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Staff Confidence Pool (No Spread) Week 9

Will Grant's Staff Confidence Pool (No Spread) Week 9
By Will Grant, November 5, 2015

Staff Confidence Pool (No Spread) Week 9
Photo: USA Today Sports

We are proud to bring you the return of the Footballguys.com Staff Confidence Pool Challenge. 22 Staff members will pick the winner of each NFL game, and rank each choice from most confident (16 points) to least (1 point). As a tie-breaker, the person who is closest to the total points scored on the last Monday Night game will be the winner. Winners will be announced from week to week and the best overall record will be crowned Confidence pool Champion. Picks and ranks are due on Wednesday, so any late-breaking news may not be reflected in the choices. Also please note that no point spread is taken into account with these picks – it is a straight up pick of which NFL team will win this week. See the other confidence pools for picks against the spread (ATS) or Survivor / Eliminator style.

WEEK 8 RESULTS

Matt Bitonti climbed to the top of this weeks' board, finishing with the most confidence points despite missing four games. He built up a big enough lead to survive several teams that had the same correct pick on Monday Night Football (Carolina) but had more confidence points at stake than he did. Tremblay finished second this week, but he only missed the Atlanta and New York Jets picks. Tremblay lost 17 confidence points though compared to Bitonti who only lost 14 confidence points on his four misses. Sometimes it's just about risk allocation. 

Staffer MIA DET CIN TB NYG MIN ARI SD SF TEN NYJ SEA GB IND TOT
  NE KC PIT ATL NO CHI CLE BAL STL HOU OAK DAL DEN CAR Pts
Bitonti NE KC CIN ATL NO MIN ARI SD STL TEN OAK SEA GB CAR 91
  14 12 9 6 2 13 7 4 11 1 5 10 3 8  
Tremblay NE KC CIN TB NYG MIN ARI BAL STL HOU NYJ SEA DEN CAR 88
  9 11 4 3 7 6 14 8 13 1 10 5 2 12  
Grant NE KC CIN ATL NO MIN ARI SD STL HOU NYJ SEA GB CAR 88
  14 7 5 11 9 4 10 1 13 8 3 6 2 12  
Miglio NE KC PIT ATL NO MIN ARI BAL STL HOU OAK SEA DEN CAR 86
  13 10 7 12 8 6 14 4 3 5 2 9 1 11  
Buzzard NE KC CIN ATL NO MIN ARI BAL STL HOU NYJ SEA GB CAR 85
  14 9 1 10 5 2 8 4 13 6 3 12 7 11  
Tuccitto NE KC CIN ATL NO MIN ARI BAL STL HOU NYJ SEA GB CAR 84
  11 9 1 10 5 2 12 4 14 6 8 13 3 7  
Gray NE DET PIT ATL NO MIN ARI BAL STL HOU NYJ SEA DEN CAR 83
  7 4 2 13 9 8 11 6 14 5 3 10 1 12  
Heiser NE KC CIN ATL NO CHI ARI SD STL HOU OAK SEA GB CAR 82
  14 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 13 4 3 12 2 1  
Rudnicki NE KC CIN ATL NO MIN ARI BAL STL HOU NYJ SEA GB CAR 82
  13 3 8 12 9 4 11 2 14 1 5 10 6 4  
Howe NE KC PIT ATL NO MIN ARI BAL STL HOU NYJ SEA GB CAR 81
  14 10 8 11 5 9 13 4 7 1 3 12 2 6  
Larkin NE KC PIT ATL NO CHI CLE BAL STL HOU NYJ SEA DEN CAR 79
  14 9 5 12 8 2 1 7 11 4 6 13 3 10  
Hindery NE DET CIN ATL NO CHI ARI BAL STL TEN NYJ SEA DEN CAR 78
  13 3 6 11 5 2 9 8 14 4 7 12 1 10  
Holloway NE KC PIT ATL NYG MIN ARI BAL STL HOU OAK SEA GB CAR 78
  10 7 2 14 3 4 13 6 12 5 1 9 8 11  
Lee NE KC PIT ATL NO CHI ARI BAL STL HOU NYJ SEA DEN CAR 72
  7 5 12 14 4 1 8 10 13 9 6 3 2 11  
Garda NE KC CIN ATL NO MIN ARI SD STL HOU NYJ SEA GB CAR 72
  14 8 11 13 7 9 5 4 3 2 10 1 6 12  
Feery NE KC CIN ATL NYG MIN ARI BAL STL TEN NYJ SEA GB CAR 71
  11 6 7 14 1 5 13 3 10 9 8 4 2 12  
Hicks MIA DET CIN ATL NYG MIN ARI SD STL HOU OAK SEA GB CAR 70
  6 3 8 10 5 11 12 4 14 1 2 13 7 9  
Pasquino NE DET CIN ATL NO MIN ARI SD STL HOU NYJ SEA GB CAR 69
  12 2 7 13 1 5 9 6 14 3 4 10 11 8  
Wimer MIA DET CIN ATL NO MIN ARI BAL STL HOU OAK SEA GB CAR 68
  8 7 6 12 11 5 13 4 14 3 2 1 10 9  
Brimacombe NE DET PIT ATL NO MIN ARI BAL STL HOU NYJ SEA GB IND 64
  14 3 5 13 6 4 7 2 12 8 10 11 9 1  
Haseley NE KC PIT ATL NO CHI ARI SD STL TEN OAK SEA GB CAR 63
  14 13 12 11 10 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 9  
Wood NE DET PIT ATL NO MIN ARI SD STL HOU NYJ SEA GB IND 60
  14 13 7 10 4 6 12 1 11 5 9 8 2 3  
Away MIA DET CIN TB NYG MIN ARI SD SF TEN NYJ SEA GB IND  
Total Pts 14 35 83 3 16 103 214 31 0 18 95 186 81 4  
Home NE KC PIT ATL NO CHI CLE BAL STL HOU OAK DAL DEN CAR  
Total Pts 246 130 60 241 116 20 1 72 248 77 18 0 10 185  

The Falcons took down a big chunk of points this week, costing the board 241 points with their upset loss to Tampa Bay. Tremblay was the only staffer to pick the Buccaneers to win that game. The Jets loss to Oakland also hurt, but not nearly as bad as the Falcons. Several staffers, including Bitonti picked the Raiders to win that game. Jason Wood, the overall board leader after 7 weeks had a rough week and it cost him in the overall standings. 

OVERALL RANKINGS

Jason Wood took over the overall lead back in week 3 and he has slowly been building his advantage as we move through the NFL bye weeks. Justin Howe was 14 points behind Wood. But one bad week for Wood and suddenly he finds himself down in third place, nine points behind the leader. Howe is still in second, despite an 81 point week because Tuccitt had 84 and climbed into the top spot, giving us our 4th overall change in the first seven weeks. 

Staffer Wk01 Wk02 Wk03 Wk04 Wk05 Wk06 Wk07 Wk08 Wk09 Wk10 Wk11 Wk12 Wk13 Wk14 Wk15 Wk16 Wk17 Total
Tuccitto 100 54 117 89 88 66 81 84                   679
Howe 109 42 112 92 84 66 91 81                   677
Wood 99 60 125 91 80 85 75 60                   675
Bitonti 98 52 125 76 79 76 74 91                   671
Buzzard 100 45 114 96 75 72 81 85                   668
Grant 106 51 117 88 76 68 72 88                   666
Larkin 111 50 120 89 74 75 68 79                   666
Rudnicki 93 33 130 88 85 73 75 82                   659
Gray 88 46 128 83 70 82 79 83                   659
Miglio 85 51 121 87 81 74 72 86                   657
Hindery 94 48 115 93 74 65 83 78                   650
Holloway 90 45 124 88 75 76 68 78                   644
Garda 92 50 120 97 78 73 61 72                   643
Haseley 101 49 117 87 83 64 72 63                   636
Hicks 82 50 135 78 71 66 83 70                   635
Tremblay 92 95 80 78 75 49 70 88                   627
Pasquino 87 44 124 82 76 65 77 69                   624
Lee 96 39 101 96 82 71 63 72                   620
Feery 81 43 114 95 89 51 70 71                   614
Wimer 86 42 95 89 79 68 79 68                   606
Brimacombe 81 40 117 72 72 74 71 64                   591
Heiser 72 18 98 93 70 65 64 82                   562

THIS WEEK'S PICKS

Here are the picks for this week.

Staffer CLE TEN MIA WAS JAX OAK STL GB NYG ATL DEN PHI CHI MNF
  CIN NO BUF NE NYJ PIT MIN CAR TB SF IND DAL SD TOT
Rudnicki CIN NO BUF NE NYJ PIT MIN GB NYG ATL DEN PHI SD 42
  11 12 5 13 8 7 6 3 2 10 9 1 4  
Miglio CIN NO BUF NE NYJ PIT MIN CAR NYG ATL DEN DAL SD 48
  12 11 10 13 9 8 7 1 3 6 5 2 4  
Garda CIN NO MIA NE NYJ OAK MIN GB NYG ATL DEN PHI SD 40
  13 12 1 11 8 2 3 7 9 5 10 4 6  
Hicks CIN NO BUF NE NYJ PIT MIN GB NYG ATL DEN PHI SD 58
  13 12 1 11 2 3 4 5 6 10 9 8 7  
Heiser CIN NO BUF NE NYJ OAK STL CAR NYG ATL DEN PHI CHI 46
  12 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 13 3 2 1  
Feery CIN NO BUF NE NYJ OAK STL CAR NYG ATL DEN DAL CHI 49
  11 12 8 13 7 5 4 6 2 10 9 1 3  
Gray CIN NO BUF NE JAX PIT MIN GB TB ATL DEN DAL SD 57
  11 10 4 13 1 6 7 5 3 9 12 2 8  
Hindery CIN NO MIA NE JAX OAK STL GB TB ATL DEN PHI CHI 48
  12 11 6 13 4 3 5 8 2 9 10 7 1  
Tuccitto CIN NO BUF NE NYJ PIT MIN GB NYG ATL DEN PHI SD 49
  12 11 3 13 9 7 1 2 6 10 8 4 5  
Larkin CIN NO BUF NE NYJ PIT MIN GB TB ATL DEN DAL CHI 52
  13 11 10 12 9 8 7 4 2 6 5 3 1  
Brimacombe CIN NO BUF NE NYJ PIT MIN GB NYG ATL DEN PHI SD 55
  13 12 1 11 10 9 2 3 4 8 5 7 6  
Wood CIN NO MIA NE JAX OAK MIN GB NYG ATL DEN PHI CHI 47
  12 13 5 11 4 3 2 9 7 10 8 6 1  
Haseley CIN NO BUF NE NYJ PIT MIN CAR NYG ATL DEN PHI SD 49
  12 8 7 13 10 6 5 3 2 11 9 1 4  
Pasquino CIN NO MIA NE JAX PIT STL CAR TB ATL DEN PHI CHI 54
  11 9 3 13 1 5 6 7 4 12 10 8 2  
Lee CIN NO BUF NE NYJ PIT STL CAR NYG ATL DEN DAL SD 46
  12 11 6 13 10 9 3 4 2 7 8 1 5  
Howe CIN NO MIA NE NYJ OAK MIN CAR TB ATL DEN DAL SD 51
  11 10 4 13 8 5 6 3 7 12 9 2 1  
Wimer CIN NO BUF NE NYJ PIT STL CAR NYG ATL DEN PHI CHI 38
  8 12 7 11 6 5 4 3 9 13 10 2 1  
Bitonti CIN NO BUF NE NYJ PIT MIN GB NYG ATL DEN PHI SD 52
  11 12 6 13 9 2 3 8 7 10 4 5 1  
Tremblay CIN NO BUF NE NYJ PIT STL CAR TB ATL DEN DAL SD 49
  12 1 5 13 9 4 6 7 8 11 10 2 3  
Holloway CIN NO MIA NE JAX OAK STL CAR NYG ATL DEN PHI SD 52
  11 12 5 13 1 2 4 3 7 9 8 6 10  
Buzzard CIN NO BUF NE NYJ PIT MIN GB NYG ATL DEN PHI SD 50
  12 9 5 13 8 6 1 2 3 11 10 4 7  
Grant CIN NO BUF NE NYJ PIT MIN GB TB ATL DEN DAL SD 45
  12 11 6 13 10 5 3 4 1 9 8 2 7  
Away CLE TEN MIA WAS JAX OAK STL GB NYG ATL DEN PHI CHI  
Total Pts 0 0 24 0 11 27 38 60 73 211 179 65 10  
Home CIN NO BUF NE NYJ PIT MIN CAR TB SF IND DAL SD  
Total Pts 257 233 94 271 140 90 57 42 27 0 0 15 78  

HEAVY FAVORITES

Despite having our fewest number of games to pick this season, this week's board has plenty of heavy favorites. The Bengals, Saints, Patriots, Falcons and Broncos were all unaminous favorites this week and 1151 total confidence points riding on those five games. The Jets were also a heavy favorite with just a couple staffers picking the Jaguras to win and only risking a couple points on it. 

DUAL SUPPORT

The St. Louis - Minnesota game was the toughest to call, with only 95 total confidence points and the Vikings being a slight favorite. Philadelphia is a clear favorite over Dallas on Sunday night, but the contest had the fewest combined confidence points with just 80. San Diego over Chicago on Monday night is a similar situation with just 88 total points despite the Chargers receiving the bulk of them. 

ODDS AND ENDS

With 6 teams off this week on a bye, 91 points is the maximum amount of confidence points that any player can win this week. That's our lowest total of the season. 

Good luck this weekend!

Photos provided by USA TODAY Sports
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