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Staff Confidence Pool (No Spread) Week 12

Will Grant's Staff Confidence Pool (No Spread) Week 12
By Will Grant, November 25, 2015

Staff Confidence Pool (No Spread) Week 12
Photo: USA Today Sports

We are proud to bring you the return of the Footballguys.com Staff Confidence Pool Challenge. 22 Staff members will pick the winner of each NFL game, and rank each choice from most confident (16 points) to least (1 point). As a tie-breaker, the person who is closest to the total points scored on the last Monday Night game will be the winner. Winners will be announced from week to week and the best overall record will be crowned Confidence pool Champion. Picks and ranks are due on Wednesday, so any late-breaking news may not be reflected in the choices. Also please note that no point spread is taken into account with these picks – it is a straight up pick of which NFL team will win this week. See the other confidence pools for picks against the spread (ATS) or Survivor / Eliminator style.

WEEK 11 RESULTS

For the second time in three weeks, Alex Miglio found himself at the top of the weekly leaderboard. Nice job! Alex only missed three picks last week, including Atlanta which took down almost the entire field. He was one of only four staffers to pick Houston over the Jets and one of only four to Detroit over Oakland as well. 

Staffer TEN STL IND WAS NYJ TB OAK DAL DEN KC SF GB CIN BUF TOT
  JAX BAL ATL CAR HOU PHI DET MIA CHI SD SEA MIN ARI NE Pts
Miglio JAX BAL ATL CAR HOU PHI DET MIA DEN KC SEA GB ARI NE 84
  10 6 11 14 5 7 4 3 9 2 13 1 8 12  
Larkin JAX BAL IND CAR NYJ PHI DET MIA DEN KC SEA MIN CIN NE 79
  11 10 2 12 8 9 4 5 6 7 14 3 1 13  
Brimacombe JAX BAL ATL CAR HOU PHI DET MIA DEN SD SEA GB ARI NE 76
  1 10 9 11 8 12 2 3 4 5 6 7 13 14  
Grant JAX BAL ATL CAR NYJ PHI OAK DAL DEN KC SEA GB ARI NE 74
  11 2 10 14 9 4 8 3 7 6 13 1 5 12  
Holloway JAX STL ATL CAR HOU PHI OAK DAL DEN SD SEA GB ARI NE 74
  6 5 8 12 3 7 9 1 4 2 13 10 11 14  
Hindery JAX BAL ATL CAR HOU PHI OAK DAL CHI KC SEA MIN ARI NE 74
  8 7 11 12 2 10 6 4 3 9 14 1 5 13  
Haseley JAX BAL ATL CAR NYJ PHI OAK MIA DEN KC SEA MIN ARI NE 72
  8 9 7 11 4 12 3 2 10 1 14 5 6 13  
Tuccitto JAX BAL ATL CAR NYJ PHI OAK DAL DEN KC SEA MIN ARI NE 71
  4 3 7 12 8 11 6 1 5 10 14 2 9 13  
Garda JAX BAL ATL CAR NYJ PHI OAK DAL DEN KC SEA MIN ARI NE 70
  1 11 10 12 8 9 2 4 3 5 7 6 13 14  
Buzzard JAX BAL ATL CAR NYJ PHI OAK MIA DEN KC SEA MIN ARI NE 69
  7 5 11 12 6 10 4 2 1 8 14 3 9 13  
Rudnicki JAX BAL ATL CAR NYJ PHI OAK MIA CHI KC SEA GB ARI NE 69
  12 1 11 13 4 10 6 3 2 9 14 5 7 8  
Lee JAX BAL ATL CAR NYJ PHI OAK MIA DEN SD SEA GB ARI NE 69
  9 6 11 13 4 10 7 3 2 1 14 5 8 12  
Tremblay JAX STL ATL CAR NYJ TB OAK MIA DEN KC SEA MIN ARI NE 68
  5 3 12 13 10 1 6 2 8 7 14 4 11 9  
Pasquino JAX STL ATL CAR NYJ PHI OAK DAL DEN KC SEA MIN ARI NE 68
  9 3 10 12 11 8 4 2 6 5 13 1 7 14  
Heiser JAX BAL ATL CAR NYJ PHI DET MIA CHI SD SEA GB ARI NE 68
  12 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 14 2 1 13  
Wimer JAX BAL ATL CAR NYJ PHI OAK MIA CHI KC SEA GB ARI NE 65
  9 8 7 6 5 11 10 4 3 2 14 1 13 12  
Bitonti JAX BAL ATL CAR NYJ PHI OAK MIA CHI KC SEA MIN ARI NE 65
  10 9 11 13 3 1 8 6 7 5 12 4 2 14  
Gray JAX STL ATL CAR NYJ PHI OAK DAL CHI SD SEA MIN ARI NE 64
  11 2 9 13 3 10 5 6 7 1 14 4 8 12  
Howe TEN STL ATL CAR NYJ PHI OAK DAL DEN SD SEA MIN ARI NE 62
  2 3 10 12 11 4 7 6 9 5 14 1 8 13  
Feery JAX STL ATL CAR NYJ PHI OAK DAL CHI KC SEA MIN CIN NE 58
  3 8 10 14 9 4 6 5 7 11 13 2 1 12  
Wood JAX STL ATL CAR NYJ PHI OAK DAL CHI KC SEA GB ARI NE 47
  14 13 12 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1  
Hicks JAX STL ATL CAR NYJ PHI OAK MIA CHI SD SEA MIN CIN NE 36
  4 6 3 8 7 14 9 5 2 10 13 12 1 11  
Away TEN STL IND WAS NYJ TB OAK DAL DEN KC SF GB CIN BUF  
Total Pts 2 43 2 0 128 1 114 39 74 92 0 35 3 0  
Home JAX BAL ATL CAR HOU PHI DET MIA CHI SD SEA MIN ARI NE  
Total Pts 165 98 200 259 18 179 16 43 41 27 275 48 146 262  

Atlanta was the big upset of the week, taking down 200 confidence points with their loss. Philadelphia's implosion against Tampa Bay also cost the board 179 points which brought down almost everyone in the field as well. Andy Hicks was hoping the string of upsets from two weeks ago continued last week but that didn't happen and he was hurt pretty bad by it. 

OVERALL RANKINGS

Dave Larkin started out the season with a big win and held the overall leaderboard spot for the first week of the season. Week 2 was a disaster and he fell from the top spot and has been struggling to get back ever since. He made it back this week and managed to even extend the lead a little bit, passing Danny Tuccitto by six points. 

Staffer Wk01 Wk02 Wk03 Wk04 Wk05 Wk06 Wk07 Wk08 Wk09 Wk10 Wk11 Wk12 Wk13 Wk14 Wk15 Wk16 Wk17 Total
Larkin 111 50 120 89 74 75 68 79 60 39 79             844
Tuccitto 100 54 117 89 88 66 81 84 55 33 71             838
Miglio 85 51 121 87 81 74 72 86 63 31 84             835
Howe 109 42 112 92 84 66 91 81 41 40 62             820
Grant 106 51 117 88 76 68 72 88 49 29 74             818
Buzzard 100 45 114 96 75 72 81 85 52 26 69             815
Bitonti 98 52 125 76 79 76 74 91 56 22 65             814
Rudnicki 93 33 130 88 85 73 75 82 53 28 69             809
Haseley 101 49 117 87 83 64 72 63 59 34 72             801
Wood 99 60 125 91 80 85 75 60 39 39 47             800
Garda 92 50 120 97 78 73 61 72 48 36 70             797
Gray 88 46 128 83 70 82 79 83 41 28 64             792
Tremblay 92 95 80 78 75 49 70 88 50 47 68             792
Holloway 90 45 124 88 75 76 68 78 40 29 74             787
Hindery 94 48 115 93 74 65 83 78 33 28 74             785
Pasquino 87 44 124 82 76 65 77 69 46 44 68             782
Lee 96 39 101 96 82 71 63 72 56 36 69             781
Hicks 82 50 135 78 71 66 83 70 48 38 36             757
Wimer 86 42 95 89 79 68 79 68 52 33 65             756
Brimacombe 81 40 117 72 72 74 71 64 57 31 76             755
Feery 81 43 114 95 89 51 70 71 50 31 58             753
Heiser 72 18 98 93 70 65 64 82 51 51 68             732

THIS WEEK'S PICKS

Here are the picks for this week

Staffer PHI CAR CHI STL MIN SD OAK NO MIA BUF NYG TB ARI PIT NE BAL MNF
  DET DAL GB CIN ATL JAX TEN HOU NYJ KC WAS IND SF SEA DEN CLE TOT
Rudnicki DET CAR GB CIN MIN JAX OAK HOU NYJ KC NYG IND ARI SEA NE CLE 40
  12 7 14 16 6 11 10 13 4 5 2 1 15 9 3 8  
Miglio DET CAR GB CIN MIN JAX TEN HOU NYJ KC WAS IND ARI SEA DEN CLE 41
  11 9 15 16 8 6 5 12 4 10 3 7 14 13 1 2  
Garda DET CAR GB CIN MIN JAX OAK NO NYJ KC NYG IND ARI SEA NE CLE 21
  8 15 13 11 3 10 9 2 6 5 7 4 16 14 12 1  
Hicks PHI CAR GB CIN MIN SD OAK HOU NYJ KC NYG TB ARI SEA NE BAL 41
  6 5 15 4 9 8 7 3 16 10 2 11 14 12 1 13  
Heiser DET CAR GB CIN MIN JAX OAK NO MIA KC NYG TB ARI PIT NE CLE 36
  13 12 14 15 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 16 3 2 1  
Feery DET DAL GB CIN MIN JAX OAK NO NYJ KC NYG TB ARI PIT NE CLE 39
  9 3 12 14 11 10 5 2 8 13 7 6 16 1 15 4  
Gray DET DAL GB CIN ATL JAX OAK HOU NYJ KC NYG TB ARI SEA NE CLE 45
  4 1 15 14 3 9 5 10 11 12 6 2 16 8 13 7  
Hindery PHI CAR GB CIN ATL JAX OAK HOU NYJ KC NYG IND ARI PIT NE BAL 47
  3 10 14 15 11 13 4 7 9 5 6 12 16 2 8 1  
Tuccitto PHI CAR GB CIN ATL JAX OAK HOU MIA KC NYG IND ARI SEA NE BAL 49
  8 12 14 15 3 10 5 7 11 2 4 6 16 9 13 1  
Larkin PHI DAL GB CIN MIN JAX OAK HOU NYJ KC WAS IND ARI PIT DEN CLE 38
  9 3 16 15 8 6 7 13 10 12 5 11 14 2 1 4  
Brimacombe DET CAR GB CIN ATL JAX OAK HOU NYJ KC NYG IND ARI SEA NE CLE 50
  3 4 12 13 5 14 6 10 11 15 7 1 16 2 9 8  
Wood DET DAL GB CIN MIN JAX OAK HOU MIA KC NYG TB ARI SEA NE CLE 42
  5 4 13 16 9 14 11 12 6 7 10 3 15 1 8 2  
Haseley PHI CAR GB CIN ATL JAX OAK HOU NYJ KC WAS IND ARI SEA NE CLE 43
  9 12 15 14 10 8 6 5 4 11 2 1 16 7 13 3  
Pasquino DET CAR GB CIN MIN JAX OAK HOU NYJ KC NYG TB ARI PIT DEN CLE 41
  2 14 13 16 11 4 5 6 7 12 10 3 15 8 9 1  
Lee DET CAR GB CIN ATL JAX OAK HOU NYJ KC NYG IND ARI PIT DEN CLE 40
  6 2 15 16 7 13 11 10 9 12 8 5 14 4 3 1  
Howe DET DAL GB CIN MIN JAX OAK HOU NYJ KC NYG TB ARI SEA NE CLE 41
  6 1 16 15 5 3 10 8 11 12 4 2 14 9 13 7  
Wimer PHI CAR GB CIN ATL JAX OAK HOU NYJ BUF NYG IND ARI SEA DEN CLE 52
  8 15 14 10 7 11 13 6 5 4 3 2 16 1 12 9  
Bitonti DET CAR GB CIN ATL JAX OAK NO NYJ KC NYG TB ARI PIT NE CLE 48
  2 7 16 15 8 12 6 11 3 10 5 9 14 4 13 1  
Tremblay PHI CAR GB CIN ATL JAX OAK HOU NYJ KC WAS TB ARI SEA DEN BAL 44
  7 11 6 10 9 12 2 13 15 8 3 16 1 5 4 14  
Holloway DET B GB CIN ATL JAX TEN HOU NYJ KC NYG IND ARI SEA NE CLE 34
  4 16 1 15 5 6 2 7 8 10 3 9 14 12 13 11  
Buzzard DET CAR GB CIN ATL JAX OAK HOU NYJ KC NYG IND ARI SEA NE CLE 42
  1 2 15 14 7 11 3 8 9 10 4 6 16 12 13 5  
Grant DET CAR GB CIN ATL JAX OAK HOU NYJ KC NYG IND ARI SEA NE BAL 40
  3 2 16 14 7 11 4 9 10 13 6 5 15 8 12 1  
Away PHI CAR CHI STL MIN SD OAK NO MIA BUF NYG TB ARI PIT NE BAL  
Total Pts 50 139 0 0 81 8 138 23 24 4 99 56 319 24 161 30  
Home DET DAL GB CIN ATL JAX TEN HOU NYJ KC WAS IND SF SEA DEN CLE  
Total Pts 89 12 294 303 82 204 7 159 160 200 13 70 0 122 30 75  

HEAVY FAVORITES

This week seemed a little rough when trying to rank confident picks, but there were a few that were still heavy favorites this week. Green Bay is heavily favored to beat the Bears on Thanksgiving night, and the Bengals and Cardinals were both unaminous picks to win on Sunday. Jacksonville, Oakland, and Kansas City were also heavy favorites this week with a decent amount of confidence points behind each of them. 

DUAL SUPPORT

It doesn't get any closer than Atlanta landing just one more confidence point than the Vikings this week. Both of these teams have surprised and disappointed this week and there are a lot of question marks surrounding both teams. The Cleveland - Baltimore game on Monday night only drew 105 total confidence points with the Browns being the favorite 75-30. Other close games include Philadelphia at Detroit on Thursday, and Tampa Bay at Indianapolis on Sunday. 

ODDS AND ENDS

The Bye weeks are over! 136 is the maximum amount of points that any team can win this week. 

A quick note - since we needed to get these out early for you guys, it's important to note that the picks were due even earlier this week. Confidence pool picks had to be submitted by Tuesday night this week - so many of the typical things like players practicing and positon changes that could happen through the week were not taken into account. Please check the Footballguys News blog for more information as the week progresses. 

Good luck this weekend!

Photos provided by USA TODAY Sports
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