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Staff Confidence Pool (No Spread) Week 17

Will Grant's Staff Confidence Pool (No Spread) Week 17
By Will Grant, December 31, 2015

Staff Confidence Pool (No Spread) Week 17
Photo: USA Today Sports

We are proud to bring you the return of the Footballguys.com Staff Confidence Pool Challenge. 22 Staff members will pick the winner of each NFL game, and rank each choice from most confident (16 points) to least (1 point). As a tie-breaker, the person who is closest to the total points scored on the last Monday Night game will be the winner. Winners will be announced from week to week and the best overall record will be crowned Confidence pool Champion. Picks and ranks are due on Wednesday, so any late-breaking news may not be reflected in the choices. Also please note that no point spread is taken into account with these picks – it is a straight up pick of which NFL team will win this week. See the other confidence pools for picks against the spread (ATS) or Survivor / Eliminator style.

WEEK 16 RESULTS

Andrew Garda found himself on top of the weekly leaderboard again this week with a score of 99 points. He narrowly beat out John Lee who had a total of 98, despite the fact that John had only 4 incorrect picks and Andrew had 5. Both lost big points on Seattle, but Andrew lost fewer points with his other incorrect picks. Congrats Andrew!. 

Staffer SD WAS HOU PIT NE CAR IND DAL CLE SF CHI JAX STL GB NYG CIN TOT
  OAK PHI TEN BAL NYJ ATL MIA BUF KC DET TB NO SEA ARI MIN DEN Pts
Garda OAK WAS HOU PIT NYJ CAR MIA BUF KC DET TB JAX SEA ARI MIN DEN 99
  13 4 12 9 5 7 1 6 14 11 3 2 15 10 8 16  
Lee OAK WAS HOU PIT NE CAR IND BUF KC DET CHI NO SEA ARI MIN DEN 98
  7 3 12 9 5 8 6 11 15 14 4 2 16 10 13 1  
Hicks OAK WAS HOU PIT NYJ CAR IND BUF KC DET TB JAX SEA ARI MIN CIN 94
  6 12 9 11 10 4 3 15 16 8 5 7 14 2 13 1  
Tuccitto OAK PHI HOU PIT NE CAR MIA BUF KC DET CHI NO SEA ARI MIN CIN 90
  11 2 12 6 5 7 1 13 15 14 8 3 16 4 10 9  
Tremblay OAK WAS HOU PIT NE CAR MIA BUF KC DET TB NO SEA ARI MIN DEN 88
  11 2 9 13 3 8 4 12 16 14 5 6 15 10 7 1  
Heiser OAK WAS HOU PIT NYJ CAR MIA BUF KC DET TB JAX SEA ARI MIN DEN 84
  12 11 10 16 9 13 8 14 7 15 6 5 4 3 2 1  
Haseley OAK WAS HOU PIT NYJ CAR MIA BUF KC DET TB JAX SEA GB MIN DEN 84
  12 14 10 16 3 15 1 11 13 6 9 5 4 2 7 8  
Gray OAK PHI HOU PIT NE CAR IND BUF KC DET TB JAX SEA ARI MIN DEN 83
  6 3 11 13 7 10 2 12 16 14 4 1 15 8 9 5  
Howe OAK WAS HOU PIT NYJ CAR MIA BUF KC DET TB NO SEA ARI MIN CIN 83
  11 2 6 12 1 15 4 8 16 13 5 7 14 10 9 3  
Bitonti OAK WAS HOU PIT NYJ CAR MIA BUF KC DET TB JAX SEA ARI MIN DEN 82
  15 3 14 10 1 11 4 9 13 12 8 5 16 6 7 2  
Pasquino OAK WAS HOU PIT NE CAR IND BUF KC DET TB JAX SEA ARI MIN DEN 81
  13 9 12 14 4 11 2 10 16 7 8 3 15 5 6 1  
Larkin OAK WAS HOU PIT NE CAR MIA BUF KC DET TB NO SEA GB MIN CIN 78
  10 7 11 14 8 9 5 13 16 12 4 3 15 2 6 1  
Holloway OAK PHI HOU PIT NE CAR IND BUF KC DET TB JAX SEA ARI NYG DEN 78
  9 3 8 14 5 11 4 12 15 13 6 2 16 7 1 10  
Buzzard OAK PHI TEN PIT NE CAR MIA BUF KC DET TB NO SEA ARI MIN DEN 77
  10 5 1 13 4 12 2 11 15 14 6 3 16 8 9 7  
Grant OAK WAS HOU PIT NE CAR MIA BUF KC DET TB JAX SEA ARI MIN DEN 77
  11 2 4 14 7 12 1 10 15 13 6 3 16 8 9 5  
Brimacombe OAK PHI HOU PIT NE CAR IND BUF KC DET TB JAX SEA GB MIN DEN 76
  16 15 7 8 9 6 5 10 11 14 4 3 13 2 12 1  
Miglio OAK PHI HOU PIT NE CAR MIA BUF KC DET TB NO SEA ARI MIN DEN 73
  13 8 9 11 10 15 3 6 16 14 4 2 12 1 5 7  
Hindery OAK WAS HOU PIT NE CAR MIA BUF KC DET TB JAX SEA ARI MIN DEN 73
  9 3 2 14 11 13 5 10 16 12 4 1 15 8 7 6  
Wimer OAK PHI HOU PIT NE CAR MIA BUF KC DET TB NO SEA ARI MIN DEN 73
  11 10 9 15 8 7 6 13 16 14 5 4 12 3 2 1  
Rudnicki OAK WAS HOU PIT NE CAR IND BUF KC DET TB JAX SEA GB MIN DEN 71
  10 4 3 14 11 12 2 6 16 13 5 1 15 7 9 8  
Feery OAK WAS HOU PIT NYJ CAR IND BUF KC DET CHI JAX SEA ARI NYG CIN 71
  4 10 9 14 12 13 2 1 16 6 3 11 15 8 5 7  
Wood OAK PHI HOU PIT NE CAR IND DAL KC DET CHI JAX SEA GB NYG DEN 55
  6 14 9 15 16 10 5 1 13 12 2 7 11 3 4 8  
Away SD WAS HOU PIT NE CAR IND DAL CLE SF CHI JAX STL GB NYG CIN  
Total Pts 0 86 188 275 113 229 31 1 0 0 17 56 0 16 10 21  
Home OAK PHI TEN BAL NYJ ATL MIA BUF KC DET TB NO SEA ARI MIN DEN  
Total Pts 226 60 1 0 41 0 45 213 322 265 97 30 300 111 150 88  

OVERALL RANKINGS

Dave Larkin made a little move on overall leader Alex Miglio, but it may be too little, too late. Larkin gained 5 points (see below) but he still remains 16 points behind Miglio for the top spot. He has a chance this week to catch him, but he's going to need a couple upsets to do it. 

Staffer Wk01 Wk02 Wk03 Wk04 Wk05 Wk06 Wk07 Wk08 Wk09 Wk10 Wk11 Wk12 Wk13 Wk14 Wk15 Wk16 Wk17 Total
Miglio 85 51 121 87 81 74 72 86 63 31 84 108 105 97 116 73   1334
Larkin 111 50 120 89 74 75 68 79 60 39 79 96 97 98 105 78   1318
Howe 109 42 112 92 84 66 91 81 41 40 62 90 95 103 117 83   1308
Tuccitto 100 54 117 89 88 66 81 84 55 33 71 73 96 95 111 90   1303
Buzzard 100 45 114 96 75 72 81 85 52 26 69 81 96 93 122 77   1284
Grant 106 51 117 88 76 68 72 88 49 29 74 84 95 85 112 77   1271
Garda 92 50 120 97 78 73 61 72 48 36 70 91 91 75 115 99   1268
Rudnicki 93 33 130 88 85 73 75 82 53 28 69 98 90 92 106 71   1266
Lee 96 39 101 96 82 71 63 72 56 36 69 88 91 105 102 98   1265
Haseley 101 49 117 87 83 64 72 63 59 34 72 78 107 84 105 84   1259
Tremblay 92 95 80 78 75 49 70 88 50 47 68 86 107 88 95 88   1256
Pasquino 87 44 124 82 76 65 77 69 46 44 68 97 91 88 107 81   1246
Hindery 94 48 115 93 74 65 83 78 33 28 74 79 94 91 116 73   1238
Gray 88 46 128 83 70 82 79 83 41 28 64 80 80 83 114 83   1232
Wood 99 60 125 91 80 85 75 60 39 39 47 76 85 115 99 55   1230
Bitonti 98 52 125 76 79 76 74 91 56 22 65 57 85 91 101 82   1230
Hicks 82 50 135 78 71 66 83 70 48 38 36 101 82 82 97 94   1213
Holloway 90 45 124 88 75 76 68 78 40 29 74 79 78 93 94 78   1209
Brimacombe 81 40 117 72 72 74 71 64 57 31 76 81 90 90 111 76   1203
Wimer 86 42 95 89 79 68 79 68 52 33 65 80 81 87 117 73   1194
Heiser 72 18 98 93 70 65 64 82 51 51 68 82 86 87 108 84   1179
Feery 81 43 114 95 89 51 70 71 50 31 58 76 85 84 89 71   1158

THIS WEEK'S PICKS

Here are the picks for this week:

Staffer WAS NYJ TEN BAL NE DET PIT JAX PHI NO SD STL OAK TB SEA MIN MNF
  DAL BUF IND CIN MIA CHI CLE HOU NYG ATL DEN SF KC CAR ARI GB TOT
Rudnicki DAL NYJ IND CIN NE DET PIT HOU NYG ATL DEN STL KC CAR ARI GB 42
  7 11 10 12 16 2 15 14 5 4 13 1 9 8 6 5  
Miglio DAL NYJ IND CIN NE CHI PIT HOU NYG ATL DEN STL KC CAR ARI GB 49
  2 6 8 10 13 3 14 9 4 5 12 11 15 16 7 1  
Garda WAS NYJ IND CIN NE CHI PIT HOU PHI NO DEN STL KC CAR ARI MIN 50
  10 12 9 7 15 6 8 14 4 2 11 1 13 16 3 5  
Hicks WAS NYJ IND CIN NE DET PIT HOU PHI ATL DEN STL KC CAR ARI MIN 39
  4 8 1 3 7 6 16 5 9 10 11 2 12 13 15 14  
Heiser WAS NYJ TEN CIN NE DET PIT JAX NYG NO DEN STL KC CAR ARI MIN 48
  12 11 10 16 15 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 13 14 2 1  
Feery DAL NYJ TEN CIN NE CHI PIT HOU PHI ATL DEN STL KC CAR ARI GB 42
  6 16 3 13 15 5 14 7 9 4 8 2 12 11 10 1  
Gray DAL NYJ IND CIN NE CHI PIT HOU NYG ATL DEN STL KC CAR ARI MIN 53
  1 8 9 10 15 3 14 13 5 6 11 4 12 16 7 2  
Hindery DAL BUF IND CIN NE CHI PIT HOU PHI NO DEN STL KC CAR SEA MIN 40
  8 4 11 12 15 7 14 10 6 3 13 5 9 16 2 1  
Tuccitto WAS BUF IND CIN NE CHI PIT HOU PHI NO SD SF KC CAR SEA MIN 49
  13 3 12 16 9 1 14 11 4 5 8 6 10 15 7 2  
Larkin WAS BUF IND CIN NE DET PIT HOU NYG NO DEN STL KC CAR ARI GB 37
  6 3 5 11 16 2 15 9 7 1 14 8 12 13 10 4  
Brimacombe WAS NYJ IND CIN NE DET PIT HOU NYG ATL DEN STL KC CAR ARI GB 52
  1 9 10 11 12 2 13 8 14 3 16 4 15 7 6 5  
Wood DAL NYJ TEN CIN NE DET PIT JAX PHI NO DEN STL KC CAR ARI MIN 46
  16 15 14 13 12 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1  
Haseley DAL NYJ IND CIN NE CHI PIT HOU NYG ATL DEN STL KC CAR ARI GB 45
  16 15 14 13 12 11 10 9 7 6 4 3 2 8 5 1  
Pasquino WAS NYJ IND CIN NE DET PIT HOU NYG ATL DEN STL KC CAR ARI MIN 51
  1 10 6 11 14 3 15 9 8 4 16 2 13 12 5 7  
Lee DAL NYJ IND CIN NE DET PIT HOU PHI NO DEN STL KC CAR ARI GB 47
  9 11 10 13 12 8 14 7 2 4 15 6 5 16 3 1  
Howe WAS NYJ IND CIN NE CHI PIT HOU PHI NO DEN STL KC CAR ARI GB 46
  9 4 7 16 11 2 12 10 1 3 13 8 15 14 6 5  
Wimer WAS NYJ IND CIN NE DET PIT HOU NYG NO DEN STL KC CAR ARI GB 51
  5 9 8 7 10 6 11 16 4 3 15 2 12 13 14 1  
Bitonti WAS NYJ IND CIN NE DET PIT HOU PHI ATL DEN STL KC CAR ARI GB 45
  13 11 14 12 9 3 15 8 7 6 16 5 2 10 4 1  
Tremblay DAL BUF TEN CIN NE CHI PIT HOU NYG ATL DEN STL KC CAR ARI GB 42
  8 3 2 13 11 6 15 5 4 14 16 9 12 7 10 1  
Holloway WAS BUF IND CIN NE DET PIT HOU PHI ATL DEN STL KC CAR ARI MIN 48
  10 1 8 9 15 3 13 12 4 5 14 7 11 16 6 2  
Buzzard DAL NYJ IND CIN NE CHI PIT HOU NYG ATL DEN STL KC CAR ARI GB 48
  5 7 8 9 12 3 16 13 4 11 14 10 6 15 1 2  
Grant DAL NYJ IND CIN NE CHI PIT HOU PHI NO DEN STL KC CAR ARI GB 45
  5 10 11 12 15 4 14 7 1 2 13 3 8 16 9 6  
Away WAS NYJ TEN BAL NE DET PIT JAX PHI NO SD STL OAK TB SEA MIN  
Total Pts 84 173 29 0 281 55 290 16 55 35 8 101 0 0 9 35  
Home DAL BUF IND CIN MIA CHI CLE HOU NYG ATL DEN SF KC CAR ARI GB  
Total Pts 83 14 161 249 0 51 0 196 68 78 255 6 222 275 131 34  

HEAVY FAVORITES

This week, all the games are played on Sunday, and it's not surprising that the heavy favorites are the teams that have the most to play for. The Bengals, Patriots, Steelers, Chiefs and Panthers were all unaminous picks, while Denver, St. Louis and Arizona were all strong favorites this week as well. 

DUAL SUPPORT

Two really close games jump off the page this week. Detroit has a slight edge on Chicago at 55-51, but their combined 106 confidence points shows neither team has much confidence behind it. The closest game though goes to their division rivals Green Bay and Minnesota. The Vikings edged Green Bay in confidence points 35-34 for a combined 69 total confidence points. It's really a toss up this week between these two teams so don't risk a lot of confidence points there either. 

ODDS AND ENDS

Here's another look at how are two overall leaders did last week.

Miglio OAK PHI HOU PIT NE CAR MIA BUF KC DET TB NO SEA ARI MIN DEN 73
  13 8 9 11 10 15 3 6 16 14 4 2 12 1 5 7  
Larkin OAK WAS HOU PIT NE CAR MIA BUF KC DET TB NO SEA GB MIN CIN 78
  10 7 11 14 8 9 5 13 16 12 4 3 15 2 6 1  

And here's what they have for this week.

Miglio DAL NYJ IND CIN NE CHI PIT HOU NYG ATL DEN STL KC CAR ARI GB
  2 6 8 10 13 3 14 9 4 5 12 11 15 16 7 1
Larkin WAS BUF IND CIN NE DET PIT HOU NYG NO DEN STL KC CAR ARI GB
  6 3 5 11 16 2 15 9 7 1 14 8 12 13 10 4

Larkin gaine 5 points on Miglio last week by correctly picking Washington over Philadelphia. However, he gave a little bit back when Arizona and Denver beat Green Bay and Cincinnati. As mentioned above, he's still 16 points behind Miglio going into this week. 

So Larkin had to take a few chances. For him to catch Alex on the overall board, he's going to need help from Washington, Buffalo, Detroit and New Orleans. Even if the games break his way, it still may not be enough for him to catch Miglio. They are pretty close on the rest of their picks, but there is technically a possibility that Larkin can catch him with key losses by Indianapolis, Miami, Philadelphia, KC, Carolina, Seattle and Minnesota. It's going to be very tough for Larkin to catch Miglio at this point.

Good Luck this weekend and Happy New Year!

Photos provided by USA TODAY Sports
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