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Staff Confidence Pool (No Spread) Week 13

Will Grant's Staff Confidence Pool (No Spread) Week 13
By Will Grant, November 27, 2014

Staff Confidence Pool (No Spread) Week 13
Photo: USA Today Sports

We are proud to bring you the return of the Footballguys.com Staff Confidence Pool Challenge. 20 Staff members will pick the winner of each NFL game, and rank each choice from most confident (16 points) to least (1 point). As a tie-breaker, the person who is closest to the total points scored on the last Monday Night game will be the winner. Winners will be announced from week to week and the best overall record will be crowned Confidence pool Champion. Picks and ranks are due on Wednesday, so any late-breaking news may not be reflected in the choices. Also please note that no point spread is taken into account with these picks – it is a straight up pick of which NFL team will win this week. See the other confidence pools for picks against the spread (ATS) or Survivor / Eliminator style.

RESULTS FROM LAST WEEK

Heath Cummings was the only guy who had the guts to pick Oakland to upset Kansas City and get their first win last week. He only received a single point of confidence for his gamble, but the three guys that finished directly behind him lost 32 points between the three of them. When you start the week out 10+ points in the hole, it's hard to catch back up. Hindery actually had more correct picks than Cummings, but the 11 points he lost on Kansas City cost him the win this week. 

Staffer KC TEN CIN NYJ TB DET CLE GB JAX STL ARI MIA WAS DAL BAL TOT
OAK PHI HOU BUF CHI NE ATL MIN IND SD SEA DEN SF NYG NO Pts
Cummings OAK PHI HOU BUF CHI NE ATL GB IND SD SEA DEN SF DAL NO 111
  1 14 2 7 10 8 3 11 15 6 5 12 13 9 4  
Hindery KC PHI CIN BUF CHI NE ATL GB IND SD SEA DEN SF DAL BAL 106
  11 10 2 5 9 8 3 14 15 7 6 12 13 4 1  
Lee KC PHI HOU BUF CHI NE ATL GB IND SD SEA DEN SF DAL NO 105
  9 14 3 6 8 11 1 13 15 7 5 12 10 4 2  
Tremblay KC PHI HOU BUF CHI NE CLE GB IND SD SEA DEN SF DAL BAL 104
  12 6 4 9 5 1 7 8 14 11 13 10 3 15 2  
Buzzard KC PHI HOU BUF CHI NE ATL GB IND SD SEA DEN SF DAL NO 103
  11 13 1 7 8 9 2 14 15 6 5 10 12 4 3  
Brimacombe KC PHI CIN BUF CHI NE CLE GB IND SD SEA DEN SF NYG NO 102
  15 14 7 10 9 8 4 13 12 6 3 5 11 1 2  
Holloway KC PHI CIN BUF CHI NE CLE GB IND STL SEA DEN SF DAL NO 102
  12 13 3 7 6 9 2 14 15 1 4 10 11 8 5  
Gray KC PHI HOU BUF CHI NE CLE GB IND SD SEA DEN SF DAL BAL 101
  13 14 6 12 8 9 1 10 15 11 4 5 7 2 3  
Rudnicki KC PHI CIN BUF CHI NE ATL GB IND SD SEA DEN SF DAL NO 101
  9 14 3 1 5 11 2 10 15 7 6 13 12 4 8  
Bitonti KC PHI CIN NYJ CHI NE ATL GB IND SD SEA DEN SF DAL NO 100
  12 11 2 1 8 9 3 14 15 6 5 10 13 7 4  
Haseley KC PHI HOU BUF CHI NE ATL GB IND SD SEA DEN SF DAL NO 98
  14 15 2 7 4 11 5 10 12 6 8 9 13 3 1  
Miglio KC PHI CIN BUF CHI NE ATL GB IND SD SEA DEN SF NYG NO 98
  11 13 1 6 7 10 5 14 15 9 3 8 12 2 4  
Larkin KC PHI HOU NYJ CHI NE ATL GB IND STL SEA DEN SF DAL NO 96
  8 12 6 2 11 10 4 14 15 1 9 7 13 5 3  
Grant KC PHI HOU BUF CHI NE ATL GB IND SD ARI DEN SF DAL NO 94
  10 14 2 1 4 12 5 13 15 7 3 11 9 8 6  
Pasquino KC PHI HOU BUF TB NE CLE GB IND SD ARI DEN SF DAL BAL 89
  11 8 14 15 2 3 5 6 13 10 4 9 12 7 1  
Wood KC PHI HOU BUF CHI NE CLE GB IND SD ARI DEN SF DAL NO 86
  15 14 13 12 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1  
Wimer KC PHI HOU BUF CHI NE ATL GB IND STL ARI DEN SF DAL NO 85
  12 11 6 10 9 8 7 15 14 5 4 13 3 2 1  
Garda KC PHI HOU NYJ CHI NE CLE GB IND SD SEA DEN SF DAL NO 85
  15 14 13 3 1 7 5 12 11 2 8 9 10 6 4  
Hicks KC PHI CIN NYJ CHI NE ATL GB IND STL ARI DEN SF DAL BAL 81
  6 5 11 10 3 7 2 1 15 9 12 14 13 8 4  
Heiser KC PHI HOU NYJ CHI NE ATL GB IND SD ARI DEN SF DAL NO 69
  12 11 10 9 13 8 14 15 7 6 5 4 3 2 1  
Away KC TEN CIN NYJ TB DET CLE GB JAX STL ARI MIA WAS DAL BAL  
Total Pts 218 0 29 25 2 0 33 229 0 16 33 0 0 100 11  
Home OAK PHI HOU BUF CHI NE ATL MIN IND SD SEA DEN SF NYG NO  
Total Pts 1 240 82 115 139 169 56 0 270 113 84 187 196 3 49  

After last week's bloodbath, seeing so many scores of 100+ this week really hurt the teams that didn't score as well. Heiser took it on the chin with big losses on Kansas City, Houston and Atlanta. On the whole, these team damaged a big chunk of the board, especially the Chiefs with 218 confidence points backing them last week. The Saints were a strong pick by the field as well, but their lost only cost the board 49 points as a whole. 

OVERALL RANKINGS

It didn't take long for Hindery to climb back into the top spot, although he's only holding that lead by a single point. He and Buzzard pushed themselves a little farther ahead of the pack though, as Hasley, Miglio and Larking all failed to reach 100 points this week. With just five weeks to go, it's shaping up to be a two team race.  

Staffer W1 W2 W3 W4 W5 W6 W7 W8 W9 W10 W11 W12 W13 W14 W15 W16 W17 Total
Hindery 95 85 115 47 103 87 92 71 68 70 56 106           995
Buzzard 87 74 95 54 105 87 94 93 71 74 57 103           994
Haseley 81 83 120 48 92 98 86 81 60 74 55 98           976
Miglio 91 66 102 50 108 79 79 83 73 74 63 98           966
Larkin 91 82 110 60 100 79 84 86 63 63 50 96           964
Gray 80 87 108 40 101 88 89 79 61 76 52 101           962
Holloway 78 62 107 44 106 89 85 85 74 71 56 102           959
Grant 94 65 95 58 102 90 77 87 69 66 60 94           957
Bitonti 87 69 104 65 94 82 82 83 69 67 53 100           955
Cummings 75 75 121 53 93 91 71 77 62 67 58 111           954
Pasquino 85 68 100 49 96 96 76 77 73 75 64 89           948
Lee 87 51 108 50 105 88 81 87 57 68 60 105           947
Rudnicki 86 70 97 49 100 85 88 77 69 67 50 101           939
Garda 73 57 102 48 110 95 73 88 78 71 52 85           932
Brimacombe 76 60 111 39 93 97 68 78 69 75 49 102           917
Wood 82 91 94 37 72 91 70 88 70 72 62 86           915
Heiser 98 55 99 42 97 96 76 60 51 72 57 69           872
Wimer 78 45 91 44 103 91 78 82 68 65 41 85           871
Hicks 77 82 98 48 82 75 69 74 66 37 45 81           834
Tremblay 68 60 77 39 66 54 81 107 57 66 38 104           817

THIS WEEK'S PICKS

Here are the picks for this week.

Staffer CHI PHI SEA NYG CLE NO WAS OAK CIN TEN CAR SD ARI NE DEN MIA MNF
DET DAL SF JAX BUF PIT IND STL TB HOU MIN BAL ATL GB KC NYJ TOTAL
Rudnicki DET PHI SEA NYG BUF PIT IND STL CIN HOU MIN BAL ATL GB DEN MIA 42
  11 2 6 8 4 9 16 14 10 13 5 7 1 3 15 12  
Miglio DET PHI SF JAX BUF PIT IND STL CIN HOU MIN BAL ARI GB DEN MIA 46
  13 2 1 4 5 3 16 14 12 11 10 6 15 7 8 9  
Garda DET DAL SEA NYG CLE PIT IND STL CIN HOU CAR BAL ARI GB DEN MIA 60
  15 14 6 9 8 2 12 7 11 13 4 3 16 1 10 5  
Hicks DET DAL SEA JAX BUF PIT IND OAK CIN HOU MIN BAL ARI GB DEN MIA 42
  12 5 9 11 8 16 2 1 15 4 13 3 14 7 10 6  
Heiser CHI PHI SF NYG CLE NO IND OAK TB HOU CAR SD ARI NE DEN MIA 44
  15 14 13 12 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 16 2 1  
Gray DET DAL SEA NYG BUF PIT IND STL CIN HOU MIN BAL ARI NE DEN MIA 45
  10 2 3 7 11 5 16 9 12 14 8 13 6 1 4 15  
Hindery DET DAL SEA NYG BUF PIT IND STL CIN HOU MIN BAL ATL GB DEN MIA 36
  8 5 4 10 3 11 16 13 12 14 2 6 1 7 9 15  
Larkin DET PHI SEA NYG BUF PIT IND STL CIN HOU MIN BAL ATL GB KC MIA 45
  12 2 4 15 9 13 16 14 8 11 5 10 3 6 1 7  
Cummings DET PHI SEA NYG BUF PIT IND STL CIN HOU CAR BAL ARI GB DEN MIA 38
  14 11 10 13 8 9 16 7 12 6 1 3 15 2 4 5  
Brimacombe DET PHI SF NYG CLE PIT IND STL CIN HOU CAR BAL ARI GB DEN MIA 47
  2 1 3 4 5 6 16 15 14 7 8 9 10 11 12 13  
Wood DET PHI SEA NYG CLE PIT IND STL CIN TEN CAR SD ATL NE DEN MIA 43
  13 10 9 8 6 5 16 11 12 1 4 3 2 7 15 14  
Haseley DET DAL SEA NYG BUF PIT IND STL CIN HOU MIN BAL ARI GB KC MIA 41
  10 5 11 8 1 14 16 15 13 7 6 9 4 3 2 12  
Pasquino DET PHI SEA NYG BUF PIT IND STL CIN TEN MIN BAL ARI NE DEN MIA 41
  9 12 13 16 15 3 10 7 5 1 2 4 6 11 14 8  
Lee DET DAL SEA NYG CLE PIT IND STL CIN HOU MIN BAL ATL GB KC MIA 43
  14 3 10 15 9 11 16 12 13 5 4 7 1 6 2 8  
Wimer DET DAL SF NYG BUF PIT IND STL CIN HOU CAR BAL ARI GB KC MIA 35
  11 10 9 8 7 6 16 15 14 5 4 3 13 2 1 12  
Bitonti DET DAL SF NYG BUF PIT IND STL CIN HOU MIN BAL ARI GB DEN MIA 46
  13 3 1 8 5 11 15 14 12 9 7 6 10 4 2 16  
Tremblay DET DAL SEA JAX BUF PIT IND STL CIN HOU MIN BAL ARI GB DEN MIA 35
  15 8 3 13 4 9 1 6 7 5 10 14 2 12 16 10  
Holloway DET DAL SF NYG BUF PIT IND STL CIN HOU MIN BAL ARI NE DEN MIA 41
  10 6 4 9 3 8 16 15 13 14 2 11 7 1 5 12  
Buzzard DET DAL SF NYG BUF PIT IND STL CIN HOU MIN BAL ARI GB DEN MIA 41
  14 7 1 5 3 9 16 15 10 12 2 11 6 8 4 13  
Grant DET DAL SF NYG BUF PIT IND STL CIN HOU MIN BAL ARI GB DEN MIA 38
  15 8 1 9 7 3 16 14 10 13 6 11 2 5 4 12  
Away CHI PHI SEA NYG CLE NO WAS OAK CIN TEN CAR SD ARI NE DEN MIA  
Total Pts 15 54 88 164 39 10 0 9 215 2 26 7 129 36 134 205  
Home DET DAL SF JAX BUF PIT IND STL TB HOU MIN BAL ATL GB KC NYJ  
Total Pts 221 76 33 28 93 153 273 217 7 169 82 136 8 84 6 0  

HEAVY FAVORITES

Most of the board expects the Lions to handle the Bears pretty easily today, and they are the 'easiest' choice to make of the three Thanksgiving games. Indianapolis is the strongest favorite this week with 273 confidence points on them to beat Washington. St. Louis, Cincinnati and Miami round out the teams with more than 200 confidence points each. St. Louis, Cincinnati, Houston, Baltimore, Arizona, Pittsburgh and Denver are all heavy favorites this week as well.

DUAL SUPPORT

None of this week's contents can really be considered 'close' from a confidence pool prospective. Dallas, Seattle, Buffalo, Minnesota and Green Bay are all expected to win their games, but their opponents all received a few points of their own. If you're building your office pool picks this week, you may want to lower your confidence numbers on these games.   

ODDS AND ENDS

It's a full sprint to the finish now with 136 points being the top score for each week. Be careful of the Monday night game this week as everyone is picking Miami as a heavy favorite. 

Happy Thanksgiving and good luck this weekend!

Photos provided by USA TODAY Sports
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