEN JAX NO PHI PIT DET BAL NE OAK GB SEA HOU ARI 40 60
  13 8 7 3 12 11 15 6 9 14 2 10 4 1 5    
Away DEN SF CLE JAX CAR PHI PIT LAR BAL CIN KC DAL ATL IND NYJ    
Total Pts 154 1 0 36 36 93 215 13 15 0 16 13 7 20 0    
Home SD BUF TEN CHI NO WAS MIA DET NYG NE OAK GB SEA HOU ARI    
Total Pts 3 213 188 35 62 18 0 91 85 250 67 143 124 51 211    

Denver started the week off on a down note, with only two staffers picking the San Diego upset on Thursday night. The Steelers were the biggest upset of the weekend though, with Miami costing the field for 215 points. The Eagles and Packers were not unanimous choices, but their two losses took down over 230 points between the two of them. 

OVERALL RANKINGS

Brimacombe's win propelled him up the charts, and he moved into 3rd on the overall leaderboard. But with Wimer and Larkin both posting solid games, Larkin remains at the top of the board, maintaining his 20 point lead. 

Staffer Wk01 Wk02 Wk03 Wk04 Wk05 Wk06 Wk07 Wk08 Wk09 Wk10 Wk11 Wk12 Wk13 Wk14 Wk15 Wk16 Wk17 Total
Larkin 120 104 67 64 70 79                       504
Wimer 83 90 89 80 63 79                       484
Brimacombe 74 87 82 85 63 89                       480
Hicks 64 105 69 83 62 87                       470
Knotts 88 82 83 66 73 77                       469
Tuccitto 87 92 80 66 63 75                       463
Bitonti 90 64 78 67 85 79                       463
Miglio 88 94 69 65 67 74                       457
Garda 87 98 76 71 60 60                       452
Kuczynski 98 79 68 73 61 69                       448
Mamula 79 99 46 67 78 78                       447
Roberts 88 89 70 70 60 65                       442
Gray 85 88 58 71 53 87                       442
Heiser 82 55 69 68 72 86                       432
Grant 75 84 65 74 66 65                       429
Pasquino 84 90 59 57 59 73                       422
Feery 72 83 66 59 63 74                       417
Wood 86 87 45 56 66 65                       405

THIS WEEK'S PICKS

Here are the picks for this week

Staffer CHI NYG BUF WAS OAK NO MIN BAL IND CLE SD TB NE SEA HOU MNF
  GB LAR MIA DET JAX KC PHI NYJ TEN CIN ATL SF PIT ARI DEN TOT
Miglio GB LAR MIA DET OAK KC MIN NYJ TEN CIN ATL TB NE ARI DEN 44
  8 6 5 7 9 11 10 2 4 15 14 3 13 1 12  
Garda GB LAR BUF WAS OAK KC MIN BAL IND CIN ATL TB NE SEA DEN 60
  11 9 8 5 7 6 4 13 2 12 10 3 15 1 14  
Hicks GB LAR MIA DET JAX KC PHI NYJ TEN CIN ATL SF PIT ARI DEN 35
  10 5 6 7 8 15 4 9 3 14 11 2 1 12 13  
Heiser GB NYG BUF DET OAK KC MIN NYJ TEN CIN ATL TB NE ARI DEN 46
  12 3 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 15 4 2 14 1 13  
Feery GB NYG BUF WAS OAK KC MIN BAL TEN CIN ATL TB NE ARI DEN 40
  9 8 6 4 5 7 12 3 2 10 13 1 14 11 15  
Kuczynski GB NYG BUF DET OAK NO MIN BAL IND CIN ATL SF NE SEA DEN 44
  11 5 7 1 10 4 8 12 3 14 13 2 15 6 9  
Gray GB LAR BUF DET OAK KC MIN NYJ TEN CIN ATL TB NE SEA DEN 37
  11 4 8 5 7 10 9 1 6 14 15 3 12 2 13  
Tuccitto GB NYG MIA WAS OAK KC MIN BAL IND CIN ATL SF NE SEA DEN 49
  12 9 1 4 6 11 7 5 3 13 15 8 10 2 14  
Larkin GB NYG BUF DET OAK KC MIN NYJ IND CIN SD SF NE SEA DEN 45
  15 8 11 7 9 12 6 5 3 14 2 1 10 4 13  
Knotts GB NYG BUF DET OAK KC MIN BAL TEN CIN ATL TB NE ARI DEN 41
  14 2 5 3 6 9 11 8 7 15 10 4 13 1 12  
Brimacombe GB LAR BUF DET JAX KC PHI BAL IND CIN ATL TB NE ARI DEN 43
  14 5 9 6 4 8 7 3 10 15 11 2 12 1 13  
Wood GB NYG MIA DET OAK NO PHI BAL IND CIN ATL TB NE SEA DEN 38
  15 13 1 4 12 3 11 10 4 9 8 2 14 7 6  
Pasquino GB LAR BUF WAS JAX KC MIN BAL TEN CIN ATL TB NE ARI DEN 43
  14 1 10 8 4 9 5 3 7 15 2 11 13 6 12  
Mamula GB LAR BUF DET JAX KC MIN BAL IND CIN ATL TB NE ARI DEN 42
  13 7 10 6 5 8 11 4 3 14 12 2 15 1 9  
Roberts GB LAR BUF WAS JAX KC MIN BAL TEN CIN ATL TB NE ARI DEN 38
  11 1 13 5 3 8 6 7 4 15 12 9 14 2 10  
Wimer GB NYG BUF DET JAX NO MIN BAL IND CIN ATL TB NE ARI DEN 42
  13 9 8 7 6 5 4 11 3 14 15 2 10 1 12  
Bitonti GB NYG BUF DET OAK KC MIN BAL TEN CIN ATL TB NE SEA DEN 58
  13 5 7 2 1 11 9 12 3 10 14 8 15 4 6  
Grant GB LAR BUF WAS OAK KC MIN BAL TEN CIN ATL TB NE ARI DEN 43
  1 6 9 4 7 14 10 8 5 12 11 2 13 3 15  
Away CHI NYG BUF WAS OAK NO MIN BAL IND CLE SD TB NE SEA HOU  
Total Pts 0 62 122 30 88 12 119 99 31 0 2 54 222 26 0  
Home GB LAR MIA DET JAX KC PHI NYJ TEN CIN ATL SF PIT ARI DEN  
Total Pts 207 44 13 65 30 147 22 23 46 240 190 13 1 40 211  

HEAVY FAVORITES

Green Bay leads off the weekend with a unanimous choice to win tonight’s game, despite picking people out of the crowd to run the ball. Apparently the dreaded Chicago-Green Bay rivalry isn’t as dreaded as it once was. The Bengals and Patriots both had over 200 confidence points allocated to them as well, and the Broncos are a unanimous choice to win the Monday night game. Buffalo, KC, Minnesota and Atlanta are also heavily favored to win their respective games this week.  

DUAL SUPPORT

There were several very low confidence games this week from the staff. Seattle at Arizona was the lowest, with just 66 total confidence points. Arizona is a slight favorite in that contest. Tampa Bay at San Francisco is right behind it with just 67, but Tampa is a much stronger favorite over the terrible 49er defense. Indy at Tennessee had just 77 total confidence points with the Titans being a slight home favorite, and Detroit is a 2-to-1 favorite over Washington, but with only 95 total confidence points for the game. Finally, the Giants are a slight favorite over the Rams, but the total game has just 106 confidence points, meaning a lot of these games should be near the bottom of your confidence board. 

ODDS AND ENDS

120 is the maximum score again this week. 

Good luck this weekend!

Photos provided by USA TODAY Sports
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