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Staff Confidence Pool (No Spread) Week 12

Will Grant's Staff Confidence Pool (No Spread) Week 12
By Will Grant, November 23, 2016

Staff Confidence Pool (No Spread) Week 12
Photo: USA Today Sports

Looking to dominate your office pool this season? 18 Footballguys.com staff members are here to help you out. Each week they will pick the winners of every NFL game, and rank their selections based on how confident they are that the team will win. The most confident pick gets 16 points, and the least confident gets just 1. We'll even total up everyone's picks so you can get an 'overall consensus' on who our staff think will be the most likely winners. Each week we'll announce the weekly winners, and track the overall record for the entire season. A couple of things to note before we get to the picks:

  • Picks for this pool are straight up (no point spread considered). 
  • Picks are due on Wednesday nights, and may not reflect late-breaking news. If your league allows for last minute changes, please make adjustments to your office pool accordingly. 
  • Our staffers also play in weekly picks Against The Spread, and Survivor Style 'Pick one Winner each week' formats as well. Check out the other weekly articles for more help with those type of games. 

RESULTS FROM LAST WEEK

This week Alex Miglio took home the top spot, narrowly edging out John Mamula by 1 point 92-91. Although Miglio only had 2 mistakes this week, he lost quite a few points backing KC. Mamula missed 2 more games, but his risk management was better and had he picked Indianapolis over Tennessee this week, he’d have won. 

Staffer NO ARI BAL PIT BUF TEN TB JAX CHI MIA PHI NE GB HOU MNF TOT
  CAR MIN DAL CLE CIN IND KC DET NYG LAR SEA SF WAS OAK TOT Pts
Miglio CAR MIN DAL PIT CIN IND KC DET NYG MIA SEA NE WAS OAK 49 92
  6 5 13 10 4 2 9 12 11 1 7 14 3 8    
Mamula CAR ARI DAL PIT BUF TEN KC DET NYG MIA SEA NE GB OAK 45 91
  5 4 12 13 3 2 7 10 11 6 9 14 1 8    
Tuccitto CAR MIN DAL PIT CIN IND KC DET NYG LAR SEA NE WAS OAK 49 89
  6 3 10 9 2 5 13 11 12 1 8 14 4 7    
Gray CAR MIN DAL PIT CIN IND KC DET NYG LAR SEA NE WAS OAK 52 88
  3 1 12 8 6 4 9 11 13 2 10 14 5 7    
Hicks CAR MIN DAL PIT CIN IND KC DET NYG LAR SEA NE WAS OAK 49 87
  2 4 11 14 5 3 12 10 9 1 13 6 7 8    
Knotts CAR MIN DAL PIT CIN IND KC DET NYG LAR SEA NE GB OAK 45 87
  5 4 13 14 7 3 8 6 11 2 10 12 1 9    
Larkin CAR MIN DAL PIT CIN IND KC DET NYG MIA SEA NE GB OAK 48 84
  5 2 7 12 6 4 14 13 10 3 9 11 1 8    
Garda CAR ARI DAL PIT CIN TEN KC DET NYG MIA SEA NE WAS OAK 45 84
  9 6 4 12 3 2 10 11 13 1 8 14 5 7    
Grant CAR ARI DAL PIT CIN TEN KC DET NYG MIA SEA NE WAS OAK 45 82
  6 5 9 11 4 2 12 8 13 3 10 14 1 7    
Bitonti NO MIN DAL PIT CIN TEN KC DET NYG MIA SEA NE WAS OAK 56 81
  2 5 8 7 6 4 12 10 13 3 11 14 1 9    
Kuczynski NO ARI DAL PIT CIN TEN KC DET NYG MIA SEA NE GB OAK 49 80
  1 6 8 13 3 2 9 12 11 7 10 14 4 5    
Roberts CAR MIN DAL PIT BUF TEN KC DET NYG LAR SEA NE GB OAK 51 79
  4 1 13 12 3 8 10 7 11 6 9 14 2 5    
Wimer CAR ARI DAL PIT CIN TEN KC DET NYG MIA SEA NE GB OAK 59 78
  5 8 7 12 4 3 11 10 14 6 9 2 1 13    
Pasquino NO ARI DAL PIT BUF TEN KC DET NYG MIA SEA NE GB OAK 47 75
  6 2 13 12 10 7 11 1 9 3 5 14 4 8    
Brimacombe CAR ARI DAL PIT CIN IND KC DET NYG LAR SEA NE GB OAK 44 73
  1 2 14 13 12 11 10 9 8 3 7 6 5 4    
Wood CAR ARI DAL PIT BUF TEN KC JAX NYG MIA PHI NE GB OAK 43 73
  7 6 13 8 9 4 3 2 10 1 12 14 5 11    
Feery NO ARI DAL PIT CIN TEN KC DET NYG MIA PHI NE WAS OAK 45 65
  6 8 14 9 1 7 13 4 12 3 5 10 2 11    
Heiser CAR ARI DAL PIT BUF TEN KC DET NYG MIA SEA NE GB OAK 46 61
  11 10 9 8 12 13 7 6 5 4 3 2 14 1    
Away NO ARI BAL PIT BUF TEN TB JAX CHI MIA PHI NE GB HOU    
Total Pts 15 57 0 197 37 54 0 2 0 41 17 203 38 0    
Home CAR MIN DAL CLE CIN IND KC DET NYG LAR SEA SF WAS OAK    
Total Pts 75 25 190 0 63 32 180 151 196 15 138 0 28 136    

Kansas City was a big loss for the board, taking down everyone and wiping out 180 confidence points. Arizona’s loss to Minnesota also hurt more than it helped, but that game was one of the lower total confidence points of the week so the impact wasn’t as great. Tennessee also took down a few more points. 

OVERALL RANKINGS

Miglio jumped ahead of Garda to move into 3rd place on the overall leaderboard. Larkin and Hicks remained #1 and #2, but Hicks gained a little ground finishing 3 points ahead of Larkin 87-84. As we head into the home stretch, Larkin leads the field by 30 points. 

Staffer Wk01 Wk02 Wk03 Wk04 Wk05 Wk06 Wk07 Wk08 Wk09 Wk10 Wk11 Wk12 Wk13 Wk14 Wk15 Wk16 Wk17 Total
Larkin 120 104 67 64 70 79 98 63 61 46 84             856
Hicks 64 105 69 83 62 87 78 50 63 78 87             826
Miglio 88 94 69 65 67 74 85 60 71 60 92             825
Garda 87 98 76 71 60 60 70 58 75 84 84             823
Knotts 88 82 83 66 73 77 78 65 72 47 87             818
Tuccitto 87 92 80 66 63 75 79 68 63 53 89             815
Bitonti 90 64 78 67 85 79 71 69 71 59 81             814
Wimer 83 90 89 80 63 79 70 64 58 59 78             813
Brimacombe 74 87 82 85 63 89 87 46 66 39 73             791
Kuczynski 98 79 68 73 61 69 68 58 77 59 80             790
Gray 85 88 58 71 53 87 76 62 69 53 88             790
Mamula 79 99 46 67 78 78 70 62 63 47 91             780
Grant 75 84 65 74 66 65 64 59 79 61 82             774
Roberts 88 89 70 70 60 65 67 43 61 66 79             758
Heiser 82 55 69 68 72 86 92 58 76 38 61             757
Pasquino 84 90 59 57 59 73 74 52 64 61 75             748
Feery 72 83 66 59 63 74 69 71 66 45 65             733
Wood 86 87 45 56 66 65 92 49 68 42 73             729

THIS WEEK'S PICKS

Here are the picks for this week

Staffer MIN WAS PIT JAX SD NYG ARI TEN LAR SF CIN SEA NE CAR KC GB MNF
  DET DAL IND BUF HOU CLE ATL CHI NO MIA BAL TB NYJ OAK DEN PHI TOT
Miglio DET DAL IND BUF HOU NYG ATL TEN NO MIA BAL SEA NE OAK DEN PHI 50
  5 13 2 14 1 11 12 7 10 8 6 15 16 4 9 3  
Garda MIN DAL PIT BUF HOU NYG ATL TEN NO MIA BAL SEA NE OAK DEN PHI 45
  4 12 16 15 7 14 8 10 6 9 5 13 11 3 2 1  
Hicks DET DAL IND BUF HOU NYG ATL TEN NO MIA BAL TB NE OAK DEN PHI 55
  3 6 1 16 4 12 14 10 5 9 7 2 11 13 15 8  
Heiser MIN DAL PIT BUF SD NYG ATL TEN NO MIA BAL SEA NE CAR KC GB 48
  14 13 9 6 10 12 5 8 4 7 3 2 1 16 15 11  
Feery DET DAL PIT BUF SD NYG ATL TEN NO MIA BAL SEA NE OAK DEN PHI 45
  8 15 13 10 5 11 4 7 12 9 6 3 16 14 2 1  
Kuczynski DET DAL PIT BUF SD NYG ATL TEN NO MIA BAL SEA NE OAK DEN PHI 42
  2 12 13 8 5 15 3 10 9 11 7 14 16 6 1 4  
Gray DET DAL PIT BUF HOU NYG ATL TEN NO MIA BAL SEA NE OAK DEN PHI 51
  2 1 8 11 3 13 10 9 7 12 14 15 16 5 6 4  
Tuccitto DET DAL PIT BUF HOU NYG ATL CHI NO MIA BAL SEA NE OAK DEN PHI 49
  3 14 4 16 2 12 8 1 10 15 5 9 13 7 6 11  
Larkin MIN DAL PIT BUF SD NYG ATL TEN NO MIA CIN SEA NE OAK DEN PHI 48
  2 13 10 12 4 14 8 7 15 11 3 9 16 6 5 1  
Knotts DET DAL PIT BUF HOU NYG ATL TEN NO MIA CIN SEA NE CAR KC GB 45
  6 9 10 8 7 16 15 11 14 13 5 4 12 3 2 1  
Brimacombe DET DAL PIT BUF SD NYG ATL TEN NO MIA CIN SEA NE CAR DEN PHI 50
  7 8 1 13 6 12 5 14 16 15 2 11 9 4 10 3  
Wood DET WAS PIT BUF SD NYG ATL TEN NO MIA BAL SEA NE CAR KC PHI 44
  16 15 14 13 12 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1  
Pasquino MIN DAL PIT BUF SD NYG ATL TEN NO MIA BAL SEA NE OAK DEN PHI 53
  4 9 7 16 6 15 8 14 12 13 3 10 11 5 1 2  
Mamula MIN DAL IND BUF SD NYG ATL TEN NO MIA BAL SEA NE OAK KC PHI 53
  10 11 6 5 4 16 9 14 12 13 8 7 15 3 2 1  
Roberts MIN DAL PIT BUF SD NYG ATL TEN NO MIA CIN SEA NE OAK DEN PHI 45
  1 16 15 14 8 12 5 11 10 9 4 7 13 6 3 2  
Wimer MIN DAL PIT JAX HOU NYG ARI TEN NO MIA BAL SEA NE OAK KC PHI 48
  12 11 14 10 8 7 9 15 6 13 16 5 2 4 3 1  
Bitonti DET DAL PIT BUF SD NYG ATL TEN NO MIA BAL SEA NE OAK DEN PHI 56
  8 1 12 16 2 13 6 9 15 14 7 10 11 4 3 5  
Grant DET DAL PIT BUF HOU NYG ARI TEN NO MIA BAL SEA NE OAK DEN PHI 45
  2 5 14 12 3 15 1 13 10 11 9 8 16 7 4 6  
Away MIN WAS PIT JAX SD NYG ARI TEN LAR SF CIN SEA NE CAR KC GB  
Total Pts 47 15 160 10 62 231 10 178 0 0 14 147 209 26 24 12  
Home DET DAL IND BUF HOU CLE ATL CHI NO MIA BAL TB NYJ OAK DEN PHI  
Total Pts 62 169 9 205 35 0 130 1 181 199 102 2 0 87 67 54  

HEAVY FAVORITES

Dallas and Pittsburgh come in as two strong favorites on the Thanksgiving Day slate. Moving to Sunday, the teams to rank higher on your confidence board are Buffalo, the Giants, Atlanta, Tennessee, New Orleans, Miami, Seattle and New England.

DUAL SUPPORT

Detroit has a slight edge over Minnesota on Thanksgiving day, but the game is very close. San Diego has a slight edge over Houston and Oakland is a reasonable favorite over Carolina, but you may not want to risk as many points on these games this week. The Monday Night game between Green Bay and Philadelphia is the lowest confidence point total of the week and with the Eagles being the home favorite. 

ODDS AND ENDS

This week we’re back to 136 total points as a maximum and will be there until the end of the season.

Please Note: Picks were due on Tuesday Night this week due to the Thanksgiving holiday, so if your league allows you to make changes up until game time, make sure to check for late breaking news and adjust your picks accordingly. 

Good luck this weekend!

Photos provided by USA TODAY Sports
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