Will Brian Robinson Jr. Replicate Tyler Allgeier's Production?

The Footballguys staff discusses how Brian Robinson Jr.'s usage will compare to the departed Tyler Allgeier.

Jason Wood's Will Brian Robinson Jr. Replicate Tyler Allgeier's Production? Jason Wood Published 04/22/2026

© Geoff Burke-Imagn Images Brian Robinson Jr

We are proud to be among the first, if not the first, to publish full projections for the upcoming season, going live just days after the Super Bowl. Publishing detailed projections in early February comes with trade-offs, not the least of which is a near-total lack of clarity on how free agency, cap transactions, and the NFL draft will reshape rosters.

We've been updating our projections in near real time, including during the recent onslaught of free-agent transactions. This version will remain largely stable until we can layer in the April NFL draft, but stable projections don't mean settled debates.

We have a staff of sharp analysts with sharp takes of their own, so I thought it would be worthwhile to solicit their views on the key coin-toss situations that will shape each team's outlook in the coming months. These are important questions where reasonable, informed people can credibly land in very different places. I asked my colleagues to weigh in with one assumption: they were answering strictly through the lens of a standard 0.5-PPR redraft league.

Atlanta Falcons Coin-Toss Questions


Brian Robinson Jr. steps into the No. 2 role behind Bijan Robinson. Do you expect Brian Robinson Jr to get more/less/the same work as last year's backup, Tyler Allgeier?

Maurile Tremblay: Less. I'd expect Brian Robinson Jr. to be more of a true backup than Tyler Allgeier was, with Bijan Robinson as the clear offensive centerpiece. Allgeier had a bigger established role in Atlanta, while Robinson looks more like solid depth and insurance.

Andy Hicks: A new coaching staff may use the rotation differently, but it would surprise me if it wasn't a similar split to last year. Bijan Robinson saw almost 300 carries and 79 receptions — he has work he can hand over. Brian Robinson Jr is a good running back. Expecting Brian Robinson Jr to see 150-plus touches is reasonable, but perhaps slightly optimistic. Ten percent either way is highly probable.

Jeff Haseley: I expect Brian Robinson Jr. to get a similar workload to what Tyler Allgeier had. Stefanski and Rees love a physical one-two punch, and Robinson is a more seasoned, versatile runner who can spell Bijan without the offense losing its identity.

Jason Wood's Verdict

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