Every week, the first step of your DFS homework should be to examine the opening Vegas odds on all the NFL games for that week. Through some fairly simple algebra, it is easy to derive a spreadsheet that predicts team totals for every game, thereby allowing you to develop a rudimentary game script to help narrow down your decisions for the week.
Once the appealing (and unappealing) games have been highlighted, it becomes easier to focus on those games to help build your core of players for that week; the caveat, however, is that the NFL is a dynamic league, and anything is subject to change from Tuesday to Sunday...so keep that in mind as the week progresses and always monitor player injuries, weather conditions, and potential roster moves. Let's take a look.
[Blue font indicates games *not* on the DFS main slate.]
BYE WEEK: None
Three Stars
Quarterbacks
- Josh Allen (Bills)
Running Backs
- James Cook (Bills)
- Josh Jacobs (Packers)
- Chase Brown (Bengals)
Receivers
Team Defense
- Packers
Two Stars
Quarterbacks
- Jordan Love (Packers)
- Joe Burrow (Bengals)
Running Backs
- Bijan Robinson/Tyler Allgeier (Falcons)
Receivers
- Jayden Reed/Romeo Doubs/Dontayvion Wicks/Tyler Kroft (Packers)
- Ja'Marr Chase/Tee Higgins/Mike Gesicki (Bengals)
Team Defense
- Falcons
- Bills
One Star
Quarterbacks
- Baker Mayfield (Buccaneers)
- Jared Goff (Lions)
- Kirk Cousins (Falcons)
- Kyler Murray (Cardinals)
- Lamar Jackson (Ravens)
- Matthew Stafford (Rams)
Running Backs
- Bucky Irving/Rachaad White (Buccaneers)
- Jahmyr Gibbs (Lions)
- James Conner (Cardinals)
- Derrick Henry (Ravens)
- Kyren Williams (Rams)
Receivers
- Mike Evans/Jalen McMillan/Cade Otton (Buccaneers)
- Amon-Ra St. Brown/Jameson Williams/Sam LaPorta (Lions)
- Drake London/Darnell Mooney/Kyle Pitts (Falcons)
- Marvin Harrison Jr./Michael Wilson/Trey McBride (Cardinals)
- Zay Flowers/Rashod Bateman/Mark Andrews (Ravens)
- Puka Nacua/Cooper Kupp/Colby Parkinson (Rams)
Team Defense
- Texans
