Every week, the first step of your DFS homework should be to examine the opening Vegas odds on all the NFL games for that week. Through some fairly simple algebra, it is easy to derive a spreadsheet that predicts team totals for every game, thereby allowing you to develop a rudimentary game script to help narrow down your decisions for the week.
Once the appealing (and unappealing) games have been highlighted, it becomes easier to focus on those games to help build your core of players for that week; the caveat, however, is that the NFL is a dynamic league, and anything is subject to change from Tuesday to Sunday...so keep that in mind as the week progresses and always monitor player injuries, weather conditions, and potential roster moves. Let's take a look.
Three Stars
Quarterbacks
- None
Running Backs
- James Cook (Bills)
- Derrick Henry (Ravens)
Receivers
- None
Team Defense
- None
Two Stars
Quarterbacks
- Josh Allen (Bills)
- Baker Mayfield (Buccaneers)
- Lamar Jackson (Ravens)
Running Backs
- Bucky Irving/Rachaad White (Buccaneers)
Receivers
- Khalil Shakir/Amari Cooper/Keon Coleman/Mack Hollins/Dalton Kincaid (Bills)
- Mike Evans/Jalen McMillan/Cade Otton (Buccaneers)
- Zay Flowers/Rashod Bateman/Mark Andrews/Isaiah Likely (Ravens)
Team Defense
- None
One Star
Quarterbacks
- Jalen Hurts (Eagles)
- Sam Darnold (Vikings)
Running Backs
- Saquon Barkley (Eagles)
- Aaron Jones (Vikings)
Receivers
- A.J. Brown/DeVonta Smith/Dallas Goedert (Eagles)
- Justin Jefferson/Jordan Addison/T.J. Hockenson (Vikings)
Team Defense
- Ravens