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Staff Confidence Pool (No Spread) Week 15

Will Grant's Staff Confidence Pool (No Spread) Week 15
By Will Grant, December 11, 2014

Staff Confidence Pool (No Spread) Week 15
Photo: USA Today Sports

We are proud to bring you the return of the Footballguys.com Staff Confidence Pool Challenge. 20 Staff members will pick the winner of each NFL game, and rank each choice from most confident (16 points) to least (1 point). As a tie-breaker, the person who is closest to the total points scored on the last Monday Night game will be the winner. Winners will be announced from week to week and the best overall record will be crowned Confidence pool Champion. Picks and ranks are due on Wednesday, so any late-breaking news may not be reflected in the choices. Also please note that no point spread is taken into account with these picks – it is a straight up pick of which NFL team will win this week. See the other confidence pools for picks against the spread (ATS) or Survivor / Eliminator style.

RESULTS FROM LAST WEEK

For the third time this season, Andrew Garda found himself at the top of the leaderboard after the Monday Night game is complete. Andrew only missed three games this week, and avoided losing big points on the 'landmine' games of New Orleans and San Francisco. Cummings missed three games as well, but lost a few more confidence points. 

Staffer DAL NYG STL PIT IND CAR HOU TB NYJ BAL BUF KC SEA SF NE ATL TOT
CHI TEN WAS CIN CLE NO JAX DET MIN MIA DEN ARI PHI OAK SD GB Pts
Garda DAL NYG STL CIN IND NO HOU DET MIN BAL DEN ARI SEA SF NE GB 116
  12 2 11 5 6 1 9 13 8 3 16 7 4 14 10 15  
Cummings DAL NYG STL PIT IND NO HOU DET MIN BAL DEN ARI PHI SF NE GB 113
  5 10 13 3 12 6 9 15 7 2 11 14 1 16 4 8  
Rudnicki DAL NYG STL CIN IND NO HOU DET MIN BAL DEN KC SEA SF NE GB 104
  6 4 9 5 13 12 8 11 10 2 16 1 3 14 7 15  
Bitonti DAL NYG STL CIN IND NO HOU DET MIN BAL DEN KC SEA SF NE GB 104
  6 4 8 5 9 13 10 14 11 3 15 2 1 12 7 16  
Wood CHI NYG STL PIT IND NO HOU DET MIN BAL DEN ARI PHI SF NE GB 102
  16 15 14 13 12 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1  
Hicks DAL TEN STL CIN IND NO HOU DET MIN MIA DEN KC SEA SF NE GB 101
  10 5 8 7 9 1 11 2 12 6 14 3 4 13 15 16  
Larkin DAL TEN STL PIT IND NO HOU DET MIN BAL DEN ARI PHI SF NE GB 101
  12 9 7 2 6 15 11 16 10 5 13 4 3 8 1 14  
Holloway DAL NYG STL CIN IND NO HOU DET MIN BAL DEN ARI SEA SF NE GB 101
  4 2 5 14 9 11 8 12 7 1 15 13 3 10 6 16  
Grant DAL NYG STL CIN IND NO HOU DET MIN MIA DEN ARI PHI SF NE GB 100
  6 1 9 4 12 13 8 14 7 3 15 2 5 11 10 16  
Miglio DAL TEN STL CIN IND NO HOU DET MIN MIA DEN ARI PHI SF NE GB 100
  9 4 8 6 11 13 12 14 5 2 15 7 1 10 3 16  
Pasquino DAL NYG STL PIT IND NO HOU DET MIN BAL DEN KC PHI SF SD GB 100
  4 15 7 14 6 8 5 10 3 13 11 16 2 9 1 12  
Buzzard DAL NYG STL CIN IND NO HOU DET MIN MIA DEN ARI PHI SF NE GB 97
  8 1 3 7 9 13 10 14 11 5 16 4 2 12 6 15  
Gray DAL NYG STL CIN IND NO HOU DET MIN MIA DEN KC PHI SF NE GB 94
  5 2 3 7 8 14 11 15 12 4 13 1 6 10 9 16  
Hindery DAL NYG STL CIN IND NO HOU DET MIN MIA DEN KC PHI SF NE GB 94
  5 4 9 2 10 13 6 12 11 8 16 1 3 15 7 14  
Wimer DAL NYG STL CIN IND NO HOU DET MIN MIA DEN KC PHI SF NE GB 94
  7 6 5 4 10 15 3 13 12 2 14 11 1 9 8 16  
Lee CHI NYG STL CIN IND NO HOU DET MIN MIA DEN KC SEA SF NE GB 93
  7 4 9 5 6 15 8 14 13 3 12 2 1 11 10 16  
Haseley DAL NYG STL CIN IND NO HOU DET MIN MIA DEN ARI PHI SF NE GB 91
  3 10 6 13 9 16 7 14 2 1 12 5 4 11 8 15  
Heiser CHI NYG STL PIT IND NO HOU DET MIN BAL DEN KC SEA SF SD GB 88
  1 5 11 3 14 10 8 7 6 4 13 9 2 12 16 15  
Brimacombe DAL NYG STL PIT IND NO HOU DET MIN MIA DEN KC PHI SF SD GB 79
  2 1 3 16 15 14 4 13 5 6 12 10 11 9 7 8  
Tremblay DAL TEN WAS CIN CLE NO HOU DET MIN MIA DEN ARI SEA SF SD GB 70
  7 14 9 10 2 13 8 12 6 4 15 1 5 11 3 16  
Away DAL NYG STL PIT IND CAR HOU TB NYJ BAL BUF KC SEA SF NE ATL  
Total Pts 111 86 148 51 186 0 166 0 0 40 0 56 23 220 113 0  
Home CHI TEN WAS CIN CLE NO JAX DET MIN MIA DEN ARI PHI OAK SD GB  
Total Pts 24 32 9 94 2 227 0 244 166 44 270 62 43 0 27 276  

Home teams lost a majority of the games this week, and the biggest road favorite (San Francisco) also lost. The Saints and the 49ers were the toughest losses, taking down almost 450 confidence points between the two of them. The Bengals, Dolphins and Eagles were all weighted higher than their opponents this week, and their losses also took down a chunck of points. 

OVERALL RANKINGS

Hindery lost a little ground on Buzzard and Miglio, but still maintains a five point lead on the overall board with just three weeks to go. Miglio, Larkin and Cummings all made up ground, but it may be too little, too late for them. 

Staffer W1 W2 W3 W4 W5 W6 W7 W8 W9 W10 W11 W12 W13 W14 W15 W16 W17 Total
Hindery 95 85 115 47 103 87 92 71 68 70 56 106 104 94       1193
Buzzard 87 74 95 54 105 87 94 93 71 74 57 103 97 97       1188
Miglio 91 66 102 50 108 79 79 83 73 74 63 98 111 100       1177
Larkin 91 82 110 60 100 79 84 86 63 63 50 96 97 101       1162
Cummings 75 75 121 53 93 91 71 77 62 67 58 111 95 113       1162
Haseley 81 83 120 48 92 98 86 81 60 74 55 98 94 91       1161
Grant 94 65 95 58 102 90 77 87 69 66 60 94 102 100       1159
Gray 80 87 108 40 101 88 89 79 61 76 52 101 102 94       1158
Bitonti 87 69 104 65 94 82 82 83 69 67 53 100 97 104       1156
Rudnicki 86 70 97 49 100 85 88 77 69 67 50 101 112 104       1155
Holloway 78 62 107 44 106 89 85 85 74 71 56 102 90 101       1150
Pasquino 85 68 100 49 96 96 76 77 73 75 64 89 95 100       1143
Garda 73 57 102 48 110 95 73 88 78 71 52 85 80 116       1128
Lee 87 51 108 50 105 88 81 87 57 68 60 105 82 93       1122
Wood 82 91 94 37 72 91 70 88 70 72 62 86 105 102       1122
Brimacombe 76 60 111 39 93 97 68 78 69 75 49 102 91 79       1087
Wimer 78 45 91 44 103 91 78 82 68 65 41 85 82 94       1047
Hicks 77 82 98 48 82 75 69 74 66 37 45 81 97 101       1032
Heiser 98 55 99 42 97 96 76 60 51 72 57 69 46 88       1006
Tremblay 68 60 77 39 66 54 81 107 57 66 38 104 103 70       990

And Tremblay falls back into the basement again. Rough week for him and Heiser, but more so for him.. 

THIS WEEK'S PICKS

Here are the picks for this week.

Staffer ARI OAK MIA PIT HOU WAS CIN JAX TB GB NYJ DEN SF MIN DAL NO MNF
STL KC NE ATL IND NYG CLE BAL CAR BUF TEN SD SEA DET PHI CHI TOTAL
Rudnicki STL KC NE PIT IND NYG CIN BAL TB GB NYJ DEN SEA DET PHI NO 52
  11 12 13 7 14 9 4 15 1 16 2 6 10 8 5 3  
Miglio STL KC NE PIT IND NYG CIN BAL CAR GB TEN DEN SEA DET PHI NO 53
  3 9 13 10 6 4 11 16 2 15 1 8 14 12 7 5  
Garda STL KC NE PIT IND NYG CLE BAL CAR GB NYJ DEN SEA DET PHI NO 60
  8 6 16 14 11 5 1 12 3 15 2 13 4 9 10 7  
Hicks STL KC NE ATL IND NYG CIN BAL CAR GB NYJ SD SEA DET DAL CHI 58
  7 14 15 6 8 16 9 13 10 12 4 5 11 1 3 2  
Heiser STL KC NE ATL IND NYG CLE JAX TB GB NYJ DEN SEA DET DAL CHI 52
  16 15 14 13 12 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1  
Gray STL KC NE PIT IND NYG CLE BAL TB GB TEN DEN SEA DET PHI NO 56
  2 15 13 3 11 12 7 16 1 6 4 8 14 10 9 5  
Hindery STL KC NE PIT IND NYG CIN BAL TB GB NYJ DEN SEA DET PHI NO 58
  7 14 10 2 12 13 3 16 1 8 4 9 15 11 6 5  
Larkin STL KC NE ATL IND NYG CLE BAL CAR GB TEN DEN SEA DET PHI NO 45
  11 9 15 3 12 14 8 16 7 5 4 2 13 10 6 1  
Cummings STL KC NE ATL IND NYG CIN BAL CAR GB NYJ DEN SEA DET PHI CHI 48
  5 14 12 2 13 10 4 16 9 11 1 7 8 15 6 3  
Brimacombe                                  
n/a                                  
Wood STL KC NE PIT IND NYG CIN BAL CAR GB NYJ DEN SEA DET PHI NO 57
  16 15 14 13 12 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1  
Haseley STL KC NE PIT IND NYG CLE BAL CAR GB NYJ DEN SEA DET PHI CHI 51
  14 11 16 9 8 15 3 13 4 7 2 5 12 10 6 1  
Pasquino STL KC NE PIT IND NYG CLE BAL CAR GB NYJ DEN SEA DET PHI NO 51
  2 8 5 4 10 3 15 16 12 6 11 1 9 7 13 14  
Lee STL KC NE ATL IND NYG CLE BAL TB GB NYJ DEN SEA DET PHI NO 50
  8 15 13 4 14 6 2 16 5 12 7 9 11 10 1 3  
Wimer ARI KC NE PIT IND NYG C BAL CAR GB TEN DEN SEA DET DAL NO 66
  10 14 13 9 12 8 7 15 6 11 5 4 3 2 16 1  
Bitonti STL KC NE PIT IND NYG CLE BAL CAR GB NYJ DEN SEA DET DAL NO 63
  7 14 15 8 13 12 1 16 4 9 5 6 10 11 2 3  
Tremblay STL KC NE PIT IND WAS CLE BAL CAR GB TEN DEN SEA DET PHI CHI 52
  9 14 5 3 8 7 6 16 10 2 11 12 15 13 4 1  
Holloway STL KC NE PIT IND NYG CLE BAL CAR GB TEN DEN SEA DET PHI NO 62
  6 12 14 3 10 9 1 16 7 11 2 8 15 13 4 5  
Buzzard STL KC NE PIT IND NYG CLE BAL CAR GB NYJ DEN SEA DET PHI NO 51
  7 15 11 3 12 10 1 16 6 9 2 8 13 14 5 4  
Grant DAL NYG STL CIN IND NO HOU DET MIN MIA DEN ARI PHI SF NE GB 57
  6 1 9 4 12 13 8 14 7 3 15 2 5 11 10 16  
Away ARI OAK MIA PIT HOU WAS CIN JAX TB GB NYJ DEN SF MIN DAL NO  
Total Pts 10 0 0 88 0 7 41 9 16 169 52 116 0 0 23 57  
Home STL KC NE ATL IND NYG CLE BAL CAR BUF TEN SD SEA DET PHI CHI  
Total Pts 139 226 227 28 210 168 55 253 88 0 27 5 185 162 84 8  

HEAVY FAVORITES

Big Vegas lines means lots of confidence points. Kansas City, New England, Indianapolis, Baltimore, Green Bay, Seattle, and Detroit all come in with big confidence points compared to their opponents. St. Louis tonight, the Giants, Denver and the Saints also drew strong support. 

DUAL SUPPORT

The Browns and the Bengals are almost too close to call with Cleveland getting the home field advantage but just a few points. The Jets are actually favored on the road against the Titans, but not by much. The Cowboys drew a little support, but the Eagles are still a strong favorite there. 

ODDS AND ENDS

With just three weeks to go, every point counts. If you're in the overall hunt for your office league, make sure to minimize your risk and downplay the closer games as much as possible. Since these picks came out on Wednesday night, late injury news like how much Cam Newton will play in Carolina do not factor into the picks. If your league allows it, you should make changes right up until game time based on how players are practicing and who is expected to play. 

Good luck this weekend!

Photos provided by USA TODAY Sports
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