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Staff Confidence Pool (No Spread): Week 7

Will Grant's Staff Confidence Pool (No Spread): Week 7
By Will Grant, October 16, 2014

Staff Confidence Pool (No Spread): Week 7
Photo: USA Today Sports

We are proud to bring you the return of the Footballguys.com Staff Confidence Pool Challenge. 20 Staff members will pick the winner of each NFL game, and rank each choice from most confident (16 points) to least (1 point). As a tie-breaker, the person who is closest to the total points scored on the last Monday Night game will be the winner. Winners will be announced from week to week and the best overall record will be crowned Confidence pool Champion. Picks and ranks are due on Wednesday, so any late-breaking news may not be reflected in the choices. Also please note that no point spread is taken into account with these picks – it is a straight up pick of which NFL team will win this week. See the other confidence pools for picks against the spread (ATS) or Survivor / Eliminator style.

RESULTS FROM LAST WEEK

Discounting the fact that everyone lost because of the Panthers-Bengals tie and everyone in the field picked Seattle to win over Dallas, Jeff Haseley only lost four additional points by taking Atlanta and Pittsburgh. Risk management allowed him to take home the top spot by a point, despite a strong push by Brimacombe on Monday night. Pasquino finished with only three incorrect picks, counting the two that took everyone down, but his 13 points on Seattle left him tied for third. 

Staffer IND GB NE CAR PIT BAL JAX DET DEN SD WAS DAL CHI NYG SF MNF TOT
HOU MIA BUF CIN CLE TB TEN MIN NYJ OAK ARI SEA ATL PHI STL TOTAL Pts
Haseley IND GB NE CIN PIT BAL TEN DET DEN SD ARI SEA ATL PHI SF 42 98
  13 14 7 6 1 10 2 8 15 9 4 12 3 11 5    
Brimacombe IND GB NE CIN PIT TB TEN DET DEN SD ARI SEA CHI PHI SF 44 97
  15 13 10 9 8 1 2 7 14 11 6 5 3 4 12    
Pasquino IND GB NE CIN CLE BAL TEN MIN DEN SD ARI SEA CHI PHI SF 47 96
  10 11 12 9 1 4 3 2 14 15 5 13 7 6 8    
Heiser IND GB NE CIN CLE BAL TEN MIN DEN SD ARI SEA ATL PHI SF 56 96
  11 10 8 9 4 3 13 2 15 14 6 12 1 5 7    
Garda IND GB NE CIN CLE BAL TEN DET DEN SD ARI SEA ATL NYG SF 60 95
  12 11 10 4 3 9 8 6 14 13 2 15 1 5 7    
Wimer IND GB BUF CIN CLE BAL TEN DET DEN SD ARI SEA ATL PHI SF 41 91
  13 12 8 7 1 6 11 5 15 14 9 10 4 3 2    
Cummings IND GB BUF CIN PIT BAL TEN DET DEN SD ARI SEA ATL NYG SF 38 91
  7 11 4 6 3 9 5 10 15 14 12 13 2 1 8    
Wood IND GB NE CIN PIT BAL JAX DET DEN SD ARI SEA CHI PHI SF 44 91
  15 14 13 12 11 10 1 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2    
Grant IND GB NE CIN PIT BAL TEN DET DEN SD ARI SEA ATL PHI SF 44 90
  12 11 9 14 1 8 2 3 15 13 6 10 5 4 7    
Holloway HOU GB NE CIN PIT BAL TEN DET DEN SD ARI SEA ATL NYG SF 44 89
  1 13 7 10 3 8 9 5 15 14 6 11 4 2 12    
Lee IND GB BUF CIN PIT BAL TEN DET DEN SD ARI SEA CHI PHI SF 38 88
  4 11 3 14 5 9 6 8 15 13 7 10 1 2 12    
Gray IND GB NE CIN PIT BAL JAX DET DEN SD ARI SEA ATL PHI SF 51 88
  11 10 8 13 2 5 1 7 15 14 9 12 4 6 3    
Hindery IND GB NE CIN PIT BAL JAX DET DEN SD ARI SEA CHI NYG STL 1 87
  12 10 11 7 6 9 1 8 13 15 4 14 5 3 2    
Buzzard IND GB NE CIN PIT BAL TEN DET DEN SD ARI SEA ATL PHI SF 43 87
  3 8 5 12 1 9 10 2 15 13 11 14 6 4 7    
Rudnicki IND GB NE CIN CLE BAL TEN DET DEN SD WAS SEA ATL PHI SF 40 85
  9 11 6 12 1 5 4 3 15 14 2 13 8 7 10    
Bitonti IND MIA NE CIN PIT BAL TEN MIN DEN SD ARI SEA ATL NYG SF 46 82
  9 2 6 12 4 7 8 1 15 14 13 11 5 3 10    
Larkin HOU GB NE CIN CLE TB TEN MIN DEN SD ARI SEA ATL PHI SF 52 79
  2 10 9 12 3 1 11 7 15 14 8 13 6 5 4    
Miglio HOU GB BUF CIN CLE BAL TEN DET DEN SD ARI SEA ATL PHI STL 46 79
  5 11 4 10 3 8 6 2 15 13 14 12 9 7 1    
Hicks HOU GB NE CIN CLE TB TEN MIN DEN SD ARI SEA ATL PHI SF 41 75
  3 9 7 15 5 6 2 1 14 13 4 12 8 10 11    
Tremblay HOU MIA BUF CIN PIT BAL TEN DET DEN SD WAS SEA ATL PHI SF 45 54
  3 1 10 15 8 2 13 6 5 12 4 14 11 7 9    
Away IND GB NE CAR PIT BAL JAX DET DEN SD WAS DAL CHI NYG SF    
Total Pts 156 200 128 0 53 121 3 89 277 259 6 0 20 14 136    
Home HOU MIA BUF CIN CLE TB TEN MIN NYJ OAK ARI SEA ATL PHI STL    
Total Pts 14 3 29 208 21 8 115 13 0 0 132 231 77 84 3    

the Bengals and the Seahawks took down everyone this week, with a combined 439 confidence points. Atlanta was the only other upset that had an impact, but only a couple people had a lot of points on them. One was Tremblay, who took a beating right out of the gate, and finished this week with just 54 overall points. 

OVERALL RANKINGS

Hindery extended his lead over Larkin to 10 points this week, but lost ground on Haseley who is now tied for second after winning this week's contest. Hindery has a solid lead at this point, but the next seven places are separated by just 21 total points. A good or bad week from anyone could really have an impact. 

Staffer W1 W2 W3 W4 W5 W6 W7 W8 W9 W10 W11 W12 W13 W14 W15 W16 W17 Total
Hindery 95 85 115 47 103 87                       532
Larkin 91 82 110 60 100 79                       522
Haseley 81 83 120 48 92 98                       522
Cummings 75 75 121 53 93 91                       508
Gray 80 87 108 40 101 88                       504
Grant 94 65 95 58 102 90                       504
Buzzard 87 74 95 54 105 87                       502
Bitonti 87 69 104 65 94 82                       501
Miglio 91 66 102 50 108 79                       496
Pasquino 85 68 100 49 96 96                       494
Lee 87 51 108 50 105 88                       489
Rudnicki 86 70 97 49 100 85                       487
Heiser 98 55 99 42 97 96                       487
Holloway 78 62 107 44 106 89                       486
Garda 73 57 102 48 110 95                       485
Brimacombe 76 60 111 39 93 97                       476
Wood 82 91 94 37 72 91                       467
Hicks 77 82 98 48 82 75                       462
Wimer 78 45 91 44 103 91                       452
Tremblay 68 60 77 39 66 54                       364

With back to back strong performances, Wimer continues to claw his way out of the basement. He's put some serious distance between himself and Tremblay now, and another solid week will have him moving up the charts. 

THIS WEEK'S PICKS

Here are the picks for this week.

Staffer NYJ MIN ATL MIA CAR CLE SEA CIN NO TEN KC ARI NYG SF HOU MNF
NE BUF BAL CHI GB JAX STL IND DET WAS SD OAK DAL DEN PIT TOTAL
Rudnicki NE BUF BAL CHI GB CLE SEA IND NO WAS SD ARI DAL DEN PIT 44
  15 14 12 8 11 7 13 9 1 5 3 4 6 10 2  
Miglio                                
n/a                                
Garda NE BUF BAL CHI GB CLE SEA CIN DET WAS SD ARI NYG DEN HOU 40
  15 4 13 12 11 5 10 8 7 3 9 6 2 14 1  
Hicks NE BUF BAL CHI CAR CLE SEA CIN DET WAS SD ARI DAL DEN HOU 41
  15 12 11 14 2 10 13 4 9 6 7 3 5 8 1  
Heiser NE BUF BAL CHI GB CLE SEA IND NO WAS SD ARI DAL DEN PIT 43
  13 5 4 14 10 2 15 7 1 9 12 11 6 8 3  
Gray NE BUF BAL CHI GB CLE SEA IND DET WAS SD ARI DAL DEN PIT 38
  15 11 14 2 8 12 13 6 9 3 4 10 5 7 1  
Hindery NE BUF BAL CHI GB CLE SEA IND DET WAS SD ARI DAL DEN HOU 37
  15 5 13 6 12 10 9 7 8 3 2 4 11 14 1  
Larkin NE BUF BAL MIA GB CLE SEA IND DET WAS SD OAK DAL DEN PIT 38
  13 9 15 1 6 8 12 7 5 11 14 2 10 4 3  
Cummings                                
n/a                                
Brimacombe NE BUF ATL CHI GB CLE SEA IND NO WAS SD ARI DAL DEN PIT 47
  15 2 14 13 12 1 11 3 4 10 9 5 8 7 6  
Wood NE BUF BAL CHI GB CLE SEA IND NO TEN KC ARI DAL DEN HOU 48
  14 2 8 13 12 6 15 11 10 5 4 3 9 7 1  
Haseley NE BUF BAL CHI GB CLE SEA IND DET WAS SD ARI DAL DEN PIT 43
  15 9 14 10 8 6 13 11 3 7 5 4 12 2 1  
Pasquino NE BUF BAL CHI GB CLE SEA IND NO WAS SD ARI DAL DEN HOU 27
  15 8 12 7 13 9 14 6 1 3 11 10 4 5 2  
Lee NE BUF BAL CHI GB CLE SEA IND DET WAS SD ARI DAL SF PIT 49
  15 11 9 13 14 8 7 5 4 12 10 3 6 1 2  
Wimer NE BUF BAL CHI GB CLE SEA IND DET WAS SD ARI DAL SF PIT 41
  13 12 11 10 14 9 15 5 6 7 8 4 3 2 1  
Bitonti NE BUF BAL CHI GB CLE SEA IND NO WAS SD ARI DAL DEN HOU 52
  9 15 14 13 12 11 8 7 2 4 3 5 6 10 1  
Tremblay NE BUF BAL MIA GB CLE SEA IND DET WAS SD OAK DAL DEN PIT 49
  4 9 8 3 11 12 15 13 7 6 10 2 14 5 1  
Holloway NE BUF BAL CHI GB CLE SEA IND DET WAS SD ARI DAL DEN HOU 43
  14 12 13 7 10 3 15 5 2 6 9 4 8 11 1  
Buzzard NE BUF BAL CHI GB CLE SEA IND DET WAS SD ARI DAL DEN PIT 42
  15 8 10 3 14 5 11 2 1 9 7 6 12 13 4  
Grant NE BUF BAL CHI GB CLE SEA IND DET WAS SD ARI NYG DEN PIT 41
  15 7 13 6 11 10 14 5 2 8 4 3 9 12 1  
Away NYJ MIN ATL MIA CAR CLE SEA CIN NO TEN KC ARI NYG SF HOU  
Total Pts 0 0 14 4 2 134 223 12 19 5 4 85 11 3 8  
Home NE BUF BAL CHI GB JAX STL IND DET WAS SD OAK DAL DEN PIT  
Total Pts 245 155 194 151 189 0 0 109 63 112 127 4 125 137 25  

HEAVY FAVORITES

Another week with some pretty obvious favorites. Vegas has several games with a seven or more point spread, so it's easy to see why these games are taking in an lot of confidence points. Tonights match-up holds the top spot with everyone picking the Patriots as the heavy favorite. Seattle drew a lot of support over the Rams this week as well, despite their tough loss at home against the Cowboys last week. Buffalo and Cleveland also were picked by everyone to win. Washington, San Diego and Denver were also heavy favorites by most of the field. 

DUAL SUPPORT

None of this week's games were very close in confidence, but Detroit and New Orleans only managed 82 total confidence points between the two of them. 

ODDS AND ENDS

With just 33 total confidence points in the Monday night game, this week's winner will probably be decided before that point. If you're looking to make a big move in your office pool and have a strong feeling about Pittsburgh or Houston this week, that would be the game to do it. 

Cummings and Miglio missed the cut-off this week. Their totals will be included in next week's results article.  

Good luck this weekend!

Photos provided by USA TODAY Sports
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