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Staff Confidence Pool (No Spread) Week 13

Will Grant's Staff Confidence Pool (No Spread) Week 13
By Will Grant, December 3, 2015

Staff Confidence Pool (No Spread) Week 13
Photo: USA Today Sports

We are proud to bring you the return of the Footballguys.com Staff Confidence Pool Challenge. 22 Staff members will pick the winner of each NFL game, and rank each choice from most confident (16 points) to least (1 point). As a tie-breaker, the person who is closest to the total points scored on the last Monday Night game will be the winner. Winners will be announced from week to week and the best overall record will be crowned Confidence pool Champion. Picks and ranks are due on Wednesday, so any late-breaking news may not be reflected in the choices. Also please note that no point spread is taken into account with these picks – it is a straight up pick of which NFL team will win this week. See the other confidence pools for picks against the spread (ATS) or Survivor / Eliminator style.

WEEK 11 RESULTS

HE'S ON FIRE! Ok, NBA JAM video game reference, but it's really appropriate here. Alex Miglio was this week's top scoring staffer, his third win in for weeks. Miglio hit 12 out of 16 correct picks this week, and  finished 7 points ahead of Andy Hicks in the #2 spot. Miglio lost big on the Green Bay upset on Thanksgiving, but his other three losses were for six confidence points or less. Nice Job Alex!

Staffer PHI CAR CHI STL MIN SD OAK NO MIA BUF NYG TB ARI PIT NE BAL TOT
  DET DAL GB CIN ATL JAX TEN HOU NYJ KC WAS IND SF SEA DEN CLE Pts
Miglio DET CAR GB CIN MIN JAX TEN HOU NYJ KC WAS IND ARI SEA DEN CLE 108
  11 9 15 16 8 6 5 12 4 10 3 7 14 13 1 2  
Hicks PHI CAR GB CIN MIN SD OAK HOU NYJ KC NYG TB ARI SEA NE BAL 101
  6 5 15 4 9 8 7 3 16 10 2 11 14 12 1 13  
Rudnicki DET CAR GB CIN MIN JAX OAK HOU NYJ KC NYG IND ARI SEA NE CLE 98
  12 7 14 16 6 11 10 13 4 5 2 1 15 9 3 8  
Pasquino DET CAR GB CIN MIN JAX OAK HOU NYJ KC NYG TB ARI PIT DEN CLE 97
  2 14 13 16 11 4 5 6 7 12 10 3 15 8 9 1  
Larkin PHI DAL GB CIN MIN JAX OAK HOU NYJ KC WAS IND ARI PIT DEN CLE 96
  9 3 16 15 8 6 7 13 10 12 5 11 14 2 1 4  
Garda DET CAR GB CIN MIN JAX OAK NO NYJ KC NYG IND ARI SEA NE CLE 91
  8 15 13 11 3 10 9 2 6 5 7 4 16 14 12 1  
Howe DET DAL GB CIN MIN JAX OAK HOU NYJ KC NYG TB ARI SEA NE CLE 90
  6 1 16 15 5 3 10 8 11 12 4 2 14 9 13 7  
Lee DET CAR GB CIN ATL JAX OAK HOU NYJ KC NYG IND ARI PIT DEN CLE 88
  6 2 15 16 7 13 11 10 9 12 8 5 14 4 3 1  
Tremblay PHI CAR GB CIN ATL JAX OAK HOU NYJ KC WAS TB ARI SEA DEN BAL 86
  7 DAL 6 10 9 12 2 13 15 8 3 16 1 5 4 14  
Grant DET CAR GB CIN ATL JAX OAK HOU NYJ KC NYG IND ARI SEA NE BAL 84
  3 2 16 14 7 11 4 9 10 13 6 5 15 8 12 1  
Heiser DET CAR GB CIN MIN JAX OAK NO MIA KC NYG TB ARI PIT NE CLE 82
  13 12 14 15 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 16 3 2 1  
Brimacombe DET CAR GB CIN ATL JAX OAK HOU NYJ KC NYG IND ARI SEA NE CLE 81
  3 4 12 13 5 14 6 10 11 15 7 1 16 2 9 8  
Buzzard DET CAR GB CIN ATL JAX OAK HOU NYJ KC NYG IND ARI SEA NE CLE 81
  1 2 15 14 7 11 3 8 9 10 4 6 16 12 13 5  
Gray DET DAL GB CIN ATL JAX OAK HOU NYJ KC NYG TB ARI SEA NE CLE 80
  4 1 15 14 3 9 5 10 11 12 6 2 16 8 13 7  
Wimer PHI CAR GB CIN ATL JAX OAK HOU NYJ BUF NYG IND ARI SEA DEN CLE 80
  8 15 14 10 7 11 13 6 5 4 3 2 16 1 12 9  
Hindery PHI CAR GB CIN ATL JAX OAK HOU NYJ KC NYG IND ARI PIT NE BAL 79
  3 10 14 15 11 13 4 7 9 5 6 12 16 2 8 1  
Holloway DET DAL GB CIN ATL JAX TEN HOU NYJ KC NYG IND ARI SEA NE CLE 79
  4 16 1 15 5 6 2 7 8 10 3 9 14 12 13 11  
Haseley PHI CAR GB CIN ATL JAX OAK HOU NYJ KC WAS IND ARI SEA NE CLE 78
  9 12 15 14 10 8 6 5 4 11 2 1 16 7 13 3  
Feery DET DAL GB CIN MIN JAX OAK NO NYJ KC NYG TB ARI PIT NE CLE 76
  9 3 12 14 11 10 5 2 8 13 7 6 16 1 15 4  
Wood DET DAL GB CIN MIN JAX OAK HOU MIA KC NYG TB ARI SEA NE CLE 76
  5 4 13 16 9 14 11 12 6 7 10 3 15 1 8 2  
Tuccitto PHI CAR GB CIN ATL JAX OAK HOU MIA KC NYG IND ARI SEA NE BAL 73
  8 12 14 15 3 10 5 7 11 2 4 6 16 9 13 1  
Bitonti DET CAR GB CIN ATL JAX OAK NO NYJ KC NYG TB ARI PIT NE CLE 57
  2 7 16 15 8 12 6 11 3 10 5 9 14 4 13 1  
Away PHI CAR CHI STL MIN SD OAK NO MIA BUF NYG TB ARI PIT NE BAL  
Total Pts 50 128 0 0 81 8 138 23 24 4 99 56 319 24 161 30  
Home DET DAL GB CIN ATL JAX TEN HOU NYJ KC WAS IND SF SEA DEN CLE  
Total Pts 89 12 294 303 82 204 7 159 160 200 13 70 0 122 30 75  

Green Bay was the biggest hit to the board - as everyone picked them to beat Chicago on Thanksgiving day, and the field lost almost 300 confidence points when Chicago pulled out the upset. Jacksonville and New England were also bigger upsets, which cost the board 365 confidence points. 

OVERALL RANKINGS

Miglio's hot streak has him streaking to the top of the overall leaderboard this week too. He moved into first place, just three points ahead of Dave Larkin. The two of them are slowly pulling away from the rest of the field - and they are almost 30 points ahead of Danny Tuccitto who slips to 3rd place with just 73 points this week. 

Staffer Wk01 Wk02 Wk03 Wk04 Wk05 Wk06 Wk07 Wk08 Wk09 Wk10 Wk11 Wk12 Wk13 Wk14 Wk15 Wk16 Wk17 Total
Miglio 85 51 121 87 81 74 72 86 63 31 84 108           943
Larkin 111 50 120 89 74 75 68 79 60 39 79 96           940
Tuccitto 100 54 117 89 88 66 81 84 55 33 71 73           911
Howe 109 42 112 92 84 66 91 81 41 40 62 90           910
Rudnicki 93 33 130 88 85 73 75 82 53 28 69 98           907
Grant 106 51 117 88 76 68 72 88 49 29 74 84           902
Buzzard 100 45 114 96 75 72 81 85 52 26 69 81           896
Garda 92 50 120 97 78 73 61 72 48 36 70 91           888
Haseley 101 49 117 87 83 64 72 63 59 34 72 78           879
Pasquino 87 44 124 82 76 65 77 69 46 44 68 97           879
Tremblay 92 95 80 78 75 49 70 88 50 47 68 86           878
Wood 99 60 125 91 80 85 75 60 39 39 47 76           876
Gray 88 46 128 83 70 82 79 83 41 28 64 80           872
Bitonti 98 52 125 76 79 76 74 91 56 22 65 57           871
Lee 96 39 101 96 82 71 63 72 56 36 69 88           869
Holloway 90 45 124 88 75 76 68 78 40 29 74 79           866
Hindery 94 48 115 93 74 65 83 78 33 28 74 79           864
Hicks 82 50 135 78 71 66 83 70 48 38 36 101           858
Wimer 86 42 95 89 79 68 79 68 52 33 65 80           836
Brimacombe 81 40 117 72 72 74 71 64 57 31 76 81           836
Feery 81 43 114 95 89 51 70 71 50 31 58 76           829
Heiser 72 18 98 93 70 65 64 82 51 51 68 82           814

THIS WEEK'S PICKS

Here are the picks for this week

Staffer GB CIN BAL ATL SEA ARI SF NYJ JAX HOU DEN KC CAR PHI IND DAL MNF
  DET CLE MIA TB MIN STL CHI NYG TEN BUF SD OAK NO NE PIT WAS TOT
Rudnicki GB CIN MIA TB SEA ARI CHI NYJ JAX BUF DEN KC CAR NE PIT WAS 44
  9 12 7 6 4 14 15 3 2 1 10 5 11 16 8 13  
Miglio GB CIN MIA TB SEA ARI CHI NYG TEN BUF DEN OAK CAR NE PIT WAS 47
  12 16 10 9 6 11 8 5 2 4 13 1 15 14 7 3  
Garda GB CIN BAL TB SEA ARI CHI NYJ TEN HOU DEN OAK CAR NE PIT DAL 40
  6 15 4 2 3 14 13 10 8 5 11 7 12 16 9 1  
Hicks GB CIN MIA TB SEA STL CHI NYJ JAX HOU DEN KC CAR NE PIT WAS 49
  6 14 3 4 9 10 15 12 8 7 11 2 16 13 5 1  
Heiser GB CIN MIA TB SEA ARI CHI NYJ JAX HOU DEN KC CAR NE PIT WAS 54
  14 13 12 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 15 1 16  
Feery DET CIN BAL TB MIN ARI CHI NYJ JAX BUF DEN KC CAR NE PIT DAL 45
  9 15 6 7 10 11 8 5 2 3 13 12 14 16 1 4  
Gray DET CIN MIA TB MIN ARI CHI NYJ TEN HOU DEN OAK CAR NE PIT WAS 38
  3 15 5 8 7 10 13 2 6 1 11 4 14 16 9 12  
Hindery GB CIN MIA TB MIN ARI CHI NYJ JAX HOU DEN KC CAR NE PIT WAS 41
  6 15 13 4 3 11 12 7 2 1 10 5 14 16 9 8  
Tuccitto DET CIN MIA TB SEA ARI CHI NYJ TEN BUF DEN KC CAR NE PIT WAS 49
  2 15 6 1 3 13 14 5 4 7 11 10 9 16 12 8  
Larkin GB CIN MIA TB SEA ARI CHI NYJ JAX BUF DEN OAK CAR NE PIT WAS 41
  10 16 11 9 6 14 13 4 3 2 12 1 5 15 8 7  
Brimacombe GB CIN MIA ATL SEA ARI CHI NYG JAX BUF DEN KC CAR NE PIT WAS 50
  11 10 9 2 8 7 6 5 4 3 12 1 13 15 16 14  
Wood GB CIN MIA ATL SEA ARI CHI NYJ JAX HOU DEN OAK NO NE PIT WAS 48
  16 15 14 13 12 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1  
Haseley GB CIN MIA TB SEA ARI CHI NYJ TEN BUF DEN OAK CAR NE PIT WAS 42
  14 15 13 9 12 11 10 8 5 4 3 2 6 16 7 1  
Pasquino GB CIN BAL ATL SEA ARI CHI NYJ TEN HOU DEN OAK CAR NE PIT WAS 41
  10 14 1 2 3 13 4 5 16 9 11 6 12 15 7 8  
Lee GB CIN MIA ATL SEA ARI CHI NYJ JAX BUF DEN KC CAR NE PIT WAS 46
  6 15 14 5 7 12 13 4 2 3 10 1 8 16 11 9  
Howe DET CIN BAL TB MIN ARI SF NYJ JAX BUF DEN KC CAR NE IND WAS 43
  8 14 6 11 5 13 3 12 2 7 10 9 16 15 1 4  
Wimer GB CIN MIA ATL MIN ARI CHI NYJ JAX BUF DEN OAK CAR NE PIT WAS 38
  9 14 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 15 12 16 13 10 11  
Bitonti DET CIN MIA TB MIN ARI CHI NYJ JAX BUF DEN OAK CAR NE PIT WAS 51
  2 16 9 10 8 7 11 4 3 5 13 1 15 14 6 12  
Tremblay GB CIN BAL TB SEA ARI CHI NYJ JAX BUF DEN KC CAR NE PIT DAL 45
  3 15 2 7 6 10 11 9 4 8 14 5 13 12 16 1  
Holloway DET CIN MIA TB MIN ARI CHI NYG TEN HOU DEN OAK CAR NE PIT WAS 52
  1 14 8 4 3 13 9 5 2 6 12 7 15 16 10 11  
Buzzard GB CIN MIA TB MIN ARI CHI NYJ TEN BUF DEN KC CAR NE PIT WAS 40
  8 16 11 2 1 9 14 3 4 6 7 5 12 15 13 10  
Grant GB CIN MIA TB SEA ARI CHI NYJ JAX BUF DEN KC CAR NE PIT WAS 38
  4 13 9 2 1 11 15 5 7 8 10 6 14 16 12 3  
Away GB CIN BAL ATL SEA ARI SF NYJ JAX HOU DEN KC CAR PHI IND DAL  
Total Pts 144 317 19 29 90 229 3 117 55 41 229 64 252 0 1 6  
Home DET CLE MIA TB MIN STL CHI NYG TEN BUF SD OAK NO NE PIT WAS  
Total Pts 25 0 162 106 43 10 226 15 47 62 0 46 4 319 179 152  

HEAVY FAVORITES

The Bengals, Patriots and Broncos were all unaminous selections this week by the entire staff. Those three teams received a combined 865 confidence points from the field.  Chicago, Carolina, Pittsburgh and Washington were also heavy favorites this week. They had a combined 809 confdence points. 

DUAL SUPPORT

Jacksonville at Tennessee was the least-confident match-up this week, with just 102 confidence points on the game and Jacksonville receiving a slight edge 55 to 47. Houston at Buffalo was just behind them with 103 confidence points with Buffalo as a narrow favorite. Kansas City is a slight favorite on the road to beat Oakland in another close one with just 110 total confidence points and despite the PK Vegas line on the Seattle - Minnesota contest, the Seahawks are a 2-1 favorite receiving 90 confidence points agaist the 43 that Minnesota has. It's also worth noting that although the Jets are a big favorite to beat the Giants this week, the game only had 132 confidence points total. You might want to move that game down a peg or two on your board. 

ODDS AND ENDS

IDepending on your scoring systems, it's time to start looking at going against the trend a little if you are not near the top of your leaderboard. Being on the right side of a close game like Jacksonville - Tennessee this week can give you a couple more points over the folks that will follow the Las Vegas line. There's still time to catch the leaders but time is running out. 

Good luck this weekend!

Photos provided by USA TODAY Sports
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