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Staff Confidence Pool (No Spread) Week 14

Will Grant's Staff Confidence Pool (No Spread) Week 14
By Will Grant, December 8, 2016

Staff Confidence Pool (No Spread) Week 14
Photo: USA Today Sports

Looking to dominate your office pool this season? 18 Footballguys.com staff members are here to help you out. Each week they will pick the winners of every NFL game, and rank their selections based on how confident they are that the team will win. The most confident pick gets 16 points, and the least confident gets just 1. We'll even total up everyone's picks so you can get an 'overall consensus' on who our staff think will be the most likely winners. Each week we'll announce the weekly winners, and track the overall record for the entire season. A couple of things to note before we get to the picks:

  • Picks for this pool are straight up (no point spread considered). 
  • Picks are due on Wednesday nights, and may not reflect late-breaking news. If your league allows for last minute changes, please make adjustments to your office pool accordingly. 
  • Our staffers also play in weekly picks Against The Spread, and Survivor Style 'Pick one Winner each week' formats as well. Check out the other weekly articles for more help with those type of games. 

RESULTS FROM LAST WEEK

Chris Kuczyns finished at the top of the leaderboard this week. He missed only two games this week - the Eagles and the Falcons, and he only had 15 points of confidence on them. Dave Larkin also only missed 2 games as well, but he had 1 extra point of confidence lost and finished second this week. Interestingly the did not miss the same teams. 

Staffer DAL KC HOU SF DET MIA LAR DEN PHI BUF NYG WAS TB CAR IND MNF TOT
  MIN ATL GB CHI NO BAL NE JAX CIN OAK PIT ARI SD SEA NYJ TOT Pts
Kuczynski DAL ATL GB CHI DET BAL NE DEN PHI OAK PIT ARI TB SEA IND 52 105
  13 5 12 1 6 4 14 15 10 9 3 2 11 7 8    
Larkin DAL KC GB SF NO BAL NE DEN CIN OAK PIT ARI TB SEA IND 41 104
  7 3 11 6 10 8 15 13 5 12 9 4 2 14 1    
Grant DAL ATL GB CHI NO BAL NE DEN PHI OAK PIT ARI SD SEA IND 47 97
  9 6 12 1 8 5 15 11 2 10 14 3 7 13 4    
Hicks DAL ATL GB CHI NO BAL NE DEN CIN OAK PIT ARI SD SEA NYJ 44 97
  9 8 10 6 12 5 14 15 4 7 13 3 1 11 2    
Pasquino DAL KC GB SF NO BAL NE DEN PHI OAK PIT ARI TB SEA IND 51 97
  12 3 14 6 10 8 15 13 7 2 5 11 1 9 4    
Garda DAL ATL GB CHI NO BAL NE DEN CIN OAK PIT WAS SD SEA NYJ 40 95
  9 13 8 10 6 5 14 15 4 12 7 3 2 11 1    
Miglio DAL ATL GB CHI NO BAL NE DEN CIN OAK PIT ARI SD SEA IND 49 94
  11 10 12 5 9 4 15 14 2 8 6 3 7 13 1    
Mamula DAL ATL GB CHI NO BAL NE DEN PHI OAK PIT ARI SD SEA IND 42 94
  12 6 5 2 7 11 15 10 9 8 14 1 4 13 3    
Bitonti DAL ATL GB SF NO BAL NE DEN CIN OAK PIT WAS SD SEA IND 48 94
  9 7 11 2 10 8 12 15 1 13 6 3 4 14 5    
Gray DAL ATL GB SF NO BAL NE DEN CIN OAK PIT WAS TB SEA NYJ 45 93
  12 5 6 4 9 8 15 14 1 11 10 7 3 13 2    
Roberts DAL ATL GB CHI NO BAL NE DEN PHI BUF PIT ARI TB SEA NYJ 48 92
  13 12 14 9 7 11 15 10 5 3 8 4 2 6 1    
Wimer DAL ATL GB CHI NO BAL NE DEN PHI OAK PIT WAS SD SEA IND 59 91
  9 8 13 7 6 12 15 14 10 5 4 3 2 11 1    
Knotts DAL ATL GB CHI NO BAL NE DEN PHI OAK PIT ARI SD SEA IND 44 89
  5 6 14 1 15 4 13 12 3 11 10 2 7 9 8    
Brimacombe DAL ATL GB CHI NO BAL NE DEN PHI OAK PIT ARI SD SEA IND 47 89
  14 13 15 4 12 10 11 9 1 8 7 6 5 3 2    
Tuccitto DAL ATL GB CHI NO BAL NE DEN CIN OAK PIT ARI SD SEA NYJ 49 87
  1 8 11 5 12 4 15 9 2 6 13 7 10 14 3    
Heiser DAL KC GB SF DET MIA NE DEN PHI BUF PIT WAS TB SEA IND 42 86
  15 12 14 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 13 2 1    
Feery DAL ATL GB CHI NO BAL NE DEN CIN OAK NYG WAS SD SEA NYJ 45 84
  15 10 11 7 5 1 14 13 2 12 3 4 8 9 6    
Wood DAL ATL GB SF NO MIA NE DEN PHI OAK NYG WAS SD SEA IND 53 54
  15 14 13 12 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1    
Away DAL KC HOU SF DET MIA LAR DEN PHI BUF NYG WAS TB CAR IND    
Total Pts 190 18 0 41 16 19 0 217 60 8 8 27 32 0 39    
Home MIN ATL GB CHI NO BAL NE JAX CIN OAK PIT ARI SD SEA NYJ    
Total Pts 0 131 206 58 149 108 244 0 21 140 133 46 60 174 15    

The Falcons and the Saints had the biggest impact on this week's leaderboard with upsets by Kansas City and Detroit hurting a lot of people. Philadelphia and San Diego also hurt a chunk of folks, but not nearly as bad as the Saints and Falcons. 

OVERALL RANKINGS

Larkin's second place finish this week has extended his lead even further. He now has a commanding 45 point lead on second place. The #2 - #6 slot shifted around again with only 7 points seperating everyone in that pack. 

Staffer Wk01 Wk02 Wk03 Wk04 Wk05 Wk06 Wk07 Wk08 Wk09 Wk10 Wk11 Wk12 Wk13 Wk14 Wk15 Wk16 Wk17 Total
Larkin 120 104 67 64 70 79 98 63 61 46 84 116 104         1076
Hicks 64 105 69 83 62 87 78 50 63 78 87 108 97         1031
Garda 87 98 76 71 60 60 70 58 75 84 84 109 95         1027
Bitonti 90 64 78 67 85 79 71 69 71 59 81 118 94         1026
Miglio 88 94 69 65 67 74 85 60 71 60 92 106 94         1025
Knotts 88 82 83 66 73 77 78 65 72 47 87 117 89         1024
Kuczynski 98 79 68 73 61 69 68 58 77 59 80 117 105         1012
Tuccitto 87 92 80 66 63 75 79 68 63 53 89 107 87         1009
Wimer 83 90 89 80 63 79 70 64 58 59 78 91 91         995
Gray 85 88 58 71 53 87 76 62 69 53 88 108 93         991
Brimacombe 74 87 82 85 63 89 87 46 66 39 73 106 89         986
Mamula 79 99 46 67 78 78 70 62 63 47 91 112 94         986
Grant 75 84 65 74 66 65 64 59 79 61 82 114 97         985
Roberts 88 89 70 70 60 65 67 43 61 66 79 119 92         969
Pasquino 84 90 59 57 59 73 74 52 64 61 75 119 97         964
Feery 72 83 66 59 63 74 69 71 66 45 65 130 84         947
Heiser 82 55 69 68 72 86 92 58 76 38 61 104 86         947
Wood 86 87 45 56 66 65 92 49 68 42 73 112 54         895

THIS WEEK'S PICKS

Here are the picks for this week

Staffer OAK CHI ARI SD CIN DEN HOU WAS PIT MIN NYJ ATL SEA NO DAL BAL MNF
  KC DET MIA CAR CLE TEN IND PHI BUF JAX SF LAR GB TB NYG NE TOT
Miglio KC DET MIA CAR CIN TEN IND PHI PIT MIN SF ATL GB TB DAL NE 47
  10 15 7 8 13 2 16 3 12 14 4 11 1 6 5 9  
Garda KC DET ARI SD CIN DEN IND WAS PIT MIN SF ATL GB TB DAL NE 70
  14 13 2 1 15 12 11 7 6 5 4 16 3 9 8 10  
Hicks KC DET MIA CAR CIN TEN IND PHI BUF MIN SF LAR GB TB NYG NE 45
  9 16 5 7 11 1 14 3 6 12 10 2 8 13 4 15  
Heiser KC DET ARI SD CIN TEN IND WAS PIT MIN NYJ ATL SEA TB DAL NE 42
  13 12 11 14 10 15 9 16 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1  
Feery OAK DET ARI SD CIN TEN IND WAS PIT MIN NYJ ATL GB NO NYG NE 45
  9 15 6 1 11 4 14 8 7 12 5 13 10 2 3 16  
Kuczynski OAK DET ARI CAR CIN DEN IND WAS PIT MIN NYJ ATL SEA NO DAL NE 50
  1 15 4 5 12 11 8 9 10 16 3 14 6 2 7 13  
Gray KC DET MIA SD CIN DEN IND WAS BUF MIN SF ATL SEA TB DAL NE 51
  5 16 4 6 12 3 13 8 1 14 2 10 7 11 9 15  
Tuccitto KC DET MIA CAR CIN DEN IND PHI BUF MIN SF ATL SEA TB DAL NE 49
  11 10 1 9 15 3 13 7 2 12 6 14 5 8 4 16  
Larkin KC DET MIA CAR CIN DEN IND WAS PIT MIN SF ATL SEA NO DAL NE 45
  10 16 5 3 15 6 14 8 9 11 4 13 2 1 7 12  
Knotts OAK DET MIA CAR CIN DEN IND WAS PIT MIN SF ATL GB NO DAL NE 47
  1 16 4 9 10 8 15 6 14 13 7 12 5 3 2 11  
Brimacombe OAK DET ARI CAR CIN DEN IND PHI PIT MIN NYJ ATL GB NO NYG NE 47
  2 16 3 9 15 10 14 4 5 11 1 12 7 6 8 13  
Wood OAK DET MIA SD CIN TEN IND PHI PIT MIN NYJ ATL SEA TB NYG NE 46
  16 15 14 13 12 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1  
Pasquino KC DET ARI SD CIN TEN IND PHI PIT MIN SF ATL GB TB DAL NE 50
  1 16 13 7 10 4 12 2 3 8 15 14 5 9 6 11  
Mamula OAK DET ARI CAR CIN DEN IND WAS PIT MIN SF ATL SEA NO DAL NE 45
  7 16 8 6 14 9 5 4 12 13 3 11 2 1 10 15  
Roberts OAK DET ARI SD CIN TEN IND WAS BUF JAX SF ATL SEA TB DAL NE 46
  8 14 3 6 15 5 13 4 2 1 7 12 10 9 11 16  
Wimer KC DET ARI SD CIN DEN IND WAS PIT MIN SF ATL GB NO DAL NE 42
  9 10 8 7 11 12 13 6 5 14 4 16 3 2 15 1  
Bitonti KC DET MIA CAR CIN TEN IND WAS PIT MIN NYJ ATL GB TB NYG NE 52
  8 15 9 5 12 4 13 6 10 11 3 16 2 14 1 7  
Grant OAK DET ARI CAR CIN DEN IND WAS PIT MIN SF ATL SEA TB DAL NE 45
  1 15 2 5 6 9 13 8 10 12 4 14 3 7 11 16  
Away OAK CHI ARI SD CIN DEN HOU WAS PIT MIN NYJ ATL SEA NO DAL BAL  
Total Pts 45 0 60 55 219 83 0 90 119 192 24 208 43 17 97 0  
Home KC DET MIA CAR CLE TEN IND PHI BUF JAX SF LAR GB TB NYG NE  
Total Pts 90 261 49 66 0 46 220 28 11 1 70 2 44 92 18 198  

HEAVY FAVORITES

The biggest point spreads from Vegas mark the teams that are the heaviest favorites this week. The Lions, Bengals, Colts and Patriots top the charts with all staffers picking them to win and each of them having 198 total confidence points or more. Atlanta and Minnesota were also strong favorites with only 1 staffer taking the Rams or Jaguars to pull off the upset. 

DUAL SUPPORT

Seattle at Green Bay was easily the toughest game to call for the Footballguys staff. The game itself has the lowest total confidence points of the week with just 87 and the Packers received just 1 additional point making this one of the closest games of the season to call. San Francisco has a decent backing over the visiting Jets after their Monday Night Meltdown, but the game itself still has less than 100 total confidence points on it. It should probably be ranked near the bottom of your weekly office pool. Arizona at Miami is also a close game with both teams receiving some lukewarm support. 

ODDS AND ENDS

And we're in the home stretch. Four weeks to go and 136 points maximum each week. In this pool. the winner is pretty clear and it's shaping up to be a battle for second. However, if you're behind in your local pool but still have a chance to catch up, there is still time to make a comeback. If you can manage your confidence pool points properly, you can still gain a lot of ground during this time. 

Good luck this weekend!

Photos provided by USA TODAY Sports
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